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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1968464
軍艦和海軍艦艇市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會和預測:按營運類型、應用類型、最終用途類型、地區和競爭格局分類,2021-2031年Warship and Naval Vessels Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Operation Type, By Application Type, By End Use Type, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球軍艦和海軍艦艇市場預計將從 2025 年的 703.4 億美元成長到 2031 年的 1,043.2 億美元,複合年成長率為 6.79%。
此領域涵蓋專為水面作戰、潛艦作戰和海上安全而設計的專用軍事平台,包括驅逐艦、護衛艦和航空母艦等艦艇。市場成長的主要驅動力是日益加劇的地緣政治緊張局勢以及保護全球貿易航線免受非對稱海上威脅的戰略需求。此外,各國正在優先推進艦隊現代化計畫,致力於用能夠在衝突地區持續作戰的多用途作戰艦艇替換老舊艦艇。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 703.4億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 1043.2億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 6.79% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 地面車隊 |
| 最大的市場 | 北美洲 |
根據國際戰略研究所(IISS)的預測,到2024年,全球國防費用預計將達到2.46兆美元,凸顯了支持海軍籌資策略的巨額財政投入。然而,造船和全壽命週期維護的巨額成本對市場構成了重大障礙。這些高昂的財政負擔往往迫使各國海軍減少採購量並推遲關鍵採購計劃,嚴重阻礙了市場擴張。
全球國防預算和海軍採購規模的不斷擴大是市場成長的主要驅動力,背後是各國為應對感知到的海上威脅和維護領土利益而採取的緊急行動。尤其是在印太地區地緣政治緊張局勢不斷升級的背景下,各國政府正投入創紀錄的資金購買先進的水面作戰艦艇和潛水艇。例如,根據亞洲新聞台2025年3月報道,中國宣布將年度國防預算增加7.2%,達到約2,456億美元(1.78兆元),顯然旨在加速中國人民解放軍海軍的現代化建設。這種資本支出的激增引發了區域競爭對手之間的相互投入,形成了一個持續的高價值海軍合約循環。作為這種被動採購趨勢的一個例子,根據美國海軍學會新聞網 2024 年 12 月報道,日本政府核准了2025 會計年度創紀錄的 8.7 兆日元(約合 551 億美元)國防預算,重點是採購新的護衛艦和配備Aegis系統的艦艇。
同時,自主系統和無人系統的融合正在從根本上改變艦艇設計和作戰理論。海軍部隊正加速從完全依賴有人艦艇轉向混合部隊結構,利用無人水面載具和水下艦艇執行危險的情報收集、監視和偵察任務。這種技術變革降低了人員風險,同時產生了倍增效應,提高了艦隊在爭議水域部署的成本效益。澳洲海軍與安杜里爾澳洲公司簽訂的價值17億澳元的合約就是一個佐證這一趨勢的重要例子,該合約用於製造一支名為「幽靈鯊」的超大型自主水下艦艇艦隊,正如《海軍新聞》2025年9月報道的那樣。此類投資表明,自主平台正從實驗原型走向核心採購項目,為海軍製造業創造了一個新的高成長收入來源。
造船和全壽命週期維護的巨額成本是海軍艦艇行業擴張的主要障礙。開發現代作戰平台需要整合複雜的結構和電子系統,這顯著推高了單位成本。日益沉重的財政負擔常常迫使國防部修改其籌資策略,導致訂單減少和艦隊現代化計畫延長。這種財政壓力限制了造船廠的目標市場,因為有限的預算被用於建造數量更少、價格更高的船隻,而不是建造更多的新船。
這些不斷上漲的成本的影響在近期的估值中顯而易見。據美國海軍學會(USNI)稱,預計到2024年完成首艘衛星群級護衛艦的建造費用已升至約16億美元。如此飆升的成本迫使海軍將資金用於維護現有艦艇,而非購買新艦。因此,採購和長期維護的高昂資金門檻直接阻礙了市場的整體成長。
艦載定向能量武器的研發和部署正迅速引起各國海軍的關注,他們正尋求一種經濟高效的解決方案來應對無人機和飛彈的飽和攻擊。傳統的動態攔截系統資源密集且彈藥容量有限,而高能量雷射和微波系統則具有彈藥容量巨大且單發成本極低的優勢。這種作戰方式的轉變為國防企業提供了一個重要機遇,使其能夠將高功率武器系統整合到現有的水面作戰艦艇中,尤其是在更經濟高效地應對空中威脅方面。作為這項戰略轉變的佐證,英國國防部於2025年11月在「龍火雷射武器合約公告」中授予MBDA英國公司一份價值3.16億英鎊的合約。該合約明確旨在為英國45型驅逐艦配備高功率雷射武器,以增強艦隊抵禦複雜空中目標的能力。
同時,混合動力推進和不依賴空氣推進系統的轉型正在透過提升聲學隱身性和作戰續航能力,徹底改變水下和水面作戰領域。各國海軍對推進解決方案的需求日益成長,這些方案既能延長水下航程,又能降低熱訊號和聲學特徵,迫使製造商在燃料電池和鋰離子電池技術方面進行創新。這種對先進推進能力的需求,為那些致力於艦隊現代化改造,使其能夠在競爭激烈的環境中作戰而無需頻繁浮出水面的專業造船商帶來了前所未有的工作量。例如,蒂森克虜伯海事系統公司在其2025年5月發布的「2024/2025會計年度半年度財務報告」中宣布,其訂單累積訂單已達到創紀錄的161億歐元。這主要得益於配備不依賴空氣推進系統的潛艦契約,例如212CD型和218SG型潛艦項目。
The Global Warship and Naval Vessels Market is projected to expand from USD 70.34 Billion in 2025 to USD 104.32 Billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 6.79%. This sector encompasses specialized military platforms engineered for surface warfare, submarine missions, and maritime security, including assets such as destroyers, frigates, and aircraft carriers. The market's growth is primarily fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions and the strategic necessity of protecting global trade routes against asymmetric maritime threats. Additionally, nations are prioritizing fleet modernization initiatives to replace aging hulls with versatile combatants capable of sustained operations in contested environments.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 70.34 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 104.32 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 6.79% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Surface Fleet |
| Largest Market | North America |
According to the 'International Institute for Strategic Studies', global defence spending reached USD 2.46 trillion in 2024, highlighting the substantial fiscal commitment supporting naval procurement strategies. However, the market faces a significant hurdle due to the exorbitant costs associated with shipbuilding and lifecycle maintenance. These high financial burdens often compel navies to scale back procurement volumes or delay critical acquisition schedules, creating a substantial barrier to broader market expansion.
Market Driver
The Expansion of Global Defense Budgets and Naval Procurement serves as the primary engine for market growth, driven by nations rushing to counter perceived maritime threats and secure territorial interests. As geopolitical friction intensifies, particularly in the Indo-Pacific, governments are allocating record funding to acquire advanced surface combatants and submarines. For instance, according to Channel News Asia in March 2025, China announced a 7.2 percent increase in its annual defense budget to approximately USD 245.6 billion (1.78 trillion yuan), explicitly aiming to accelerate the modernization of the People's Liberation Army Navy. This surge in capital expenditure triggers reciprocal spending among regional rivals, creating a sustained cycle of high-value naval contracting. Illustrating this reactive procurement trend, according to USNI News in December 2024, the Japanese Cabinet approved a record-breaking defense budget of 8.7 trillion yen (approximately USD 55.1 billion) for Fiscal Year 2025, heavily emphasizing the acquisition of new frigates and Aegis-equipped vessels.
Simultaneously, the Integration of Autonomous and Unmanned Systems is fundamentally reshaping naval architecture and operational doctrines. Navies are increasingly moving away from exclusively manned fleets toward hybrid force structures that utilize unmanned surface and underwater vehicles for dangerous intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions. This technological shift reduces risk to personnel while offering a cost-effective multiplier for fleet presence in contested waters. A significant validation of this trend occurred when, according to Naval News in September 2025, the Royal Australian Navy awarded a contract worth AUD 1.7 billion to Anduril Australia to manufacture a fleet of 'Ghost Shark' extra-large autonomous undersea vehicles. Such investments confirm that autonomous platforms are transitioning from experimental prototypes to core acquisition programs, generating a new, high-growth revenue stream within the naval manufacturing sector.
Market Challenge
The exorbitant costs associated with shipbuilding and lifecycle maintenance constitute a substantial barrier to the expansion of the naval vessels sector. Developing modern combat platforms requires the integration of complex structural and electronic systems, significantly driving up unit prices. As these financial demands intensify, defense departments are frequently forced to revise procurement strategies, often resulting in reduced order volumes or the postponement of fleet modernization initiatives. This fiscal pressure limits the addressable market for shipyards, as finite budgets are consumed by fewer, more expensive assets rather than a larger number of new hulls.
The impact of these rising expenses is evident in recent valuations. According to the 'U.S. Naval Institute', in '2024', the estimated cost to complete the lead ship of the Constellation-class frigate program rose to approximately USD 1.6 billion. Such cost escalations compel navies to divert capital toward sustaining existing inventory rather than acquiring new vessels. Consequently, the high financial threshold for acquisition and long-term sustainment directly impedes the overall growth trajectory of the market.
Market Trends
The Development and Deployment of Ship-Based Directed Energy Weapons is rapidly gaining traction as navies seek cost-effective solutions to counter saturation attacks from drones and missiles. Unlike traditional kinetic interceptors which are resource-intensive and limited by magazine capacity, high-energy lasers and microwave systems offer a deep magazine with a negligible cost-per-shot ratio. This operational pivot is creating substantial opportunities for defense contractors to integrate power-dense weapon systems onto existing surface combatants, specifically to neutralize aerial threats with greater financial efficiency. Validating this strategic shift, according to the UK Ministry of Defence in November 2025, in the 'DragonFire Laser Contract Announcement', the government awarded a contract worth GBP 316 million to MBDA UK to install these high-power laser weapons on Royal Navy Type 45 destroyers, explicitly aiming to bolster fleet protection against complex aerial targets.
Simultaneously, the Transition to Hybrid-Electric and Air-Independent Propulsion Systems is revolutionizing the underwater and surface domains by enhancing acoustic stealth and operational endurance. Navies are increasingly demanding propulsion solutions that reduce thermal and acoustic signatures while extending submerged range, driving manufacturers to innovate in fuel cell and lithium-ion battery technologies. This demand for advanced propulsion capabilities is generating record operational activity for specialized shipbuilders who are modernizing fleets to operate in contested environments without frequent surfacing. For instance, according to thyssenkrupp Marine Systems in May 2025, in the 'Half-Year Financial Report 2024/2025', the company secured a record order backlog of EUR 16.1 billion, largely fueled by contracts for Air-Independent Propulsion equipped submarines such as the Type 212CD and Type 218SG programs.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Warship and Naval Vessels Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Warship and Naval Vessels Market.
Global Warship and Naval Vessels Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: