![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1771254
自動駕駛車輛的4D影像雷達市場 - 產業,市場,競爭分析(2025年版)4D Imaging Radar in Autonomous Vehicles - Industry, Market, and Competition Analysis, Edition 2025 |
用於 ADAS 和自動駕駛汽車內外感知的 4D 成像雷達,60GHz、76-81GHz、140GHz 頻段,SAE 2+ 級及以上應用,新興 4D 成像公司競爭力評估
M14 Intelligence 憑藉其在自動駕駛、網聯、電動和共享出行領域關鍵趨勢識別方面的核心競爭力,發布了關於 4D 成像雷達技術的研究成果。
自動駕駛汽車的 4D成像雷達市場處於汽車技術創新的前沿,推動著高級駕駛輔助系統 (ADAS) 和自動駕駛汽車 (AV) 的發展。預計該市場規模將在 2024 年達到約 20 億美元,到 2030 年將達到 100 億美元,複合年增長率為 38%。這得益於對更高安全性、法規要求以及更高級別自動駕駛(SAE 4/5 級)的不斷增長的需求。
本報告摘要探討了雷達感測器在ADAS和AV中的應用、4D雷達取代3D雷達的普及情況、當前和未來的雷達技術及頻段、主要參與者和新興參與者、競爭策略、近期趨勢、4D雷達在AV中的關鍵作用以及機器人出租車和穿梭巴士的市場發展潛力,重點關注亞太地區等前景廣闊的地區。
雷達感知器在ADAS和AV中至關重要,可實現自適應巡航控制 (ACC)、自動緊急煞車 (AEB)、盲點偵測 (BSD)、車道變換輔助 (LCA) 和兒童存在偵測 (CPD) 等關鍵功能。與攝影機和雷射雷達不同,雷達在惡劣天氣條件(霧、雨、雪等)和低光源條件下表現更佳,可提供可靠的物體偵測和測距。預計到2024年,全球雷達感測器出貨量將超過1.69億個,平均每輛車配備0.8個遠端雷達,到2030年將接近1個。自動駕駛計程車,例如Cruise(每輛車配備21個雷達)和Waymo(配備6個高性能4D雷達),已證明其在4/5級自動駕駛中高度依賴雷達,以確保強大的環境感知能力。在消費者對安全性的需求和監管要求(例如,2024年7月歐盟 "車輛通用安全法規" )的推動下,ADAS的普及正在加速雷達在乘用車、商用卡車和自動駕駛班車中的部署。
4D成像雷達在3D雷達的距離、方向和多普勒數據的基礎上增加了速度和高度數據,憑藉其卓越的分辨率和精度,正在迅速取代傳統雷達。到2025年,4D雷達預計將佔據汽車雷達市場的11.4%,並在2-3年內從小眾技術發展成為主流技術。與難以實現高程解析度和複雜物體分離(例如區分行人和車輛)的3D雷達不同,4D雷達利用大規模多輸入多輸出 (MIMO)、數位碼調變 (DCM) 和人工智慧驅動的處理技術,產生高解析度點雲,在某些應用領域可與雷射雷達相媲美。例如,搭載Drive Pilot系統的賓士EQS和搭載大陸集團ARS540 4D雷達的現代IONIQ 5在低能見度下均表現出色。這種轉變源自於3-5級自動駕駛對精準感知的需求,以及對路口行人AEB等高階安全功能的監管要求。
現有企業充分利用專注於高解析度雷達和光達/攝影機感測器融合的研發、全球佈局以及與原始設備製造商 (OEM) 的合作夥伴關係(例如,博世與大眾的合作)。同時,新興企業則在成本效益設計(RadSee 的 COTS、Uhnder 的 RoC)、AI 整合(Waveye、Zendar)和利基應用(Sensrad 的工業重點)方面脫穎而出。與一級供應商和原始設備製造商 (OEM)(例如,Arbe-BAIC)的合作方式正在加速新進入者的市場准入。
亞太地區是成長最快的地區,其複合年增長率最高,這得益於中國電動車的蓬勃發展和政府對智慧城市的支持。上汽集團和蔚來汽車等公司正在整合 4D 雷達(例如,採埃孚 (ZF) 和上汽集團的合作(2022 年 12 月))。北美市場以美國為主導,佔據了最大的銷售佔有率,福特、通用和特斯拉等汽車製造商在其 BlueCruise、Super Cruise 和 Autopilot 系統中都採用了 4D 雷達。由於嚴格的安全法規(例如,歐盟 2024 年強制規定),歐洲市場成長強勁。例如,梅賽德斯-奔馳和寶馬在 2+/3 級系統方面處於領先地位,而高階汽車和合規驅動型市場也蘊藏著巨大的機會。
包括自動駕駛計程車和接駁車在內的 SAE 4/5 級自動駕駛汽車市場是 4D 雷達的主要成長動力。 Cruise和Waymo 已廣泛部署 4D 雷達,預計到 2024 年,其車隊規模將超過 1,000 輛,這標誌著商業化自動駕駛計程車服務的興起。預計到 2035 年,僅 Level 4/5 自動駕駛汽車的全球 4D 雷達市場規模將達到 9.11 億美元,其中,自動駕駛計程車和接駁車在城市和高速公路上的自動駕駛過程中將消耗大量雷達單元。
|
|
In-cabin and Exterior Sensing Applications of 4D imaging radar in ADAS and Autonomous Vehicles; 60 GHz, 76-81 GHz, and 140 GHz Band, SAE Level 2+ and above applications, Emerging 4D imaging players competition assessment.
Countries Covered: Global (China, India, Japan, South Korea, US, Canada, South America, Germany, France, Italy, UK, Israel, others).
M14 Intelligence with its core capabilities in understanding the key trends of autonomous, connected, electric, and shared mobility published the research on 4D imaging radar technology which talks about following important factors of the market.
The 4D imaging radar market for autonomous vehicles is at the forefront of automotive innovation, driving the evolution of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles (AVs) . Valued at approximately USD 2 billion in 2024, the market is projected to reach USD 10 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 38%, fueled by the increasing demand for enhanced safety, regulatory mandates, and the push for higher autonomy levels (SAE Level 4/5).
This report summary explores the adoption of radar sensors in ADAS and AVs, the penetration of 4D radar replacing 3D radar, current and future radar technologies and frequency bands, leading and emerging players, competitive strategies, recent developments, the critical role of 4D radar in AVs, and market potential for robotaxis and shuttles, with a focus on high-potential regions like Asia-Pacific.
Radar sensors are integral to ADAS and AVs, enabling critical features like Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC), Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB), Blind Spot Detection (BSD), Lane Change Assist (LCA), and Child Presence Detection (CPD) . Unlike cameras and LiDAR, radar excels in adverse weather conditions (e.g., fog, rain, snow) and low-light scenarios, providing reliable object detection and ranging. In 2024, over 169 million radar sensors were shipped globally, with an average of 0.8 long-range radars per vehicle in 2024, expected to approach 1 per vehicle by 2030. Robotaxis, such as Cruise (21 radars per vehicle) and Waymo (six high-performance 4D radars), demonstrate heavy reliance on radar for Level 4/5 autonomy, ensuring robust environmental perception. The rising adoption of ADAS, driven by consumer demand for safety and regulatory mandates (e.g., EU's Vehicle General Safety Regulations, July 2024), is accelerating radar deployment across passenger vehicles, commercial trucks, and autonomous shuttles.
4D imaging radar, which adds velocity and elevation to the range, azimuth, and Doppler data of 3D radar, is rapidly replacing its predecessor due to superior resolution and accuracy. By 2025, 4D radar is expected to penetrate 11.4% of the automotive radar market, transitioning from a niche to a mainstream technology within 2-3 years. Unlike 3D radar, which struggles with elevation resolution and complex object separation (e.g., distinguishing a pedestrian from a vehicle), 4D radar leverages Massive MIMO, Digital Code Modulation (DCM) , and AI-driven processing to create high-resolution point clouds, rivaling LiDAR in some applications. For instance, Mercedes-Benz EQS with Drive Pilot and Hyundai IONIQ 5 with Continental's ARS540 4D radar showcase enhanced performance in poor visibility. The shift is driven by the need for precise perception in Level 3-5 autonomy and regulatory requirements for advanced safety features like Junction Pedestrian AEB.
Established players leverage R&D, global presence, and OEM partnerships (e.g., Bosch's collaboration with Volkswagen) focusing on high-resolution radar and sensor fusion with LiDAR/cameras. On the other hand, start-ups differentiate through cost-effective designs (RadSee's COTS, Uhnder's RoC), AI integration (Waveye, Zendar), and niche applications (Sensrad's industrial focus). A collaborative approach is wherein partnership with Tier 1s and OEMs (e.g., Arbe-BAIC) is accelerating market entry for new players.
Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing region with the highest CAGR, driven by China's EV boom and government support for smart cities. Companies like SAIC and NIO integrate 4D radar (e.g., ZF's partnership with SAIC, Dec 2022). Opportunities lie in mass-market EVs and robotaxi fleets in urban centers like Shanghai. North America holds largest revenue share, led by the US with OEMs like Ford, GM, and Tesla adopting 4D radar for BlueCruise, Super Cruise, and Autopilot. Europe shows strong growth due to stringent safety regulations (e.g., EU's 2024 mandates). For instance, Mercedes-Benz and BMW lead with Level 2+/3 systems and opportunities are evidently reflected in premium vehicles and compliance-driven markets.
The market for SAE Level 4/5 AVs, including robotaxis and shuttles, is a key growth driver for 4D radar. By 2035, the AV segment is expected to exhibit the highest CAGR (127%) from 2025 to 2035 within the 4D radar market, driven by the need for multiple high-performance radars (6-21 per vehicle). Cruise and Waymo deploy 4D radar extensively, with fleets exceeding 1,000 vehicles in 2024, signaling commercial robotaxi services' rise. The global 4D radar market is projected to reach USD 911 million by 2035 for Level 4/5 AVs alone, with robotaxis and shuttles consuming significant radar units for urban and highway autonomy.
|
|