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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1961359
長期照護機構市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會和預測:按機構類型、服務類型、所有權類型、地區和競爭情況分類,2021-2031年Skilled Nursing Facility Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Facility Type, By Service Type, By Ownership Type, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球長期照護市場預計將從 2025 年的 992.4 億美元成長到 2031 年的 1,479.3 億美元,複合年成長率達到 6.88%。
療養院是指為因受傷、慢性疾病或術後復健需要持續照護的患者提供24小時醫療監護、復健治療和長期支持的專業醫療機構。推動這一市場成長的主要因素包括全球人口快速老化以及失智症和心血管疾病等慢性病盛行率的不斷上升。所有這些都需要長期、專業的醫療介入和機構內照護。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 992.4億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 1479.3億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 6.88% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 獨立的 |
| 最大的市場 | 北美洲 |
儘管市場前景廣闊,但仍面臨一個重大障礙:嚴重的勞動力短缺,這極大地限制了服務的可及性和營運能力。勞動力短缺迫使醫療機構滿載運轉,難以滿足病患需求。美國醫療保健協會的數據顯示了這一問題的嚴重性,數據顯示,到2024年,美國46%的養老院將不得不限制新患者的接收,這主要是由於人員配備方面的挑戰。
政府資助和償還模式的建設性演變,對市場起到了至關重要的穩定作用,並直接影響到面臨通膨壓力的醫療服務提供者的財務狀況。透過調整支付標準,使其更準確地反映患者照護的複雜性和嚴重性,聯邦政策確保醫療機構保持必要的流動性,以支付員工薪資並提升臨床能力。正如美國醫療保險和醫療補助服務中心在2024年7月發布的《2025會計年度長期護理機構可預見支付計劃最終規則》中所述,當局已決定在下一會計年度將聯邦醫療保險A部分對長期護理機構的支付淨額增加約14億美元,為維持其運營提供必要的資金。
同時,隨著公共和私人醫療保健支出不斷成長,主要市場參與者正加速擴大營運規模並進行策略整合,以滿足日益成長的需求。各公司積極投資收購和振興區域網路,將其服務範圍擴展至服務不足地區的專業復健支援服務。例如,Ensign Group在2024年10月的新聞稿中宣布達成協議,將田納西州的八家養老院和阿拉巴馬州的一家養老院納入其投資組合,這充分體現了其擴張的堅定決心。這項投資活動得益於其穩健的財務基礎。 Sabra Healthcare REIT報告稱,在2024年第二季度,其護理和過渡護理機構的EBITDARM覆蓋率達到1.85,超過了疫情前的水平。
嚴重的勞動力短缺是限制全球長期照護市場成長的主要阻礙因素。合格人員(例如註冊護士和認證護理助理)的匱乏迫使機構管理者為了維持安全標準和合規性而自願縮減營運規模。與生產可以自動化的行業不同,該行業高度依賴人工,因此人員短缺會立即導致可用床位數量減少。結果,機構無法應對不斷成長的醫院出院人數,導致收入停滯不前,並有效地限制了市場潛力。
近期數據顯示,養老產業正面臨顯著的結構性萎縮,凸顯了人手短缺的影響。根據美國醫療保健協會(AHCA)預測,到2024年,美國20%的養老院將因人手不足而被迫關閉部分建築、單元或樓層。這種物理容量的減少將無法滿足人口結構變化帶來的激增需求,直接導致整個產業的穩定性和成長放緩。
人工智慧 (AI) 在預測分析領域的應用正成為一種變革性趨勢,能夠提升營運效率和臨床決策水準。醫療機構擴大使用機器學習演算法來分析住戶數據,有助於及早發現健康狀況惡化並降低再入院率。鑑於該行業人才短缺的現狀,這種技術變革也有助於減輕員工排班和監管報告等行政工作的負擔,這一點至關重要。然而,與其他醫療保健領域相比,養老院的 AI 應用速度仍然緩慢。根據《專業護理新聞》(Skilled Nursing News) 2025 年 12 月發布的報告,預計到 2025 年,養老院的 AI 應用率僅為 4.5%,略高於 2023 年的 3.1%,這表明養老院的數位化仍有很大的提升空間。
同時,向單人病房和居家式設施設計的轉變正在重塑市場格局,以適應不斷變化的感染控制標準和消費者偏好。營運商正透過將多人病房改造成單人病房來緩解過度擁擠的問題,這項策略既減少了床位總數,也提高了住戶的隱私和臨床安全。這種結構性調整正在收緊供需平衡,並提高剩餘床位的使用率。根據老年住宅和護理投資中心 (NIC) 2025 年 1 月的報告,2024 年第三季護理機構的運轉率上升至 84.5%。這一成長部分歸功於向單人病房配置的策略性轉變以及由此導致的營運床位數量的減少。
The Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market is projected to experience significant expansion, rising from a valuation of USD 99.24 Billion in 2025 to USD 147.93 Billion by 2031, achieving a CAGR of 6.88%. Skilled Nursing Facilities are defined as specialized healthcare institutions offering round-the-clock medical oversight, rehabilitation therapies, and long-term support for patients needing continuous nursing care due to injuries, chronic illnesses, or post-surgical recovery requirements. The primary forces driving this market growth include a rapidly aging global population alongside an increasing prevalence of chronic conditions like dementia and cardiovascular diseases, both of which demand extended professional medical intervention and institutionalized care.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 99.24 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 147.93 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 6.88% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Freestanding |
| Largest Market | North America |
Despite these growth prospects, the market confronts a major obstacle in the form of critical workforce shortages, which severely limit service availability and operational capacity. This lack of available labor forces facilities to operate below their full potential, making it difficult to meet patient demand. Data from the American Health Care Association illustrates the severity of this issue, revealing that in 2024, 46 percent of nursing homes in the United States were forced to restrict new patient admissions specifically as a result of these staffing challenges.
