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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2041652
超高溫滅菌牛奶市場預測至2034年:按產品類型、成分、形態、分銷管道和地區分類的全球分析UHT Milk Market Forecasts to 2034 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Skimmed UHT Milk, Semi-Skimmed UHT Milk and Full-Cream UHT Milk), Source (Animal-based Milk and Plant-based Milk), Form, Distribution Channel and By Geography |
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根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,預計到 2026 年,全球超高溫滅菌牛奶市場規模將達到 869 億美元,並在預測期內以 8.0% 的複合年成長率成長,到 2034 年將達到 1,608 億美元。
超高溫滅菌(UHT)牛奶是指經過短暫高溫處理,殺死生牛奶中可能存在的有害細菌,同時又不影響其營養價值的牛奶。巴氏殺菌後,牛奶顏色變淺,加工時間縮短,因此飲用非常安全。它還含有多種營養成分,包括蛋白質、鈣、碳水化合物、鋅、鉀、鎂、磷、核黃素以及維生素A和B12。與生牛奶相比,它在室溫下的保存期限更長。
根據 ProCon.Org 2022 年的數據,59% 的乳糖不耐症族群生活在加拿大,36% 生活在美國。
保存期限長
超高溫滅菌奶(UHT乳)保存期限長是其確立市場地位的關鍵因素。 UHT製程透過在短時間內將牛奶加熱到極高的溫度,有效殺菌並消除有害細菌。與傳統的巴氏殺菌奶相比,此過程顯著延長了UHT乳的保存期限。由於細菌的缺失,牛奶保持微生物穩定性,從而延緩變質並延長其食用期限。
價格敏感度
超高溫滅菌(UHT)牛奶的加工需要專門的設備和包裝技術,這會略微增加生產成本。這些成本通常會轉嫁給消費者,導致UHT牛奶在商店裡的價格相對較高。消費者對價格的敏感度源於他們有限的購買力以及選擇更便宜替代品的強烈傾向。這可能會阻礙UHT牛奶市場的廣泛普及和成長。
產品安全與衛生
在超高溫滅菌(UHT)牛奶市場,產品安全和衛生是關鍵的市場促進因素,對消費者信心和市場成長起著至關重要的作用。隨著消費者對食品安全和衛生意識的不斷提高,UHT牛奶獨特的特性吸引了許多消費者,這些特性降低了細菌污染的風險。 UHT牛奶的密封包裝進一步提升了產品安全性,防止外部污染物影響牛奶品質。
包裝方面的問題
這些包裝材料由塑膠、鋁和紙等多種材料混合而成,其複雜性可能會阻礙市場成長,因為消費者越來越重視永續性。然而,日益增強的環保意識正促使消費者尋求環保替代品,這也給食品飲料產業帶來了壓力,迫使其採用更永續的包裝解決方案。
新冠疫情的影響
新冠疫情的爆發對超高溫滅菌奶產業的供應鏈造成了嚴重衝擊,導致需求波動、生產停滯和原料短缺。乳製品產業正面臨前所未有的挑戰,由於需求疲軟和供應問題,完全減產奶量是不可能的。此外,原料供應和乳製品生產同時受到干擾。
在預測期內,脫脂超高溫滅菌牛奶細分市場預計將佔據最大佔有率。
由於其更長的保存期限和便利性,脫脂超高溫滅菌奶預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率。脫脂超高溫滅菌乳的生產過程包括一道分離工序,在超高溫滅菌處理前去除大部分脂肪。這使得乳製品的脂肪含量顯著降低,成為注重健康、追求更清淡、低脂食品的消費者的首選。此外,隨著人們健康意識的不斷提高和對健康食品選擇的日益重視,超高溫滅菌奶市場也不斷擴大。
在預測期內,粉末產品細分市場預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率。
預計在預測期內,奶粉市場將實現顯著成長。粉末狀滅菌奶粉具有許多優勢,包括保存期限更長、易於儲存以及由於重量和體積更小而降低運輸成本。此外,粉末狀滅菌奶粉的便利性使其應用範圍不斷擴大,涵蓋食品飲料等多個行業,在食品飲料行業中,它被用作復原奶、烘焙產品和糖果甜點生產的關鍵原料。
在預測期內,歐洲佔據了最大的市場佔有率,這主要得益於更長的保存期限和消費者生活方式的改變。憑藉著成熟的乳製品產業和先進的加工技術,歐洲消費者高度重視超高溫滅菌乳的優勢,認為它是一種可靠且便捷的乳製品來源,無需立即冷藏。此外,超高溫滅菌奶便於攜帶,使其成為旅行和戶外活動的理想選擇。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將保持強勁成長。該地區人口多元化且不斷成長,加之快速的都市化和消費者生活方式的改變,促使消費者對便捷、保存期限長的乳製品需求旺盛,使得超高溫滅菌奶成為首選。此外,中產階級的崛起、可支配收入的增加以及消費者對超高溫滅菌奶安全性的日益關注,也進一步推動了市場擴張。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global UHT Milk Market is accounted for $86.9 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach $160.8 billion by 2034 growing at a CAGR of 8.0% during the forecast period. Ultra-high temperature (UHT) milk is pasteurized milk that is exposed to ultra-heat for a short time to kill any unwanted and harmful bacteria that may be present in raw milk without losing any of its nutritional content. After pasteurization, it becomes lighter and requires less processing time, making it extremely safe to consume. It provides various nutrients, such as protein, calcium, carbohydrates, zinc, potassium, magnesium, phosphorous, riboflavin, and vitamins A and B12. Compared with fresh milk, it has a longer shelf life at room temperature.
