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市場調查報告書

商品編碼

2021592

15分鐘城市旅遊市場預測至2034年－按出行方式、技術與區域分類的全球分析

15-Minute Cities Mobility Market Forecasts to 2034 - Global Analysis By Mobility Mode, Technology and By Geography

出版日期: 2026年04月17日 | 出版商:

Stratistics Market Research Consulting | 英文 | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

價格

簡介目錄圖表

根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據，預計到 2026 年，全球 15 分鐘城市出行市場規模將達到 526 億美元，並在預測期內以 12.0% 的複合年成長率成長，到 2034 年將達到 1303 億美元。

「15分鐘城市出行」計畫旨在打造人們能夠在15分鐘內步行或騎自行車輕鬆獲取日常必需品的城市。該計劃優先考慮減少對汽車的依賴，加強公共交通網路，並推廣非機動車出行。透過縮短通勤距離，該計劃有助於減少交通堵塞、污染和旅行時間，同時支持本地企業發展和社區聯繫。該模式利用綜合城市規劃、多樣化的土地利用和智慧技術來應對現代永續性挑戰，旨在建構一個便利、環保、以人為本的出行系統，從而提升城市生活的整體水平。

根據美國國家經濟研究局（NBER）的數據，美國人平均每天出行7到9英里（約11到14公里）進行購物和休閒活動，遠遠超過了永續城市規劃者倡導的“步行15分鐘”的理想距離。 NBER的數據顯示，只有12%的日常出行發生在步行15分鐘的範圍內，這凸顯了當前出行模式與「15分鐘城市」概念之間存在顯著差距。

都市區壅塞日益嚴重，行程時間負擔加重

隨著大都會地區交通壅塞日益嚴重，15分鐘城市出行概念正被廣泛接受。通勤時間過長會對生產力、心理健康和能源消耗產生負面影響，促使城市規劃者倡導以接近性為優先的生活方式。透過將職場和居住設施更靠近居住者，城市可以減少長途旅行的需求，並緩解交通系統的超負荷運作。這種模式在提升日常生活舒適度的同時，也促進了更健康的生活方式和更有效率的時間管理。在全球交通擁擠日益加劇的背景下，城市正擴大採用緊湊便捷的城市規劃方法，以改善城市交通和永續性發展。

基礎建設改造的巨大成本

將現有城市結構改造為「15分鐘半徑模式」需要對基礎設施進行大量投資，包括人行道、自行車道和社區服務中心。現有都市區由於空間限制和亟需現代化改造的陳舊系統，面臨更高的成本。預算限制和相互競爭的發展需求可能會阻礙進展，而投資者也可能因投資回報期長而猶豫不決。這些經濟障礙限制了該模式的廣泛應用，尤其是在新興經濟體，而城市改造的高昂成本是15分鐘城市出行市場擴張的主要障礙。

擴大主動出行基礎設施

對步行和騎乘基礎設施的投入不斷增加，為15分鐘城市出行市場創造了強勁的成長前景。建造安全的步道、自行車網路和環保走廊，不僅提升了交通便利性，也促進了更健康的生活方式。城市管理部門正優先發展非機動交通途徑，以緩解交通堵塞並降低污染水平。這一趨勢為從事城市設計和出行服務的公司提供了實施創新解決方案的機會。對可靠的綠色出行系統日益成長的需求預計將推動市場擴張，為永續城市出行發展帶來重大機會。

政治反對派和公眾誤解

來自政治團體的反對和公眾的誤解對15分鐘城市出行市場構成重大風險。有些人認為這種模式可能會限制出行自由或增加監管，進而引發抵制。不實訊息的傳播和公眾認知度的低落會加劇疑慮，降低接受度。政治分歧會進一步延緩決策，影響計畫成果。缺乏有效的溝通和相關人員的參與，可能會削弱人們對這些措施的信心。這些因素會造成不穩定，並可能延緩近距離移動系統的部署。

新冠疫情的影響：

新冠疫情危機凸顯了緊密聯繫生活的重要性，從而在推動「15分鐘城市出行」理念發展方面發揮了關鍵作用。疫情限制和封鎖措施減少了長途通勤，促使人們更多地依賴附近的設施和非汽車交通途徑。城市管理部門採取了拓寬人行道和自行車道等措施，以確保出行安全。遠距辦公的興起也促進了分散式生活方式的出現。因此，政府和負責人將重點轉向以社區為基礎的城市發展，並將疫情視為推動高效、永續和以社區為導向的出行解決方案的關鍵驅動力。

