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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1848405
2032年油氣市場預測:按產品類型、價值鏈、來源、運輸基礎設施、應用、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Oil & Gas Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product Type, Value Chain, Source, Transport Infrastructure, Application, End User and By Geography |
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根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球石油和天然氣市場預計在 2025 年達到 8,5507.5 億美元,預計到 2032 年將達到 13,9113.1 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 7.2%。
石油和天然氣產業是全球經濟的基礎,為車輛、工業和家庭提供能源。它涵蓋原油和天然氣的探勘、鑽探、加工和供應。技術創新提高了營運效率和安全性,而環境壓力則推動著人們採用更環保的做法。市場動態和地緣政治事件對產量和定價有重大影響。該行業還在全球範圍內提供了大量的就業機會和政府收入。儘管面臨價格波動和環境法規日益嚴格等挑戰,石油和天然氣仍然是滿足全球日益成長的能源需求的關鍵。
根據國際能源總署(IEA,World Energy Outlook 2023)預測,2022年石油和天然氣將佔全球能源供應的50%以上,石油需求將達到約1億桶/日,這顯示儘管可再生能源有所成長,但石油和天然氣仍將佔據主導地位。
全球能源需求不斷成長
石油和天然氣市場在很大程度上受全球能源需求成長的驅動。人口成長、快速都市化和工業發展持續推高石油和天然氣的消費量。交通運輸、製造業和發電等產業都嚴重依賴這些燃料。開發中國家尤其透過大規模基礎設施計劃推動能源使用。現代生活方式和技術的廣泛應用進一步推動了消費模式的轉變。因此,該行業正在穩步成長,刺激了對探勘、生產和供應鏈的投資,以滿足已開發市場和新興市場日益成長的能源需求。
高昂的營運和探勘成本
高昂的營運和探勘成本限制了石油和天然氣市場的成長。從海上、深水和傳統型油氣資源開採需要先進的技術和專用機械,這需要大量的資本投入。包括勞動力、運輸、維護和安全措施在內的持續成本進一步增加了支出。這些財務需求降低了利潤率,並可能導致計劃延期或取消,尤其是在油價下跌的情況下。小型企業往往難以在這些壓力下維持營運。總體而言,成本上升限制了市場擴張,限制了新投資,並給那些在石油和天然氣領域尋求永續盈利成長的公司帶來了持續的挑戰。
轉向更清潔的能源和永續性
全球對永續性和清潔能源的關注為石油和天然氣產業帶來了廣闊的前景。企業可以探索對氫能、生質燃料、低碳能源和碳捕獲技術的投資。這項策略使他們能夠在日益推崇環保實踐的市場中保持競爭力。採用永續的解決方案可以提升公司形象,吸引具有環保意識的投資者,並確保合規性。將可再生能源計劃與傳統營運相結合可以創造新的收益管道,並增強長期韌性。擁抱向綠色能源的轉型可以鞏固石油和天然氣公司的市場地位,推動技術創新,並確保在不斷變化的全球能源格局中實現永續成長。
與可再生能源的競爭
可再生能源的成長對石油和天然氣產業構成了重大威脅。太陽能、風能和水力發電技術正變得越來越經濟實惠,應用也越來越廣泛,從而減少了對石化燃料的依賴。政策支持、補貼和獎勵可能會進一步推動清潔能源的採用,並減少傳統石油和燃氣公司的市場佔有率。向低碳解決方案的轉變迫使傳統能源供應商進行創新,否則將面臨失去相關性的風險。投資者和消費者對永續能源的偏好正在加劇競爭。這一趨勢威脅著未來的需求和盈利,迫使企業實現能源供應多元化,採用更清潔的技術,並重新評估其長期策略,以在不斷變化的能源格局中保持競爭力。
新冠疫情(COVID-19)全球爆發,對石油和天然氣產業造成重大衝擊,導致全球能源需求急劇下降。停工、出行限制和經濟活動放緩大幅減少了工業和交通運輸的燃料消耗,導致原油價格暴跌。供應鏈中斷、計劃延期和營運困難給該行業帶來了進一步的挑戰。企業收益下降,員工人數減少,探勘和生產投資被推遲。市場不確定性加劇了市場波動,並削弱了投資者信心。疫情凸顯了石油產業在全球動盪面前的脆弱性,並強調了適應性、成本效益以及朝向更清潔、更永續的能源來源多元化發展的重要性。
預計原油板塊在預測期內將佔據最大佔有率。
預計原油板塊將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率,為交通運輸、工業和發電提供能源。原油是生產精煉石油產品和石化產品的主要原料,為能源產業提供動力。其高需求、廣泛的應用以及在能源供應鏈中的核心地位,使其在市場上佔據主導地位。儘管價格波動且能源轉向可再生能源,原油仍是滿足全球能源需求的關鍵。持續的生產、精煉和分銷工作,以及技術創新,提升了原油的重要性,吸引了大規模投資,並使其成為石油和天然氣市場中最具影響力的板塊。
預計在預測期內,傳統型區隔將實現最高的複合年成長率。
受能源需求激增和傳統型蘊藏量減少的推動,傳統型領域預計將在預測期內實現最高成長率。非常規能源領域包括頁岩氣和緻密油等資源,這些資源依賴水力壓裂和水平鑽井等先進的開採方法。不斷成長的探勘和生產投資,尤其是在北美和傳統型國家,正在推動這一快速擴張。技術創新、政府支持性政策以及不斷上漲的能源價格進一步促進了成長。非傳統資源為滿足日益成長的能源需求、實現供應多元化和提高能源安全提供了機遇,使其成為石油和天然氣市場中成長最快、最具活力的部分。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。這一領先地位得益於中國、印度和日本等國快速的工業成長、城市擴張以及不斷成長的能源需求。該地區在探勘、生產、煉油和分銷領域的大量投資進一步鞏固了其市場地位。此外,擴大轉向天然氣和液化天然氣等更清潔的替代能源,也鞏固了亞太地區在全球能源領域的關鍵地位。
在預測期內,北美預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率,這得益於頁岩油氣等非傳統資源開採的突破。美國處於領先地位,尤其是在提高其液化天然氣生產和出口能力方面。水力壓裂和水平鑽井等開採技術的進步正在提高效率。此外,優惠的政策和不斷增加的基礎設施投資也支持著該行業的成長。這種快速擴張凸顯了北美在全球能源領域的關鍵作用,增強了該地區的能源安全和經濟繁榮。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Oil & Gas Market is accounted for $8550.75 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $13911.31 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period. The oil and gas sector is fundamental to the global economy, supplying energy for vehicles, industries, and homes. It involves the exploration, drilling, processing, and delivery of crude oil and natural gas. Innovations have improved operational efficiency and safety, while environmental pressures encourage the adoption of greener practices. Market dynamics and geopolitical events strongly impact production and pricing. The industry also provides substantial jobs and government income across countries. Even with issues such as volatile prices and stricter environmental regulations, oil and gas continue to be essential in fulfilling the rising global demand for energy.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA, World Energy Outlook 2023), Data shows that oil and gas together accounted for over 50% of global energy supply in 2022, with oil demand reaching ~100 million barrels per day, underscoring their continued dominance despite renewable growth.
Rising global energy demand
The oil and gas market is largely propelled by the growing worldwide need for energy. Expanding populations, rapid urbanization, and industrial growth lead to a consistent rise in consumption of petroleum and natural gas. Sectors like transportation, manufacturing, and electricity generation heavily depend on these fuels. Developing nations, in particular, drive energy usage through large-scale infrastructure projects. Modern lifestyles and technological proliferation further boost consumption patterns. As a result, the industry experiences steady growth, encouraging investment in exploration, production, and supply chains to fulfill the increasing energy demands of both developed and emerging markets.
High operational and exploration costs
Significant operational and exploration expenses restrict the growth of the oil and gas market. Extracting resources from offshore, deepwater, or unconventional sources requires advanced technologies and specialized machinery, resulting in high capital investments. Ongoing costs, including workforce, transport, maintenance, and safety measures, further elevate expenditures. These financial demands reduce profit margins and may delay or cancel projects, especially when oil prices decline. Smaller firms often struggle to sustain operations under these pressures. Overall, elevated costs constrain market expansion, limit new investments, and pose continuous challenges for companies seeking sustainable and profitable growth within the oil and gas sector.
Shift towards cleaner energy and sustainability
The global emphasis on sustainability and clean energy provides significant prospects for the oil and gas sector. Firms can explore investments in hydrogen, biofuels, low-carbon energy, and carbon capture technologies. This strategy allows companies to stay competitive in a market that increasingly favors environmentally responsible practices. Adopting sustainable solutions improves corporate image, appeals to eco-conscious investors, and ensures regulatory compliance. Combining renewable energy initiatives with traditional operations creates additional revenue channels and enhances long-term resilience. By embracing the transition toward greener energy, oil and gas companies can strengthen their market position, drive innovation, and ensure sustainable growth in an evolving global energy landscape.
Competition from renewable energy sources
Renewable energy growth poses a significant threat to the oil and gas sector. Solar, wind, and hydro technologies are increasingly affordable and widely implemented, lowering dependence on fossil fuels. Policy support, subsidies, and incentives further encourage adoption of clean energy, potentially reducing market share for traditional oil and gas companies. The shift toward low-carbon solutions forces conventional energy businesses to innovate or risk losing relevance. Investor and consumer preference for sustainable energy intensifies competition. This trend threatens future demand and profitability, compelling companies to diversify energy offerings, adopt cleaner technologies, and revise long-term strategies to remain competitive in an evolving energy landscape.
The global outbreak of COVID-19 had a profound impact on the oil and gas industry, sharply reducing energy demand worldwide. Lockdowns, restricted mobility, and slowing economic activity led to a significant decline in industrial and transportation fuel consumption, triggering a steep drop in oil prices. Supply chain interruptions, delayed projects, and operational difficulties further challenged the sector. Companies experienced revenue losses, workforce downsizing, and postponed investments in exploration and production. Market uncertainty heightened volatility and lowered investor confidence. The pandemic underscored the industry's susceptibility to global disruptions and reinforced the importance of adaptability, cost efficiency, and diversification into cleaner, sustainable energy sources.
The crude oil segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The crude oil segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, providing energy for transportation, industry, and electricity generation. It is the main raw material for producing refined petroleum products and petrochemicals, underpinning the energy sector. Its high demand, broad applicability, and central role in energy supply chains maintain its dominant market position. Even with price volatility and the shift toward renewables, crude oil remains vital for fulfilling global energy requirements. Continuous production, refining, and distribution efforts, along with technological innovations, reinforce its significance and attract major investments, making it the most influential segment in the oil and gas market.
The unconventional segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the unconventional segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, driven by surging energy demand and declining conventional reserves. It encompasses resources like shale gas and tight oil, which rely on sophisticated extraction methods such as fracking and horizontal drilling. Increased exploration and production investments, especially in North America and emerging economies, are fueling this rapid expansion. Technological innovations, supportive government policies, and elevated energy prices further contribute to growth. Unconventional resources offer opportunities to meet rising energy requirements, diversify supply, and improve energy security, positioning this segment as the fastest-growing and most dynamic area within the oil and gas market.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share. This leadership is driven by the swift industrial growth, urban expansion, and escalating energy requirements in nations like China, India, and Japan. The region's substantial investments in exploration, production, refining, and distribution sectors have further reinforced its market position. Moreover, the increasing transition towards cleaner energy alternatives, including natural gas and LNG, has bolstered Asia-Pacific's pivotal role in the worldwide energy sector.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, fueled by breakthroughs in extracting unconventional resources like shale oil and gas. The United States is at the forefront, with rising production and export capabilities, notably in LNG. Advancements in extraction technologies, including hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling, have improved efficiency. Moreover, favorable policies and increased infrastructure investments are supporting sectoral growth. This swift expansion underscores North America's crucial role in the global energy sector, enhancing regional energy security and economic prosperity.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Oil & Gas Market include Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL), Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), Reliance Industries Limited (RIL), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL), Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL), GAIL Limited, Cairn Oil & Gas Inc, Nayara Energy Inc, Oil India Limited, Petronet LNG Limited, Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL), Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CPCL), Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation (GSPC), Essar Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Inc and Adani Total Gas Limited.
In August 2025, Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) announced the formation of a joint venture with Meta to build and scale enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) solutions for businesses in India and select international markets. As part of the agreement, RIL and Meta have committed a joint initial investment of approximately ₹855 crore, with Reliance holding a 70% stake and Meta holding 30%.
In April 2025, Indian Oil Corp has signed a five-year import deal with trader Trafigura to buy 2.5 million metric tons of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in a $1.3-$1.4 billion deal. Supplies under the deal would begin from the second half of this year, he said, adding that the price of the LNG is linked to the U.S. Henry Hub benchmark.
In February 2025, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC) and bp have signed a contract under which bp will serve as the Technical Services Provider (TSP) for the Mumbai High field, India's largest and most prolific offshore oil field. ONGC will retain ownership and operational control of the field. Under the terms of the contract, bp will receive a fixed fee for a period of two years for its deployed personnel, followed by a service fee linked to incremental oil and gas production.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.