![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2041694
先進地熱系統市場預測至2034年—按資源類型、深度、模擬方法、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Enhanced Geothermal System Market Forecasts to 2034 - Global Analysis By Resource Type (Sedimentary Basin, Hot Dry Rock, Radiogenic, Molten Magma and Other Resource Types), Depth (Deep and Shallow), Simulation Method, End User,and By Geography |
||||||
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,預計到 2026 年,全球增強型地熱系統 (EGS) 市場規模將達到 25.9 億美元,並在預測期內以 7.2% 的複合年成長率成長,到 2034 年將達到 45.2 億美元。
增強型地熱系統(EGS)是一種透過在地球深處高溫岩層中建造人工儲存來增強傳統地熱發電的技術。該技術透過向現有裂縫中註入水,形成相互連通的水道網路,從而提高滲透性。此外,EGS 還能拓展地熱能的利用潛力,即使在沒有天然儲存的地區也能發揮作用。與傳統石化燃料相比,EGS 是一種前景廣闊、永續且可靠的清潔能源來源,對環境的影響較小。
根據 GeoVision 的報告,到 2050 年,美國可能會有 17,500 個地熱區域供熱 (GDH) 系統運作。
消費者意識不斷增強
消費者越來越意識到傳統製冷方式對環境的影響,包括某些冷媒對臭氧層的破壞以及對全球暖化的貢獻。使用低全球暖化潛勢(GWP)材料和提高能源效率等特性,正契合了消費者對環保解決方案日益成長的需求。此外,宣傳宣傳活動、教育推廣和透明溝通也在推動這個市場的發展。
前期成本高
大規模鑽井和油井增產是增強型地熱系統(EGS)初期成本高的主要原因之一。該過程涉及鑽探至地殼深處,需要專用設備、熟練工人以及大量投資,從而導致整體成本增加。此外,這種不確定性也令潛在投資者望而卻步,他們不願為結果不可預測的項目提供資金,阻礙了市場發展。
技術進步
增強型地熱系統(EGS)是指利用地球地殼深處的地熱能,而傳統地熱資源在該區域十分有限。水力壓裂和定向鑽井等鑽井技術的進步使得人們能夠到達溫度更高、深度更深的岩層,從而擴大了地熱工程可行區域的地理範圍。此外,這些技術創新也解決了EGS面臨的傳統挑戰,推動了市場成長。
缺乏標準化
缺乏標準化的方法和技術,對新進入者和潛在投資者構成了准入壁壘,他們往往因為缺乏既定的基準或最佳實踐而猶豫不決。缺乏標準化使得不同增強型地源熱泵(EGS)專案的績效難以比較和評估。此外,缺乏標準化也阻礙了該市場相關人員之間的合作和知識共用。
新冠疫情的感染疾病
新冠疫情對高壓地熱系統(EGS)市場造成了負面影響,引發了許多挑戰,阻礙了其成長。封鎖措施、供應鏈中斷和經濟不確定性限制了專案開發和資金籌措。此外,人們對緊迫的健康和經濟問題的關注度提高,降低了對可再生能源項目的興趣,政府和行業優先考慮短期復甦而非長期永續舉措,進一步阻礙了市場成長。
在預測期內,放射性物質部分預計將佔最大佔有率。
放射性熱源部分預計將佔據最大佔有率,擴大地熱能的地理覆蓋範圍,使其能夠在富含放射性熱源的地區得到應用。這些地質構造中含有鈾、釷和鉀等放射性元素,這些元素會隨時間崩壞並釋放熱量。此外,這體現了一種戰略方針,即利用地球的天然熱能儲存,並將增強型地熱系統(EGS)技術的應用擴展到具有特定地質特徵、適宜產生放射性熱能的地區。
預計在預測期內,水力壓裂領域將呈現最高的複合年成長率。
預計在預測期內,水力壓裂領域將呈現最高的複合年成長率。水力壓裂是一種將水注入深層岩體以提高滲透率並產生裂縫的技術。這對於增強型地熱系統(EGS)的開發至關重要,因為它旨在最佳化地熱儲存內的傳熱效率。此外,該技術還提高了地熱能生產的整體可行性和擴充性,從而推動了該領域的成長。
在預測期內,歐洲佔了最大的市場佔有率。這些國家著眼於永續和氣候變遷減緩,正加大對地熱技術(包括增強型地熱系統,EGS)的投資,以利用地熱能作為清潔可再生能源。義大利和德國等多個歐洲國家在增強型地熱系統的探勘和部署方面處於領先地位。除了致力於能源轉型(Energiewende)之外,它們還在探索先進的地熱技術,以協助實現其可再生能源目標。
由於亞太地區地質條件多樣且能源需求不斷成長,預計該地區在預測期內將實現最高的複合年成長率。卡爾派恩公司(Calpine Corporation)、阿爾塔洛克能源公司(Altaroc Energy)和奧瑪特科技公司(Ormat Technologies)等業界領導者均位於該地區。此外,減少碳排放和推廣永續能源來源的努力也進一步推動了增強型地熱系統(EGS)技術的應用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Enhanced Geothermal System Market is accounted for $2.59 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach $4.52 billion by 2034 growing at a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period. Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS) is a technology that enhances traditional geothermal power generation by creating artificial reservoirs in hot rock formations deep beneath the Earth's surface. It involves injecting water into existing fractures to create a network of interconnected channels, increasing permeability. In addition, EGS expands the potential of geothermal energy to regions lacking natural reservoirs, making it a promising, sustainable, and reliable source of clean power with reduced environmental impact compared to traditional fossil fuels.
According to the GeoVision report, the U.S. has the potential for 17,500 Geothermal District Heating (GDH) systems to operate by 2050.
Increasing consumer awareness
Consumers are increasingly informed about the environmental impact of traditional refrigeration methods, including the harmful effects of certain refrigerants on the ozone layer and their contribution to global warming. Characteristics such as the use of low-GWP materials and improved energy efficiency align with this growing demand for eco-friendly solutions. Furthermore, awareness campaigns, educational initiatives, and transparent communication have thereby propelled this market.
High initial costs
The need for extensive drilling and well stimulation operations is one of the primary reasons for the high initial costs of EGS. The process involves drilling deep into the earth's crust, which requires specialized equipment, skilled labor, and substantial investment, contributing to the overall expenses. Furthermore, this uncertainty discourages potential investors who may be hesitant to fund projects with unpredictable outcomes, thereby significantly hindering this market.
Technological advancements
EGS involves harnessing geothermal energy from deep within the Earth's crust, where traditional geothermal resources are limited. Developments in drilling technologies, like hydraulic fracturing and directed drilling, have made it possible to reach hotter and deeper rock formations, increasing the geographic reach of feasible geothermal projects. Moreover, these technological innovations have addressed historical challenges associated with EGS, which is driving this market.
Lack of standardization
The absence of standardized practices and technologies creates barriers to entry for new players and potential investors who may be hesitant to participate in a market where there are no established benchmarks or best practices. The absence of standardization makes it difficult to compare and assess the performance of different EGS projects. Furthermore, the absence of standardization hampers collaboration and knowledge sharing among stakeholders in this market.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely affected the Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS) market, introducing several challenges that impede its growth. Lockdowns, supply chain disruptions, and economic uncertainties have limited project development and financing. Furthermore, the focus on immediate health and economic concerns has shifted attention away from renewable energy projects, with governments and industries prioritizing short-term recovery over long-term sustainable initiatives that have hampered market growth.
The radiogenic segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The radiogenic segment is estimated to hold the largest share because it broadens the geographical scope of geothermal energy, making it applicable in regions with higher radiogenic heat sources. These formations contain radioactive elements such as uranium, thorium, and potassium, which decay and release heat over time. Furthermore, it reflects a strategic approach to harnessing Earth's natural heat reservoirs and propelling the reach of EGS technology to areas with specific geological characteristics conducive to radiogenic heat production.
The hydraulic segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The hydraulic segment is anticipated to have highest CAGR during the forecast period. Hydraulic stimulation involves injecting water into deep rock formations to enhance permeability and create fractures. It is crucial to EGS development as it focuses on optimizing the efficiency of heat transfer within the geothermal reservoir. Moreover, this approach enhances the overall viability and scalability of geothermal energy production, which is boosting this segment's growth.
Europe commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period. Due to a focus on sustainable development and combating climate change, these countries are increasingly investing in geothermal technologies, including EGS, to harness the Earth's heat for clean and renewable energy. Several European nations, such as Italy and Germany, are at the forefront of EGS exploration and implementation. In addition to its commitment to the Energiewende (energy transition), it is also exploring advanced geothermal technologies to contribute to its renewable energy goals.
Asia Pacific is expected to witness highest CAGR over the projection period, owing to its diverse geological landscape and increasing energy demand. This region is home to some of the major players, such as Calpine Corporation, AltaRock Energy Inc., and Ormat Technologies, Inc. Moreover, initiatives aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting sustainable energy sources further drive the adoption of EGS technologies.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Enhanced Geothermal System Market include Enel SpA, Aboitiz Power Corporation, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd, AltaRock Energy, Inc., Energy Development Corporation, Schlumberger, Quaise Energy, Toshiba Corporation, Ormat Technologies, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Kenya Electricity Generating Company Limited, Greenfire Energy, Geodynamics Limited, Siemens AG and Calpine Corporation.
In January 2024, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries is launching new television commercials promoting its lineups of air-conditioners for the Japanese market. As with its previous ads, the new commercials will be broadcast in two versions: one for its lineup of "kashikoi" (smart) residential air-conditioners and the other for its "kigakiku" (attentive) commercial air-conditioners.
In October 2023, Microsoft and Siemens are deepening their partnership by bringing the benefits of generative AI to industries worldwide.