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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1926502
拉丁美洲成長機會(2025-2032年)Latin America Growth Opportunities, 2025-2032 |
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關鍵礦產、可再生能源、數位化和近岸外包推動出口和工業成長
拉丁美洲憑藉著豐富的資源和與全球價值鏈的深度融合,正崛起為戰略要地。美國關稅戰正促使中國電動車和可再生能源投資從美國轉向拉丁美洲。美國取消關稅提振了農業綜合企業,而關稅豁免則支撐了鋰的需求。加之近岸外包和高附加價值產業的成長,該地區可望迅速擴大其出口規模。
短期內,我們預期拉丁美洲的經濟成長將從2025年的2.4%略微放緩至2026年的2.1%,原因是美國關稅和貿易不確定性影響了出口,尤其是對巴西和墨西哥的出口。全部區域通膨放緩應有助於利率下調,從而提振消費和投資。
拉丁美洲的長期成長將由政策支持和對數位基礎設施、電動車、關鍵礦產開採和綠色氫能的投資所驅動。
本報告從策略角度分析了該地區到 2032 年的主要成長要素和限制因素。報告概述了美國關稅、成長型產業和經濟大趨勢全部區域的影響,為領導者提供了投資定位和掌握長期機會的參考。
主要主題:
Critical Minerals, Renewables, Digitalization, and Nearshoring to Drive Export and Industrial Growth
Latin America is emerging as a strategic hub, supported by resource abundance and deeper integration into global supply chains. The US tariff war is redirecting Chinese EV and renewable investments from the US to Latin America. US tariff rollbacks are bolstering agribusiness, and tariff exemptions are sustaining lithium demand. Combined with nearshoring and the growth of high value-added sectors, the region will rapidly expand its export base.
In the near term, Latin America's growth is expected to slow slightly from 2.4% in 2025 to 2.1% in 2026 due to US tariffs and trade uncertainties impacting exports, especially in Brazil and Mexico. Easing inflation across the region will support interest rate cuts, buoying consumption and investments.
Long-term growth in Latin America will be driven by policy support and investments in digital infrastructure, EVs, critical mineral mining, and green hydrogen.
This thought leadership delivers strategic insight into the region's key growth drivers and restraints through 2032. It outlines US tariff impacts, growing industries, and economic megatrends across the region, equipping leaders to position investments and capture long-term opportunities.
Key Themes: