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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1945776
軍用飛機市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會及預測(按類型、應用、酬載、地區及競爭格局分類,2021-2031年)Military Aircraft Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type, By Application, By Payload, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球軍用飛機市場預計將從 2025 年的 649.4 億美元成長到 2031 年的 874.2 億美元,複合年成長率為 5.08%。
該行業涵蓋固定翼和旋翼空中資產的設計、採購和維護,這些資產用於空戰、戰術性空運和偵察行動。推動這一成長的關鍵因素包括地緣政治日益不穩定以及各國需要用作戰能力更先進的平台取代老舊飛機。此外,不斷增加的國防預算,尤其是用於戰略制空權和快速部署能力的國防預算,以及無人系統整合等技術變革,都在推動全球範圍內的大規模採購項目。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 649.4億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 874.2億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 5.08% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 貨物供應 |
| 最大的市場 | 北美洲 |
同時,市場面臨持續的供應鏈中斷等重大障礙,導致主要產業參與者生產延誤和成本超支。這些物流挑戰通常涉及特殊原料和複雜零件,擾亂了交付計劃,阻礙了國防合約的有效執行。根據航太工業協會(AIA)的數據,2024年美國航太和國防出口總額將達到1,387億美元,顯示儘管面臨這些重大的產業挑戰,國際需求依然強勁。
全球國防費用和採購預算的成長是軍用飛機市場的主要驅動力,使各國能夠為各種籌資策略提供資金。隨著各國政府將空中優勢置於優先地位,這種成長正在推動下一代平台的研發和先進航空電子設備的整合。根據斯德哥爾摩國際和平研究所(SIPRI)於2024年4月發布的《2023年全球軍費開支趨勢》概況介紹,2023年全球整體將達2.443兆美元,實際成長6.8%。這一成長趨勢在各聯盟內部也十分明顯,北約預計到2024年,將有23個成員國達到聯盟規定的國防支出國內生產總值)至少2%的門檻,預計將加劇軍費採購力度。
同時,不斷升級的地緣政治摩擦和日益成長的區域安全風險迫使各國軍隊迫切需要對其老舊的飛機機隊進行現代化改造和更新換代。東歐和印太地區安全局勢的惡化促使各國加速提升空中作戰能力,採購多用途戰鬥機。這些作戰需求給主要國防相關企業造成了巨大的訂單。例如,洛克希德·馬丁公司在其2024年10月發布的“2024年第三季度財務業績”中報告稱,其訂單1656.9億美元,凸顯了對F-35等平台的持續需求。因此,日益嚴峻的威脅評估和機隊老化共同確保了該行業的持續成長。
全球軍用飛機市場目前正遭受嚴重的供應鏈中斷,這直接阻礙了其成長前景。問題主要源自於鈦、鋁等關鍵原料以及半導體、推進裝置等專用零件的嚴重短缺。這些短缺導致生產嚴重受阻,迫使原始設備製造商(OEM)延長前置作業時間,並推遲複雜飛機系統的完成。因此,儘管市場需求強勁,訂單積壓量也創歷史新高,但由於無法將這些訂單訂單為交付產品,導致產生收入受限,並減緩了整個行業的擴張速度。
這些物流障礙對國防和航太業的影響顯著且可衡量。 ADS集團報告稱,2024年上半年飛機交付將比去年同期下降14%,這一降幅主要歸因於持續存在的供應鏈瓶頸。此次產量下降凸顯了低效率的製造營運如何阻礙市場滿足世界各國軍隊迫切的現代化需求。這些中斷不僅延緩了關鍵戰術性和戰略資產的交付,也推遲了製造商的經濟收益,並對國防客戶的長期機隊規劃和作戰準備構成挑戰。
第六代戰鬥機計畫的研發標誌著戰略重心向「系統家族」的轉變,該家族將整合卓越的隱身性能、可變迴圈引擎和超強互聯技術。主要航太製造商正從概念設計階段轉向生產階段,例如美國下一代空中優勢(NGAD)平台,以取代老舊的第五代戰鬥機。根據湯森路透2025年3月發表的題為《消息人士稱,美國國防部將授予美國空軍下一代戰鬥機合約》的報導,美國國防部正以超過200億美元的工程和製造開發合約推進該項目。這項巨額投資凸顯了美國對打造能夠突破強大防空系統的裝備的重視。
同時,有人-無人戰術(MUM-T)能力的整合正在改變艦隊作戰方式,它將有人駕駛戰鬥機與自主的「忠誠僚機」相結合,打造「經濟實惠的大規模作戰力量」。這項發展使得無人部隊能夠在有人飛行員的指揮下執行高風險的電子戰和攻擊任務,顯著擴展了感測器偵測範圍,同時避免人員傷亡。根據2025年6月發表的報導《國防部2026會計年度預算提案累計超過40億美元的下一代空軍戰鬥機計畫撥款》的文章,美國空軍在其2026會計年度預算中為聯合戰鬥機項目撥款8.04億美元。這筆撥款將有助於加速自主系統的研發,旨在彌補在與近鄰對手潛在衝突中的數量劣勢。
The Global Military Aircraft Market is projected to expand from USD 64.94 Billion in 2025 to USD 87.42 Billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 5.08%. This sector encompasses the engineering, acquisition, and maintenance of both fixed-wing and rotary-wing aviation assets tailored for aerial combat, tactical airlift, and surveillance operations. Key factors propelling this growth include escalating geopolitical instability and the imperative for nations to upgrade outdated fleets with operationally advanced platforms. Furthermore, increasing defense budgets dedicated to strategic air dominance and rapid deployment capabilities are driving substantial procurement initiatives worldwide, distinct from technological shifts such as the integration of unmanned systems.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 64.94 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 87.42 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 5.08% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Cargo Supply |
| Largest Market | North America |
Conversely, the market confronts a major obstacle in the form of enduring supply chain interruptions, which lead to manufacturing delays and cost overruns for leading industry players. These logistical hurdles, frequently involving specialized raw materials and intricate components, disrupt delivery timelines and impede the effective execution of defense contracts. Data from the Aerospace Industries Association indicates that in 2024, United States aerospace and defense exports achieved a total value of $138.7 billion, demonstrating the persistent strength of international demand even amidst these significant industrial difficulties.
Market Driver
Increasing global defense spending and military procurement budgets serve as the principal engine for the military aircraft market, allowing countries to finance extensive acquisition strategies. This fiscal expansion facilitates the creation of next-generation platforms and the incorporation of sophisticated avionics as governments place a premium on air superiority. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), April 2024, in the 'Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2023' Fact Sheet, total global military spending hit $2443 billion in 2023, marking a real-term rise of 6.8 percent. This upward trend is evident within alliances; NATO projected that in 2024, 23 member states would satisfy the alliance's benchmark of investing at least 2 percent of their Gross Domestic Product in defense, thereby reinforcing procurement efforts.
Concurrently, intensifying geopolitical frictions and regional security risks are compelling armed forces to hasten the modernization and replacement of aging aircraft inventories. As security conditions worsen in Eastern Europe and the Indo-Pacific, nations are rushing to bolster their aerial combat capabilities by acquiring multi-role fighters. This operational necessity has resulted in substantial backlogs for major defense contractors. For instance, Lockheed Martin reported a backlog of $165.69 billion in its 'Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results' released in October 2024, highlighting the enduring demand for platforms like the F-35. As a result, the combination of heightened threat assessments and fleet obsolescence guarantees a continued growth trajectory for the industry.
Market Challenge
The Global Military Aircraft Market is currently struggling with critical supply chain disruptions that directly inhibit its growth prospects. This issue largely stems from severe shortages of essential raw materials, including titanium and aluminum, as well as a lack of specialized components such as semiconductors and propulsion units. These deficits cause significant bottlenecks in production, compelling original equipment manufacturers to lengthen lead times and postpone the finalization of complex aerial systems. Consequently, even with strong market demand and record-high order backlogs, the inability to transform these orders into delivered assets limits revenue generation and retards the overall expansion of the sector.
The consequences of these logistical barriers are substantial and measurable across the wider defense and aerospace industrial landscape. According to ADS Group, in 2024, aircraft deliveries fell by 14 percent during the first half of the year relative to the same timeframe in 2023, a decline primarily blamed on these enduring supply chain limitations. This drop in production highlights how manufacturing inefficiencies are hindering the market's ability to satisfy the pressing modernization needs of global armed forces. By delaying the transfer of crucial tactical and strategic assets, these disruptions not only postpone financial gains for manufacturers but also create difficulties for the long-term fleet planning and operational readiness of defense clients.
Market Trends
The advancement of Sixth-Generation Fighter Aircraft Programs represents a strategic shift toward a "family of systems" that incorporates superior stealth, variable-cycle engines, and hyper-connectivity. Leading aerospace manufacturers are moving from conceptual phases to production for platforms such as the U.S. Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD), aiming to succeed aging fifth-generation fleets. As reported by Thomson Reuters, March 2025, in the 'Pentagon set to award US Air Force's next-generation fighter jet contract, sources say' article, the U.S. Department of Defense is furthering this effort with an engineering and manufacturing development contract worth over $20 billion. This substantial investment highlights the emphasis on creating assets designed to breach heavily defended anti-access environments.
Simultaneously, the integration of Manned-Unmanned Teaming (MUM-T) capabilities is reshaping fleet operations by coupling piloted fighters with autonomous "loyal wingmen" to create affordable mass. This development enables unmanned units to conduct high-risk electronic warfare and strike missions under the direction of human pilots, vastly extending sensor range without endangering personnel. According to DefenseScoop, June 2025, in the 'Pentagon's 2026 budget plan includes more than $4B for next-generation Air Force fighter jets' article, the U.S. Air Force designated $804 million for the Collaborative Combat Aircraft program within its fiscal 2026 budget. This allocation facilitates the accelerated production of autonomous systems intended to offset numerical disparities in potential conflicts with near-peer adversaries.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Military Aircraft Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Military Aircraft Market.
Global Military Aircraft Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: