![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1820392
原油流動改進劑市場規模、佔有率、趨勢及預測(按產品、應用和地區),2025 年至 2033 年Crude Oil Flow Improvers Market Size, Share, Trends and Forecast by Product, Application, and Region, 2025-2033 |
2024年,全球原油流動改進劑市場規模為18.3億美元。展望未來, IMARC Group預測,到2033年,該市場規模將達到28.4億美元,2025-2033年期間的複合年成長率為4.74%。目前,北美佔據市場主導地位,2024年的市佔率將超過42.0%。石油產量的上升、流動改進劑技術的持續創新、全球能源需求的不斷成長以及管道基礎設施的不斷擴張,是原油流動改進劑市場佔有率不斷提升的主要原因。
原油流動性改進劑 (COFI) 的需求與全球原油生產和運輸直接相關。隨著各國努力最大限度地保障能源安全並滿足不斷成長的能源需求,陸上和海上油田都在不斷擴張。 2024 年 10 月至 12 月,全球石油需求出現季節性成長,每日平均成長 150 萬桶,為 2023 年同期以來的最快增幅。這一增幅比之前的預期高出 26 萬桶/日。預計 2024 年石油需求成長率為 94 萬桶/日,隨著全球經濟略有好轉,2025 年石油需求成長率將略有加快,達到 105 萬桶/日。然而,原油運輸,尤其是透過管道運輸,面臨許多挑戰。當石油通過長距離管道輸送時,它會面臨黏度問題、石蠟堆積,甚至在寒冷氣候下結冰。如果沒有流動性改進劑,石油輸送速度會減慢,從而增加營運成本並存在管道堵塞的風險。
美國是北美市場的主要顛覆者,佔83.70%的市場。由於易於開採的常規儲量日益枯竭,頁岩油、油砂和超重質原油等非常規石油資源在美國日益受到重視。例如,美國已從頁岩氣和緻密氣中開採出約1,778兆立方英尺(Tcf)的可採天然氣,並從煤層氣(CBM)中開採出約76兆立方英尺(Tcf)的可採天然氣。雖然這些資源有助於滿足石油需求,但它們也帶來了與流動相關的重大挑戰。例如,頁岩油含蠟量高,在較低溫度下極易形成石蠟沉積。開採和運輸這些非常規原油需要使用專門的流動改進劑來降低黏度、防止堵塞並最佳化泵送效率。
能源需求不斷成長
全球能源需求的整體成長推動了對高效原油生產和運輸的需求。例如,根據能源研究所報道,2023年全球一次能源消耗量成長2%,達到620 EJ,連續第二年成長。其成長率比十年平均高出0.6%。隨著能源消耗的增加,石油和天然氣產業尋求提高營運效率,包括使用有效的流動改進劑,從而提升原油流動改進劑的市場佔有率。
非常規石油產量增加
頁岩油、油砂和重油等非常規石油產量的不斷成長,增加了對流動改進劑的需求,以應對其高黏度和複雜的流動特性。高盛預測,由於油井產能的提高,到2025年,美國48個油田的頁岩油產量將增加60萬桶/日,比2024年高出約50%。美國能源資訊署(EIA)報告稱,2023年,緻密油資源貢獻了約30.4億桶(832萬桶/日)的產量,占美國原油總產量的64%。這些趨勢預計將推動對原油流動改進劑的需求。
管道基礎設施擴建
管道網路的建造和擴建對於高效運輸原油至關重要。例如,根據一份產業報告,截至2023年10月,全球共有近806條正在營運的輸油管。當時,有25條輸油管正在興建中。新管道和現有管道的升級改造通常需要使用流動改進劑,以確保石油運輸的順暢高效,尤其是在極端溫度或原油成分變化較大的地區。這些因素進一步對原油流動改進劑的市場預測產生了正面影響。
The global crude oil flow improvers market size was valued at USD 1.83 Billion in 2024. Looking forward, IMARC Group estimates the market to reach USD 2.84 Billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 4.74% during 2025-2033. North America currently dominates the market, holding a market share of over 42.0% in 2024. The rising oil production, ongoing innovations in flow improver technology, growing global energy demand, and expanding pipeline infrastructure, are primarily escalating the crude oil flow improvers market share.
The demand for crude oil flow improvers (COFIs) is directly tied to global crude oil production and transportation. Oil fields, both onshore and offshore, are expanding as countries try to maximize energy security and meet rising energy demands. During October to December 2024, global oil demand saw a seasonal increase, growing by 1.5 million barrels per day, the strongest growth since the same period in 2023. This rise was 260,000 barrels per day higher than previously expected. For 2024, oil demand growth is projected at 940,000 barrels per day, with a slight acceleration to 1.05 million barrels per day in 2025 as the global economy improves a bit. However, transporting crude oil, especially through pipelines, comes with challenges. When oil flows through long-distance pipelines, it faces viscosity issues, paraffin buildup, and even freezing in cold climates. Without flow improvers, oil movement slows down, increasing operational costs and risking pipeline blockages.
The United States stands as a major market disruptor with 83.70% market share in North America. Unconventional oil sources, like shale oil, oil sands, and ultra-heavy crude, are gaining prominence in the country due to the depletion of easy-to-extract conventional reserves. For instance, an estimated 1,778 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of recoverable gas from shale and tight gas, and 76 Tcf from coalbed methane (CBM) were recovered in the country. While these sources are helping meet the oil demand, they present significant flow-related challenges. Shale oil, for instance, contains high wax content, making it highly susceptible to paraffin deposition at lower temperatures. Extracting and transporting these unconventional crude oils require specialized flow improvers to lower viscosity, prevent blockages, and optimize pumping efficiency.
Rising Energy Demand
The overall increase in global energy demand drives the need for efficient crude oil production and transportation. For example, as reported by the Energy Institute in an article, in 2023, primary energy consumption around the world grew by 2% to 620 EJ, making it the second year in a row. Its growth rate was 0.6% higher than its 10-year average. As energy consumption rises, the oil and gas industry seek to improve operational efficiency, including the use of effective flow improvers, thereby boosting the crude oil flow improvers market share.
Increased Production of Non-Conventional Oils
The growing production of non-conventional oils, including shale oil, oil sands, and heavy oils, increases the need for flow improvers to address their high viscosity and complex flow properties. Goldman Sachs projects that U.S. lower 48 shale oil output will rise by 600,000 bpd in 2025, about 50% higher than in 2024, due to improved well productivity. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports that in 2023, tight-oil resources contributed approximately 3.04 billion barrels (8.32 million bpd), making up 64% of total U.S. crude production. These trends are expected to drive demand for crude oil flow improvers.
Expansion of Pipeline Infrastructure
The development and expansion of pipeline networks are crucial for transporting crude oil efficiently. For instance, according to an industry report, in October 2023, there were nearly 806 functioning oil pipelines globally. At that time, there were 25 oil pipelines under construction. New pipelines and upgrades to existing ones often require flow improvers to ensure smooth and efficient oil transport, particularly in regions with extreme temperatures or varying crude oil compositions. These factors are further positively influencing the crude oil flow improvers market forecast.
According to the crude oil flow improvers market outlook, paraffin inhibitors represent the largest market share of 30.5%. They are designed to prevent the formation and deposition of paraffin wax in crude oil. Wax formation can occur when crude oil cools, leading to blockages and flow restrictions in pipelines and processing equipment. The rise in the production of heavy oils, bitumen, and other high-wax crudes, particularly from oil sands and shale deposits, drives the need for effective paraffin inhibitors. These types of crude oils typically have higher wax content, leading to more significant challenges with wax deposition.
According to the crude oil flow improvers market trends, extraction leads the market share with 43.8%. In the extraction phase of crude oil production, flow improvers are essential for optimizing the process and ensuring that oil can be effectively transported from the wellhead to processing facilities. Crude oil with high viscosity or wax content can be challenging to pump. In this regard, COFIs help to reduce the viscosity and prevent the formation of waxy deposits, making it easier to extract the oil.
North America represents the largest market share with 42.0%. The surge in oil production, particularly from unconventional sources, such as shale oil in the U.S. and oil sands in Canada, necessitates the use of flow improvers to handle the more challenging properties of these oils. Moreover, the development and expansion of pipeline networks to transport crude oil efficiently requires the use of flow improvers to maintain optimal flow rates and reduce operational costs. Apart from this, continuous innovations in flow improver formulations and technologies, including more effective chemicals and application techniques, are driving market growth by offering enhanced performance and cost efficiency.
United States Crude Oil Flow Improvers Market Analysis
The U.S. crude oil market is still the leading region in North America with 83.70%, because of the healthy growth of production and exports. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) states that in 2023, the U.S. produced about 12.9 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil, which places it as the world's largest producer. Exports also stood at a record 4.1 million bpd. The shale revolution remains the driving force behind this production, particularly the Permian Basin. Government policies on energy security and investment in infrastructure like pipe expansion and refinery upgradation certainly boost the markets. The top companies such as ExxonMobil and Chevron are targeting technologically advanced extraction to improve extraction efficiency. On the other hand, geographically, the U.S. will enjoy a diversified energy mix by balancing the traditional crude oil with high investment in renewable energy. Market volatility obviously remains an issue affected by demand change worldwide and the play of politics across the world. Domestic production resilience places the United States as one of the core suppliers in world crude oil supply.
Europe Crude Oil Flow Improvers Market Analysis
Europe's crude oil flow improvers market growth is influenced by the diversification of energy sources and geopolitical rivalry. Eurostat shows that in 2023, the EU imported about 3.2 million bpd of crude oil. This figure significantly dropped as a result of the transition towards energy sources and reduced dependency on Russian oil. Germany, France, and the Netherlands have also been spending in alternative sources of energy that are reducing demand for crude oil. However, the refining sector is strong with key players like Shell and BP optimizing their operations. The European oil market also faces regulatory pressures, as stricter environmental policies push companies toward cleaner energy solutions. The other major non-EU oil producer is Norway, which has remained a significant supplier, producing around 2 million bpd in 2023, as per reports. Green energy and increased strategic oil reserve dependency are influencing the crude oil market in Europe, and concerns over energy security continue to guide policy decisions.
Asia Pacific Crude Oil Flow Improvers Market Analysis
Asia Pacific is still the most important crude oil consumer with rapid industrialization and population growth. China, according to National Bureau of Statistics, imported around 11.3 million bpd of crude oil in 2023, thereby remaining the largest importer in the world. Indian demand also showed a significant surge; oil imports are around 4.8 million bpd, the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas informed. Regional refineries have been broadening their expansions into complex refining capacities to accommodate varied crude grades. PetroChina, Sinopec, and Indian Oil Corporation take the lead in engaging with government initiatives for securing energy supply in the market, despite the high demand due to the evolving energy transition policies and rising renewable energy consumption. Geopolitical risks include tensions in the South China Sea, and so diversification remains a major strategy for the key consumers.
Latin America Crude Oil Flow Improvers Market Analysis
Major producers of crude oil in Latin America include Brazil, Mexico, and Venezuela. Petrobras reported that Brazil produced around 3.3 million bpd of crude oil in 2023, as deepwater exploration in the pre-salt fields was favorable. Mexico's oil production, led by Pemex, averaged around 1.6 million bpd, as the government focused on revitalizing its energy sector. Venezuela had some of the world's largest crude reserves despite economic hardships. Production oscillated around 800,000 bpd according to OPEC reports. Infrastructure investment and refining capacity pose significant challenges in maximising export capabilities. Political instability, most pronounced in Venezuela, influences market conditions, and regulatory reforms undertaken in Brazil and Mexico intend to promote foreign investments. Renewable energy in the region is slowly shifting the focus away from crude oil, but demand for petroleum products remains stable.
Middle East and Africa Crude Oil Flow Improvers Market Analysis
The Middle East and Africa continue to be the world's main source of crude oil, based on enormous reserves and strategic production policies. According to OPEC, Saudi Arabia maintained an average crude oil production of around 9.0 million bpd in 2023, adjusting output in line with OPEC+ agreements to stabilize global markets. The UAE, another key producer, produced around 3.8 million bpd, investing in capacity expansion through ADNOC's strategic initiatives. Nigeria and Angola lead oil production in Africa. Nigeria has produced around 1.4 million bpd, according to the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation. However, this is not a stable production source due to security threats, old infrastructure, and regulatory uncertainties. The Middle East continues to dictate global oil prices, and even issues like the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and Iranian oil export policies have a strong influence on the dynamics of supply. Even with increasing investments into renewable energy sources, crude oil still undergird the economies of many nations in this region.
In the crude oil flow improvers market, innovation and strategic expansion are being followed by leading companies to meet the changing needs of the oil and gas industry. They are focusing on developing advanced additives to improve the efficiency of crude oil extraction, transportation, and refining. These efforts improve flow characteristics, reduce energy consumption, and minimize environmental impact. Companies are strengthening their global presence through strategic partnerships and acquisitions to better serve key markets and meet regional demand. In this light, the alignment of their products with the direction of the industry towards unconventional sources of oil and the requirement of cost-effective operation puts them in a good position to benefit from the increasing demand for effective flow assurance solutions.