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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1887150
國防電子設備淘汰市場規模、佔有率、成長及全球產業分析:按類型、應用和地區劃分的洞察,以及2024-2032年預測Defense Electronics Obsolescence Market Size, Share, Growth and Global Industry Analysis By Type & Application, Regional Insights and Forecast to 2024-2032 |
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隨著全球國防機構在維護、升級和現代化老舊軍用電子設備方面面臨日益嚴峻的挑戰,全球國防電子設備淘汰市場正經歷強勁且持續的成長。根據最新評估,該市場規模在2024年達到25.3億美元,2025年將增加至27.3億美元,預計2032年將達到50億美元。這種穩定成長反映了隨著老舊國防系統電子元件壽命的延長,確保作戰準備的持續需求。
國防電子設備淘汰是指由於技術變革或製造製程轉型,關鍵電子元件達到使用壽命終點、過時或無法取得的現象。國防平台,例如飛機、船、雷達系統和飛彈網絡,通常運行數十年,往往超過其嵌入式電子設備的壽命。這就產生了對逆向工程、升級和延壽計畫的策略需求,以維持關鍵任務系統的效能和可靠性。市場動態
驅動因素:作戰準備與生命週期管理
影響市場格局的關鍵驅動因素是全球對作戰準備的重視。隨著軍事平台對電子設備的依賴性日益增強,在快速的技術變革中保持功能已成為一項戰略重點。生命週期管理策略確保了國防電子設備的可升級性、可維護性和安全性。國防機構正在大力投資預測分析和過時預測工具,以便在組件故障中斷任務執行之前進行預測。預計到2032年,對現代化、可互通電子設備的日益依賴將顯著加速市場發展。
限制因素:高成本與複雜的供應鏈
儘管現代化需求強勁,但挑戰依然存在。國防供應鏈以其複雜性、嚴格的監管以及高度專業化的零件(這些零件的來源有限)而聞名。當製造商停止生產關鍵零件時,更換成本可能高得令人望而卻步。過時管理可能涉及大規模的重新設計以及成本高昂的檢驗和認證流程。這些財務和後勤的挑戰往往會延緩升級,限制現代化進程,減緩短期市場成長。
機會:延壽計畫
延壽計畫代表著一個重要的機遇,它使軍隊能夠以遠低於新採購的成本維護老舊平台。透過逆向工程、再製造和有針對性的現代化改造,國防機構可以延長航空電子設備、導引系統和電子戰模組的使用壽命。預計在2024年至2032年間,對這類延壽計畫的需求將持續成長,因為許多飛機、船艦和陸地車輛的使用壽命都將超過其原始設計壽命。對於面臨預算限制但又希望提升作戰能力的國家而言,這種方法尤其具有成本效益。
市場趨勢
一個顯著的趨勢是基於人工智慧的預測分析技術的快速普及,該技術使國防機構能夠預測故障、優化備件庫存並主動識別高風險部件。利用機器學習技術的先進過時管理系統可協助國防公司規劃技術更新周期、減少運轉停機時間並提高設備可靠性。隨著全球國防平台整合更多複雜的感測器和數位電子設備,預測分析技術在2032年之前仍將是過時管理的核心。
細分市場亮點
依系統劃分
導航系統細分市場在2024年佔10%的市場佔有率,這主要得益於GPS、SAR、地理空間和先進慣性系統升級需求的增加。預計空中和陸地平台的現代化改造計畫也將推動對飛行控制和通訊系統的強勁需求。
依平台劃分
航空領域將在2024年主導全球市場,預計到2032年將保持最快成長速度,這主要得益於先進的無人機(UAV)、偵察無人機和飛機現代化改造。隨著軍方逐步淘汰過時的車輛電子設備和作戰系統,陸地系統預計將穩定成長。
按類型劃分
技術淘汰領域將在2024年引領市場,預計到2025年將佔43%的市場佔有率,這主要得益於技術的快速發展,使得過時的技術逐漸失效。
北美
北美將主導市場,2024年市場規模將達11.5億美元,主要得益於美國2025財年國防預算超過8,000億美元。由雷神技術公司、洛克希德馬丁公司和英國航空航天系統公司領導的預測分析和生命週期現代化專案正在推動該地區的成長。
歐洲
歐洲仍是第二大市場,德國、法國和英國的國防開支預計將超過3,000億美元,到2025年將達到5.1億美元。歐盟主導的強調互通性的舉措正在提升成長前景。
亞太地區
亞太地區預計到2025年將達到4.3億美元,是成長最快的地區。預計到2025年,印度的國防預算將超過700億美元,這將推動大規模的現代化和自主研發。
其他
受巴西、沙烏地阿拉伯和阿拉伯聯合大公國現代化措施的推動,預計到2025年,印度的國防開支將達到3.8億美元。
The global defense electronics obsolescence market is experiencing strong and sustained expansion as defense organizations worldwide face increasing challenges in maintaining, upgrading, and modernizing aging military electronics. According to the latest assessment, the market was valued at USD 2.53 billion in 2024, is projected to rise to USD 2.73 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 5.00 billion by 2032. This consistent growth reflects the ongoing need to ensure operational readiness as legacy defense systems surpass the lifecycle of their electronic components.
Defense electronics obsolescence occurs when critical electronic parts become unsupported, outdated, or unavailable due to changes in technology or shifts in manufacturing processes. As defense platforms such as aircraft, naval vessels, radar systems, and missile networks often operate for decades, they frequently outlive the lifecycle of their embedded electronics. This creates a strategic necessity for reverse engineering, upgrading, and lifecycle extension programs that preserve the performance and reliability of mission-critical systems.Market Dynamics
Drivers: Operational Readiness & Lifecycle Management
A key driver shaping the market is the global emphasis on operational readiness. As military platforms become increasingly electronics-dependent, maintaining functionality amidst rapid technological change has become a strategic priority. Lifecycle management strategies ensure that defense electronics remain upgradeable, supportable, and secure. Defense forces are investing heavily in predictive analytics and obsolescence forecasting tools to anticipate component failures before they disrupt mission operations. This growing dependence on modern, interoperable electronics will significantly contribute to market acceleration through 2032.
Restraints: High Costs and Complex Supply Chains
Despite strong demand for modernization, challenges persist. Defense supply chains are notoriously complex, heavily regulated, and reliant on highly specialized components with limited sources. When manufacturers discontinue key components, replacement costs can be extremely high. Obsolescence management can involve extensive redesign, costly testing, and certification processes. These financial and logistic challenges often delay upgrades and limit the pace of modernization, slowing short-term market growth.
Opportunities: Lifecycle Extension Programs
Lifecycle extension programs offer a major opportunity by enabling military forces to maintain aging platforms at a fraction of the cost of new procurements. Through reverse engineering, remanufacturing, and targeted modernization, defense agencies can extend the lifespan of avionics, guidance systems, and electronic warfare modules. With many aircraft, ships, and land vehicles operating beyond their originally intended service lives, demand for such extension programs will continue rising across 2024-2032. This approach is especially cost-effective for countries facing budget constraints while still aiming to enhance combat capability.
Market Trends
A defining trend is the rapid adoption of AI-based predictive analytics, enabling defense organizations to forecast failures, optimize spare inventories, and proactively identify risk-prone components. Advanced obsolescence management systems leveraging machine learning help defense contractors plan technology refresh cycles, reduce operational downtime, and increase equipment reliability. As global defense platforms integrate more complex sensors and digital electronics, predictive analytics will be central to managing obsolescence through 2032.
Segmentation Highlights
By System
The navigation system segment led the market in 2024 with a 10% share, driven by increasing upgrades using GPS, SAR, geospatial, and advanced inertial systems. Flight control and communication systems are also experiencing strong demand due to modernization programs across air and land platforms.
By Platform
The air segment dominated the global market in 2024 and is expected to be the fastest-growing through 2032, fueled by advanced UAVs, surveillance drones, and aircraft modernization. Land systems are projected to grow steadily as armies replace outdated vetronics and combat systems.
By Type
The technical obsolescence segment led the market in 2024 and is projected to account for 43% of the market in 2025, driven by rapid advancements that render older technologies inefficient.
North America
North America dominated the market in 2024 with a value of USD 1.15 billion, supported by the U.S.'s FY2025 defense budget exceeding USD 800 billion. Predictive analytics and lifecycle modernization programs led by Raytheon Technologies, Lockheed Martin, and BAE Systems drive regional growth.
Europe
Europe remains the second-largest market, expected to reach USD 0.51 billion in 2025, with combined defense spending from Germany, France, and the U.K. surpassing USD 300 billion. EU-led initiatives emphasizing interoperability enhance growth prospects.
Asia Pacific
With a projected value of USD 0.43 billion in 2025, Asia Pacific shows the fastest growth. India's defense budget for 2025 is set to exceed USD 70 billion, driving significant modernization and indigenization efforts.
Rest of the World
The region is expected to reach USD 0.38 billion in 2025, supported by modernization policies in Brazil, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.
Conclusion
With the market growing from USD 2.53 billion in 2024 to USD 2.73 billion in 2025, and projected to reach USD 5.00 billion by 2032, defense electronics obsolescence management has become an essential pillar of global military modernization. Increasing reliance on digital warfare technologies, coupled with the need to preserve legacy systems, will ensure sustained market growth over the next decade.
Segmentation
By System
By Platform
By Type
By Region