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市場調查報告書
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1968419

長期照護市場－全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會和預測：按服務、支付方、地區和競爭對手分類，2021-2031年

Long-Term Care Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Service, By Payer, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 185 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球長期照護市場預計將從 2025 年的 1.23 兆美元成長到 2031 年的 1.83 兆美元，複合年成長率為 6.81%。

長期照護是指為因慢性疾病或殘疾而難以獨立進行日常活動的個人提供的各種醫療和非醫療支援服務。全球人口快速老化和慢性病發病率不斷上升是推動這一市場發展的主要因素，這兩者都需要持續的專業支援和專門的住宅。因此，人們對超越短期醫療解決方案的護理基礎設施的需求正在穩步成長。

市場概覽
預測期 2027-2031
市場規模：2025年 1.23兆美元
市場規模：2031年 1.83兆美元
複合年成長率：2026-2031年 6.81%
成長最快的細分市場 居家醫療
最大的市場 北美洲

另一方面，由於合格人員嚴重短缺，市場面臨許多障礙，不僅阻礙了營運能力，也限制了市場擴張。勞動力短缺使得醫療機構即使在服務需求旺盛的情況下也難以接收新患者。根據美國醫療保健協會2024年的數據，嚴重的勞動力短缺迫使46%的醫療機構限制了新病患的接收。因此，服務供給與病患需求之間的差距仍然是限制市場整體擴張的主要障礙。

市場促進因素

全球長期照護市場的主要結構性促進因素是老年人口的快速成長和慢性病盛行率的上升。隨著預期壽命的延長，越來越多的人需要持續的專業照護，例如失智症和與老齡化相關的殘疾。這種人口結構的變化正促使照護模式從臨時性急性照護轉向長期支持，從而顯著增加了居家照護和居住機構的使用率。根據阿茲海默症協會於2024年3月發布的報告《2024年阿茲海默症狀況》，屆時將有約690萬65歲及以上的美國人患有老年失智症失智症，這凸顯了對專業護理基礎設施日益成長的需求。

同時，遠端監測、遠端保健和智慧護理技術的進步正在透過簡化護理服務流程和加速居家養老策略，改變市場運作模式。這些技術對於緩解勞動力短缺至關重要，因為它們能夠實現日常監測的自動化，並在不影響安全性的前提下管理更大規模的病患小組。醫療保健領導者正在積極採用這些數位化工具來最佳化資源配置。例如，根據飛利浦於2024年6月發布的《2024年未來健康指數》報告，85%的醫療保健領導者正在投資或計劃投資生成式人工智慧，以支援臨床決策並最佳化工作流程。這項技術變革伴隨著顯著的財務成長。美國醫療保險和醫療補助服務中心（CMS）於2024年6月發布的《2023-2032年國家醫療支出》報告預測，國家醫療支出將以每年平均5.6%的速度成長，凸顯了這些醫療保健需求日益成長的財務負擔。

市場挑戰

全球長期照護市場面臨的主要結構性障礙是合格人員嚴重短缺。這種短缺直接限制了營運能力，因為它使機構無法維持安全標準要求的強制性醫護人員與病患比例。因此，儘管尋求照護的患者人數不斷增加，但機構往往被迫凍結床位或縮減服務範圍，從而有效地限制了其收入潛力。

這種短缺進一步削弱了財務永續性，因為營運商被迫依賴高成本的臨時工來滿足最低人員配備要求，從而顯著增加了營運成本。由此導致的利潤率下降造成了不穩定的環境，阻礙了資本投資和新進者。根據美國醫療保健協會 (AHCA) 2024 年的一項調查，超過 66% 的醫療機構表示，如果這些勞動力問題持續下去，它們可能會倒閉。這種不穩定性有可能導致市場基礎設施​​萎縮，阻礙供應方擴大到足以充分滿足不斷成長的全球需求的規模。

市場趨勢

居家照護模式的興起，以及老年人能夠在熟悉的環境中生活，正在從根本上改變著服務模式。這種轉變的驅動力在於消費者對非機構式照護環境而非傳統機構的強烈偏好。隨著居家照護需求的成長，這項變化正在改變市場的經濟結構，並促使人們重新評估資源分配和服務品質。居家照護的普及給服務供應帶來了嚴峻的壓力，導致個人照護服務成本顯著上升，因為服務提供者正努力擴大服務團隊以滿足分散的需求。根據Genworth Financial於2025年3月發布的《2024年護理成本調查》，居家護理服務的年度成本中位數預計將上漲10%，達到75,504美元，這反映了護理消費結構轉變帶來的經濟負擔加重。

此外，引入輔助機器人來支援護理工作，標誌著營運支援領域的重大變革，它超越了簡單的數位監控，實現了物流和實體工作流程的自動化。與被動式感測器系統不同，主動式機器人解決方案正被用來協助完成體力勞動強度大的任務，從而減輕工作人員的負擔，並確保嚴格遵守護理通訊協定。即使在人員配備波動的情況下，這種應用也能維持高水準的患者關注，從而帶來可衡量的臨床效益。根據資訊科技創新基金會 (ITIF) 於 2024 年 11 月發布的報告《本週事實：護理機構中的機器人》，實施機器人系統的機構發現，居民壓瘡發生率降低了 26%，這表明物理自動化直接影響著長期照護的品質。

目錄

第1章概述

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章：客戶心聲

第5章：全球長期照護市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
    • 按金額
  • 市佔率及預測
    • 服務類別（居家醫療、臨終關懷/安寧療護、護理服務、輔助住宅、其他）
    • 依支付主體（公共、私人、自籌資金）分類
    • 按地區
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市場地圖

第6章：北美長期照護市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 北美洲：國別分析
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第7章：歐洲長期照護市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 歐洲：國別分析
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 西班牙

第8章：亞太地區長期照護市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 亞太地區：國別分析
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韓國
    • 澳洲

第9章：中東和非洲長期照護市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 中東與非洲：國別分析
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 南非

第10章：南美洲長期照護市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 南美洲：國別分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥倫比亞
    • 阿根廷

第11章 市場動態

  • 促進因素
  • 任務

第12章 市場趨勢與發展

  • 併購
  • 產品發布
  • 近期趨勢

第13章：全球長期照護市場：SWOT分析

第14章：波特五力分析

  • 產業競爭
  • 新進入者的潛力
  • 供應商的議價能力
  • 顧客權力
  • 替代品的威脅

第15章 競爭格局

  • Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
  • Sunrise Senior Living（Red Fox Holding Corporation）
  • Kindred Healthcare（Knight Health Holdings, LLC）
  • Genesis Healthcare, Inc.
  • Extendicare Inc.
  • Capital Senior Living Corporation
  • Diversicare Healthcare Services, Inc.
  • Home Instead, Inc.
  • Senior Care Centers, LLC
  • Atria Senior Living, Inc.

第16章 策略建議

第17章：關於研究公司及免責聲明

簡介目錄
Product Code: 23404

The Global Long-Term Care Market is projected to expand from USD 1.23 Trillion in 2025 to USD 1.83 Trillion by 2031, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 6.81%. Long-term care involves a wide spectrum of medical and non-medical support tailored for individuals with chronic illnesses or disabilities who cannot manage daily activities on their own. The market is primarily propelled by a rapidly aging global population and a rising incidence of chronic conditions, both of which require ongoing professional assistance and specialized residential facilities, thereby generating a steady and growing demand for care infrastructure that exceeds short-term medical solutions.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 1.23 Trillion
Market Size 2031USD 1.83 Trillion
CAGR 2026-20316.81%
Fastest Growing SegmentHome Healthcare
Largest MarketNorth America

Conversely, the market encounters significant obstacles due to a critical shortage of qualified staff, which hampers operational capabilities and limits expansion. This lack of workforce prevents providers from accepting new patients, even amidst high service demand. According to the American Health Care Association's 2024 data, 46% of nursing homes were compelled to restrict new admissions because of severe labor shortages. Consequently, this disparity between the availability of services and patient necessities continues to be a major hindrance to broader market development.

Market Driver

The primary structural catalyst for the Global Long-Term Care Market is the rapid growth of the elderly population combined with the increasing prevalence of chronic diseases. As life expectancy rises, more individuals are reaching ages where conditions such as dementia and age-related disabilities necessitate continuous professional supervision. This demographic evolution compels a shift from episodic, acute care to long-term support models, drastically boosting utilization rates for both home-based services and residential facilities. According to the Alzheimer's Association's '2024 Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures' report from March 2024, approximately 6.9 million Americans aged 65 and older are living with Alzheimer's dementia, highlighting the growing necessity for specialized care infrastructure.

Simultaneously, advancements in remote monitoring, telehealth, and smart care technologies are transforming market operations by improving care delivery efficiency and facilitating aging-in-place strategies. These technologies are essential for alleviating workforce shortages as they automate routine monitoring and enable providers to oversee larger patient groups without risking safety. Healthcare leaders are actively adopting these digital tools to refine resource allocation; for instance, the 'Future Health Index 2024' report by Philips in June 2024 notes that 85% of healthcare leaders are investing or plan to invest in generative AI to enhance clinical decision support and workflows. This technological evolution parallels significant financial growth, with the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services projecting in their June 2024 'National Health Expenditure 2023-2032' report that national health spending will rise by an annual average of 5.6%, emphasizing the increasing economic burden of these care requirements.

Market Challenge

A critical structural barrier hindering the Global Long-Term Care Market is the severe shortage of qualified personnel. This workforce deficit directly limits operational capacity because providers cannot maintain the mandatory staff-to-patient ratios necessary for safety standards. As a result, facilities are often forced to freeze bed availability or curtail their range of services, effectively capping their revenue potential despite the increasing volume of patients seeking assistance.

This shortage further compromises financial sustainability, as providers frequently rely on costly temporary labor to meet minimum staffing requirements, significantly driving up operating expenses. The resulting erosion of profit margins creates an unstable environment that deters capital investment and new market entry. According to the American Health Care Association in 2024, over 66 percent of nursing home facilities expressed concerns regarding potential closure if these workforce issues continue. Such instability threatens to physically reduce the market's infrastructure, preventing the supply side from scaling adequately to meet rising global demand.

Market Trends

The transition toward home-based care and aging-in-place models is fundamentally transforming the service delivery landscape, fueled by strong consumer preference for non-institutional environments over traditional facilities. This shift is altering the market's economic structure, as the rising demand for in-home support necessitates a reevaluation of resource distribution and service valuations. Moving care to the home generates acute supply pressures, leading to substantial cost hikes for personal assistance as providers struggle to scale workforces for decentralized needs. According to the '2024 Cost of Care Survey' by Genworth Financial in March 2025, the median annual cost of homemaker services rose by 10% to $75,504, illustrating the growing financial burden associated with this structural change in care consumption.

Additionally, the deployment of assistive robotics to aid caregiver tasks marks a critical evolution in operational support, advancing beyond digital monitoring to the automation of logistical and physical workflows. Unlike passive sensor systems, active robotic solutions are being implemented to assist with physically demanding tasks, thereby alleviating strain on human staff and ensuring strict adherence to care protocols. This adoption offers measurable clinical advantages by maintaining high standards of patient attention even during staffing fluctuations. According to the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation's 'Fact of the Week: Robot Adoption in Nursing Homes' report from November 2024, facilities utilizing robotic systems lowered the incidence of pressure ulcers among residents by 26%, proving the direct impact of physical automation on the quality of long-term care.

Key Market Players

  • Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
  • Sunrise Senior Living (Red Fox Holding Corporation)
  • Kindred Healthcare (Knight Health Holdings, LLC)
  • Genesis Healthcare, Inc.
  • Extendicare Inc.
  • Capital Senior Living Corporation
  • Diversicare Healthcare Services, Inc.
  • Home Instead, Inc.
  • Senior Care Centers, LLC
  • Atria Senior Living, Inc.

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Long-Term Care Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Long-Term Care Market, By Service

  • Home healthcare
  • Hospice & Palliative Care
  • Nursing care
  • Assisted living facilities
  • Others

Long-Term Care Market, By Payer

  • Public
  • Private
  • Out of Pocket

Long-Term Care Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Long-Term Care Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Long-Term Care Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Service (Home healthcare, Hospice & Palliative Care, Nursing care, Assisted living facilities, Others)
    • 5.2.2. By Payer (Public, Private, Out of Pocket)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Service
    • 6.2.2. By Payer
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 6.3.2. Canada Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Payer

7. Europe Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Service
    • 7.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.3.2. France Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.3.4. Italy Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.3.5. Spain Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Payer

8. Asia Pacific Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Service
    • 8.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.3.2. India Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.3.3. Japan Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.3.5. Australia Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Payer

9. Middle East & Africa Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Service
    • 9.2.2. By Payer
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 9.3.2. UAE Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Payer

10. South America Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Service
    • 10.2.2. By Payer
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Payer

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Long-Term Care Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Sunrise Senior Living (Red Fox Holding Corporation)
  • 15.3. Kindred Healthcare (Knight Health Holdings, LLC)
  • 15.4. Genesis Healthcare, Inc.
  • 15.5. Extendicare Inc.
  • 15.6. Capital Senior Living Corporation
  • 15.7. Diversicare Healthcare Services, Inc.
  • 15.8. Home Instead, Inc.
  • 15.9. Senior Care Centers, LLC
  • 15.10. Atria Senior Living, Inc.

16. Strategic Recommendations

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