Market Driver
The constructive evolution of government funding and reimbursement models serves as a vital stabilizing force for the market, directly addressing the financial solvency of operators contending with inflationary pressures. By adjusting payment rates to more accurately reflect the complexity and acuity of patient care, federal policies are ensuring that facilities maintain the liquidity necessary to support workforce wages and upgrade clinical capabilities. As noted by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services in the 'Fiscal Year 2025 Skilled Nursing Facility Prospective Payment System Final Rule' from July 2024, the administration finalized a net increase of roughly $1.4 billion in Medicare Part A payments to skilled nursing facilities for the upcoming fiscal year, providing capital essential for sustaining operations.
Concurrently, the rise in public and private healthcare spending is fueling a wave of operational scaling and strategic consolidation among major market players to accommodate increasing demand. Corporate entities are actively deploying capital to acquire and revitalize regional networks, thereby improving the reach of specialized restorative services in underserved areas. For instance, The Ensign Group announced in an October 2024 press release that it agreed to add eight skilled nursing operations in Tennessee and one in Alabama to its portfolio, indicating a strong appetite for expansion. This investment activity is supported by strengthening financial fundamentals; Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. reported that its skilled nursing and transitional care facilities achieved an EBITDARM coverage ratio of 1.85x in the second quarter of 2024, exceeding pre-pandemic performance.
Market Challenge
Critical workforce shortages constitute a severe restriction on the growth of the Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market. The scarcity of qualified personnel, such as registered nurses and certified nursing assistants, compels administrators to voluntarily curtail operational capacity to uphold safety standards and regulatory compliance. Unlike industries where production can be automated, this sector relies heavily on direct human interaction, meaning a staff deficit immediately results in fewer available beds. Consequently, facilities are unable to absorb the increasing volume of hospital discharges, leading to revenue stagnation and effectively placing a ceiling on the market's potential.
The consequences of this deficit are visible in recent industry data highlighting significant structural contractions within the sector. According to the American Health Care Association, 20 percent of nursing homes in the United States completely closed a wing, unit, or floor in 2024 solely due to labor shortages. This reduction in physical capacity prevents the market from meeting the surging demand caused by demographic shifts, directly resulting in a deceleration of overall industry stability and growth.
Market Trends
The Adoption of Artificial Intelligence for Predictive Analytics is developing as a transformative trend, allowing operators to improve operational efficiency and clinical decision-making. Facilities are increasingly incorporating machine learning algorithms to analyze resident data, facilitating the early detection of health deterioration and reducing hospital readmissions. This technological shift also alleviates administrative burdens, such as staff scheduling and regulatory reporting, which is crucial given the sector's labor constraints. However, adoption remains slow compared to other healthcare segments; Skilled Nursing News reported in December 2025 that AI adoption in nursing facilities rose from 3.1 percent in 2023 to just 4.5 percent in 2025, indicating substantial room for future digital modernization.
Simultaneously, the Shift Toward Private Rooms and Homelike Facility Designs is reshaping the market's physical landscape to align with evolving infection control standards and consumer preferences. Operators are actively de-densifying properties by converting multi-bed wards into single-occupancy units, a strategy that enhances resident privacy and clinical safety while reducing overall bed inventory. This structural contraction generates a tighter supply-demand dynamic, boosting utilization metrics for the remaining capacity. According to the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care's January 2025 report, nursing care occupancy increased to 84.5 percent in the third quarter of 2024, a gain partially driven by the strategic migration toward private room configurations and the resulting reduction in operational bed counts.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market.
Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: