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市場調查報告書
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1851199

美國暖通空調服務：市場佔有率分析、行業趨勢、統計數據和成長預測（2025-2030 年）

US HVAC Services - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 120 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

美國暖通空調服務市場預計到 2025 年將達到 282 億美元，到 2030 年將擴大到 388 億美元，複合年成長率為 6.6%。

美國暖通空調服務市場-IMG1

這一成長反映了市場對老舊設備更換的持續需求、強勁的在建項目儲備以及不斷降低節能改造成本的政策獎勵。 2025年4月，新開工建設項目較上季成長9.9%，推動了商業、住宅和工業計劃安裝合約的強勁成長。聯邦政府的退稅和各州根據《通貨膨脹控制法案》提供的獎勵繼續刺激屋主維修和熱泵的普及。同時，智慧建築控制系統和低全球暖化潛勢（GWP）冷媒的普及也創造了合規主導的服務機會，從而提升了我們的經常性收入。然而，熟練技術人員的持續短缺導致勞動力供應緊張，推高了工資水平，並擠壓了小型承包商的生存空間。

美國暖通空調服務市場趨勢與洞察

建設活動成長

2025年4月非住宅建築開工量激增9.9%，顯示材料成本上漲並未阻礙計劃推進，尤其是資料中心、醫療保健和教育設施專案。這一成長帶動了美國暖通空調服務市場的穩定安裝和試運行活動，這些活動將在專案投入營運後轉化為長期維護收入。隨著公共建設項目超過私人建設項目，服務供應商開始關注政府維修的激增。具備多工種能力的承包商已做好準備，承接機械+控制系統的捆綁式項目，從而提升暖通空調服務市場的交叉銷售潛力。

老舊暖通空調設備裝置量大

超過90%的美國家庭使用的空調設備已接近其15-20年的典型使用壽命，這導致了大量的維修工作。對於商用設備而言，R-410A冷媒即將被淘汰，加劇了升級改造的延遲，推高了維護成本，並加速了設備更換的決策。那些將冷媒轉換專業知識與能源效率合約結合的服務商能夠獲得多年期合約。這些合約反過來又能確保持續的收入，並擴大其在美國暖通空調服務市場的佔有率。

認證暖通空調技術人員短缺

儘管每年約有42,500個職缺，但畢業生數量遠不及新建和維修工程的需求。到2023年，平均薪資將達到57,300美元，這將推高營運成本並降低淨利率，尤其對中小企業而言更是如此。公共部門的學徒計畫旨在彌補這一缺口，但所需的前置作業時間意味著，未來十年招聘仍將是一個策略瓶頸。那些建立了內部培訓機構和清晰職涯發展路徑的公司擁有較高的員工留存率，從而緩解了美國暖通空調服務市場的這種壓力。

細分市場分析

到2024年，預防性保養合約將佔總收入的39%，這凸顯了業主對可預測成本管理和運作保障的偏好。如今，商業客戶組合中已整合了設備分析技術，可根據運作運行時間數據而非日曆週期安排服務訪問，從而提高了合約續約率並提升了單位平均收入。受合規壓力和在動態能源收費系統下最佳化負載曲線的需求驅動，能源管理和監控服務正以8.2%的複合年成長率快速成長。將監控與性能保證相結合的承包商正在美國暖通空調服務市場中佔據越來越大的佔有率。

安裝合約與建築支出仍然密切相關，而緊急維修服務在尖峰負載事件和極端天氣期間需求激增。設計工程的範圍正在擴大，涵蓋脫碳藍圖和生命週期成本分析。業主擴大將機械、控制和永續性審核捆綁在同一供應商處，這使得全方位服務公司更具戰略意義。這些合約通常為期三到五年，有助於穩定現金流、增強客戶留存率並提升市場競爭力。

建築管理系統 (BMS) 和自動化服務是成長最快的細分市場，複合年成長率 (CAGR) 達 9.1%，這主要得益於對故障檢測和數據主導最佳化日益成長的需求。暖氣服務則呈現出顯著的區域差異，其中熱泵的普及在北部各州成長最快，因為這些地區的電氣化激勵措施降低了成本溢價。

通風和室內空氣品質 (IAQ) 行業受益於學校和商業辦公場所中居住者增強的健康意識。冷凍服務因改用 A2L 冷媒而面臨更高的遵循成本，促使企業投資於專用工具。加州的一項示範計畫檢驗了蓄熱改造的維修，該計畫實現了 13% 的節能和 46%的尖峰負載轉移，蓄熱改造正成為以績效為導向的承包商的額外收入來源。隨著控制設備與機械系統的整合，服務供應商能夠獲得額外的整合費用，並在美國暖通空調 (HVAC) 服務市場中打造差異化服務組合。

美國暖通空調服務市場按服務類別（設計與工程、合約安裝及其他）、目標系統類型（暖氣、維修、冷凍/冷氣服務及其他）、最終用戶（住宅、商業及其他）和合約模式（企劃為基礎（一次性）及其他）進行細分。市場規模和預測均以美元計價。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場情勢

  • 市場概覽
  • 市場促進因素
    • 建設活動成長
    • 老舊暖通空調設備裝置量大
    • 聯邦和州政府收緊能源效率標準
    • 利用智慧/物聯網擴充服務模式
    • 透過通貨膨脹控制法獎勵電氣化
    • 私募股權整合建構一站式服務網路
  • 市場限制
    • 高昂的初始安裝和維修成本
    • 認證暖通空調技術人員短缺
    • 冷媒轉型和不斷上漲的合規成本
    • 各州許可證和授權法規五花八門
  • 價值/供應鏈分析
  • 監管環境
  • 技術展望
  • 波特五力分析
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 買方的議價能力
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭對手之間的競爭

第5章 市場規模與成長預測

  • 按服務類別
    • 設計與工程
    • 安裝合約
    • 預防性保養合約
    • 緊急維修服務
    • 能源管理和監控服務
  • 依目標系統類型
    • 暖氣（爐子、鍋爐、熱泵）服務
    • 冷氣/空調服務
    • 通風和室內空氣品質服務
    • 冷凍服務
    • 控制、建築管理系統和自動化服務
  • 最終用戶
    • 住房
    • 商業的
    • 商業的
    • 機構（教育、醫療、政府機構）
  • 按合約模式
    • 企劃為基礎的（一次性）
    • 常規服務合約
  • 按地區（美國人口普查地區）
    • 東北
    • 中西部
    • 南部
    • 西

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 市場集中度分析
  • 策略性舉措和併購
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司簡介
    • EMCOR Services
    • Comfort Systems USA
    • Service Logic
    • Southland Industries
    • ACCO Engineered Systems
    • TDIndustries
    • ABM Technical Solutions
    • United Mechanical
    • J&J Air Conditioning
    • National HVAC Services
    • Lennox International
    • Nortek Global HVAC
    • Carrier Corporation
    • Goodman Manufacturing
    • Trane Technologies
    • Johnson Controls
    • Daikin Applied Americas
    • Mechanical Services of America
    • One Hour Heating and Air Conditioning
    • ARS/Rescue Rooter
    • McKinstry

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 67903

The US HVAC services market size reached USD 28.2 billion in 2025 and is projected to climb to USD 38.8 billion by 2030, advancing at a 6.6% CAGR.

US HVAC Services - Market - IMG1

The expansion reflects persistent demand for replacement of aging equipment, a robust construction pipeline, and sustained policy incentives that lower the cost of energy-efficient upgrades. Construction starts rose 9.9% month-over-month in April 2025, reinforcing a solid flow of installation contracts across commercial, residential, and industrial projects. Federal rebates under the Inflation Reduction Act, paired with state-level incentives, continue to stimulate homeowner retrofits and heat-pump adoption . Parallel shifts toward smart building controls and lower-GWP refrigerants are creating compliance-driven service opportunities that lift the recurring revenue mix. At the same time, a persistent shortage of skilled technicians tightens labor supply, lifts wages, and pressures small contractors, a dynamic that supports consolidation plays by capital-rich operators.

US HVAC Services Market Trends and Insights

Growth in Construction Activity

A 9.9% jump in nonresidential starts during April 2025 demonstrates that elevated materials costs have not derailed project pipelines, particularly in data centers, health care, and education facilities. The expansion funnels steady installation and commissioning work into the US HVAC services market, then converts into long-tail maintenance revenue once operations commence. As public construction outpaces private builds, service providers note a surge in government office retrofits, while data-center investment pushes premium demand for precision cooling. Contractors leveraging multi-trade capabilities position themselves for bundled mechanical-plus-controls scopes, reinforcing cross-sell potential in the US HVAC services market.

Large Installed Base of Aging HVAC Equipment

More than 90% of US households rely on equipment approaching the end of typical 15-20 year life cycles, creating predictable retrofit workstreams. On the commercial side, deferred upgrades are compounded by the impending phase-down of R-410A, which raises maintenance costs and accelerates replacement decisions. Service providers that combine refrigerant conversion expertise with energy-performance contracting secure multi-year engagements. In turn, those agreements lock in recurring revenue and boost wallet share within the US HVAC services market.

Shortage of Certified HVAC Technicians

Roughly 42,500 openings emerge each year, yet graduation pipelines lag the needs of new construction and retrofit workloads. Median wages hit USD 57,300 in 2023, lifting operating costs and eroding margins, especially for small businesses. Public-sector apprenticeship programs aim to fill the gap, but required lead times mean hiring remains a strategic bottleneck through the decade. Firms that build in-house academies and defined career ladders enjoy higher retention and mitigate this drag on the US HVAC services market.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Stricter Federal & State Energy-Efficiency Standards
  2. Expansion of Smart/IoT-Enabled Service Models
  3. Rising Refrigerant Transition & Compliance Costs

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Preventive maintenance contracts held 39% of 2024 revenue, underscoring owner preference for predictable cost management and uptime protection. Commercial portfolios now embed equipment analytics that schedule service visits based on real-time runtime data rather than calendar intervals, which increases contract renewal rates and raises average revenue per unit. Energy-management and monitoring services are expanding at an 8.2% CAGR, fueled by compliance pressures and the need to optimize load profiles under dynamic utility tariffs. Contractors that couple monitoring with performance guarantees deepen wallet share inside the US HVAC services market.

Installation contracting remains correlated with construction spending, while emergency repair services thrive during peak-load events and extreme weather. Design engineering scopes are broadening to include decarbonization road-mapping and lifecycle cost analysis. Owners increasingly bundle mechanical, controls, and sustainability audits under a single provider, elevating the strategic relevance of full-service firms. As those contracts typically span three to five years, they stabilize cash flow and reinforce client captivity, which strengthens competitive positions across the US HVAC services market.

Cooling services accounted for 41% revenue in 2024, a figure that continues to climb as cooling-degree days trend upward in nearly all US climate zones.[3] Building-management system (BMS) and automation services compose the fastest-growing slice at a 9.1% CAGR, aligned with rising demand for fault detection and data-driven optimization. Heating services exhibit pronounced regional differences; heat-pump adoption is growing fastest in northern states where electrification incentives narrow the cost premium.

Ventilation and indoor-air-quality (IAQ) scopes benefit from occupant-health imperatives in schools and commercial offices. Refrigeration services face higher compliance spend due to the switch to A2L refrigerants, which is prompting specialized tool investments. Thermal-energy-storage retrofits, validated by California demonstrations that achieved 13% savings and 46% peak-load shifting, are emerging as ancillary revenue streams for performance-oriented contractors.As controls converge with mechanical systems, service providers capture incremental integration fees and create differentiated bundles within the US HVAC services market.

US HVAC Services Market is Segmented by Service Category (Design and Engineering, Installation Contracting and More), by System Type Served (Heating, Services, Cooling / Air-Conditioning Services and More ), by End User (Residential, and Commercial, and More), by Contract Model (Project-Based (One-Off), and More). The Market Sizes and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

  1. EMCOR Services
  2. Comfort Systems USA
  3. Service Logic
  4. Southland Industries
  5. ACCO Engineered Systems
  6. TDIndustries
  7. ABM Technical Solutions
  8. United Mechanical
  9. J&J Air Conditioning
  10. National HVAC Services
  11. Lennox International
  12. Nortek Global HVAC
  13. Carrier Corporation
  14. Goodman Manufacturing
  15. Trane Technologies
  16. Johnson Controls
  17. Daikin Applied Americas
  18. Mechanical Services of America
  19. One Hour Heating and Air Conditioning
  20. ARS/Rescue Rooter
  21. McKinstry

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Growth in Construction Activity
    • 4.2.2 Large Installed Base of Aging HVAC Equipment
    • 4.2.3 Stricter Federal & State Energy-Efficiency Standards
    • 4.2.4 Expansion of Smart/IoT-Enabled Service Models
    • 4.2.5 Inflation Reduction Act Incentives for Electrification
    • 4.2.6 Private-Equity Roll-ups Creating One-Stop Service Networks
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 High Up-Front Installation & Retrofit Costs
    • 4.3.2 Shortage of Certified HVAC Technicians
    • 4.3.3 Rising Refrigerant Transition & Compliance Costs
    • 4.3.4 Patchwork State Licensing & Permitting Rules
  • 4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porters Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SIZE & GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

  • 5.1 By Service Category
    • 5.1.1 Design and Engineering
    • 5.1.2 Installation Contracting
    • 5.1.3 Preventive Maintenance Contracts
    • 5.1.4 Emergency Repair Services
    • 5.1.5 Energy-Management and Monitoring Services
  • 5.2 By System Type Served
    • 5.2.1 Heating (Furnace, Boiler, Heat Pump) Services
    • 5.2.2 Cooling / Air-Conditioning Services
    • 5.2.3 Ventilation and IAQ Services
    • 5.2.4 Refrigeration Services
    • 5.2.5 Controls, BMS and Automation Services
  • 5.3 By End User
    • 5.3.1 Residential
    • 5.3.2 Commercial
    • 5.3.3 Industrial
    • 5.3.4 Institutional (Education, Healthcare, Govt)
  • 5.4 By Contract Model
    • 5.4.1 Project-Based (One-off)
    • 5.4.2 Recurring Service Agreements
  • 5.5 By Geography (US Census Regions)
    • 5.5.1 Northeast
    • 5.5.2 Midwest
    • 5.5.3 South
    • 5.5.4 West

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Market Concentration Analysis
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves and M&A
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products & Services, Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 EMCOR Services
    • 6.4.2 Comfort Systems USA
    • 6.4.3 Service Logic
    • 6.4.4 Southland Industries
    • 6.4.5 ACCO Engineered Systems
    • 6.4.6 TDIndustries
    • 6.4.7 ABM Technical Solutions
    • 6.4.8 United Mechanical
    • 6.4.9 J&J Air Conditioning
    • 6.4.10 National HVAC Services
    • 6.4.11 Lennox International
    • 6.4.12 Nortek Global HVAC
    • 6.4.13 Carrier Corporation
    • 6.4.14 Goodman Manufacturing
    • 6.4.15 Trane Technologies
    • 6.4.16 Johnson Controls
    • 6.4.17 Daikin Applied Americas
    • 6.4.18 Mechanical Services of America
    • 6.4.19 One Hour Heating and Air Conditioning
    • 6.4.20 ARS/Rescue Rooter
    • 6.4.21 McKinstry

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • 7.1 White-Space and Unmet-Need Assessment