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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1866406
全球巴士市場-2025-2030年預測Global Bus Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
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預計到 2025 年,巴士市場規模將從 802.13 億美元成長到 2030 年的 1,053.83 億美元,複合年成長率為 5.61%。
由於快速的都市化、對永續公共交通日益成長的需求以及各國政府(尤其是在開發中國家)對交通基礎設施的投資,全球公車市場預計將迎來顯著成長。公車,包括城市公車、遠距公車和校車,對於解決城市交通難題、緩解交通堵塞和減少排放氣體至關重要。電動和混合動力公車技術的進步正在提升環保性能和營運效率,推動市場發展。關鍵趨勢包括公車電氣化(優先考慮乘客的舒適性和安全性)以及與快速公車系統 (BRT) 和出行即服務 (MaaS) 的整合。然而,電動公車的高成本以及某些地區對放棄柴油車的抵觸情緒等挑戰可能會阻礙市場成長。
市場促進因素
全球城市人口的成長是推動這一趨勢的關鍵因素,預計到2050年,城市人口比將達到68%。在新增的25億居住者中,預計90%將分佈在亞洲和非洲(聯合國數據)。人口的快速成長給交通系統帶來了壓力,並增加了對公車的需求,尤其是在中國和印度等人口稠密的地區。開發中國家政府為擴大公共運輸基礎設施所採取的措施也進一步推動了市場成長。在嚴格的排放法規和政府獎勵的支持下,永續性措施正在推動電動公車的普及,這與全球脫碳目標一致。
市場限制
電動公車前期投入成本高昂,且基礎建設要求高,這成為推廣應用的一大障礙,尤其對於發展中地區的小規模公車機構而言更是如此。此外,由於既有做法和成本方面的顧慮,人們不願從柴油公車轉向電動公車,這也阻礙了市場擴張。確保不同市場間安全性和可靠性標準的一致性也是一項挑戰。
The Bus Market is set to climb from USD 80.213 billion in 2025 to USD 105.383 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 5.61%.
The global bus market is poised for significant growth, driven by rapid urbanization, increasing demand for sustainable public transportation, and government investments in transit infrastructure, particularly in developing nations. Buses, encompassing city transit, intercity coaches, and school buses, are critical for addressing urban mobility challenges, reducing traffic congestion, and lowering emissions. The market is evolving with advancements in electric and hybrid bus technologies, enhancing environmental performance and operational efficiency. Key trends include bus electrification, bus rapid transit (BRT) systems, and mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) integrations, which prioritize passenger comfort and safety. Challenges such as high costs of electric buses and reluctance to shift from diesel in some regions may hinder growth.
Market Drivers
The primary driver is the global rise in urban population, projected to reach 68% by 2050, with 90% of the 2.5 billion additional urban dwellers in Asia and Africa (United Nations). This population surge strains transportation systems, increasing demand for buses, particularly in densely populated regions like China and India. Government initiatives in developing countries to expand public transport infrastructure further propel market growth. The push for sustainability drives electric bus adoption, supported by stringent emission regulations and government incentives, aligning with global decarbonization goals.
Market Constraints
High initial costs and infrastructure requirements for electric buses pose barriers, particularly for smaller transit agencies in developing regions. Resistance to transitioning from diesel buses, due to established conventions and cost concerns, also limits market expansion. Additionally, ensuring consistent safety and reliability standards across diverse markets remains a challenge.
Market Segmentation
The bus market is segmented by type, application, and geography. By type, it includes diesel, electric, and other fuel types like compressed natural gas and hybrids, with electric buses expected to grow rapidly due to regulatory support. By application, the market covers transit buses, school buses, and others, with transit buses holding a significant share due to their role in urban commuting. Geographically, the market spans North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, South America, and the Middle East and Africa, with regional growth tied to urbanization and policy support.
Geographical Outlook
The Asia Pacific region dominates the market, driven by high reliance on public transportation in low- and middle-income households, particularly in China and India. Rapid urbanization and government investments in transit infrastructure fuel growth. North America and Europe maintain substantial shares, supported by advanced infrastructure and sustainability initiatives. South America and the Middle East and Africa are expected to see steady growth as public transport systems expand.
Competitive Landscape
Key players are focusing on electrification and innovative technologies to enhance passenger experience and meet environmental standards. Companies are investing in electric and hydrogen-powered buses and integrating advanced safety features like ADAS. Strategic partnerships and government collaborations are common to address infrastructure challenges and scale operations.
Opportunities and Challenges
Opportunities lie in expanding electric bus fleets and leveraging MaaS to enhance urban mobility. Challenges include overcoming cost barriers for electric bus adoption and addressing infrastructure gaps in developing regions. Industry experts should prioritize cost-effective electrification strategies and policy advocacy to capitalize on the bus market's growth potential in a rapidly urbanizing, sustainability-focused global landscape.
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The Global Bus Market is analyzed into the following segments: