戰鬥機市場機會、成長動力、產業趨勢分析及 2025 - 2034 年預測

2024 年全球戰鬥機市場價值為 508 億美元，預計到 2034 年將以 4.1% 的複合年成長率成長，達到 751 億美元。這一成長主要得益於國防預算的增加和現代戰鬥機採購的增加。對升級空戰能力的日益重視以及對無人作戰飛機 (UCAV) 等下一代技術的日益關注，促進了需求的穩定。國防部隊正將重點轉向能夠執行各種任務的先進飛機，而各國政府則在投資隱身能力、改進的航空電子設備和數位戰爭工具，以在未來衝突中取得優勢。戰鬥機仍然是國家安全框架的重要組成部分，採購策略現在優先考慮具有靈活性、生存力和任務多功能性的平台。

該行業面臨著許多挑戰，尤其是在過去幾年政策轉變和貿易中斷的影響下。對航太零件徵收的關稅和國際貿易爭端給整個供應鏈帶來了成本壓力。這些關稅提高了製造商的生產成本，並擾亂了推進系統、航空電子設備和雷達技術等關鍵零件的採購。為此，飛機製造商採取了更具韌性的供應鏈策略並擴大了本地採購。這些措施有助於確保關鍵零件的持續供應，並在經濟緊張的情況下保持了生產勢頭。如今，供應鏈更加多元化，能夠更好地吸收國際貿易動態的波動。

就起降能力而言，市場細分為短距起降（STOVL）、常規起降（CTOL）和垂直起降（VTOL）。 2024年，CTOL戰鬥機佔據了47.3%的市場佔有率，佔據主導地位。該細分市場持續表現強勁，主要原因是其與標準跑道相容，與更複雜的垂直起飛系統相比，技術要求更低。現代化CTOL飛機正在升級，配備隱身技術、多用途功能和增程能力。這些升級使其能夠勝任各種任務，同時降低營運和維護成本。

根據推進方式，戰鬥機市場分為單引擎和雙引擎。預計到2034年，單引擎戰鬥機市場規模將達到408億美元。這類飛機因其成本效益高、重量輕和易於維護而日益受到青睞。國防預算緊張的國家以及尋求快速反應平台的國家正轉向單引擎戰鬥機，用於空中警務和多用途任務。設計上的進步使這些飛機能夠整合隱形功能、數據鏈能力和卓越的航空電子系統，使其成為廣泛用戶經濟實惠且作戰效能卓越的選擇。

按應用分類，市場包括打擊或對地攻擊、電子戰、偵察和監視、空中優勢以及其他任務。預計打擊或對地攻擊細分市場在預測期內的複合年成長率將達到3.8%。這一成長得益於精確導引武器整合度的提高、人工智慧輔助瞄準工具的改進以及生存能力的提升。現代攻擊機正在研發中，旨在有效執行多種任務類型，並能夠在空對地和空對空任務之間快速切換。這些增強功能增強了任務適應性，同時最大限度地降低了威脅暴露。

美國持續佔據全球最大市場佔有率，2024年佔87.9%。其領導地位源自於積極的現代化計畫和對網路中心戰的高度重視。對第六代技術的投資以及對現有機隊的升級正在重塑作戰戰略。美國對互通性和數位戰的重視也鞏固了其在全球航太格局中的戰略地位。

戰鬥機產業競爭激烈，領導企業合計佔超過25%的市場。這些公司正透過整合電子戰系統、人工智慧能力和數位化設計流程來推動創新。市場正見證著跨國研發項目日益增多的趨勢，這些項目旨在促進共享研發投資並加快部署進度。戰略合作對於滿足現代作戰的複雜需求至關重要，而出口導向採購策略正在擴大許多國家的市場覆蓋範圍。

新興國防製造商（尤其是在亞洲）也明顯轉向自主研發的飛機平台。這些國家正致力於減少對外國製造商的依賴，並提高技術自主性。同時，製造商也強調長期維護合約和生命週期服務協議，以深化客戶參與度並確保經常性收入。這些方法有助於在全球國防市場創建一個充滿活力、創新驅動的生態系統，該生態系統以性能、價格承受能力和持續的合作夥伴關係為中心。

目錄

第1章：方法論與範圍

第2章：執行摘要

第3章：行業洞察

• 產業生態系統分析
• 川普政府關稅分析
  • 對貿易的影響
    • 貿易量中斷
    • 報復措施
  • 對產業的影響
    • 供應方影響（原料）
      • 主要材料價格波動
      • 供應鏈重組
      • 生產成本影響
    • 需求面影響（售價）
      • 價格傳導至終端市場
      • 市佔率動態
      • 消費者反應模式
  • 受影響的主要公司
  • 策略產業反應
    • 供應鏈重組
    • 定價和產品策略
    • 政策參與
  • 展望與未來考慮
• 產業衝擊力
  • 成長動力
    • 地緣政治緊張局勢加劇和國防現代化
    • 國防開支增加推動戰鬥機採購
    • 對多用途和下一代戰鬥機的需求不斷成長
    • 擴大本土飛機研發項目
    • 更重視無人作戰飛機（UCAV）
  • 產業陷阱與挑戰
    • 初期投資改造成本高
    • 嚴格的監管標準和認證延遲
• 成長潛力分析
• 監管格局
• 技術格局
• 未來市場趨勢
• 差距分析
• 波特的分析
• Pestel 分析

第4章：競爭格局

• 介紹
• 公司市佔率分析
• 主要市場參與者的競爭分析
• 競爭定位矩陣
• 策略儀表板

第5章：市場估計與預測：依起飛與降落能力，2021-2034 年

• 主要趨勢
• 常規起飛和著陸（CTOL）
• 短距起飛和垂直降落（STOVL）
• 垂直起降（VTOL）

第6章：市場估計與預測：依推進類型，2021-2034

• 主要趨勢
• 單引擎戰鬥機
• 雙引擎戰鬥機

第7章：市場估計與預測：按應用，2021-2034

• 主要趨勢
• 打擊/地面攻擊
• 電子戰（ew）
• 偵察與監視
• 空中優勢
• 其他

第8章：市場估計與預測：按地區，2021 年至 2034 年

• 主要趨勢
• 北美洲
  • 美國
  • 加拿大
• 歐洲
  • 德國
  • 英國
  • 法國
  • 西班牙
  • 義大利
  • 荷蘭
• 亞太地區
  • 中國
  • 印度
  • 日本
  • 澳洲
  • 韓國
• 拉丁美洲
  • 巴西
  • 墨西哥
  • 阿根廷
• 中東和非洲
  • 沙烏地阿拉伯
  • 南非
  • 阿拉伯聯合大公國

第9章：公司簡介

• Airbus
• BAE Systems
• Boeing
• Dassault Aviation
• Hindustan Aeronautics
• Korea Aerospace Industries
• Leonardo
• Lockheed Martin
• Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
• Northrop Grumman
• Saab
• Textron Aviation
• United Aircraft

The Global Fighter Aircraft Market was valued at USD 50.8 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 4.1% to reach USD 75.1 billion by 2034. This growth is largely driven by rising defense budgets and growing procurement of modern combat aircraft. Increasing emphasis on upgrading aerial combat capabilities and the rising focus on next-generation technologies like unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) are contributing to the steady demand. Defense forces are shifting their focus to advanced aircraft capable of performing a wide range of missions, while governments are investing in stealth capabilities, improved avionics, and digital warfare tools to gain an edge in future conflicts. Fighter aircraft continue to be a critical component of national security frameworks, and procurement strategies are now prioritizing platforms that deliver flexibility, survivability, and mission versatility.

The industry has faced its share of challenges, especially due to policy shifts and trade disruptions in previous years. Tariffs imposed on aerospace components and international trade disputes created cost pressures across the supply chain. These tariffs raised production expenses for manufacturers and disrupted sourcing for essential parts such as propulsion systems, avionics, and radar technologies. In response, aircraft producers adjusted by adopting more resilient supply chain strategies and expanding local sourcing. These measures helped to ensure the continued availability of vital components, preserving the production momentum despite economic tensions. Today, supply chains are more diversified and better positioned to absorb fluctuations in international trade dynamics.

In terms of take-off and landing capabilities, the market is segmented into short take-off and vertical landing (STOVL), conventional take-off and landing (CTOL), and vertical take-off and landing (VTOL). CTOL fighter aircraft held a dominant 47.3% market share in 2024. This segment continues to perform strongly, largely due to its compatibility with standard runways and reduced technical demands compared to more complex vertical take-off systems. Modern CTOL aircraft are being upgraded with stealth technology, multi-role functions, and extended range capabilities. These upgrades make them suitable for a variety of missions while reducing operational and maintenance costs over time.

Based on propulsion, the market is categorized into single-engine and twin-engine fighter aircraft. The single-engine fighter aircraft segment is expected to reach USD 40.8 billion by 2034. These aircraft are increasingly favored for their cost efficiency, lighter weight, and ease of maintenance. Nations with constrained defense budgets and those looking for rapid-response platforms are turning to single-engine fighters for air policing and multi-role missions. Advances in design have enabled these aircraft to incorporate stealth features, data-link capabilities, and superior avionics systems, making them both affordable and combat-effective options for a broad range of users.

By application, the market includes strike or ground attack, electronic warfare, reconnaissance and surveillance, air superiority, and other roles. The strike or ground attack segment is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 3.8% over the forecast period. This growth is fueled by increased integration of precision-guided weaponry, AI-enabled targeting tools, and improved survivability features. Modern strike aircraft are being developed to perform multiple mission types efficiently, offering rapid transitions between air-to-ground and air-to-air roles. These enhancements allow for greater mission adaptability while minimizing exposure to threats.

The United States continues to hold the largest share of the global market, accounting for 87.9% in 2024. Its leadership is anchored in aggressive modernization programs and a strong focus on network-centric warfare. Investment in sixth-generation technologies and enhancements to current fleets are reshaping combat strategies. The country's prioritization of interoperability and digital warfare is also reinforcing its strategic position in the global aerospace landscape.

Competition in the fighter aircraft industry is fierce, with leading players capturing a combined market share of over 25%. These companies are driving innovation through integrated electronic warfare systems, AI capabilities, and digital design processes. The market is witnessing a growing trend of multinational development programs that promote shared R&D investments and fast-track deployment timelines. Strategic collaborations are becoming critical for meeting the complex demands of modern combat, while export-oriented procurement strategies are expanding the market reach for many countries.

There is also a noticeable shift among emerging defense producers, particularly in Asia, toward domestically developed aircraft platforms. These nations are aiming to reduce their dependency on foreign manufacturers and boost technological self-reliance. At the same time, manufacturers are emphasizing long-term maintenance contracts and lifecycle service agreements to deepen customer engagement and secure recurring revenue. These approaches are helping to create a dynamic, innovation-driven ecosystem that is centered on performance, affordability, and sustained partnerships across global defense markets.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Methodology and scope

• 1.1 Market scope and definitions
• 1.2 Research design
  • 1.2.1 Research approach
  • 1.2.2 Data collection methods
• 1.3 Base estimates and calculations
  • 1.3.1 Base year calculation
  • 1.3.2 Key trends for market estimation
• 1.4 Forecast model
• 1.5 Primary research and validation
  • 1.5.1 Primary sources
  • 1.5.2 Data mining sources

Chapter 2 Executive summary

• 2.1 Industry 360° synopsis

Chapter 3 Industry insights

• 3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
• 3.2 Trump administration tariffs analysis
  • 3.2.1 Impact on trade
    • 3.2.1.1 Trade volume disruptions
    • 3.2.1.2 Retaliatory measures
  • 3.2.2 Impact on the industry
    • 3.2.2.1 Supply-side impact (raw materials)
      • 3.2.2.1.1 Price volatility in key materials
      • 3.2.2.1.2 Supply chain restructuring
      • 3.2.2.1.3 Production cost implications
    • 3.2.2.2 Demand-side impact (selling price)
      • 3.2.2.2.1 Price transmission to end markets
      • 3.2.2.2.2 Market share dynamics
      • 3.2.2.2.3 Consumer response patterns
  • 3.2.3 Key companies impacted
  • 3.2.4 Strategic industry responses
    • 3.2.4.1.1 Supply chain reconfiguration
    • 3.2.4.1.2 Pricing and product strategies
    • 3.2.4.1.3 Policy engagement
  • 3.2.5 Outlook and future considerations
• 3.3 Industry impact forces
  • 3.3.1 Growth drivers
    • 3.3.1.1 Rising geopolitical tensions and defense modernization
    • 3.3.1.2 Increase in defense spending fuelling fighter aircraft procurement
    • 3.3.1.3 Growing demand for multirole and next-generation fighters
    • 3.3.1.4 Expansion of indigenous aircraft development programs
    • 3.3.1.5 Increased focus on unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs)
  • 3.3.2 Industry pitfalls and challenges
    • 3.3.2.1 High initial investment and retrofit costs
    • 3.3.2.2 Stringent regulatory standards and certification delays
• 3.4 Growth potential analysis
• 3.5 Regulatory landscape
• 3.6 Technology landscape
• 3.7 Future market trends
• 3.8 Gap analysis
• 3.9 Porter's analysis
• 3.10 Pestel analysis

Chapter 4 Competitive landscape, 2024

• 4.1 Introduction
• 4.2 Company market share analysis
• 4.3 Competitive analysis of major market players
• 4.4 Competitive positioning matrix
• 4.5 Strategy dashboard

Chapter 5 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Take-off and Landing Capability, 2021-2034 (USD Billion & Units)

• 5.1 Key trends
• 5.2 Conventional take-off and landing (CTOL)
• 5.3 Short take-off and vertical landing (STOVL)
• 5.4 Vertical take-off and landing (VTOL)

Chapter 6 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Propulsion Type, 2021-2034 (USD Billion & Units)

• 6.1 Key trends
• 6.2 Single-engine fighter aircraft
• 6.3 Twin-engine fighter aircraft

Chapter 7 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Application, 2021-2034 (USD Billion & Units)

• 7.1 Key trends
• 7.2 Strike / ground attack
• 7.3 Electronic warfare (ew)
• 7.4 Reconnaissance & surveillance
• 7.5 Air superiority
• 7.6 Others

Chapter 8 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Region, 2021 – 2034 (USD Billion & Units)

• 8.1 Key trends
• 8.2 North America
  • 8.2.1 U.S.
  • 8.2.2 Canada
• 8.3 Europe
  • 8.3.1 Germany
  • 8.3.2 UK
  • 8.3.3 France
  • 8.3.4 Spain
  • 8.3.5 Italy
  • 8.3.6 Netherlands
• 8.4 Asia Pacific
  • 8.4.1 China
  • 8.4.2 India
  • 8.4.3 Japan
  • 8.4.4 Australia
  • 8.4.5 South Korea
• 8.5 Latin America
  • 8.5.1 Brazil
  • 8.5.2 Mexico
  • 8.5.3 Argentina
• 8.6 Middle East and Africa
  • 8.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 8.6.2 South Africa
  • 8.6.3 UAE

Chapter 9 Company Profiles

• 9.1 Airbus
• 9.2 BAE Systems
• 9.3 Boeing
• 9.4 Dassault Aviation
• 9.5 Hindustan Aeronautics
• 9.6 Korea Aerospace Industries
• 9.7 Leonardo
• 9.8 Lockheed Martin
• 9.9 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
• 9.10 Northrop Grumman
• 9.11 Saab
• 9.12 Textron Aviation
• 9.13 United Aircraft