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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1820309
2025 年至 2033 年自動駕駛汽車市場規模、佔有率、趨勢及預測(按組件、自動化程度、應用和地區分類)Autonomous Vehicle Market Size, Share, Trends and Forecast by Component, Level of Automation, Application, and Region, 2025-2033 |
2024年,全球自動駕駛汽車市場規模達1,090億美元。展望未來, IMARC Group預測,到2033年,市場規模將達到1.7304兆美元,2025年至2033年期間的複合年成長率為31.85%。目前,北美佔據市場主導地位,2024年的市佔率將超過40.8%。優惠法規的不斷實施、為舒適出行而購買私家車的人數不斷增加(無需乘坐公共交通工具),以及人工智慧(AI)和機器學習(ML)演算法的日益融合,正在推動市場的成長。
人工智慧和機器學習技術不斷進步,協助在複雜情況下實現精準導航和決策,全球自動駕駛汽車市場因此蓬勃發展。汽車製造商和科技公司的大力投資正在加速自動駕駛汽車的普及,例如五十鈴汽車於2024年5月向Gatik AI投資3000萬美元,旨在提升北美中距離自動駕駛技術。此次合作的核心是打造四級自動駕駛技術,該技術將採用安全性更高的底盤,並計畫於2027年實現大規模量產。此外,為減少道路交通事故,對安全增強措施的需求日益成長,以及智慧城市計畫對永續交通的推動,也進一步擴大了自動駕駛汽車市場。政府的扶持政策和戰略合作夥伴關係也為自動駕駛汽車在全球範圍內的普及營造了良好的氛圍。
美國正在成為一個重要的區域市場,主要得益於車聯網 (V2X) 和 5G 連接的持續發展,這些技術促進了資料傳輸的順暢和反應能力的提升。同時,公共和私人對自動駕駛出行基礎設施(包括智慧道路系統和專用測試設施)的投入不斷成長,推動著市場的發展。共享出行服務的大幅成長、自動駕駛叫車平台需求的不斷成長,以及緩解交通堵塞和提高燃油效率的努力,也推動了市場的發展。此外,汽車公司、科技新創公司和政府機構之間的合作促進了創新,並制定了大規模部署自動駕駛汽車的監管政策。例如,由白宮贊助、Monroe Capital 掌舵的 Drive Forward Fund LP 於 2024 年 9 月 23 日籌集了 10 億美元,用於幫助中小型汽車企業在電動車、清潔能源和先進汽車技術方面進行創新。
技術進步
持續的技術進步改進了汽車零件的功能,推動了自動駕駛汽車市場規模的擴大。自動駕駛主要依賴先進的軟體和硬體技術。人工智慧 (AI) 和機器學習 (ML) 演算法至關重要,因為它們使這些車輛能夠即時處理來自感測器和攝影機的大量資料集,從而增強駕駛體驗。這些感測器為車輛提供了 360 度的全方位環境視角,使其能夠識別並應對障礙物、行人和其他車輛。 《印度時報》在 2024 年發布的一篇文章指出,自動駕駛汽車的出現正在為汽車產業帶來復興,預計將在全球創造 4,500 億至 6,000 億美元的收入。
監理支持和投資
全球各地的政府機構都越來越重視自動駕駛汽車的變革力量,透過建立框架和激勵措施來推動這些技術的發展。值得注意的是,美國交通部於 2024 年設立了一項 5 億美元的撥款計劃,名為「加強機動性和交通革命」(SMART)。 SMART 將支援自動駕駛汽車、路邊感測器以及無人機。該計劃將投資於能夠徹底改變交通運輸方式的項目。此類法規主要針對安全標準、測試協議和責任問題,有助於為自動駕駛汽車製造商的創新和產品測試創造有利環境。所有主要汽車製造商、科技公司和新創公司都致力於在研發上投入大量資金。這些支出徹底改變了創新方式,並決定了自動駕駛汽車的市場前景。
更加重視維護安全和效率
對安全性和效率的日益關注推動了自動駕駛汽車的發展,其減少事故和挽救生命的潛力是其廣泛採用的重要因素。賓州州立大學的一項研究發現,自動駕駛汽車的碰撞事故比傳統汽車更少。自動駕駛汽車在462萬英里的行駛里程中發生了195起碰撞事故,每英里行駛事故發生率是傳統汽車的2.3倍。與此相符的是,87.7%的自動駕駛汽車碰撞事故僅造成財產損失。自動駕駛汽車具有無與倫比的精確環境感知能力,使其能夠比人類駕駛員更快地對潛在危險做出反應。汽車創新聯盟發表的一篇文章指出,自動駕駛汽車不易因分心駕駛、疲勞駕駛或酒駕等人為失誤而發生碰撞。政府數據顯示,94%的碰撞事故是由於駕駛者的行為或失誤所造成的。自動駕駛汽車不易出現導致大多數碰撞事故的常見人為失誤。除了安全性之外,自動駕駛汽車還能提高效率。它們可以最佳化路線、駕駛模式和速度,從而最大限度地提高燃油效率並最大限度地減少排放。此外,它們還可以透過更順暢的交通流量來減少交通堵塞,從而縮短所有道路使用者的通勤時間並降低油耗。汽車創新聯盟發表的一篇文章指出,自動駕駛汽車可以保持車輛之間的安全距離,從而減少走走停停和交通堵塞。德州大學的研究人員預測,自動駕駛車隊可以將高速公路延誤減少60%。
The global autonomous vehicle market size was valued at USD 109.0 Billion in 2024. Looking forward, IMARC Group estimates the market to reach USD 1,730.4 Billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 31.85% from 2025-2033. North America currently dominates the market, holding a market share of over 40.8% in 2024. The growing implementation of favorable regulations, rising purchases of personal vehicles to travel comfortably without the hassle of public transportation, and increasing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) algorithms are driving the growth of the market.
The global market for autonomous vehicles is growing due to ongoing improvements in artificial intelligence and machine learning, which facilitate accurate navigation and decision-making in intricate situations. Major investments from automakers and technology companies are speeding up adoption, exemplified by Isuzu Motors' USD 30 Million investment in Gatik AI in May 2024 aimed at enhancing middle-mile autonomous driving in North America. This collaboration centers on creating level 4 autonomous driving technologies, featuring a safety-improved chassis, with large-scale manufacturing targeted for 2027. Increasing demand for safety enhancements to mitigate road accidents and the drive for sustainable transit within smart city projects is additionally expanding the market. Supportive government incentives and strategic partnerships are further fostering a favorable atmosphere for the worldwide adoption of autonomous vehicles.
The United States is emerging as a key regional market, primarily driven by the continual progress in vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communication and 5G connectivity, which facilitate smooth data transfer and enhanced reactivity. In accordance with this, growth in public and private funding for autonomous mobility infrastructure, including smart road systems and dedicated testing facilities, is propelling market advancement. The market is also driven by the considerable growth in shared mobility services and increasing demand for autonomous ride-hailing platforms, as well as efforts to ease traffic congestion and improve fuel efficiency. Additionally, cooperation between auto companies, tech startups, and government institutions stimulates innovation and develops regulatory policies for the mass deployment of autonomous vehicles. For example, Drive Forward Fund LP, sponsored by the White House, with Monroe Capital at the helm, raised USD 1 Billion on September 23, 2024, to help small and medium-sized automotive businesses develop innovation in electric vehicles, clean energy, and advanced automotive technologies.
Technological Advancements
Continual technological advancement to improve the functionalities of automotive components is driving the autonomous vehicle market size. Autonomous driving primarily depends on advanced software and hardware technologies. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) algorithms are crucial as they enable these vehicles to process extensive datasets from sensors and cameras in real time, enhancing the driving experience. These sensors offer the vehicle a complete 360-degree perspective of its environment, allowing it to identify and respond to obstacles, pedestrians, and other cars. A piece released in the Times of India in 2024 states that the emergence of self-driving cars is creating a renaissance for the automotive sector, projected to generate revenue between USD 450 Billion and USD 600 Billion worldwide.
Regulatory Support and Investment
Government bodies across the globe are increasingly putting effort into the development of these through facilitating frameworks and incentives, appreciating the transformative power of self-governing vehicles. Notably, in 2024, the United States Transportation Department established a USD 500 Million grant program known as Strengthening Mobility and Revolutionizing Transportation (SMART). The SMART will support autonomous automobiles, roadside sensors, as well as aerial drones. The program will invest in projects that cause radical transformation in transportation. Such regulations majorly target safety standards, testing protocols, and liability issues that contribute to creating a conducive environment for innovation and testing of their products by AV manufacturers. All major automakers, technology companies, and startups are committed to spending heavily on R&D. Such spending has revolutionized innovation and determined the market outlook for autonomous vehicles.
Rising Focus on Maintaining Safety and Efficiency
The rising focus on maintaining safety and efficiency is driving the development of autonomous vehicles, with their potential to reduce accidents and save lives being a significant factor in their adoption. According to a study conducted by Pennsylvania State University, it was found that autonomous vehicles have fewer crashes as compared to conventional vehicles. Autonomous vehicles have been involved in 195 crashes over 4.62 million miles which is 2.3 times fewer than crashes than conventional vehicles per mile driven. In line with this, 87.7% of autonomous vehicles crashes resulted in only property damage. Autonomous vehicles are equipped with the ability to perceive their environment with unparalleled accuracy, making them capable of reacting to potential hazards faster than human drivers. In an article published by Alliance for Automotive Innovation, autonomous vehicles are less prone to crashes caused by human error such as distracted driving, fatigue, or impaired driving. Data from the government shows that 94% of crashes occurs due to drivers' behaviour or error. Autonomous vehicles are not prone to the common human errors that cause most crashes. Beyond safety, AVs offer efficiency gains. They can optimize routes, driving patterns, and speed to maximize fuel efficiency and minimize emissions. Additionally, they can reduce traffic congestion through smoother traffic flow, resulting in shorter commute times and lower fuel consumption for all road users. In an article published by Alliance for Automotive Innovation, autonomous vehicles maintain safe distances between vehicles, reducing stop-and-go waves and congestion. University of Texas researchers predict that AV platoons could cut highway delays by 60%.
Software and services lead the market with around 70.2% of market share in 2024. The software and services segment includes sophisticated software algorithms, machine learning (ML) models, and artificial intelligence (AI) systems that enable self-driving vehicles to perceive their surroundings, interpret data, and make intelligent decisions. Additionally, services, such as mapping, data analytics, over-the-air updates, and remote monitoring are crucial for the efficient operation and continuous improvement of autonomous vehicles (Avs). The software and services segment are the largest and fastest-growing portion of the market, as it is central to enhancing the capabilities, safety, and functionality of autonomous vehicles. It plays a pivotal role in the ongoing development and optimization of self-driving technology, making it a key focus for industry stakeholders and investors.
Level 3 leads the market with around 72.8% of market share in 2024. Level 3 automation enables vehicles to perform most driving tasks autonomously, including acceleration, braking, and lane-keeping, under predefined conditions and routes. It combines advanced automation with safety features, offering convenience and compliance with regulatory standards. This level of automation is increasingly favored by automakers and users seeking a reliable and efficient driving experience. By balancing autonomy and control, level 3 systems enhance driving efficiency while addressing industry needs for advanced technology and safety in modern transportation solutions.
Transportation and logistics lead the market with around 92.8% of market share in 2024. The transportation and logistics sector encompasses a wide range of applications, including autonomous delivery (AV) trucks, self-driving taxis and ride-sharing services, autonomous public transit, and automated long-haul freight transportation. AVs offer the potential to revolutionize this sector by increasing operational efficiency, reducing labor costs, and improving the overall safety of transportation and logistics operations. The growth in e-commerce and the need for more efficient last-mile delivery solutions are accelerating the adoption of AVs in this segment. Companies are investing heavily in autonomous technology to enhance the speed and reliability of goods and people transportation, making it the largest and most dynamic segment of the market.
In 2024, North America accounted for the largest market share of over 40.8%. The North America autonomous vehicle (AV) market is the rising purchase of personal cars to travel comfortably. Robust regulatory support at both federal and state levels is encouraging testing and deployment. Government agencies are also issuing guidelines and legislation to facilitate the growth of this industry. The popularity of ridesharing and mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) platforms is driving the demand for AVs.
United States Autonomous Vehicle Market Analysis
In 2024, the United States accounts for 76.80% of the North America autonomous vehicle market. Strong investments in research, advantageous regulatory environments, and a strong technology ecosystem are driving the U.S. market for autonomous vehicles. Leading businesses at the forefront of developing self-driving technologies include Tesla, Waymo, and General Motors' Cruise. The U.S. Department of Transportation established standards to encourage the adoption of autonomous vehicles, and the government actively sponsored research and development (R&D) programs. New aggregated data from the Autonomous Vehicle Industry Association's (AVIA) suggests that autonomous vehicles have driven over 44 Million miles on public highways in the United States.
The industry is also driven by the growing need for safer and more effective modes of transportation. According to a research, autonomous vehicles, which could reduce traffic fatalities by up to 90% by eliminating accidents caused by human error, estimated to be 94% of fatalities, could save more than 29,000 lives per year in the United States alone. The dependability of autonomous systems increased due to the quick development of artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and sensor technologies like radar and LiDAR, which is prompting adoption. Commercialisation is also being accelerated by alliances between manufacturers and IT behemoths, like Ford's with Argo AI.
Europe Autonomous Vehicle Market Analysis
Favorable government initiatives, sophisticated automotive production skills, and rising consumer interest in environmentally friendly transportation are driving the European market for autonomous vehicles. With the help of initiatives like the European Commission's Mobility Package, which encourages automation and digitisation in transport, nations like Germany, the United Kingdom, and France are at the forefront of the region. In the region, autonomous driving is the most important item on the agenda. With Tesla just stating its intention to bring fully autonomous technology to European roads by early 2025, the landscape of self-driving cars in the EU and the UK is changing quickly. Development is further encouraged by the amendment to Germany's Road Traffic Act that permits autonomous vehicles on public roads. Furthermore, the Automated Vehicles Act 2024 in the UK seeks to safeguard consumers, define legal liability, and establish a strict safety framework for self-driving technology. The existence of automakers such as BMW, Volkswagen, and Renault encourage advancements in autonomous driving technology. These businesses are making significant research and development (R&D) investments with the goal of equipping their cars with level 3 and level 4 autonomy. Since autonomous electric vehicles are viewed as a means of accomplishing climate goals, Europe's emphasis on lowering carbon emissions also stimulates the industry.
Asia Pacific Autonomous Vehicle Market Analysis
The market for autonomous vehicles is expanding significantly in Asia-Pacific due to large technological expenditures and the quick uptake of smart mobility solutions. With government-backed programs like the Made in China 2025 program, which prioritises self-driving technology, China is leading the way. Leading innovators in AI and autonomous driving platforms include Baidu and Huawei. China's expansion is augmented by initiatives from the Chinese government, such as establishing pilot zones, issuing licenses, and developing regulations and standards. For instance, In June 2024, the government selected 20 cities to participate in a pilot program aimed at creating roadside infrastructure and a cloud-based control platform for the operation of "smart connected vehicles." The market is also driven by Japan's emphasis on using automated solutions to overcome labour shortages, especially in public transit and logistics. Targeting both home and foreign markets, automakers such as Toyota and Honda are incorporating autonomous technologies into their cars. The development of autonomous driving technology is complemented by India's drive for the creation of smart cities and the use of electric automobiles.
Latin America Autonomous Vehicle Market Analysis
The market for autonomous vehicles is still in its initial state in Latin America, but it is expanding attributed to increasing urbanisation and the demand for effective transit systems. Leading markets are Brazil and Mexico, which gain from robust auto manufacturing industries. Pilot programs for driverless cars in cities have been introduced thanks to partnerships with international tech corporations. The region's emphasis on lowering traffic congestion and accidents is another factor propelling the deployment of autonomous vehicles. Policies to incorporate self-driving cars into public transit are being investigated by governments, especially in megacities.
Middle East and Africa Autonomous Vehicle Market Analysis
Government-led smart city projects and the use of cutting-edge transport technologies are driving the market for autonomous vehicles in the Middle East and Africa. With initiatives like Dubai's Autonomous Transportation Strategy, which seeks to make 25% of transportation autonomous by 2030, nations like the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia are leading the way. Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 includes considerable expenditures in self-driving technologies, especially for public transit and smart logistics. The region's emphasis on improving urban transportation and lowering traffic deaths encourages the use of autonomous vehicles. Even though there are still issues with infrastructure in Africa, growing technological investments and pilot programs in nations like South Africa are progressively propelling growth.
Key players in the autonomous vehicle market are actively pursuing several strategic initiatives to advance their technology and market presence. Leading automakers are continually improving their autonomous driving systems, pushing for broader deployment of their full self-driving (FSD) features. Tech giants are focused on deploying autonomous ride-hailing services and forging partnerships with other automakers to expand their reach. Top companies are investing heavily in electric and autonomous vehicle development, aiming to launch autonomous ride-sharing services and enhance autonomous capabilities. Leading companies are engaged in extensive testing and refining of autonomous vehicle technology for eventual commercial deployment. They are also actively collaborating with governments, regulators, and technology partners to navigate the complex landscape of autonomous vehicle development and deployment.