在預測期內，主動出行基礎設施領域預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率。

在預測期內，活躍出行基礎設施領域預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率，因為它構成了短途出行的基礎。行人友善道路、專用自行車道以及更安全的城市環境的建設，都與以社區為基礎的出行便利性目標密切相關。政府和負責人支持這些解決方案，因為它們經濟高效、易於實施，並且能夠迅速有效地減少交通流量、改善環境品質和提升公眾福祉。在強力的監管措施的支持下，該領域持續發展，並成為推動高效、永續和以社區為中心的城市出行框架的最重要因素。

預計在預測期內，人工智慧驅動的交通管理領域將呈現最高的複合年成長率。

在預測期內，人工智慧驅動的交通管理領域預計將呈現最高的成長率，這主要得益於其利用即時洞察和高階分析技術來提升交通效率的能力。這些系統有助於調節車流、最佳化號誌配時，並最大限度地減少人口密集都市區交通堵塞。它們有助於實現更順暢的交通、更短的旅行時間和更低的環境影響。對智慧城市建設和數位轉型的日益重視正在推動其快速發展。隨著城市面臨出行挑戰，智慧交通解決方案對於確保高效、永續的城市交通網路至關重要。

市佔率最大的地區：

在預測期內，歐洲地區預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率，這主要得益於其先進的永續城市發展模式和完善的交通網路。該地區的都市區大力倡導以人為本的步行環境、自行車基礎設施和支持鄰裡居住的綜合土地利用。政府的支持性政策、嚴格的環境標準以及對智慧技術的早期應用，都為該地區的主導地位做出了貢獻。隨著人口密度的增加和環保意識的增強，對在地化出行解決方案的需求正在進一步擴大。

複合年成長率最高的地區：

在預測期內，亞太地區預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率，這主要受城市快速擴張和人口日益集中的推動。各國政府正大力投資智慧城市建設、永續交通系統和先進基礎設施，以應對城市挑戰。收入水準的提高和日益增強的環境意識也推動了近距離出行解決方案的普及。此外，該地區的開發中國家正積極採用創新方法來提高交通便利性和效率。

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所有購買此報告的客戶均可享受以下免費自訂選項之一：

企業概況
- 對其他市場參與者（最多 3 家公司）進行全面分析
- 對主要企業進行SWOT分析（最多3家公司）
區域分類
- 應客戶要求，我們提供主要國家和地區的市場估算和預測，以及複合年成長率（註：需進行可行性檢查）。
競爭性標竿分析
- 根據產品系列、地理覆蓋範圍和策略聯盟對主要企業進行基準分析。

北美洲
- 美國
- 加拿大
- 墨西哥
歐洲
- 英國
- 德國
- 法國
- 義大利
- 西班牙
- 荷蘭
- 比利時
- 瑞典
- 瑞士
- 波蘭
- 其他歐洲國家
亞太地區
- 中國
- 日本
- 印度
- 韓國
- 澳洲
- 印尼
- 泰國
- 馬來西亞
- 新加坡
- 越南
- 其他亞太國家
南美洲
- 巴西
- 阿根廷
- 哥倫比亞
- 智利
- 秘魯
- 其他南美國家
世界其他地區（RoW）
- 中東
  - 沙烏地阿拉伯
  - 阿拉伯聯合大公國
  - 卡達
  - 以色列
  - 其他中東國家
- 非洲
  - 南非
  - 埃及
  - 摩洛哥
  - 其他非洲國家

第8章戰略市場資訊

工業價值網路和供應鏈評估
空白區域和機會地圖
產品演進與市場生命週期分析
通路、經銷商和打入市場策略的評估

第9章產業趨勢與策略舉措

併購
夥伴關係、聯盟和合資企業
新產品發布和認證
擴大生產能力和投資
其他策略舉措

第10章：公司簡介

Citymapper
Keolis
Lime
Mobike（Meituan Bike）
Motivate
Ofo
Scoot Networks
Transit
Via
Fluctuo
Gaiyo
Tier Mobility
Dott
Jump（Uber-acquired bikes）
Revel
Beam Mobility
Nextbike
Donkey Republic

簡介目錄圖表

Product Code: SMRC34932

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global 15-Minute Cities Mobility Market is accounted for $52.6 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach $130.3 billion by 2034 growing at a CAGR of 12.0% during the forecast period. 15-Minute Cities Mobility centers on creating cities where people can conveniently reach daily necessities within a quarter-hour by foot or bicycle. The approach prioritizes minimizing car dependency, strengthening public transportation networks, and encouraging non-motorized travel. By reducing commuting distances, it helps cut traffic congestion, pollution, and time spent traveling, while supporting neighborhood businesses and social connections. The model relies on integrated urban planning, diverse land use, and smart technologies to build accessible, eco-friendly, and people-focused mobility systems that address contemporary sustainability challenges and improve overall urban living standards.

According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, Americans travel on average 7-9 miles for shopping and recreational activities, far exceeding the 15-minute walking distance promoted by sustainable urban planners. Their data shows that only 12% of daily trips are within a 15-minute walk, underscoring the mismatch between current mobility patterns and the 15-Minute City framework.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Rising urban congestion and travel time pressures

Growing traffic bottlenecks in expanding urban areas are encouraging the adoption of 15-minute cities mobility concepts. Extended commuting durations negatively impact efficiency, mental well-being, and energy use, leading planners to promote proximity-based living. By bringing workplaces and amenities closer to residents, cities can reduce the need for long-distance travel and relieve overloaded transport systems. This model enhances everyday comfort while encouraging healthier routines and efficient time use. With congestion levels rising worldwide, cities are increasingly embracing compact, accessible planning approaches as a solution for improving urban mobility and sustainability outcomes.

Restraint:

High infrastructure transformation costs

Converting current city layouts into 15-minute models involves substantial financial commitment for infrastructure upgrades such as walkways, bike lanes, and local service centers. Established urban areas face higher costs due to space limitations and outdated systems that require modernization. Budget constraints and competing development needs can hinder progress, while investors may hesitate because of slow returns. These economic barriers limit widespread implementation, particularly in emerging economies, making the high cost of urban transformation a significant obstacle to the expansion of the 15-minute cities mobility market.

Opportunity:

Expansion of active mobility infrastructure

Rising investments in infrastructure that supports walking and cycling offer strong growth prospects for the 15-minute cities mobility market. Developing safe pathways, bicycle networks, and eco-friendly corridors improves accessibility and promotes healthier living habits. Urban authorities are emphasizing non-motorized transport to ease traffic and lower pollution levels. This trend creates opportunities for companies involved in urban design and mobility services to introduce innovative solutions. Increasing demand for reliable active transport systems is expected to drive expansion, making it a key opportunity within sustainable urban mobility development.

Threat:

Political opposition and public misconceptions

Opposition from political groups and misunderstandings among the public present major risks to the 15-minute cities mobility market. Certain individuals believe the model may limit freedom of movement or increase regulation, leading to resistance. The spread of inaccurate information and low awareness can intensify doubts and reduce acceptance. Political disagreements may further delay decision-making and affect project outcomes. Without effective communication and stakeholder involvement, trust in such initiatives may weaken. These factors create instability and can slow the adoption of proximity-based mobility systems.

Covid-19 Impact:

The COVID-19 crisis played a crucial role in boosting the growth of 15-minute cities mobility by emphasizing the need for proximity-based living. Movement restrictions and lockdowns reduced long commutes, encouraging people to depend more on nearby facilities and non-motorized transport. Urban authorities introduced measures such as expanded walkways and cycling paths to ensure safe travel. The rise of remote working also supported decentralized lifestyles. Consequently, governments and planners began focusing more on localized urban development, positioning the pandemic as an important driver in promoting efficient, sustainable, and community-oriented mobility solutions.

The active mobility infrastructure segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The active mobility infrastructure segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because it forms the backbone of short-range transportation. The development of walkable streets, dedicated cycling routes, and safer urban environments aligns closely with the goal of localized accessibility. Governments and planners favor these solutions due to their affordability, ease of implementation, and quick positive impact on traffic reduction, environmental quality, and public well-being. Supported by strong regulatory initiatives, this segment continues to gain traction, making it the most influential component in advancing efficient, sustainable, and community-focused urban mobility frameworks.

The AI-powered traffic management segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the AI-powered traffic management segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate because of their capability to improve traffic efficiency using real-time insights and advanced analytics. These systems help regulate vehicle flow, optimize signal timings, and minimize congestion within compact urban areas. They contribute to smoother transportation, shorter travel durations, and reduced environmental impact. Increasing focus on smart city development and digital transformation is driving their expansion. As cities face rising mobility challenges, intelligent traffic solutions are becoming crucial for ensuring efficient and sustainable urban transport networks.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share as a result of its advanced approach to sustainable city development and robust transportation networks. Urban areas in this region strongly promote pedestrian-friendly environments, cycling infrastructure, and integrated land use, which support proximity-based living. Supportive government policies, strict environmental standards, and early implementation of smart technologies contribute to its leadership. Increasing population concentration and heightened environmental awareness further boost the need for localized mobility solutions.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by rapid urban expansion and rising population concentrations. Authorities are investing heavily in smart city initiatives, sustainable transport systems, and advanced infrastructure to address urban pressures. Growing income levels and heightened environmental concerns are also encouraging the adoption of proximity-based mobility solutions. Furthermore, developing countries in the region are embracing innovative approaches to improve accessibility and efficiency.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in 15-Minute Cities Mobility Market include Citymapper, Keolis, Lime, Mobike (Meituan Bike), Motivate, Ofo, Scoot Networks, Transit, Via, Fluctuo, Gaiyo, Tier Mobility, Dott, Jump (Uber-acquired bikes), Revel, Beam Mobility, Nextbike and Donkey Republic.

Key Developments:

In June 2025, Keolis will create a joint venture with Etihad Rail to introduce the first passenger train service in the country. Drawing on Keolis' expertise combined with Etihad Rail's infrastructure, this partnership is designed to offer modern, efficient and customer-centric rail travel from 2026 on.

In March 2023, Via announced that it has acquired Citymapper, the UK-based premier journey planning app and transit technology company. On the heels of Via's recent financing round, the Citymapper acquisition accelerates Via's vision to build the end-to-end digital infrastructure for transit systems.

Mobility Modes Covered:

Active Mobility Infrastructure
Shared Micro-Mobility Services
Public Transit Integration
Neighborhood Autonomous Shuttles
Urban Logistics & Micro-Freight

Technologies Covered:

Smart Mobility Apps
Vehicle-to-everything (V2X) Platforms
AI-powered Traffic Management
Energy & Charging Infrastructure

Regions Covered:

North America
- United States
- Canada
- Mexico
Europe
- United Kingdom
- Germany
- France
- Italy
- Spain
- Netherlands
- Belgium
- Sweden
- Switzerland
- Poland
- Rest of Europe
Asia Pacific
- China
- Japan
- India
- South Korea
- Australia
- Indonesia
- Thailand
- Malaysia
- Singapore
- Vietnam
- Rest of Asia Pacific
South America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Colombia
- Chile
- Peru
- Rest of South America
Rest of the World (RoW)
- Middle East
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Qatar
Israel
Rest of Middle East
- Africa
South Africa
Egypt
Morocco
Rest of Africa

What our report offers:

Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
Covers Market data for the years 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2030, 2032 and 2034
Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

Company Profiling
- Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
- SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
Regional Segmentation
- Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
Competitive Benchmarking
- Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

1 Executive Summary

1.1 Market Snapshot and Key Highlights
1.2 Growth Drivers, Challenges, and Opportunities
1.3 Competitive Landscape Overview
1.4 Strategic Insights and Recommendations

2 Research Framework

2.1 Study Objectives and Scope
2.2 Stakeholder Analysis
2.3 Research Assumptions and Limitations
2.4 Research Methodology
- 2.4.1 Data Collection (Primary and Secondary)
- 2.4.2 Data Modeling and Estimation Techniques
- 2.4.3 Data Validation and Triangulation
- 2.4.4 Analytical and Forecasting Approach

3 Market Dynamics and Trend Analysis

3.1 Market Definition and Structure
3.2 Key Market Drivers
3.3 Market Restraints and Challenges
3.4 Growth Opportunities and Investment Hotspots
3.5 Industry Threats and Risk Assessment
3.6 Technology and Innovation Landscape
3.7 Emerging and High-Growth Markets
3.8 Regulatory and Policy Environment
3.9 Impact of COVID-19 and Recovery Outlook

4 Competitive and Strategic Assessment

4.1 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
- 4.1.1 Supplier Bargaining Power
- 4.1.2 Buyer Bargaining Power
- 4.1.3 Threat of Substitutes
- 4.1.4 Threat of New Entrants
- 4.1.5 Competitive Rivalry
4.2 Market Share Analysis of Key Players
4.3 Product Benchmarking and Performance Comparison

5 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market, By Mobility Mode

5.1 Active Mobility Infrastructure
5.2 Shared Micro-Mobility Services
5.3 Public Transit Integration
5.4 Neighborhood Autonomous Shuttles
5.5 Urban Logistics & Micro-Freight

6 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market, By Technology

6.1 Smart Mobility Apps
6.2 Vehicle-to-everything (V2X) Platforms
6.3 AI-powered Traffic Management
6.4 Energy & Charging Infrastructure

7 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market, By Geography

7.1 North America
- 7.1.1 United States
- 7.1.2 Canada
- 7.1.3 Mexico
7.2 Europe
- 7.2.1 United Kingdom
- 7.2.2 Germany
- 7.2.3 France
- 7.2.4 Italy
- 7.2.5 Spain
- 7.2.6 Netherlands
- 7.2.7 Belgium
- 7.2.8 Sweden
- 7.2.9 Switzerland
- 7.2.10 Poland
- 7.2.11 Rest of Europe
7.3 Asia Pacific
- 7.3.1 China
- 7.3.2 Japan
- 7.3.3 India
- 7.3.4 South Korea
- 7.3.5 Australia
- 7.3.6 Indonesia
- 7.3.7 Thailand
- 7.3.8 Malaysia
- 7.3.9 Singapore
- 7.3.10 Vietnam
- 7.3.11 Rest of Asia Pacific
7.4 South America
- 7.4.1 Brazil
- 7.4.2 Argentina
- 7.4.3 Colombia
- 7.4.4 Chile
- 7.4.5 Peru
- 7.4.6 Rest of South America
7.5 Rest of the World (RoW)
- 7.5.1 Middle East
  - 7.5.1.1 Saudi Arabia
  - 7.5.1.2 United Arab Emirates
  - 7.5.1.3 Qatar
  - 7.5.1.4 Israel
  - 7.5.1.5 Rest of Middle East
- 7.5.2 Africa
  - 7.5.2.1 South Africa
  - 7.5.2.2 Egypt
  - 7.5.2.3 Morocco
  - 7.5.2.4 Rest of Africa

8 Strategic Market Intelligence

8.1 Industry Value Network and Supply Chain Assessment
8.2 White-Space and Opportunity Mapping
8.3 Product Evolution and Market Life Cycle Analysis
8.4 Channel, Distributor, and Go-to-Market Assessment

9 Industry Developments and Strategic Initiatives

9.1 Mergers and Acquisitions
9.2 Partnerships, Alliances, and Joint Ventures
9.3 New Product Launches and Certifications
9.4 Capacity Expansion and Investments
9.5 Other Strategic Initiatives

10 Company Profiles

10.1 Citymapper
10.2 Keolis
10.3 Lime
10.4 Mobike (Meituan Bike)
10.5 Motivate
10.6 Ofo
10.7 Scoot Networks
10.8 Transit
10.9 Via
10.10 Fluctuo
10.11 Gaiyo
10.12 Tier Mobility
10.13 Dott
10.14 Jump (Uber-acquired bikes)
10.15 Revel
10.16 Beam Mobility
10.17 Nextbike
10.18 Donkey Republic

簡介目錄圖表

List of Tables

Table 1 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Region (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 2 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Mobility Mode (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 3 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Active Mobility Infrastructure (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 4 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Shared Micro-Mobility Services (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 5 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Public Transit Integration (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 6 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Neighborhood Autonomous Shuttles (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 7 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Urban Logistics & Micro-Freight (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 8 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Technology (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 9 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Smart Mobility Apps (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 10 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Vehicle-to-everything (V2X) Platforms (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 11 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By AI-powered Traffic Management (2023-2034) ($MN)
Table 12 Global 15 Minute Cities Mobility Market Outlook, By Energy & Charging Infrastructure (2023-2034) ($MN)

Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Rest of the World (RoW) Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.

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