According to ProCon.Org data from 2022, Canada has 59% and the United States has 36% of the lactose-intolerant population.
Extended shelf life
The extended shelf life of UHT milk is a pivotal driver fueling its prominence in the market. The UHT processing method involves heating milk to ultra-high temperatures for a short duration, effectively sterilizing it and eliminating harmful bacteria. This process endows UHT milk with a significantly longer shelf life compared to traditional pasteurized milk. The absence of bacteria ensures that the milk remains microbiologically stable, delaying spoilage and extending its usability.
Price sensitivity
The UHT process involves specialized equipment and packaging technologies, contributing to a slightly elevated production cost. This cost is often transferred to consumers, making UHT milk relatively more expensive on store shelves. Price sensitivity arises from the fact that consumers have limited purchasing power and are more inclined to choose lower-priced alternatives. This can hinder the widespread adoption and growth of the UHT milk market.
Product safety and hygiene
Product safety and hygiene stand as crucial drivers in the UHT (Ultra High Temperature) milk market, playing a pivotal role in consumer trust and market growth. Consumers, increasingly conscious of food safety and hygiene, are drawn to UHT milk due to its inherent properties that reduce the risk of bacterial contamination. The hermetic sealing of UHT milk further enhances product safety, preventing external contaminants from compromising the quality of the milk.
Packaging concerns
The complexity of these packaging materials, including the combination of plastic, aluminum, and paper, may hinder the market's growth as consumers increasingly prioritize sustainability. However, environmental consciousness has led consumers to seek eco-friendly alternatives, pressuring the food and beverage industry to adopt more sustainable packaging solutions.
Covid-19 Impact
The emergence of COVID-19 has caused significant disruptions to the supply chain, variations in demand, production halts, and shortages of raw materials in the UHT milk industry. The dairy sector has been facing unprecedented challenges, and it was not possible to completely cut down milk production owing to low demand and supply issues. Moreover, there have been disruptions to both the raw material supply and the output of dairy products simultaneously.
The skimmed UHT milk segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The skimmed UHT milk segment is estimated to hold the largest share, due to the extended shelf life and convenience. The production of skimmed UHT milk involves removing the majority of the fat content through a separation process before subjecting it to the UHT treatment. This results in a dairy product with significantly reduced fat content, making it a preferred choice for health-conscious consumers seeking a lighter and leaner option. Moreover, as dietary consciousness continues to grow and with an increasing emphasis on healthier food choices, the market for UHT milk is expanding.
The powder segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The powder segment is anticipated to have lucrative growth during the forecast period. The powder form of UHT milk offers several advantages, including extended shelf life, ease of storage, and reduced transportation costs due to its lower weight and volume. Additionally, the convenience of UHT milk in powder form extends its applications to various industries, including the food and beverage sector, where it serves as a key ingredient in the production of reconstituted milk, bakery products, and confectioneries.
Europe commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period owing to the longer shelf life, and changing consumer lifestyles. With a well-established dairy industry and advanced processing technologies, European consumers appreciate UHT milk's ability to offer a reliable and convenient source of dairy without the need for immediate refrigeration. Additionally, the portability of UHT milk makes it a popular choice for travel and outdoor activities.
Asia Pacific is expected to witness profitable growth over the projection period. The region's diverse and expanding population coupled with rapid urbanization and changing consumer lifestyles, has fostered a robust demand for convenient and long-lasting dairy products, positioning UHT milk as a preferred choice. Furthermore, the rising middle class, increasing disposable incomes, and a growing awareness of UHT milk's safety attributes further fuel the market's expansion.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the UHT Milk Market include Groupe Lactalis SA, Danone SA, Nestle S.A., Arla Foods amba, Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited, China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd., Dana Dairy Group, Yili Group and Hochwald Foods.
In December 2023, Groupe Lactalis S.A. agreed to acquire Dairy Partners Americas Brasil Ltda. from Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited and Nestle S.A. for BRL 700 million.
In July 2022, Danone has launched the new Dairy & Plants Blend baby formula to meet parents' desire for feeding options suitable for vegetarian, flexitarian and plant-based diets, while still meeting their baby's specific nutritional requirements.
In August 2021, Danone SA announced an expansion of its one-year-old partnership with Brightseed, creator of the Forager artificial intelligence, which maps and predicts the health impact of plant-based compounds.