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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1967714
水果和堅果農業市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測:按類型、農業加工方式、地區和競爭格局分類,2021-2031年Fruit and Nut Farming Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type, By Farming Process, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球水果和堅果農業市場預計將從 2025 年的 11,086.6 億美元成長到 2031 年的 2,3,427.1 億美元,複合年成長率為 13.28%。
該行業涉及各種水果和堅果的商業性種植和收穫,用於鮮食或工業加工。推動市場成長的關鍵因素包括全球人口成長對糧食安全的需求不斷提高,以及消費者偏好向植物性飲食的結構性轉變,這種轉變源自於人們對營養更豐富的農產品的需求。近期產業產量預測進一步印證了這一正面勢頭。根據世界蘋果梨協會預測,到2025年,南半球蘋果產量預計將增加5.5%,達到約475萬噸。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 11086.6億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 23427.1億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 13.28% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 有機水果和堅果種植 |
| 最大的市場 | 亞太地區 |
儘管這些量化指標表現積極,但該產業仍面臨許多挑戰,例如難以預測的氣候模式和極端天氣事件,這些都威脅著作物收成的穩定性。不規則的降雨和氣溫波動會嚴重擾亂作物生長週期,並阻礙生產者維持可靠的供應鏈。這限制了市場擴張,也使得制定長期農業規劃變得更加困難。
全球對健康和營養意識的日益增強,正極大地推動富含維生素的農產品和富含蛋白質的堅果的種植。隨著消費者優先選擇增強免疫力的食品和植物蛋白,農業相關人員正積極擴大杏仁和柑橘類水果等高需求作物的種植面積,以適應這種飲食習慣的結構性轉變。這一趨勢在主要產區尤為明顯,這些產區的產量目標正在提高以滿足消費者需求。例如,美國農業部國家農業統計局(USDA NASS)在其2024年7月發布的《加州杏仁產量目標報告》中預測,2024年加州杏仁產量將達到28億磅(淨重)。此外,根據美國農業部海外農業局的數據,在有利的天氣條件和主要產區高產量的推動下,2023/2024產季全球橙子產量預計將在2024年達到4880萬噸。
第二個關鍵促進因素是低溫運輸物流和供應鏈基礎設施的進步。這使得生鮮食品能夠有效率地運往遙遠的國際市場。冷凍技術的改進和更有效率的運輸網路使生產商能夠進入新興經濟體盈利的零售市場,同時最大限度地減少採後損失。這種物流能力支持了新鮮農產品出口的永續成長,並確保當季農產品在保持品質的同時送達消費者手中。例如,完善的基礎設施促成了來自主要南方出口國的貿易量創歷史新高。根據智利水果協會於2024年10月發布的《2023-2024出口季報告》,智利新鮮水果的全球出口總量達到約253萬噸。通路的這些改進使農民能夠透過開發國內市場以外的多元化銷售管道來穩定其收入基礎。
氣候變遷和極端天氣事件難以預測,嚴重阻礙了全球水果和蔬菜堅果農業市場的成長。這些環境波動擾亂了作物生長週期的生物節律,導致產量不穩定,並削弱了供應鏈的可靠性。當種植者無法可靠地預測季節性產量時,與加工商和零售商簽訂長期合約就變得越來越困難。這種不確定性迫使該產業將重點放在短期措施上,而非策略性擴張,導致對新種植區域的資本投資減少,並阻礙了整體市場的發展。
這些與天氣相關的干擾的直接影響可以從區域生產數據中衡量。根據世界蘋果梨理事會預測,由於開花和授粉期間不利的條件,歐盟蘋果產量預計將在2024年下降11.3%,至1,020萬噸。這種結構性短缺限制了鮮食市場和工業加工市場的農產品供應,造成供不應求,阻礙了穩定貿易關係的建立。因此,無法維持穩定的庫存水準直接限制了該行業的整體獲利能力。
自主機器人採摘和修剪技術的應用正在從根本上改變果園管理,有效解決了長期的勞動力短缺問題,並提高了工作效率。在人事費用不斷上漲和勞動力短缺日益加劇的背景下,種植者正在引入地面自主平台和無人機系統,以實現採摘軟果和運輸堅果等重複性工作的機械化。這些系統利用先進的電腦視覺技術來判斷果實的成熟度和大小,從而確保品質等級的一致性,而這對於人工長時間工作而言是難以實現的。這種技術變革正在推動對設備規模化生產的大量投資。根據 TechCrunch 於 2024 年 1 月發表的一篇報導《Burro 融資 2,400 萬美元以擴大自主機器人設備規模》報道,該公司成功完成了 B 輪資金籌措,旨在加速協作機器人的製造和部署,這些機器人將為商業苗圃和漿果農場的採摘物流提供支援。
同時,隨著生產者致力於提升土壤生物多樣性並遵守嚴格的環境法規,再生農業和認證有機農業的實踐正在迅速發展。這項轉變包括最大限度地減少合成材料的使用,並引入覆蓋作物技術來改善果園的保水和固碳能力。零售商和加工商正日益推動這一轉變,以實現企業永續性目標並滿足消費者對環保生產方式的需求。近期全球種植面積指標表明,這一轉變的規模顯而易見。根據有機農業研究所(FiBL)於2024年2月發布的《2024年世界有機農業展望》,全球有機農地面積將擴大至約9,600萬公頃,這反映了世界各地生產者為擴大無化學耕作區域所做的持續努力。
The Global Fruit and Nut Farming Market is projected to expand from USD 1108.66 Billion in 2025 to USD 2342.71 Billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 13.28%. This sector involves the commercial cultivation and harvesting of various fruit crops and tree nuts meant for either fresh consumption or industrial processing. Key drivers fueling this market growth include a growing global population that requires improved food security and a structural shift in consumer preferences toward plant-based diets demanding nutrient-rich produce. This positive momentum is supported by recent industry output forecasts; according to the World Apple and Pear Association, apple production in the Southern Hemisphere was expected to rise by 5.5 percent to roughly 4.75 million metric tons in 2025.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 1108.66 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 2342.71 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 13.28% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Organic Fruit and Nut Farming |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
Despite these positive volume indicators, the industry faces a substantial hurdle in the form of unpredictable climate patterns and extreme weather events that jeopardize harvest stability. Irregular rainfall and temperature swings can severely interrupt growing cycles and hinder the capacity of producers to maintain reliable supply chains, thereby limiting broader market expansion and making long-term agricultural planning more difficult.
Market Driver
Increasing global awareness regarding health and nutrition acts as a primary catalyst driving the cultivation of vitamin-dense produce and protein-rich nuts. As consumers prioritize immunity-boosting foods and plant-based proteins, agricultural stakeholders are aggressively increasing acreage for high-demand crops like almonds and citrus fruits to meet this structural dietary shift. This trend is evident in major production hubs where output targets are being raised to accommodate consumption needs; for instance, the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service reported in the July 2024 '2024 California Almond Objective Measurement Report' that almond production for the 2024 crop year was forecast to reach 2.80 billion meat pounds. Furthermore, according to the United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service, global orange production for the 2023/2024 marketing year was estimated to rise to 48.8 million metric tons in 2024, driven by favorable weather and higher yields in key regions.
Advancements in cold chain logistics and supply chain infrastructure represent a second critical driver, enabling the efficient transport of perishable goods to distant international regions. Enhanced refrigeration technologies and streamlined shipping networks allow growers to minimize post-harvest losses while accessing lucrative retail opportunities in emerging economies. This logistical capability supports the sustained export growth of fresh commodities, ensuring that seasonal produce reaches consumers with maintained quality. For example, robust infrastructure facilitated record trade volumes from major southern exporters; according to Frutas de Chile's October 2024 '2023-2024 Export Season Report', the total volume of Chilean fresh fruit exports sent to global destinations reached approximately 2.53 million tons. These distribution channel improvements allow farmers to stabilize revenue streams by diversifying their market presence beyond domestic boundaries.
Market Challenge
Unpredictable climate patterns and extreme weather events pose a significant obstacle to the growth of the global fruit and nut farming market. These environmental volatilities disrupt the biological rhythm of growing cycles, resulting in erratic yield volumes that compromise the reliability of supply chains. When producers cannot anticipate seasonal outputs with certainty, securing long-term contracts with processors and retailers becomes increasingly difficult. This lack of predictability compels the industry to focus on short-term mitigation rather than strategic expansion, thereby reducing capital investment in new cultivation areas and stalling broader market development.
The direct consequence of these weather-induced disruptions is measurable in regional output data. According to the World Apple and Pear Association, apple production in the European Union was projected to decrease by 11.3 percent to 10.2 million metric tons in 2024 due to adverse conditions during the flowering and pollination stages. Such structural deficits limit the availability of produce for both fresh markets and industrial processing, causing supply shortages that deter consistent trade relationships. Consequently, the inability to maintain stable inventory levels directly constrains the overall revenue potential of the sector.
Market Trends
The adoption of autonomous robotic harvesting and pruning technologies is fundamentally transforming orchard management by addressing chronic labor shortages and improving operational efficiency. With manual labor becoming increasingly scarce and expensive, producers are integrating ground-based autonomous platforms and drone systems to mechanize repetitive tasks such as picking soft fruits and transporting harvested nuts. These systems employ advanced computer vision to assess fruit ripeness and size, ensuring a consistency in quality grading that human crews often struggle to maintain over extended shifts. This technological shift has attracted substantial investment to scale fleet capabilities; according to TechCrunch, January 2024, in the article 'Burro raises $24M to expand its autonomous robot fleet', the company secured Series B funding to accelerate the manufacturing and deployment of its collaborative robots designed to support harvest logistics in commercial nurseries and berry farms.
Concurrently, the proliferation of regenerative and certified organic farming practices is gaining momentum as producers seek to enhance soil biodiversity and align with stringent environmental regulations. This transition involves minimizing synthetic inputs and employing cover cropping techniques to improve water retention and carbon sequestration within fruit orchards. Retailers and processors are increasingly incentivizing this shift to fulfill corporate sustainability mandates and address consumer demand for eco-conscious production methods. The scale of this adoption is evident in recent global acreage metrics; according to the Research Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL), February 2024, in 'The World of Organic Agriculture 2024', global organic agricultural land expanded to approximately 96 million hectares, reflecting a sustained commitment among international growers to increase chemical-free cultivation zones.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Fruit and Nut Farming Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Fruit and Nut Farming Market.
Global Fruit and Nut Farming Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: