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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1970736
生物液化天然氣市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測:依原料、應用、區域和競爭格局分類,2021-2031年Bio-LNG Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Source, By Application, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球生物液化天然氣市場預計將從 2025 年的 30.1 億美元成長到 2031 年的 42.1 億美元,複合年成長率達到 5.75%。
生物液化天然氣(Bio-LNG)是由有機廢棄物加工而成的液化生物甲烷,是一種直接的低碳再生能源來源,可取代傳統的液化天然氣。航運和重型貨物運輸行業嚴格的脫碳要求以及與現有全球液化天然氣基礎設施的無縫相容,是推動該市場成長的根本動力。 SEA-LNG報告指出,到2025年,液化天然氣雙燃料船舶將佔2024年訂購的替代燃料船舶總噸位的70%,這反映了產業正向相容型船隊技術強勁轉型。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 30.1億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 42.1億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 5.75% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 運輸燃料 |
| 最大的市場 | 亞太地區 |
儘管前景樂觀,但市場仍存在一個重大障礙:與石化燃料液化天然氣相比,其生產成本更高。生物液化天然氣的經濟可行性往往受到液化設施資本密集和有機原料供應分散等因素的限制。這些因素會限制其擴充性,並阻礙其在價格敏感型市場的推廣,尤其是在缺乏持續的監管獎勵來抵消經濟負擔的情況下。
航運業對合規低碳燃料日益成長的需求是生物液化天然氣(bio-LNG)市場成長的主要驅動力。隨著歐盟海事燃料舉措和歐盟排放交易體系(ETS)等對船舶營運商日益嚴格的脫碳義務,無需對引擎進行改造的即用型可再生燃料正迅速普及。這種法規環境提供了既能降低碳排放強度又能充分利用現有資產的合規解決方案,從而促進了生物液化天然氣的即時商業性化應用。例如,Gasum公司截至2025年3月的年度財務報告顯示,2024年液化天然氣燃料油銷售量較上年成長41%,這一成長主要得益於航運業對即時排放解決方案的需求。
同時,分銷網路和液化天然氣加註基礎設施的擴張正在有效消除廣泛應用的物流障礙。能源供應商和港口當局正在大力投資加註設施和液化能力,以確保國際貿易路線的供應安全。供應鏈的擴張對於將區域生物甲烷生產轉變為國際貿易商品至關重要。根據歐洲生物氣體協會(EBA)於2024年12月發布的《2024年統計報告》,到當年第一季度,歐洲生物甲烷的年產能已達64億立方公尺。此外,SEA-LNG報告稱,到2025年,全球將有198個港口提供液化天然氣加註服務,確保主要國際航運樞紐擁有可靠的加註選擇。
全球生物液化天然氣市場的主要障礙在於液化生物甲烷的生產成本遠高於傳統化石燃料。造成這種價格差距的主要原因是有機原料供應鏈分散以及開發先進液化基礎設施需要大量資金投入。與石化燃料開採不同,有機廢棄物的收集和處理尚未實現規模經濟效益,因此生物液化天然氣的最終單價對許多注重成本的業者而言仍然很高。由此,這種經濟劣勢限制了生物液化天然氣在重型運輸和航運領域的即時普及,因為這些產業的運作利潤率較低,燃料成本佔總成本的很大一部分。
這一價格差距直接阻礙了生物液化天然氣(bio-LNG)的市場擴張,儘管監管機構呼籲脫碳,但生物液化天然氣仍難以成為主流燃料來源。面對顯著的價格溢價,船隊業者往往不願簽訂長期可再生燃料合約。正如SEA-LNG在2024年7月報告的那樣,生物液化天然氣的價格根據原料和溫室氣體減排量的不同,在每吉焦21美元至60美元之間波動,而傳統液化天然氣燃料油的交易價格約為每吉焦12美元。這些數據表明,可再生替代燃料的成本已經加倍甚至五倍,凸顯了目前阻礙其在全球市場更廣泛商業性擴張的嚴重經濟摩擦。
分散式液化系統的出現正在重塑市場供應結構,它使得沼氣能夠在原料產地直接轉化為高密度燃料。這一趨勢使得農業和市政設施能夠直接作為能源供應商,最大限度地減少了將有機廢棄物運輸到集中式處理設施所帶來的物流效率低下和成本。透過將先進的液化技術直接整合到本地生產基地,營運商可以釋放先前因電網限制而無法利用的區域潛力。根據《生質能源國際》2025年9月報道,St1 Biocraft公司在瑞典新建的Monsteras生產廠已運作,採用這種社區模式,其液化生物甲烷年產能約為138吉瓦時。
同時,物流船隊與生產商之間建立的策略性承購夥伴關係正在降低商業風險並加速市場成熟。這些長期夥伴關係為生產商提供了必要的收入保障,以確保其最終的投資決策,同時也保證了船隊營運商能夠獲得充足且可追溯的燃料供應,從而滿足嚴格的脫碳義務。從波動劇烈的現貨交易轉向具有約束力的合約框架,對於航運業廣泛採用可再生燃料至關重要。例如,Titan Clean Fuels公司報告稱,該公司於2025年3月在澤布呂赫港執行了一項重要作業,根據與三井海洋工程株式會社(MOL)簽訂的新的多次交付契約,向汽車裝運船隻“Celeste Ace”號交付了500噸生物液化天然氣。
The Global Bio-LNG Market is projected to expand from USD 3.01 Billion in 2025 to USD 4.21 Billion by 2031, achieving a CAGR of 5.75%. Bio-LNG, which is liquefied biomethane derived from processing organic waste, serves as a direct, low-carbon renewable substitute for traditional liquefied natural gas. The market's trajectory is fundamentally underpinned by strict decarbonization mandates within the maritime and heavy transport sectors, alongside the fuel's seamless compatibility with existing global LNG infrastructure. Highlighting this demand, SEA-LNG reported in 2025 that LNG dual-fueled vessels represented 70% of the alternative-fueled tonnage ordered in 2024, reflecting a strong industrial shift toward compatible fleet technologies.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 3.01 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 4.21 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 5.75% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Transportation Fuel |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
Despite this positive outlook, the market encounters a substantial obstacle in the form of high production costs compared to fossil-based equivalents. The economic feasibility of Bio-LNG is often hindered by the capital-intensive nature of liquefaction facilities and the fragmented availability of organic feedstock. These factors can restrict scalability and impede adoption in price-sensitive markets, particularly in the absence of sustained regulatory incentives to offset the financial burden.
Market Driver
The escalating demand for compliant low-carbon fuels within the maritime industry acts as a primary catalyst for the growth of the bio-LNG market. As shipping operators encounter increasingly rigorous decarbonization mandates, such as the FuelEU Maritime initiative and the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS), there is a rapid shift toward drop-in renewable fuels that do not require engine retrofits. This regulatory environment has driven immediate commercial uptake, offering a compliant method to lower carbon intensity while utilizing existing assets. For instance, Gasum's annual financial review in March 2025 noted a 41% year-on-year rise in LNG bunker sales during 2024, a surge largely attributed to the maritime sector's need for immediate emissions abatement solutions.
Simultaneously, the broadening of distribution networks and LNG refueling infrastructure is effectively removing logistical barriers to widespread adoption. Energy providers and port authorities are investing heavily in bunkering facilities and liquefaction capacity to guarantee supply security for global trade routes. This scaling of the supply chain is crucial for transforming regional biomethane production into a globally traded commodity. According to the European Biogas Association's "Statistical Report 2024" from December 2024, installed biomethane production capacity in Europe reached 6.4 bcm per year by the first quarter of that year. Furthermore, SEA-LNG reported in 2025 that LNG bunkering services are now available in 198 ports worldwide, ensuring reliable refueling options at major international shipping hubs.
Market Challenge
A major impediment to the Global Bio-LNG Market is the elevated cost of producing liquefied biomethane compared to conventional fossil-based natural gas. This price disparity is largely caused by the disjointed nature of organic feedstock supply chains and the capital-intensive requirements for developing advanced liquefaction infrastructure. Unlike fossil fuel extraction, the collection and processing of organic waste have not yet achieved comparable economies of scale, keeping the final unit cost of Bio-LNG prohibitively high for many cost-conscious operators. Consequently, this economic disadvantage limits the fuel's immediate adoption in the heavy transport and maritime sectors, where operating margins are often tight and fuel expenditures constitute a significant portion of costs.
This pricing differential creates a direct barrier to market scalability, preventing Bio-LNG from becoming a dominant fuel source despite regulatory pressures to decarbonize. Fleet operators are often hesitant to commit to long-term renewable fuel contracts when facing a significant price premium. As reported by SEA-LNG in July 2024, the price of bio-LNG varied between USD 21 and USD 60 per gigajoule depending on feedstock and greenhouse gas savings, whereas conventional LNG bunker fuel traded at approximately USD 12 per gigajoule. This data illustrates a two-to-five-fold cost increase for the renewable alternative, highlighting the severe economic friction that currently hampers the broader commercial expansion of the global market.
Market Trends
The emergence of decentralized liquefaction systems is reshaping the market's supply structure by allowing biogas to be converted into high-density fuel directly at the point of feedstock generation. This trend enables agricultural and municipal hubs to act as direct energy suppliers, thereby minimizing the logistical inefficiencies and costs associated with transporting raw organic waste to centralized processing facilities. By integrating advanced liquefaction technology directly into local production sites, operators can unlock significant regional capacities that were previously stranded due to grid limitations. According to Bioenergy International in September 2025, St1 Biokraft inaugurated its new Monsteras production plant in Sweden, utilizing this localized model to reach an annual production capacity of approximately 138 GWh of liquefied biomethane.
In parallel, the formation of strategic offtake alliances between logistics fleets and producers is mitigating commercial risks and accelerating market maturation. These long-term partnerships provide producers with the revenue certainty required to secure final investment decisions while guaranteeing fleet operators access to compliant, traceable fuel volumes for strict decarbonization mandates. This shift from volatile spot trading to committed contractual frameworks is essential for scaling the adoption of renewable fuels in the maritime sector. For example, Titan Clean Fuels reported in March 2025 that it executed a significant operation under a new multi-delivery contract with Mitsui O.S.K. Lines (MOL), delivering 500 tons of bio-LNG to the vehicle carrier Celeste Ace in the Port of Zeebrugge.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Bio-LNG Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Bio-LNG Market.
Global Bio-LNG Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: