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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2046718
燃氣渦輪機市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測:產能、技術、週期、產業、地區和競爭格局,2021-2031年Gas Turbine Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Capacity, By Technology, By Cycle, By Sector, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球燃氣渦輪機市場預計將從 2025 年的 306.4 億美元成長到 2031 年的 429.2 億美元,複合年成長率為 5.78%。
燃氣渦輪機是一種內燃機,它將儲存在液態或氣態燃料(最常見的是天然氣)中的化學能轉化為機械能,為發電機和工業機械提供動力。推動這項技術全球發展的,主要是新興經濟體電力需求的成長以及燃煤發電廠向更清潔的天然氣發電的大規模轉型。此外,隨著間歇性再生能源來源擴大併入國家電網,燃氣渦輪機提供的靈活且可擴展的發電能力對於維持系統穩定性至關重要。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 306.4億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 429.2億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 5.78% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 石油和天然氣 |
| 最大的市場 | 亞太地區 |
阻礙市場傳統成長的主要障礙之一是可再生能源技術的快速普及和嚴格的脫碳政策的實施,這威脅到石化燃料資產的利用。這種轉型正使燃氣渦輪機在許多已開發地區從主導轉變為輔助角色,為新的大型基礎設施項目帶來不確定性。根據歐洲電力協會(Eurelectric)預測,到2024年,清潔能源來源將佔歐盟發電量的72%。這是以金額為準最高的數字,凸顯了石化燃料發電的加速替代以及對燃氣渦輪機作為靈活備用資產運作的需求。
全球電力需求的不斷成長是燃氣渦輪機市場的主要驅動力,需要提高基本負載和尖峰時段功率輸出以維持經濟成長和電氣化進程。新興市場工業的快速擴張,加上高耗能資料中心和電動車的普及,給現有電力基礎設施帶來了沉重負擔,迫使電力公司增加火力發電裝置容量。根據國際能源總署(IEA)2024年7月發布的《電力中期年度報告》,預計2024年全球電力需求將成長約4%,這將是自2007年以來的最高增速(不包括疫情後的復甦期)。消費量的激增直接要求提高現有產能的利用率,以確保供電穩定。能源研究所的報告顯示,2024年全球天然氣發電量將成長2.5%。
可再生能源的間歇性併網從根本上改變了燃氣渦輪機的運作角色,使其能夠提供至關重要的電網平衡和穩定服務,從而進一步刺激了市場活動。隨著各國積極部署波動性較大的風能和太陽能,電網營運商越來越依賴燃氣渦輪機來提供靈活可調的備用電源,以便在可再生能源供不應求時快速調整輸出。這種從基本負載應用到尖峰負載應用的轉變刺激了設備採購需求,因為電力公司正在升級設備以適應高週期運作。因此,主要設備製造商的項目訂單激增。例如,西門子能源在2024年8月發布的2024年第三季公佈財報中指出,其瓦斯服務部門的訂單量比去年同期成長了一倍以上,這反映了熱備用電源在電網現代化改造中的關鍵作用。
可再生能源技術的加速普及和嚴格的脫碳政策的實施正直接阻礙全球燃氣渦輪機市場的成長。隨著各國政府和電力公司優先發展風能和太陽能發電以實現淨零排放目標,燃氣渦輪機正逐步從傳統的基本負載發電角色中被取代。這種轉變迫使燃氣資產主要作為間歇性備用電源運作,以穩定電網頻率,這顯著降低了運轉率和產生收入。因此,新建大型聯合循環燃氣渦輪機電廠的經濟可行性正在下降,投資者正在重新考慮對石化燃料基礎設施的長期資本投資,因為這些投資未來可能淪為「擱淺資產」。
這種結構性限制因素也反映在近期的發電指標中,清潔能源的市佔率正不斷擴大。根據國際能源總署(IEA)的預測,到2025年,全球燃氣發電量預計僅成長1.3%。在全球電力需求強勁的時期,如此有限的成長表明,再生能源來源將佔據新增電力需求的大部分,因此,燃氣渦輪機市場可能主要局限於維護和升級改造,而非新建設施。
隨著氫能燃氣渦輪機和氫混燒燃氣渦輪機架構的商業化進程不斷推進,製造商為應對日益嚴格的環境法規,力求確保其資產的未來,市場格局正在重塑。原始設備製造商 (OEM) 正積極開發能夠在高濃度氫氣環境下運作的燃燒系統,為電力公司提供一條在保持必要的可調發電能力的同時實現脫碳的途徑。這項技術變革透過使新舊燃氣渦輪機最終能夠從化石天然氣過渡到零碳燃料,而無需徹底更換基礎設施,從而解決了擱淺資產的財務風險。川崎重工在2024年4月發布的題為“GPB17MMX 1.8MW氫燃氣渦輪機榮獲‘2024年度氫能技術獎’”的新聞稿中指出,該公司憑藉其採用專有乾式燃燒技術、能夠100%使用氫燃料運行的1.8MW燃氣渦輪機,並獲得了重要的商業性里程碑,並獲得了行業的高度認可。
實現低碳基本負載電力的另一個關鍵趨勢是將碳捕獲、利用與儲存(CCUS)系統整合到燃氣渦輪機中。這項發展重點在於最佳化渦輪機排氣流量,並透過廢氣再循環(EGR)等技術提高二氧化碳濃度,從而降低捕獲過程的能源和資本密集度。透過將渦輪機和捕獲設備結合,營運商既可以繼續支援高能耗應用,又能滿足嚴格的淨零排放要求,否則石化燃料發電將無法實現。根據GE Vernova於2024年10月發布的題為《可改造的先進聯合循環系統整合以實現靈活的脫碳發電》的研究報告,將EGR系統整合到天然氣聯合循環發電廠中,可以將碳捕獲設施的總成本降低6%以上。
The Global Gas Turbine Market is projected to expand from USD 30.64 Billion in 2025 to USD 42.92 Billion by 2031, achieving a CAGR of 5.78%. A gas turbine functions as an internal combustion engine that transforms the chemical energy stored in liquid or gaseous fuels-most commonly natural gas-into mechanical energy used to power electrical generators or industrial machinery. The global advancement of this technology is primarily driven by the rising demand for electricity in developing economies and the widespread shift from coal-fired power stations to cleaner natural gas options. Additionally, the growing incorporation of intermittent renewable energy sources into national grids has established a crucial need for the flexible and dispatchable power generation that gas turbines provide to maintain system stability.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 30.64 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 42.92 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 5.78% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Oil & Gas |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
One major obstacle hindering the market's conventional growth is the swift adoption of renewable energy technologies and the implementation of strict decarbonization mandates, which threaten the utilization rates of fossil fuel assets. This transition pushes gas turbines into a supportive rather than a dominant role in many developed regions and generates uncertainty regarding new large-scale infrastructure projects. According to Eurelectric, in 2024, clean power sources accounted for 72 percent of the European Union's electricity generation, a record figure that emphasizes the accelerating displacement of fossil fuel generation and the evolving necessity for turbines to operate mainly as flexible backup assets.
Market Driver
Rising Global Electricity Demand acts as the fundamental driver for the gas turbine market, requiring increased baseload and peak power output to sustain economic growth and electrification. Rapid industrial expansion in emerging markets, combined with the energy-intensive proliferation of data centers and electric vehicles, has placed significant stress on existing power infrastructure, compelling utilities to increase thermal generation capacity. According to the International Energy Agency's 'Electricity Mid-Year Update' from July 2024, global electricity demand is projected to grow by approximately 4 percent in 2024, the fastest rate since 2007 excluding the post-pandemic recovery. This surge in consumption directly necessitates higher utilization of current assets to ensure supply adequacy; the Energy Institute reported that global natural gas-fired electricity generation rose by 2.5 percent in 2024.
The Integration of Intermittent Renewable Energy further stimulates market activity by fundamentally changing the operational role of gas turbines toward providing essential grid balancing and stability services. As nations aggressively install variable wind and solar capacity, grid operators are increasingly relying on gas turbines to supply flexible, dispatchable backup power capable of rapid ramp-up during renewable energy shortfalls. This shift from baseload to peaking applications has revitalized equipment procurement as utilities upgrade fleets to handle high-cyclic operations. Consequently, major equipment manufacturers are seeing a surge in project bookings; for instance, Siemens Energy noted in their 'Earnings Release Q3 FY 2024' from August 2024 that Gas Services orders more than doubled year-over-year, reflecting the critical need for thermal backup in modernizing grids.
Market Challenge
The accelerated deployment of renewable energy technologies and the enforcement of rigorous decarbonization mandates are directly impeding the growth of the global gas turbine market. As governments and utilities prioritize the installation of wind and solar capabilities to meet net-zero targets, gas turbines are systematically being displaced from their traditional baseload generation roles. This transition forces gas assets to operate primarily as intermittent backup units to stabilize grid frequency, a shift that significantly reduces their utilization rates and revenue generation. Consequently, the financial feasibility of commissioning new, large-scale combined cycle gas turbine plants is diminishing, leading investors to reconsider long-term capital commitments to fossil fuel infrastructure that risks becoming stranded.
This structural constraint is evident in recent generation metrics which highlight how clean energy is absorbing market share. According to the International Energy Agency, global gas-fired electricity generation is projected to increase by only 1.3 percent in 2025. This limited expansion, occurring during a period of robust global electricity demand, indicates that renewable energy sources are capturing the vast majority of new consumption requirements, thereby restricting the gas turbine market largely to maintenance and replacement activities rather than new capacity growth.
Market Trends
The commercialization of hydrogen-capable and hydrogen-blended turbine architectures is reshaping the market as manufacturers seek to future-proof assets against tightening environmental regulations. Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) are aggressively developing combustion systems capable of operating on high percentages of hydrogen, offering utilities a decarbonization pathway that preserves essential dispatchable generation capacity. This technological shift addresses the financial risk of stranded assets by ensuring that new and existing turbines can eventually transition from fossil natural gas to zero-carbon fuels without requiring complete infrastructure replacement. According to Kawasaki Heavy Industries, in the April 2024 press release 'GPB17MMX 1.8 MW Class Hydrogen Gas Turbine Wins Hydrogen Technology of the Year 2024', the company achieved a significant commercial milestone by receiving industry recognition for its 1.8 MW class gas turbine capable of 100 percent hydrogen fueling using novel dry-combustion technology.
The integration of Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) systems with gas turbines is simultaneously emerging as a critical trend to enable low-carbon baseload power. This development focuses on optimizing turbine exhaust streams, often through technologies like Exhaust Gas Recirculation (EGR), to increase carbon dioxide concentration and thereby lower the energy and capital intensity of the capture process. By coupling turbines with capture units, operators can continue to support energy-intensive applications while adhering to strict net-zero mandates that would otherwise preclude fossil-fuel operation. According to GE Vernova, in the October 2024 study 'Retrofittable Advanced Combined-Cycle Integration for Flexible Decarbonized Generation', the integration of an EGR system with a natural gas combined-cycle plant was found to reduce the total cost of the carbon capture facility by more than 6 percent.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Gas Turbine Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Gas Turbine Market.
Global Gas Turbine Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: