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市場調查報告書
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1970874

天然冷媒市場－全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測：按氣體類型、應用、地區和競爭對手分類，2021-2031年

Natural Refrigerants Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Gas, By Application, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 185 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球天然冷媒市場預計將從 2025 年的 24.4 億美元成長到 2031 年的 31.7 億美元，複合年成長率為 4.46%。

天然冷媒，包括氨、二氧化碳和碳氫化合物等天然物質，因其極低的全球暖化潛勢值和零臭氧消耗潛能值，在供暖和製冷系統中得到越來越廣泛的應用。這一市場成長的主要驅動力是嚴格的國際法規，這些法規要求逐步減少合成氟化化合物的使用。這迫使業界採用符合法規要求的替代品。此外，這些天然物質優異的動態性能有助於提高能源效率，從而促進商業和產業部門向天然冷媒轉型，以實現長期降低能源成本和脫碳目標。

市場概覽
預測期 2027-2031
市場規模：2025年 24.4億美元
市場規模：2031年 31.7億美元
複合年成長率：2026-2031年 4.46%
成長最快的細分市場 二氧化碳
最大的市場 歐洲

阻礙市場成長的一大障礙是訓練有素的技術人員嚴重短缺，他們能夠勝任這些系統固有的高壓要求和安全通訊協定。這種短缺會導致早期採用者面臨更長的安裝週期和更複雜的維護工作。儘管面臨這些挑戰，該行業仍在取得顯著進展。根據 ATMOphere 的數據，預計到 2024 年，北美採用超臨界二氧化碳系統的食品零售店數量將達到 4,100 家，年增 40%。

市場促進因素

逐步淘汰高全球暖化潛勢（GWP）氫氟碳化合物（HFCs）的嚴格國際法規的實施，是推動市場採用天然冷媒的主要動力。諸如《基加利修正案》和歐盟氟碳化合物法規等法律措施，正在系統性地限制合成冷媒的供應，迫使終端用戶升級或更換現有設備，採用符合法規要求的天然冷媒解決方案。這種法規環境正在推動重大變革，尤其是在那些即將禁止使用合成冷媒、且擁有雄心勃勃的永續性目標的地區，合規需求尤其迫切。根據ATMOsphere於2025年2月發布的《天然冷媒：2024年產業趨勢》報告，這項法律推動將促使歐洲90,700家食品零售店安裝超臨界二氧化碳系統，市場滲透率將達30%。

同時，全球對節能冷卻解決方案的需求日益成長，以降低營運成本，這成為推動轉型的重要動力，而與近期監管處罰無關。氨和二氧化碳等天然冷媒具有卓越的動態效率，能夠降低工業和商業設施的電力消耗和營運成本。對於注重最佳化生命週期成本的企業經營團隊而言，這些永續升級的投資回報正變得越來越有吸引力。根據美國環境調查署 (EIA) 2025 年 7 月發布的報告《應對氣候危機》，已實施這些系統的大型零售商的投資回收期為 4 至 10 年。此外，ATMOsphere 在 2025 年的報告中指出，歐洲已有 4,900 家工業設施正在使用超臨界二氧化碳系統，凸顯了該產業向經濟高效的溫度控管模式的轉變。

市場挑戰

天然冷媒廣泛應用的主要障礙在於，能夠應對高壓要求和特定安全通訊協定的熟練技術人員嚴重短缺。與傳統的合成冷媒不同，氨和二氧化碳等天然冷媒通常在極高壓力下運行，且具有易燃性，因此必須採取嚴格的安全措施和精確的控制。缺乏具備處理這些複雜技術所需的專業知識的人員會導致安裝計劃出現重大延誤，並增加運作風險。因此，商業和工業領域的終端用戶對這些系統的可靠性感到擔憂，並常常因為擔心長時間停機和維護支援不足而推遲對這些綠色技術的投資。

近期行業統計數據凸顯了監管目標與勞動力準備之間的差距。根據歐洲冷凍、空調和熱泵協會 (AREA) 發布的 2024 年數據，僅有 21% 的氟碳氣體 (F-gas) 認證技術人員接受過二氧化碳 (CO2) 處理方面的培訓，僅有 12% 接受過氨氣處理方面的培訓。這種專業技能的匱乏直接阻礙因素了市場擴張，因為在監管壓力日益增大、要求逐步淘汰氟化氣體的背景下，合格人員的供應無法滿足需求。

市場趨勢

自主型商用展示櫃中碳氫化合物冷媒的日益普及，正透過提高營運柔軟性和簡化基礎設施要求，徹底改變零售業的冷氣方式。與依賴龐大管道系統的集中式冷凍系統不同，這些即插即用型裝置採用小型封閉迴路，使用丙烷（R290）冷媒，從而實現模組化門市設計和便捷的維修流程。碳氫化合物卓越的動態效率進一步加速了這一轉變，使其在小規模應用中能夠顯著節能，且不受合成冷媒相關法規的限制。 ATMOsphere 於 2025 年 2 月發布的報告《天然冷媒：2024 年產業趨勢》清晰地展現了這項變革的規模，報告指出，歐洲市場將安裝約 1700 萬自主型碳氫化合物冷媒冷藏櫃，使其成為現代食品零售的標準技術。

同時，低填充氨冷卻技術在輕工業領域的應用正從根本上重塑大規模溫度控管的安全性。這些系統顯著減少了有效冷卻所需的冷媒用量，從而降低了通常與氨相關的有毒物質洩漏風險，使其適用於混合用途設施和人口密集區域。這項技術進步有利於工廠組裝的成套機組，與客製化機組相比，它們具有更優的品管和更快的現場試運行速度。市場數據顯示，這種更安全的系統正被廣泛採用；根據 ATMO Sphere 2025 年 2 月的報告，預計北美地區採用低填充氨製冷系統的工業設施數量將增至 1230 家，成套機組的安裝量將同比成長 38%。

目錄

第1章概述

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章：客戶心聲

第5章：全球天然冷媒市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
    • 按金額
  • 市佔率及預測
    • 依氣體種類（二氧化碳、氨氣、碳氫化合物、其他）
    • 按應用領域（冷藏庫、空調系統等）
    • 按地區
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市場地圖

第6章：北美天然冷媒市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 北美洲：國別分析
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第7章：歐洲天然冷媒市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 歐洲：國別分析
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 西班牙

第8章：亞太地區天然冷媒市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 亞太地區：國別分析
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韓國
    • 澳洲

第9章：中東和非洲天然冷媒市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 中東與非洲：國別分析
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 南非

第10章：南美洲天然冷媒市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 南美洲：國別分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥倫比亞
    • 阿根廷

第11章 市場動態

  • 促進因素
  • 任務

第12章 市場趨勢與發展

  • 併購
  • 產品發布
  • 近期趨勢

第13章：全球天然冷媒市場：SWOT分析

第14章：波特五力分析

  • 產業競爭
  • 新進入者的潛力
  • 供應商的議價能力
  • 顧客權力
  • 替代品的威脅

第15章 競爭格局

  • Linde
  • Danfoss
  • Bitzer
  • Emerson
  • Panasonic
  • GEA Group
  • Mayekawa
  • Daikin
  • Carrier
  • Gree

第16章 策略建議

第17章：關於研究公司及免責聲明

簡介目錄
Product Code: 2865

The Global Natural Refrigerants Market is projected to expand from USD 2.44 Billion in 2025 to USD 3.17 Billion by 2031, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.46%. Natural refrigerants, which include naturally occurring substances like ammonia, carbon dioxide, and hydrocarbons, are increasingly utilized in heating and cooling systems due to their negligible global warming potential and zero ozone depletion potential. The market is primarily propelled by rigorous international regulatory mandates requiring the phase-down of synthetic fluorinated gases, which obligates industries to adopt compliant alternatives. Furthermore, the exceptional thermodynamic characteristics of these natural substances contribute to improved energy efficiency, encouraging commercial and industrial sectors to transition as a means of reducing long-term energy costs and achieving decarbonization goals.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 2.44 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 3.17 Billion
CAGR 2026-20314.46%
Fastest Growing SegmentCarbon Dioxide
Largest MarketEurope

One notable barrier hindering faster market growth is the acute scarcity of technicians who are trained to manage the specialized high-pressure requirements and safety protocols inherent to these systems. This gap in the workforce can prolong installation schedules and complicate maintenance for early adopters. Despite these hurdles, the industry is experiencing significant progress; data from ATMOsphere indicates that in 2024, the number of food retail locations in North America utilizing transcritical CO2 systems rose to 4,100, marking a 40% increase over the prior year.

Market Driver

The enforcement of strict international regulations aimed at phasing out high-GWP hydrofluorocarbons acts as the primary accelerator for market adoption. Legislative measures, including the Kigali Amendment and the EU F-Gas Regulation, are systematically curtailing the supply of synthetic refrigerants, compelling end-users to upgrade or replace legacy infrastructure with compliant natural solutions. This regulatory environment has triggered a substantial shift driven by compliance needs, especially in regions with ambitious sustainability goals where bans on synthetics are approaching. As per the 'Natural Refrigerants: State of the Industry 2024' report by ATMOsphere in February 2025, this legislative drive has led to the installation of transcritical CO2 systems in 90,700 food retail stores across Europe, reaching a market penetration rate of 30%.

Simultaneously, the growing global demand for energy-efficient cooling solutions to lower operational expenditures provides a strong incentive for transition, independent of immediate regulatory fines. Natural refrigerants such as ammonia and carbon dioxide offer superior thermodynamic efficiency, resulting in reduced electricity usage and lower operating costs for industrial and commercial facilities. The return on investment for these sustainable upgrades is increasingly appealing to corporate leadership focused on optimizing lifecycle expenses. According to the July 2025 'Cooling the Climate Crisis' report by the Environmental Investigation Agency, major retailers adopting these systems have noted payback periods ranging from 4 to 10 years. Additionally, ATMOsphere reported in 2025 that 4,900 industrial sites in Europe are now using transcritical CO2 systems, highlighting the sector's move toward cost-efficient thermal management.

Market Challenge

A significant obstacle to the widespread uptake of natural refrigerants is the severe shortage of specialized technicians equipped to handle the unique high-pressure demands and safety protocols of these systems. Unlike traditional synthetic fluids, natural options like ammonia and carbon dioxide often function under extreme pressures or exhibit flammability, necessitating strict safety measures and precise management. When the available workforce lacks the specific competencies to navigate these technical intricacies, installation projects are subject to substantial delays and increased operational risks. As a result, commercial and industrial end-users face uncertainty regarding system reliability, frequently postponing investments in these green technologies due to concerns over extended downtime and insufficient maintenance support.

Recent industry statistics underscore the gap between regulatory goals and workforce preparedness. In 2024, the European association of refrigeration, air conditioning and heat pump (AREA) revealed that only 21% of personnel certified for F-gas were trained in Carbon Dioxide (CO2) handling, while merely 12% had training for Ammonia. This limited availability of specialized skills directly constrains the market's ability to expand, as the supply of qualified labor struggles to match the intensifying regulatory pressure to move away from fluorinated gases.

Market Trends

The increased use of hydrocarbons in self-contained commercial display units is revolutionizing retail cooling by delivering enhanced operational flexibility and simplifying infrastructure requirements. In contrast to centralized systems that depend on extensive piping, these plug-in units employ Propane (R290) within small, hermetically sealed circuits, facilitating modular store designs and smoother renovation processes. This transition is further hastened by the superior thermodynamic efficiency of hydrocarbons, which permits considerable energy conservation in smaller applications without the regulatory constraints linked to synthetic fluids. The magnitude of this shift is highlighted by ATMOsphere's February 2025 'Natural Refrigerants: State of the Industry 2024' report, which notes that the European market has installed roughly 17 million self-contained hydrocarbon cabinets, cementing the technology as a standard for modern food retail.

Concurrently, the integration of low-charge ammonia technology in light industrial sectors is fundamentally reshaping safety dynamics for large-scale thermal management. By significantly lowering the refrigerant inventory needed for effective cooling, these systems alleviate the toxic release risks typically associated with ammonia, rendering them suitable for facilities in mixed-use or densely populated areas. This technological progression favors factory-assembled packaged units, which offer superior quality control and more rapid onsite commissioning compared to custom-built plants. Market data reflects strong adoption of this safer architecture; according to the February 2025 ATMOsphere report, the number of industrial sites in North America using low-charge ammonia systems has risen to 1,230, with packaged unit installations experiencing a 38% year-over-year growth.

Key Market Players

  • Linde
  • Danfoss
  • Bitzer
  • Emerson
  • Panasonic
  • GEA Group
  • Mayekawa
  • Daikin
  • Carrier
  • Gree

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Natural Refrigerants Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Natural Refrigerants Market, By Gas

  • Carbon Dioxide
  • Ammonia
  • Hydrocarbons
  • Others

Natural Refrigerants Market, By Application

  • Refrigerators
  • Air Conditioning Systems
  • Others

Natural Refrigerants Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Natural Refrigerants Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Natural Refrigerants Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Gas (Carbon Dioxide, Ammonia, Hydrocarbons, Others)
    • 5.2.2. By Application (Refrigerators, Air Conditioning Systems, Others)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Gas
    • 6.2.2. By Application
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 6.3.2. Canada Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Application

7. Europe Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Gas
    • 7.2.2. By Application
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.2. France Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.4. Italy Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.5. Spain Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Application

8. Asia Pacific Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Gas
    • 8.2.2. By Application
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.2. India Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.3. Japan Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.5. Australia Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Application

9. Middle East & Africa Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Gas
    • 9.2.2. By Application
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 9.3.2. UAE Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Application

10. South America Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Gas
    • 10.2.2. By Application
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Application

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Natural Refrigerants Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Linde
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Danfoss
  • 15.3. Bitzer
  • 15.4. Emerson
  • 15.5. Panasonic
  • 15.6. GEA Group
  • 15.7. Mayekawa
  • 15.8. Daikin
  • 15.9. Carrier
  • 15.10. Gree

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer