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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1970970
海上採礦市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測:依技術、金屬、地區和競爭格局分類,2021-2031年Marine Mining Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Technology, By Metal, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球海上採礦市場預計將從 2025 年的 40.6 億美元大幅成長至 2031 年的 242.6 億美元,複合年成長率達 34.71%。
該產業的核心在於從深海海底開採礦產資源,包括塊狀海底硫化物、多金屬結節和富鈷結殼。市場成長主要受兩大因素驅動:一是全球對可再生能源基礎設施和電動汽車電池所需關鍵金屬的需求不斷成長;二是陸上礦石品位下降。這正在加速各國和企業尋求替代能源,以保障能源安全和推動綠色轉型。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 40.6億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 242.6億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 34.71% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 遠程操作車輛 |
| 最大的市場 | 北美洲 |
然而,該產業在實施一項名為「礦業法」的綜合監管和環境管治框架方面面臨著許多障礙。這些國際礦業規則遲遲未能最終確定,給希望從探勘過渡到商業生產的相關人員帶來了不確定性。根據國際海底管理局統計,截至2024年,共有21家承包商持有30份與深海礦產探勘相關的契約,這表明該行業仍處於評估階段,仍在等待必要的法律澄清。
全球海上採礦市場的主要驅動力是電動車電池用金屬需求的激增。隨著汽車製造商加快生產以滿足脫碳目標,陸上鎳和鈷供應短缺,促使人們尋求高等級海底資源作為替代品。這種供需缺口在預測中也顯而易見。根據《加拿大礦業日誌》 2024年1月報道,到2030年,全球對銅和稀土元素的需求預計將增加40%。產業相關人員正透過投入大量資金用於採礦技術開發來應對市場波動,金屬公司在其2024年11月的最新報告中指出,探勘和評估成本高達1,180萬美元,便印證了這一點。
同時,各國為掌控礦產供應鏈所採取的策略性措施正在改變該領域的法規環境。各國政府優先考慮在國內採購關鍵礦產,以減少對外國供應商的依賴並降低地緣政治風險,這促使它們正式允許在公海以及專屬經濟區內進行探勘。路透社2024年1月報道,挪威議會通過一項決議,開放其28萬平方公里領海用於礦產探勘,這是這一趨勢的一個重要里程碑,也為國家主導的資源安全戰略樹立了先例。
阻礙全球海上採礦市場商業性發展的主要障礙是缺乏環境管治和法規結構,尤其是不完善的採礦法律。這種監管空白導致管治缺失,阻礙了營運商從探勘轉向採礦,並有效地抑制了該行業的產生收入潛力。由於缺乏關於環境限制、營運標準和特許權使用費支付的既定國際規則,礦業公司無法獲得商業性採礦所需的長期保險和資本投資,使其處於不確定狀態,在探勘和維護方面投入資金,卻無法獲得明確的盈利預測。
監管機構內部日益成長的環境和地緣政治反對意見加劇了這個問題,使僵局長期持續。據國際海底管理局(ISA)稱,截至2024年,已有32個成員國正式要求對深海採礦實施預防性暫停或暫停,這使得達成通過採礦法規所需的共識變得極其困難。這種日益加劇的外交阻力正在拖延採礦立法的最終定稿,並造成不穩定的法律環境,阻礙技術合作夥伴和機構投資者進入市場,從而凍結商業性成長的前景。
隨著克拉里昂-克利珀頓礦帶商業規模試點採礦試驗的加速推進,以及營運商轉向嚴格的經濟檢驗,該產業正日趨成熟。主要企業紛紛發布詳細的初步可行性研究報告,量化多金屬結核礦計劃的財務可行性,為商業營運樹立標竿。例如,根據《北方礦業報》2025年8月報道,金屬公司發布了NORI-D區塊的初步可行性研究報告,顯示其稅後淨現值為55億美元。即使在監管方面仍存在諸多不確定性,這也能為相關人員提供必要的經濟信心,從而做出最終的投資決策。
同時,深海礦產探勘計畫正逐漸轉向國家主導。這些項目是各國政府直接干預並確保重要礦產資源自給自足的措施。與在國際水域作業的私人公司不同,這些國家主導的舉措專注於在其專屬經濟區(EEZ)內開採資源,並正從政策階段過渡到實際操作階段,以降低地緣政治供應風險。根據《海洋學雜誌》2025年7月刊報道,日本政府已最終確定計畫於2026年1月在南鳥島附近海域啟動深海泥礦開採試驗。這標誌著一個並非純粹出於商業性動機,而是出於國家安全利益驅動的新興市場領域的建立。
The Global Marine Mining Market is projected to expand significantly, rising from USD 4.06 Billion in 2025 to USD 24.26 Billion by 2031, reflecting a CAGR of 34.71%. This sector centers on the harvesting of mineral resources like seafloor massive sulfides, polymetallic nodules, and cobalt-rich crusts from the deep ocean floor. The market's momentum is largely sustained by the escalating worldwide need for critical metals essential for renewable energy infrastructure and electric vehicle batteries, combined with the deteriorating quality of land-based ore grades, prompting nations and companies to seek alternative supplies for energy security and the green transition.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 4.06 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 24.26 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 34.71% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Remotely Operated Vehicles |
| Largest Market | North America |
However, the industry encounters a major hurdle regarding the implementation of a comprehensive regulatory and environmental governance framework, known as the Mining Code. The postponement in finalizing these international exploitation rules generates uncertainty for stakeholders wishing to move from exploration to commercial production. According to the International Seabed Authority, 21 contractors held 30 contracts for deep-sea mineral exploration in 2024, highlighting that the sector remains confined to the assessment stage while it awaits necessary legal clarification.
Market Driver
The primary force driving the global marine mining market is the skyrocketing demand for metals used in electric vehicle batteries. As car manufacturers accelerate production to meet decarbonization goals, the shortage of land-based nickel and cobalt supplies has fueled the pursuit of high-grade seabed alternatives. This disparity between supply and demand is highlighted by forecasts; according to the Canadian Mining Journal in January 2024, global demand for copper and rare earth metals is expected to increase by 40% by 2030. Industry participants are reacting by allocating substantial capital to develop extraction technologies despite market fluctuations, evidenced by The Metals Company reporting $11.8 million in exploration and evaluation expenses in their November 2024 update.
Concurrently, strategic efforts to achieve mineral supply chain sovereignty are transforming the regulatory environment of the sector. Governments are prioritizing the localization of critical mineral sourcing to lower reliance on foreign suppliers and mitigate geopolitical risks, leading nations to formally permit exploration within their exclusive economic zones rather than solely international waters. A significant milestone in this trend occurred when the Norwegian parliament, as reported by Reuters in January 2024, voted to open 280,000 square kilometers of national waters for mineral exploration, establishing a precedent for resource security strategies led by the state.
Market Challenge
The primary obstacle impeding the commercial advancement of the Global Marine Mining Market is the lack of a finalized environmental governance and regulatory framework, specifically the Mining Code. This regulatory gap creates a governance vacuum that hinders contractors from progressing from exploration to exploitation, effectively pausing the industry's potential for revenue generation. Without established international rules regarding environmental limits, operational standards, and royalty payments, mining firms are unable to secure the long-term insurance or capital investment needed for commercial extraction, leaving them in a state of uncertainty where cash is consumed by research and maintenance without a clear timeline for financial returns.
This issue is exacerbated by rising environmental and geopolitical opposition within the regulatory body, which extends the stalemate. According to the International Seabed Authority in 2024, 32 member nations officially called for a precautionary pause or moratorium on deep-sea mining, making the consensus required to adopt exploitation regulations significantly harder to achieve. This growing diplomatic resistance delays the Mining Code's finalization and indicates a volatile legal landscape that discourages technology partners and institutional investors from entering the market, thereby freezing its commercial growth prospects.
Market Trends
The sector is maturing through the acceleration of commercial-scale pilot mining tests in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone, as contractors shift toward rigorous economic validation. Leading industry players are issuing detailed pre-feasibility studies to quantify the financial viability of polymetallic nodule projects, creating a benchmark for commercial operations. For instance, The Northern Miner reported in August 2025 that The Metals Company released a prefeasibility study for its NORI-D block, showing an after-tax net present value of $5.5 billion, which provides stakeholders with the economic confidence needed to move toward final investment decisions despite ongoing regulatory uncertainties.
Simultaneously, there is a shift toward state-sponsored deep-sea mineral exploration programs, where governments intervene directly to ensure independence in critical minerals. Distinct from private companies targeting international waters, these state-led initiatives focus on extracting resources from their own Exclusive Economic Zones to reduce geopolitical supply risks, moving from policy phases to operational testing. As noted by Oceanographic Magazine in July 2025, the Japanese government has confirmed plans to begin deep-sea mud extraction trials near Minamitori Island by January 2026, establishing a market tier driven by sovereign security interests rather than purely commercial motives.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Marine Mining Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Marine Mining Market.
Global Marine Mining Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: