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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2048046
誘餌彈市場 - 全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測:按類型、應用、分銷管道、地區和競爭格局分類,2021-2031年Decoy Flares Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type, By Application, By Distribution Channel, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球誘餌彈市場預計將從 2025 年的 23.9 億美元成長到 2031 年的 34.9 億美元,複合年成長率為 6.51%。
誘餌彈是一種煙火對抗措施,旨在透過釋放強熱源來迷惑紅外線導引飛彈,從而保護海軍艦艇和軍用飛機。全球對這類消耗品的需求主要受地緣政治不穩定加劇以及各國急需補充因近期激烈衝突而消耗殆盡的彈藥儲備所驅動。此外,防空部隊的大規模現代化也推動了持續採購,因為先進的飛機平台需要相容且可靠的防禦系統,以確保在敵對空域的生存能力。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 23.9億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 34.9億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 6.51% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 自發性耀斑 |
| 最大的市場 | 北美洲 |
然而,該市場面臨許多挑戰,特別是供應鏈不穩定以及維持煙火性能穩定所需的專用原料和化學粘合劑短缺。這些物流限制可能會限制製造商快速擴大生產規模的能力,即便訂單不斷成長。該行業的經濟規模從整體行業成長中可見一斑。根據歐洲航太與國防工業協會 (ASD) 的報告,預計到 2025 年,國防產業的銷售額將達到 1,834 億歐元,比 2024 年成長 13.8%。這表明,用於保護部隊和提升作戰能力的資本配置正在加強。
隨著各國優先透過財政撥款加強戰備,不斷成長的全球國防預算和軍事開支成為全球誘餌彈市場的主要驅動力。各國政府正系統性地增加國防費用以應對不斷演變的安全威脅,這直接支持了為保護空軍而採購消耗性空中對抗措施的需求。近期投資規模凸顯了這個趨勢。根據斯德哥爾摩國際和平研究所(SIPRI)2024年4月發布的報告,2023年全球軍費總支出達2.443兆美元,年增6.8%。如此成長的支出使各國國防部能夠支持長期煙火誘餌彈契約,從而確保空軍在國際競爭重燃的時代保持高度的作戰準備和平台生存能力。
同時,日益加劇的地緣政治緊張局勢和地區衝突導致誘餌彈庫存因激烈戰鬥而迅速消耗殆盡,亟需快速補充。衝突升級加速了紅外線對抗措施的消耗,迫使製造商加快生產以滿足緊急作戰需求。這一激增反映在行業業績上。萊茵金屬公司在2024年8月報告稱,其武器彈藥部門2024年上半年銷售額達10.54億歐元,年增93%,主要得益於來自烏克蘭和德國的訂單。這些波動尤其提振了對抗措施部門的表現。 2024年6月,Chemring集團指出,截至2024年4月30日,累積訂單已達8.83億英鎊,凸顯了全球對防禦性消耗品的持續需求。
全球誘餌彈市場的主要障礙是供應鏈不穩定,特別是煙火製造所需的特殊原料和化學粘合劑嚴重短缺。這一物流瓶頸直接阻礙了市場成長,限制了製造商將不斷成長的訂單積壓轉化為實際收入的能力。儘管對防禦性反制措施的需求激增,但關鍵投入品的獲取困難迫使生產線以低於最佳運轉率運作,導致前置作業時間延長,關鍵彈藥庫存補充延遲。因此,地緣政治需求與工業生產之間的差距正在擴大,儘管資金籌措有利,但實際市場擴張卻停滯不前。
近期行業數據量化了這些營運限制的嚴重程度。根據美國國防工業協會(NDIA)預測,到2025年,54%的私部門受訪者將供應鏈挑戰列為國防工業面臨的最迫切問題之一。這項數據表明,絕大多數製造商正苦於原料短缺,無法滿足現代國防合約規定的緊迫期限。在這些供應鏈壓力緩解之前,市場成長潛力將繼續受到限制,而這種限制並非源自於資金或需求不足,而是源自於生產投入的實際限制。
運動學和軌跡模擬誘餌的出現正在從根本上改變市場格局,使市場從傳統的被動熱源轉向主動式、可程式設計的消耗品。這些先進的對抗措施利用數位射頻記憶體和空氣動力學設計來模擬母機的飛行軌跡,從而有效地將複雜的飛彈從目標平台轉移開來。美國空軍正日益重視這些智慧消耗品,以抵消能夠區分普通煙霧彈和目標的現代探求者。這種轉變也體現在工業活動中。根據《防務郵報》2024年12月報道,美國海軍授予英國萊昂納多公司一份價值3300萬美元的契約,為其F-35機隊提供BriteCloud主動誘餌,這凸顯了美國海軍對這些下一代解決方案的依賴。
同時,與智慧自主散佈系統的整合,透過感測器融合最佳化了誘餌的效能。現代防禦系統能夠自主探測威脅,並精確計算誘餌投放時機,從而節省彈藥,並在敵方攻擊集中的環境中最大限度地提高生存能力。隨著各國升級傳統飛機以增強其智慧電子戰能力,這種自動化管理趨勢正在推動大量投資。根據薩博公司2025年11月發布的公告,該公司訂單一份價值5.49億歐元的訂單,將為其「Arexis」系統裝備德國的「颱風」戰鬥機。該系統旨在整合人工智慧驅動的感測器數據,並自主管理自衛措施。
The Global Decoy Flares Market is projected to expand from USD 2.39 Billion in 2025 to USD 3.49 Billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 6.51%. Decoy flares serve as pyrotechnic countermeasures intended to shield naval platforms and military aircraft by releasing intense heat sources that mislead infrared-homing missiles. This global market for expendables is primarily propelled by rising geopolitical instability and the critical need for nations to restock munitions stocks that were depleted during recent high-intensity conflicts. Furthermore, the extensive modernization of aerial defense fleets drives sustained procurement, as advanced aircraft platforms demand compatible and dependable defensive suites to guarantee survivability in contested airspace.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 2.39 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 3.49 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 6.51% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Pyrophoric Flares |
| Largest Market | North America |
However, the market faces a significant hurdle regarding supply chain volatility, particularly the shortage of specialized raw materials and chemical binders required for consistent pyrotechnic performance. These logistical limitations may restrict the capacity of manufacturers to quickly scale up production despite a rise in orders. The financial scale of this sector is evident in broader industrial growth; the Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe (ASD) reported that in 2025, the defense sector achieved a turnover of €183.4 billion for 2024, a 13.8% increase that highlights the intensified capital allocation toward force protection and combat readiness.
Market Driver
Increasing Global Defense Budgets and Military Expenditure act as a primary catalyst for the Global Decoy Flares Market, as nations prioritize fiscal allocations to bolster combat readiness. Governments are systematically increasing defense spending to tackle evolving security threats, directly supporting the procurement of expendable airborne countermeasures needed for fleet protection. This trend is quantified by the magnitude of recent investments; according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) in April 2024, total global military expenditure hit $2,443 billion in 2023, representing a 6.8% real-term increase from the prior year. Such elevated spending allows defense ministries to support long-term contracts for pyrotechnic decoys, ensuring air forces maintain high operational availability and platform survivability in an era of renewed state-on-state competition.
Simultaneously, Escalating Geopolitical Tensions and Regional Conflicts necessitate the rapid replenishment of decoy flare inventories exhausted by high-intensity engagements. The spread of hostilities has hastened the consumption rate of infrared countermeasures, compelling manufacturers to accelerate production to meet urgent operational needs. This surge is reflected in industrial performance; Rheinmetall reported in August 2024 that its Weapon and Ammunition division achieved sales of €1,054 million in the first half of 2024, a 93% increase driven largely by orders for Ukraine and Germany. This volatility specifically strengthens the countermeasures sector; Chemring Group noted in June 2024 that its Countermeasures & Energetics order book stood at £883 million as of April 30, 2024, underscoring the sustained global demand for defensive expendables.
Market Challenge
The primary challenge obstructing the Global Decoy Flares Market is supply chain volatility, specifically the acute shortage of specialized raw materials and chemical binders essential for pyrotechnic production. This logistical bottleneck directly hinders market growth by limiting manufacturers' ability to convert rising order backlogs into realized revenue. Despite the surge in demand for defensive countermeasures, the unavailability of critical inputs forces production lines to operate below optimal capacity, extending lead times and delaying the replenishment of vital munitions stocks. Consequently, the gap between geopolitical demand and industrial output widens, stalling actual market expansion despite strong funding.
The severity of this operational constraint is quantified by recent industry data. According to the National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA), in 2025, 54% of private sector respondents identified supply chain challenges as one of the most pressing issues facing the defense industrial base. This statistic highlights that a majority of manufacturers are grappling with material shortages that prevent them from meeting the aggressive delivery schedules required by modern defense contracts. Until these supply chain pressures alleviate, the market's potential for growth remains capped by the physical limitations of manufacturing inputs rather than a lack of capital or requirements.
Market Trends
The Emergence of Kinematic and Trajectory-Mimicking Decoys is fundamentally altering the market, shifting beyond traditional passive heat sources to active, programmable expendables. These advanced countermeasures utilize digital radio frequency memory and aerodynamic designs to simulate the flight profile of the host aircraft, effectively luring sophisticated missiles away from the platform. Air forces are increasingly prioritizing these intelligent expendables to defeat modern seekers capable of distinguishing simple pyrotechnics from the target. This shift is evidenced by industrial activity; according to The Defense Post in December 2024, the U.S. Navy awarded a $33 million contract to Leonardo UK to supply BriteCloud active decoys for the F-35 fleet, validating the reliance on these next-generation solutions.
Simultaneously, the Integration with Smart and Autonomous Dispensing Systems is optimizing decoy effectiveness through sensor fusion. Modern defensive suites autonomously detect threats and calculate the precise timing of flare deployment, conserving munitions and maximizing survivability in saturated environments. This trend toward automated management is driving significant capital commitment as nations upgrade legacy fleets with intelligent electronic warfare capabilities. According to Saab in November 2025, the company secured orders valued at €549 million to equip German Eurofighter aircraft with the Arexis suite, a system designed to integrate AI-driven sensor data to autonomously manage self-protection measures.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Decoy Flares Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Decoy Flares Market.
Global Decoy Flares Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: