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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1918143
滲透壓發電市場-2026-2031年預測Osmotic Power Market - Forecast from 2026 to 2031 |
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預計滲透壓發電市場將從 2025 年的 872,264,000 美元成長到 2031 年的 2,137,489,000 美元,複合年成長率為 16.11%。
滲透壓發電市場正經歷快速成長,這主要得益於對可再生能源需求的不斷成長、技術的進步以及政府對淨零排放目標的支持。滲透壓發電是一種可再生能源技術,它利用兩種不同鹽濃度溶液混合時釋放的能量,即溶劑分子從低濃度區域向高濃度區域移動的自然滲透現象。對可再生能源日益成長的需求、技術的進步、滲透壓發電的潛在優勢、政府對淨零排放的獎勵以及企業在永續性的創新,共同推動了市場的擴張。
主要市場促進因素
可再生能源需求
隨著世界持續面臨氣候變遷挑戰和減少溫室氣體排放的迫切需求,對清潔永續能源來源的需求日益成長。由於滲透壓發電再生能源來源能源,預計其市場成長速度將更快。 2020年至2021年,再生能源來源佔澳洲能源總消耗量的8%,較過去十年加倍。愛爾蘭透過其“淨可再生能源之路”和“氣候變遷法案”,承諾到2031年實現至少80%的電力消耗量來自再生能源來源,這表明其政策環境有利於包括滲透壓發電的可再生能源發展。
滲透壓發電的潛力
滲透壓發電具有促進可再生能源發展的巨大潛力,可望加速市場成長。滲透壓發電系統能夠為傳統能源基礎設施難以覆蓋或成本高昂的偏遠和無電網地區提供電力。與太陽能或風能發電不同,滲透壓發電不受天氣波動的影響,因此是一種可靠且可預測的能源來源。將滲透滲透壓發電與海水淡化廠結合,可以同時實現電力生產和淡水生產,滿足缺水地區對能源和飲用水的雙重迫切需求,從而創造極具吸引力的價值提案。
技術創新
膜技術和工程解決方案的進步有望提高滲透壓發電系統的效率和成本效益。這些進展有望提升其商業性可行性並吸引更多投資。改良的膜材料和設計能夠提高選擇性、滲透性和減少膜污染,從而提高整體滲透壓發電效率。 2023年7月,杜邦公司發表了首款用於高產量鋰鹵水生產的奈米過濾濾膜元件FilmTec™ LiNE-XD。該技術能夠以更低的能耗從鹽湖鹵水和地熱鹵水等來源回收更多的水和鋰,充分展現了膜技術的進步如何惠及包括滲透壓發電的多種應用領域。
政府支持計劃
世界各國政府和監管機構正為包括滲透壓發電在內的可再生能源技術的研發和部署提供財政獎勵、補貼和政策支援。這些支持促進了研發活動,並推動了市場成長。中國首座太陽能-潮汐聯合循環發電廠於2022年5月投入運作,並向電網供電。 2021年6月,印度科技部水技術舉措支持了太陽能正向滲透海水淡化技術,為泰米爾納德邦遭受旱災的村莊帶來了福音。這些措施體現了印度政府對滲透發電及相關技術的重視。
企業永續性舉措
許多公司和產業正在拓展永續實踐,並探索再生能源來源,以回應環保計劃。這種對永續發展的日益重視預計將推動滲透壓發電市場的發展。 SAS公司2022年的碳排放強度較基準年降低了60%(比前一年減少了19%),其2050年淨零排放目標已獲得科學碳目標計劃的檢驗。 2022年,Lineage 物流與200多家其他公司共同簽署了《氣候承諾》,承諾在2040年實現淨零碳排放,比《巴黎協定》的目標提早10年。這些企業措施正在創造對包括滲透壓發電的各種可再生能源解決方案的需求。
市場約束
儘管滲透壓發電市場前景廣闊,但也面臨許多挑戰。滲透壓發電系統,尤其是壓力延遲滲透(PRO)系統,其轉換效率往往較低。滲透壓發電受限於滲透壓梯度能量密度,與其他再生能源來源相比,其能量密度相對較低。大規模能源生產需要龐大的基礎設施和大型廠址。滲透壓發電還面臨來自成熟且高效的再生能源來源(例如太陽能、風能、水力發電和地熱能)的激烈競爭。這些替代能源分佈廣泛,擁有更完善的供應鏈和基礎設施,減緩了滲透壓發電市場的擴張速度。
區域和近期趨勢
預計在預測期內,歐洲將保持顯著的市場佔有率,這得益於該地區各國的零排放承諾、政府的支持和政策、滲透壓發電發電廠的建設、不斷成長的電力需求以及人口成長。 2022年7月,歐洲議會舉辦了一場線上線下相結合的會議,探討透過滲透壓發電生產清潔、永續電力和綠色氫氣的潛力。歐盟資助了SaltPower計劃,該項目開發了一種可交付貨櫃模組的滲透壓發電裝置。
2023年6月,Sweetec Energy宣布與法國羅納河國家石油公司(Compagnie Nationale du Rhône)成立合資企業,在法國引進其INOD®技術,實現利用天然滲透能進行工業規模的電力生產。 2023年2月,丹麥企業SaltPower在其全球首座滲透壓發電發電廠中採用了東洋紡(Toyobo)的中空纖維逆滲透(RO)膜。東洋紡的RO膜是一種半透膜,其交叉纏繞結構可確保淡水流量均勻。
在技術進步、政策支援以及全球對可靠且不受天氣影響的可再生能源發電組合多樣化的需求的推動下,滲透壓發電市場不斷發展。
它是用來做什麼的?
產業與市場洞察、商業機會評估、產品需求預測、打入市場策略、地理擴張、資本投資決策、法律規範及其影響、新產品開發、競爭影響
The osmotic power market is projected to increase at a 16.11% CAGR, reaching USD 2137.489 million in 2031 from USD 872.264 million in 2025.
The osmotic power market is experiencing rapid growth driven by rising renewable energy demand, technological advancements, and government support for net-zero emission goals. Osmotic power-a renewable energy technology harnessing energy released when two solutions with different salt concentrations are mixed-takes advantage of the natural osmosis phenomenon where solvent molecules move from regions of lower solute concentration to regions of higher solute concentration. The convergence of growing renewable energy demand, technological advancement, potential osmotic power benefits, government incentives for net-zero emissions, and corporate sustainability innovations is propelling market expansion.
Primary Market Drivers
Renewable Energy Demand
As the world continues grappling with climate change challenges and the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, there is growing demand for clean and sustainable energy sources. The osmotic power market is expected to grow at faster rates as it represents a renewable energy source. In the 2020-2021 period, renewable energy sources contributed to 8% of Australia's overall energy consumption, with renewable energy consumption doubling in the last decade. Ireland commits that at least 80% of electricity consumption will come from renewable sources by 2031 through Path to Net Zero Energy and Climate Change Act, demonstrating the policy environment supporting renewable energy development including osmotic power.
Osmotic Power Potential
The potential of osmotic power as a renewable energy driver is significant and is expected to accelerate market growth. Osmotic power systems have potential to provide electricity to remote areas or off-grid locations where conventional energy infrastructure may not be feasible or cost-effective. Osmotic power offers reliable and predictable energy sources since it is not subject to weather variations like solar and wind power. Integration of osmotic power with desalination plants can lead to simultaneous electricity generation and freshwater production, addressing two critical needs and creating compelling value propositions for water-scarce regions requiring both energy and potable water.
Technological Innovation
Advances in membrane technology and engineering solutions could lead to improvements in osmotic power system efficiency and cost-effectiveness. These developments may enhance commercial viability and attract more investments. Advancements in membrane materials and designs can lead to increased selectivity, higher water permeability, and reduced fouling, thus enhancing overall osmotic power generation efficiency. In July 2023, DuPont launched the first nanofiltration membrane element named FilmTec(TM) LiNE-XD for high-productivity lithium-brine production. It enables increased water and lithium recovery from resources such as salt lake brine and geothermal brine with reduced energy consumption, demonstrating how membrane technology advances benefit multiple applications including osmotic power.
Government Support Programs
Governments and regulatory bodies in various countries offer financial incentives, subsidies, or policy support for renewable energy technology development and deployment, including osmotic power. Such support can stimulate research and development efforts and foster market growth. China's first combined solar and tidal power station started operation feeding electricity to the grid in May 2022. The Water Technology Initiative by the Indian Department of Science and Technology supported seawater desalination through solar thermal forward osmosis in June 2021, providing ease in drought-prone Tamil Nadu Village. These initiatives demonstrate government commitment to osmotic and related technologies.
Corporate Sustainability Commitments
Many corporations and industries are increasingly adopting sustainable practices and seeking renewable energy sources to align with environmental commitments. Rising sustainability commitments are likely to bolster the osmotic power market. SAS achieved 60% carbon usage intensity from a base year in 2022-a reduction of 19% over the previous year-and received validation from the Science Based Targets project for its 2050 net-zero emission reduction objective. Along with more than 200 other businesses, Lineage Logistics pledged to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2040-ten years before the Paris Agreement-by signing the Climate Pledge in 2022. These corporate commitments create demand for diverse renewable energy solutions including osmotic power.
Market Constraints
Despite positive growth prospects, the osmotic power market faces challenges. Osmotic power systems, especially pressure retarded osmosis, have relatively low conversion efficiencies. Osmotic power generation is limited by energy density of osmotic gradients, which can be relatively low compared to other renewable sources. Large-scale energy production may require significant infrastructure and large plant footprints. Osmotic power faces stiff competition from well-established and more efficient renewable energy sources like solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal power. These alternatives have been widely adopted and have more established supply chains and infrastructure, slowing osmotic power market expansion.
Regional Dynamics and Recent Developments
Europe is expected to hold significant market share during the forecast period, supported by zero-emission commitments by regional countries, government support and initiatives, osmotic power plant installation, increasing electricity demand, and growing populations. A hybrid event was organized at the European Parliament in July 2022 to discuss osmotic power's potential to produce clean permanent electricity and green hydrogen. The European Union funded the SaltPower project which developed osmotic power units deliverable in containerized modules.
In June 2023, Sweetech Energy announced a joint venture with Compagnie Nationale du Rhone for deployment of Sweetech's INOD(R) technology in France, enabling industrial-scale electricity production from naturally generated osmotic energy. In February 2023, Toyobo's hollow-fiber FO membrane was used at the world's first osmotic power plant by Danish venture firm SaltPower. Toyobo's FO membrane is semipermeable and includes cross-winding enabling uniform fresh water flow.
The osmotic power market continues evolving, driven by technological advancement, policy support, and the global imperative to diversify renewable energy portfolios with reliable, weather-independent generation sources.
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