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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1851886

智慧鎖：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢、統計數據和成長預測（2025-2030 年）

Smart Lock - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 120 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計到 2025 年，智慧鎖市場規模將達到 32.3 億美元，到 2030 年將達到 66.1 億美元，複合年成長率為 15.40%。

智慧鎖市場-IMG1

展望報告重點指出，日趨成熟的智慧家庭平台、日益成長的都市區安全隱患以及不斷擴展的物聯網連接將共同推動遠端門禁的發展。 Matter 和 Thread 標準的進步提升了互通性，消除了許多整合障礙；同時，生物辨識感測器價格的下降也拓展了住宅和輕型商用門鎖的功能。儘管半導體短缺導致的價格上漲構成了直接的阻力，但保險折扣和整體擁有成本的降低將繼續推動機械鎖的更換。隨著領先的門禁控制公司積極佈局以確保規模、管道覆蓋和核心技術，收購活動正在增加。

全球智慧鎖市場趨勢與洞察

智慧家庭生態系統的快速普及

智慧門鎖整合是連網家庭首批升級之一。耶魯、Schlage 和 Level 共同推出的 Matter-over-Thread 技術打破了廠商鎖定，並將電池續航時間延長至 12 個月以上。語音助理已在美國70% 的家庭中普及，加速了語音門鎖的普及。預計到 2026 年，Thread 1.4 的發布將允許新產品無需額外中心即可加入現有網路，進一步增強生態系統的凝聚力。

人們越來越關注都市區的盜竊和安全問題

都市區犯罪模式的演變促使屋主提高警惕，數據顯示，83%的竊賊在入侵前會先探查安防設定。將智慧門鎖與視訊檢驗結合，彌補了舊有系統15秒警報回應時間的不足。 Lockly的臉部辨識引擎可在1.5秒內辨識出可疑人臉，並發出即時警報，有效震懾伺機犯案的犯罪者。生物識別和密碼的多因素組合，為人口密集的高層住宅大樓增添了一層額外的安全保障，因為在這些場所，匿名性往往是入室盜竊的誘因。

網路安全與駭客攻擊漏洞

備受矚目的資料外洩事件暴露了主流產品中存在的生物識別繞過和可複製NFC標籤漏洞。一家消費者組織的測試發現，85.7%的晶片啟動設備至少有一項嚴重缺陷。儘管廠商現在提供端對端加密和雙重登入功能，但硬體設計的碎片化使得維護通用修補程式變得困難。連接標準聯盟（Connectivity Standards Alliance）行業組織正在製定基準要求，但實際執行情況差異很大，使得網路安全風險日益增加。

細分市場分析

到2024年，插銷鎖將佔總銷售額的45.7%，這充分反映了屋主對其物理堅固性的信任。這一佔有率在智慧鎖硬體市場中佔據最大比例。槓桿式門把手系統將以15.6%的複合年成長率領跑，這主要得益於酒店和辦公室對ADA（美國殘疾人法案）合規性的需求，也體現了操作便利性在高人流量環境中的吸引力。

尋求隱藏升級的消費者正轉向改造鎖芯，例如Level的隱形鎖芯，這種鎖芯將電子元件隱藏在現有鎖體內部。掛鎖式智慧型裝置適用於戶外工業應用場景，但由於防水成本較高，目前仍屬於小眾產品。儘管小型化趨勢將模糊產品類別的界限，但預計到2030年，插銷式智慧鎖仍將主導智慧鎖市場。

藍牙將在智慧鎖市場佔據主導地位，預計2024年將佔據62.3%的市場。對於路由器接入不穩定的租賃房產來說，手機與智慧鎖的簡單配對非常有利。然而，通訊和網狀網路覆蓋範圍的限制使其不適用於多用戶住宅。

受Matter認證和Silicon Labs超低功耗SoC的推動，Zigbee-Thread協定棧預計將以17.2%的複合年成長率成長。儘管Wi-Fi存在耗電問題，但其雲端優先部署模式仍優先考慮直接遠端控制。新興的超寬頻技術提高了免持作業的精準度，但在出貨量擴大之前，仍將歸類為「其他」類別。在通訊協定層面，標準化正在減少分散化，從而推動整個智慧鎖市場的普及。

智慧鎖市場按鎖類型（插銷鎖、拉桿鎖等）、通訊技術（藍牙、Wi-Fi等）、認證方式（密碼/小鍵盤、生物辨識（指紋、人臉）等）、最終用戶（住宅、商業辦公等）和地區進行細分。市場預測以美元計價。

區域分析

預計到2024年，北美將佔據37.7%的市場佔有率，這主要得益於智慧家庭的早期普及、有利的法規以及配備智慧安防系統可享有高達10%的保險折扣。美國正在推動翻新需求，因為開發人員已將智慧門鎖視為標準配套設施。加拿大也將緊隨其後，利用類似的建築規範和廣泛的寬頻接入。

亞太地區將以15.9%的複合年成長率領跑，反映出快速的都市區和中階可支配所得的成長。中國將引領智慧家庭出貨量，印度的智慧家庭產品線預計將成長39.79%，智慧門鎖也位列消費者升級清單之首。在日本，隨著人口老化，非接觸式門鎖解決方案正日益受到關注，以幫助老年人保持獨立生活能力。

在能源效率指令和強而有力的隱私監管的支持下，歐洲正穩步推動智慧門鎖的發展。進階加密要求雖然增加了開發成本，但也有助於交付符合GDPR要求的差異化產品。中東和非洲雖然目前規模較小，但正受益於待開發區房地產計劃中嵌入的智慧城市投資，從而實現了跨越式發展，提高了未來智慧門鎖市場的基準。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場情勢

  • 市場概覽
  • 市場促進因素
    • 智慧家庭生態系統的快速普及
    • 都市區入室竊盜案增多，安全隱患增加
    • 智慧型手機和物聯網的普及使得遠端存取成為可能
    • 根據《建築標準法》推廣免鑰匙節能門
    • 尋求自動化房客存取權限的Airbnb式出租房屋
    • 智慧鎖家庭保險折扣
  • 市場限制
    • 網路安全與駭客攻擊漏洞
    • 領先設備和安裝費用的溢價
    • 消費者關注電池壽命和維護問題
    • 改裝計劃中的通訊協定互通性差距
  • 供應鏈分析
  • 監管環境
  • 技術展望
  • 波特五力模型
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 買方的議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭對手之間的競爭
  • 評估市場的宏觀經濟因素

第5章 市場規模與成長預測

  • 按鎖類型
    • 門栓
    • 槓桿手柄
    • 掛鎖
    • 其他
  • 透過通訊技術
    • Bluetooth
    • Wi-Fi
    • Zigbee
    • 其他
  • 透過身份驗證方法
    • PIN碼/小鍵盤
    • 生物辨識技術（指紋、臉部）
    • RFID/NFC卡
    • 其他
  • 最終用戶
    • 住房
    • 商業辦公
    • 飯店和短期租賃
    • 工業和基礎設施
  • 按地區
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 墨西哥
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 其他南美洲國家
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 英國
      • 法國
      • 義大利
      • 西班牙
      • 其他歐洲地區
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 日本
      • 印度
      • 韓國
      • 東南亞
      • 亞太其他地區
    • 中東和非洲
      • 中東
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
      • 土耳其
      • 其他中東地區
      • 非洲
      • 南非
      • 奈及利亞
      • 埃及
      • 其他非洲地區

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 市場集中度
  • 策略趨勢
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司簡介
    • ASSA ABLOY（Yale, August）
    • Allegion plc（Schlage）
    • Spectrum Brands Holdings（Kwikset）
    • dormakaba Group
    • Honeywell International
    • SALTO Systems
    • U-TEC（ULTRALOQ）
    • Lockly
    • Master Lock
    • Nuki Home Solutions
    • Netatmo（Legrand）
    • SimpliSafe
    • Samsung SDS
    • Aqara（Xiaomi）
    • Eufy Security（Anker）
    • Level Home
    • Tedee
    • Hanman International
    • Panasonic Life Solutions
    • Xiaomi Mi Smart Home

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 67640

The smart lock market stands at a valuation of USD 3.23 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 6.61 billion by 2030, reflecting a 15.40% CAGR.

Smart Lock - Market - IMG1

The outlook highlights the convergence of maturing smart-home platforms, rising urban security concerns, and expanding IoT connectivity that favors remote door access. Interoperability progress through the Matter and Thread standards now removes many integration barriers, while declining biometric sensor prices are broadening feature sets across both residential and light-commercial models. Price increases linked to semiconductor shortages are a near-term headwind, yet insurance premium discounts and total-cost-of-ownership savings continue to encourage replacement of mechanical locks. Intensifying acquisition activity shows established access-control leaders positioning to secure scale, channel reach, and core technology.

Global Smart Lock Market Trends and Insights

Rapid Adoption of Smart-Home Ecosystems

Growing preference for unified device control makes smart lock integration one of the first upgrades in connected homes. Matter-over-Thread launches by Yale, Schlage, and Level are removing vendor lock-in and extending battery life to more than 12 months. Voice assistants already reside in 70% of United States households, which accelerates voice-enabled locking. Scheduled Thread 1.4 adoption by 2026 will let new products join existing networks without additional hubs, further tightening ecosystem stickiness.

Rising Burglary and Safety Concerns in Urban Areas

Urban crime patterns have raised homeowner vigilance, and data show 83% of burglars survey security setups before entry. Integrating a smart lock with video verification closes the 15-second alarm response gap common in legacy systems. Lockly's facial recognition engine now flags unauthorized faces in 1.5 seconds, sending real-time alerts that deter opportunistic crime. Multi-factor combinations of biometrics and PINs add layered protection for dense residential high-rises where anonymity often aids break-ins.

Cyber-Security and Hacking Vulnerabilities

High-profile breaches have exposed biometric bypasses and cloneable NFC tags in mainstream models. Tests by one consumer association found 85.7% of chip-activated units exhibited at least one critical flaw. Vendors now ship end-to-end encryption and two-factor log-ins, yet fragmented hardware designs make universal patching hard to maintain. Industry groups within the Connectivity Standards Alliance are drafting baseline requirements, but wide variation in implementation keeps cyber-risk elevated.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Smartphone and IoT Proliferation Enabling Remote Access
  2. Building-Code Push for Keyless Energy-Efficient Doors
  3. Up-Front Device and Installation Cost Premium

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Deadbolts retained 45.7% of 2024 revenue, reflecting widespread homeowner confidence in their physical robustness. This share equates to the largest slice of the smart lock market size for hardware formats. Lever handle systems achieved the leading 15.6% CAGR due to ADA compliance needs in hotels and offices, demonstrating how ease-of-operation appeals to high-traffic settings.

Consumers seeking discreet upgrades have driven interest in retrofit cylinders that hide electronics inside existing housings, exemplified by Level's invisible mechanism. Padlock-style smart devices service out-door industrial use cases but remain niche because of weather-proofing costs. Continuous miniaturization will likely blur category boundaries, though deadbolts are expected to keep a commanding presence through 2030 in the smart lock market.

Bluetooth held 62.3% share in 2024, translating into the top position within the smart lock market share for connectivity. Its phone-to-lock pairing simplicity favors rental properties where router access is uncertain. Range and mesh limitations, however, make it less suited to multi-unit dwellings.

The Zigbee-Thread stack is projected for a 17.2% CAGR, propelled by Matter certification and Silicon Labs' ultra-low-power SoCs. Wi-Fi continues in cloud-first deployments that prioritize direct remote control despite battery drain. Emerging ultra-wideband adds hands-free precision but sits within the "Others" bucket until shipping volumes scale. Across protocols, standardization is shrinking fragmentation, a trend that will raise the overall smart lock market adoption curve.

Smart Lock Market is Segmented by Lock Type (Deadbolt, Lever Handle, and More), Communication Technology (Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, and More), Authentication Method (Pin-Code / Keypad, Biometric (Fingerprint, Face), and More), End User (Residential, Commercial Offices, and More) and by Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Geography Analysis

North America secured 37.7% of 2024 revenue due to early smart-home adoption, favorable codes, and insurance discounts of up to 10% for connected security. The United States drives renovation demand as developers view smart locks as standard amenity packages. Canada follows, leveraging similar building norms and broadband penetration.

Asia-Pacific is set for the highest 15.9% CAGR, reflecting rapid urban migration and growing middle-class disposable income. China leads smart-home shipments, while India's residential automation pipeline shows a 39.79% expansion outlook that positions smart locks near the top of consumer upgrade lists. Japan's aging demographic attracts contactless door solutions supporting senior independence.

Europe posts steady progression anchored by energy-efficiency directives and strong privacy oversight. Advanced encryption requirements raise development costs yet promote differentiated offerings that comply with GDPR. The Middle East and Africa, though smaller today, benefit from smart-city investments baked into greenfield real-estate projects, enabling leapfrog adoption paths that raise the future baseline of the smart lock market.

  1. ASSA ABLOY (Yale, August)
  2. Allegion plc (Schlage)
  3. Spectrum Brands Holdings (Kwikset)
  4. dormakaba Group
  5. Honeywell International
  6. SALTO Systems
  7. U-TEC (ULTRALOQ)
  8. Lockly
  9. Master Lock
  10. Nuki Home Solutions
  11. Netatmo (Legrand)
  12. SimpliSafe
  13. Samsung SDS
  14. Aqara (Xiaomi)
  15. Eufy Security (Anker)
  16. Level Home
  17. Tedee
  18. Hanman International
  19. Panasonic Life Solutions
  20. Xiaomi Mi Smart Home

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Rapid adoption of smart-home ecosystems
    • 4.2.2 Rising burglary and safety concerns in urban areas
    • 4.2.3 Smartphone and IoT proliferation enabling remote access
    • 4.2.4 Building-code push for keyless energy-efficient doors
    • 4.2.5 Airbnb-style rentals demanding automated guest access
    • 4.2.6 Home-insurance premium discounts for connected locks
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Cyber-security and hacking vulnerabilities
    • 4.3.2 Up-front device and installation cost premium
    • 4.3.3 Battery-life / maintenance anxieties among consumers
    • 4.3.4 Inter-protocol interoperability gaps in retrofit projects
  • 4.4 Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
  • 4.8 Assesment of Macroeconomic Factors on the market

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

  • 5.1 By Lock Type
    • 5.1.1 Deadbolt
    • 5.1.2 Lever Handle
    • 5.1.3 Padlock
    • 5.1.4 Others
  • 5.2 By Communication Technology
    • 5.2.1 Bluetooth
    • 5.2.2 Wi-Fi
    • 5.2.3 Zigbee
    • 5.2.4 Others
  • 5.3 By Authentication Method
    • 5.3.1 Pin-Code / Keypad
    • 5.3.2 Biometric (Fingerprint, Face)
    • 5.3.3 RFID / NFC Card
    • 5.3.4 Others
  • 5.4 By End-user
    • 5.4.1 Residential
    • 5.4.2 Commercial Offices
    • 5.4.3 Hospitality and Short-term Rentals
    • 5.4.4 Industrial and Infrastructure
  • 5.5 By Geography
    • 5.5.1 North America
      • 5.5.1.1 United States
      • 5.5.1.2 Canada
      • 5.5.1.3 Mexico
    • 5.5.2 South America
      • 5.5.2.1 Brazil
      • 5.5.2.2 Argentina
      • 5.5.2.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.5.3 Europe
      • 5.5.3.1 Germany
      • 5.5.3.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.5.3.3 France
      • 5.5.3.4 Italy
      • 5.5.3.5 Spain
      • 5.5.3.6 Rest of Europe
    • 5.5.4 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.5.4.1 China
      • 5.5.4.2 Japan
      • 5.5.4.3 India
      • 5.5.4.4 South Korea
      • 5.5.4.5 Southeast Asia
      • 5.5.4.6 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.5 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.5.5.1 Middle East
      • 5.5.5.1.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.5.5.1.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.5.5.1.3 Turkey
      • 5.5.5.1.4 Rest of Middle East
      • 5.5.5.2 Africa
      • 5.5.5.2.1 South Africa
      • 5.5.5.2.2 Nigeria
      • 5.5.5.2.3 Egypt
      • 5.5.5.2.4 Rest of Africa
      • 5.5.5.2.5 Egypt
      • 5.5.5.2.6 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 ASSA ABLOY (Yale, August)
    • 6.4.2 Allegion plc (Schlage)
    • 6.4.3 Spectrum Brands Holdings (Kwikset)
    • 6.4.4 dormakaba Group
    • 6.4.5 Honeywell International
    • 6.4.6 SALTO Systems
    • 6.4.7 U-TEC (ULTRALOQ)
    • 6.4.8 Lockly
    • 6.4.9 Master Lock
    • 6.4.10 Nuki Home Solutions
    • 6.4.11 Netatmo (Legrand)
    • 6.4.12 SimpliSafe
    • 6.4.13 Samsung SDS
    • 6.4.14 Aqara (Xiaomi)
    • 6.4.15 Eufy Security (Anker)
    • 6.4.16 Level Home
    • 6.4.17 Tedee
    • 6.4.18 Hanman International
    • 6.4.19 Panasonic Life Solutions
    • 6.4.20 Xiaomi Mi Smart Home

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment