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市場調查報告書
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2046685

可再生航空燃料市場－全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會和預測：按技術、最終用戶、地區和競爭格局分類，2021-2031年

Renewable Aviation Fuel Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast Segmented By Technology, By End-User, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 185 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球可再生航空燃料市場（也稱為「永續航空燃料 (SAF)」）預計將從 2025 年的 73.9 億美元大幅成長至 2031 年的 778.5 億美元，複合年成長率高達 48.06%。

由於永續航空燃料 (SAF) 採用廢油、農業殘渣或生物來源製程等永續資源生產，因此與傳統的石化燃料噴射機燃料相比，它是對環境影響較小的替代方案。這一市場成長主要受各國政府嚴格監管的推動，例如歐盟旨在實現脫碳的「ReFuelEU」舉措，以及全球航空業到 2050 年實現淨零排放的承諾。這些監管壓力，加上企業本身的永續性目標，正促使航空公司採用低碳燃料，以最大限度地減少對環境的影響並達到國際排放標準。

市場概覽
預測期 2027-2031
市場規模：2025年 73.9億美元
市場規模：2031年 778.5億美元
複合年成長率：2026-2031年 48.06%
成長最快的細分市場 氫化酯和脂肪酸（HEFA）
最大的市場 北美洲

然而，儘管有強力的監管支持，永續航空燃料市場在供應和經濟可行性方面仍面臨許多障礙。根據國際航空運輸協會（IATA）的數據，預計到2025年，永續航空燃料（SAF）的產量僅190萬噸，僅佔全球噴射機燃料總消耗量的0.6%。這種有限的產能進一步加劇了成本高昂的問題。目前，永續航空燃料的價格遠高於傳統煤油，這反過來又阻礙了其普及，限制了市場的快速擴張。

市場促進因素

嚴格的政府法規和碳排放混合義務是市場成長的主要驅動力。世界各國政府正日益實施強制使用永續燃料的法律體制，這降低了生產商的需求面風險，並確保了永續的燃料來源。例如，英國已通過立法設定了雄心勃勃的目標，以加速這項轉型。英國運輸部發布的《永續航空燃料（SAF）強制令》指南規定，自2025年1月起，英國供應的所有噴射機燃料中必須有2%為永續燃料，到2030年這一比例將提高到10%。此類監管規定迫使燃料供應商迅速調整其供應鏈，從而鼓勵對生產基礎設施進行投資，而這些投資原本可能被認為風險過高。

此外，拓展策略夥伴關係和簽訂長期採購協議對於穩定市場商業性環境至關重要。航空公司透過多年期合約確保未來的供應，這為生產商提供了可預測的收入來源，從而為新建生產設施資金籌措。根據國際航空運輸協會（IATA）於2025年8月發布的報告《航空公司參與永續航空燃料（SAF）合約的增加》，全球已有81家航空公司宣布了總合170項採購協議。這些協議對於確保專案的財務可行性至關重要，同時也凸顯了航空公司面臨的巨大財務負擔。例如，到2026年，航空公司在永續航空燃料（SAF）上年度的總合支出將達到29億美元，這凸顯了維持這些夥伴關係關係和促進市場擴張所需的大量投資。

市場挑戰

永續航空燃料（SAF）供應有限是市場發展的主要障礙。儘管國際脫碳法規推動需求快速成長，但現有產能不足以滿足此需求，導致供需嚴重失衡。這種供不應求使得航空公司難以獲得日常營運所需的穩定燃料供應，從而限制了這些可再生燃料有效融入現有供應鏈。

因此，供應限制推高了價格，使永續航空燃料（SAF）成為許多航空公司的沉重經濟負擔。採購這些燃料成本的增加降低了與傳統石化燃料相比的競爭力，迫使航空公司增加營運支出。根據國際航空運輸協會（IATA）預測，即使到2024年，永續航空以金額為準的價格仍將比傳統噴射機燃料高出約三到五倍。如此顯著的價格溢價構成了經濟壁壘，阻礙了永續航空燃料的普及，並限制了全球市場近期擴張的潛力。

市場趨勢

電轉液（PtL）和合成電子燃料技術的商業化正在革新市場，解決了生質能生產面臨的原料短缺這一根本問題。與依賴廢油和農業殘渣等有限資源的傳統方法不同，PtL利用綠色氫氣和回收的二氧化碳生成液態烴，提供了潛在的無限且可擴展的供應來源。這項重大的技術進步正吸引大量機構投資，旨在加速大規模部署並克服初期成本障礙。例如，2024年9月，Infinium宣布獲得夥伴關係高達11億美元的策略性資金籌措，用於擴展其專有的eFuels平台，這是合成燃料基礎設施資金籌措的重要一步。

同時，與非航空公司簽訂的旨在減少範圍3排放的承購協議的增加，正在創造一條重要的額外收入來源，這條收入來源獨立於航空公司的直接採購。利用基於區塊鏈的「預訂-申領」供應鏈解決方案，包括金融機構和科技公司在內的眾多企業無需實際交付燃料即可獲得環境信用額度，從而抵消與旅行相關的排放。這種創新模式為該行業提供了即時資金，並支撐了超越監管合規性之外的需求，從而降低了生產商的專案風險。根據永續航空買家聯盟（SABA）2024年4月報告，一個全球企業聯盟已承諾在五年內投入約2億美元購買高可靠性的永續航空燃料（SAF）證書，這凸顯了企業買家日益成長的財務影響力。

目錄

第1章概述

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章：客戶心聲

第5章：全球可再生航空燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
    • 按金額
  • 市佔率及預測
    • 依技術分類（費托合成（FT）、氫化酯和脂肪酸（HEFA）、合成異構異烷烴（SIP）、醇制噴射（AtJ））
    • 依最終用戶（民用、國防、通用航空）分類
    • 按地區
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市場地圖

第6章：北美可再生航空燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 北美洲：國別分析
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第7章：歐洲可再生航空燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 歐洲：國別分析
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 西班牙

第8章：亞太地區可再生航空燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 亞太地區：國別分析
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韓國
    • 澳洲

第9章：中東和非洲可再生航空燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 中東與非洲：國別分析
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 南非

第10章：南美洲可再生航空燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 南美洲：國別分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥倫比亞
    • 阿根廷

第11章 市場動態

  • 促進因素
  • 任務

第12章 市場趨勢與發展

  • 併購
  • 產品發布
  • 近期趨勢

第13章：全球可再生航空燃料市場：SWOT分析

第14章：波特五力分析

  • 產業競爭
  • 新進入者的潛力
  • 供應商的議價能力
  • 顧客權力
  • 替代品的威脅

第15章 競爭格局

  • TotalEnergies SE
  • Neste Oyj
  • Swedish Biofuels AB
  • Red Rock Biofuels LLC
  • Gevo Inc.
  • Honeywell International Inc.
  • Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc.
  • Preston Corporation Pte Ltd.
  • LanzaTech Inc.
  • Shell plc

第16章 策略建議

第17章：關於研究公司及免責聲明

簡介目錄
Product Code: 23565

The global market for Renewable Aviation Fuel, also known as Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), is projected to expand significantly, from USD 7.39 Billion in 2025 to USD 77.85 Billion by 2031, demonstrating a robust Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 48.06%. SAF offers an environmentally cleaner substitute for traditional fossil-based jet fuel, being derived from sustainable sources like waste oils, agricultural residues, or non-biological synthetic processes. This market growth is primarily propelled by strict government mandates, such as the European Union's ReFuelEU initiative, aimed at decarbonization, alongside the global aviation industry's dedication to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050. These combined regulatory pressures and corporate sustainability objectives are driving airlines to adopt low-carbon fuels to minimize their environmental impact and meet international emission criteria.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 7.39 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 77.85 Billion
CAGR 2026-203148.06%
Fastest Growing SegmentHydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA)
Largest MarketNorth America

However, the market encounters considerable obstacles concerning the availability of supply and its economic feasibility, even with strong regulatory support. Data from the International Air Transport Association indicates that in 2025, sustainable aviation fuel production is anticipated to reach only 1.9 million tonnes, accounting for merely 0.6% of total global jet fuel consumption. This limited production capacity intensifies the issue of high costs, as SAF currently carries a substantial price premium over conventional kerosene, which consequently hinders its widespread adoption and limits the market's rapid expansion.

Market Driver

Strict government regulations and carbon blending mandates serve as the primary drivers propelling market growth. Governments worldwide are increasingly implementing legal frameworks that necessitate the use of sustainable fuels, which helps to reduce demand-side risks for producers and guarantees sustained procurement. For example, the United Kingdom has enacted ambitious targets via legislation to expedite this shift; as of January 2025, the 'Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Mandate' guidance from the U.K. Department for Transport mandates that 2% of all jet fuel supplied within the U.K. must be sustainable, with this requirement escalating to 10% by 2030. This regulatory clarity compels fuel suppliers to promptly adjust their supply chains, thereby stimulating investment in production infrastructure that might otherwise be deemed too speculative.

Furthermore, the expansion of strategic partnerships and long-term offtake agreements is crucial for stabilizing the commercial aspects of the market. Airlines are actively securing future supplies through multi-year contracts, which provide producers with the predictable revenue streams needed to finance new production facilities. A report from the International Air Transport Association in August 2025, 'Growing Airline Engagement in SAF Agreements,' indicated that 81 airlines globally have publicly announced a combined total of 170 offtake deals. While these agreements are vital for ensuring the financial viability of projects, they also underscore the considerable financial strain on carriers. For instance, in 2026, airlines collectively spent an additional USD 2.9 billion on sustainable aviation fuel in the preceding year, highlighting the significant financial investment required to sustain these partnerships and foster market scalability.

Market Challenge

The limited availability of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) presents a significant impediment to market advancement. Existing production capabilities are inadequate to meet the rapidly increasing demand, which is fueled by international mandates for decarbonization, resulting in a pronounced imbalance between supply and demand. This scarcity makes it difficult for airlines to obtain the reliable fuel volumes essential for their routine operations, consequently restricting the effective incorporation of these renewable fuels into current supply chains.

As a direct consequence, this constrained supply drives up prices, making SAF economically burdensome for many aviation operators. The elevated costs associated with acquiring these fuels diminish their competitive edge when compared to conventional fossil fuel alternatives, compelling airlines to bear increased operational expenditures. According to the International Air Transport Association, in 2024, sustainable aviation fuel continued to be priced roughly three to five times higher than traditional jet fuel. Such a considerable price premium acts as a financial disincentive, impeding widespread adoption and limiting the immediate expansion potential of the global market.

Market Trends

The commercialization of Power-to-Liquid (PtL) and synthetic e-fuel technologies is profoundly transforming the market by resolving the fundamental issue of feedstock scarcity that affects biomass-based production. In contrast to conventional methods that depend on finite resources like waste oils or agricultural residues, PtL generates liquid hydrocarbons from green hydrogen and captured carbon dioxide, presenting a potentially limitless and scalable supply. This significant technological advancement is currently drawing considerable institutional investment aimed at accelerating large-scale deployment and surmounting initial cost hurdles. For instance, Infinium announced in September 2024 that it secured a strategic funding partnership of up to USD 1.1 billion from Brookfield to scale its proprietary eFuels platform, representing a crucial step in financing synthetic fuel infrastructure.

Concurrently, the rise of non-airline corporate offtake agreements for Scope 3 emission reductions is creating an essential supplementary revenue source, separate from direct procurement by carriers. Utilizing blockchain-enabled 'Book-and-Claim' supply chain solutions, various corporations, including financial institutions and technology companies, are acquiring environmental attributes without requiring physical fuel delivery to offset their business travel emissions. This innovative model provides immediate capital to the sector and confirms demand beyond mere regulatory compliance, thereby reducing project risks for producers. As reported by the Sustainable Aviation Buyers Alliance in April 2024, a consortium of global corporations pledged nearly USD 200 million to purchase high-integrity SAF certificates over five years, highlighting the increasing financial influence of the corporate buyer segment.

Key Market Players

  • TotalEnergies SE
  • Neste Oyj
  • Swedish Biofuels AB
  • Red Rock Biofuels LLC
  • Gevo Inc.
  • Honeywell International Inc.
  • Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc.
  • Preston Corporation Pte Ltd.
  • LanzaTech Inc.
  • Shell plc

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Renewable Aviation Fuel Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Renewable Aviation Fuel Market, By Technology

  • Fischer-Tropsch (FT)
  • Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA)
  • Synthesized Iso-Paraffinic (SIP)
  • Alcohol-to-Jet (AtJ)

Renewable Aviation Fuel Market, By End-User

  • Commercial
  • Defense
  • General Aviation

Renewable Aviation Fuel Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Renewable Aviation Fuel Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Renewable Aviation Fuel Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Technology (Fischer-Tropsch (FT), Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA), Synthesized Iso-Paraffinic (SIP), Alcohol-to-Jet (AtJ))
    • 5.2.2. By End-User (Commercial, Defense, General Aviation)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Technology
    • 6.2.2. By End-User
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Technology
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By End-User
    • 6.3.2. Canada Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Technology
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By End-User
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Technology
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By End-User

7. Europe Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Technology
    • 7.2.2. By End-User
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Technology
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By End-User
    • 7.3.2. France Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Technology
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By End-User
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Technology
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By End-User
    • 7.3.4. Italy Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Technology
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By End-User
    • 7.3.5. Spain Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Technology
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By End-User

8. Asia Pacific Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Technology
    • 8.2.2. By End-User
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Technology
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By End-User
    • 8.3.2. India Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Technology
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By End-User
    • 8.3.3. Japan Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Technology
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By End-User
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Technology
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By End-User
    • 8.3.5. Australia Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Technology
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By End-User

9. Middle East & Africa Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Technology
    • 9.2.2. By End-User
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Technology
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By End-User
    • 9.3.2. UAE Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Technology
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By End-User
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Technology
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By End-User

10. South America Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Technology
    • 10.2.2. By End-User
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Technology
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By End-User
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Technology
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By End-User
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Renewable Aviation Fuel Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Technology
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By End-User

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Renewable Aviation Fuel Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. TotalEnergies SE
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Neste Oyj
  • 15.3. Swedish Biofuels AB
  • 15.4. Red Rock Biofuels LLC
  • 15.5. Gevo Inc.
  • 15.6. Honeywell International Inc.
  • 15.7. Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc.
  • 15.8. Preston Corporation Pte Ltd.
  • 15.9. LanzaTech Inc.
  • 15.10. Shell plc

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer