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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1836397
作物基因工程市場預測(至 2032 年):按性狀、作物類型、技術、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Genetic Engineering in Crops Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Trait, Crop Type, Technology, End User, and By Geography |
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根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球作物基因工程市場預計到 2025 年將達到 12.4 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 23.2 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 9.3%。
作物基因工程專注於開發基因改造作物或工程改造作物,使其具有更高的產量、抗病蟲害、耐旱性和營養品質等特性。在確保糧食安全和永續農業需求的推動下,生物技術和基於CRISPR的技術的進步正在實現精準作物改良。全球人口的成長、飲食偏好的演變以及政府支持生物技術應用的舉措,正在推動這一市場的成長,相關人員紛紛投資研發,以滿足未來的農業需求。
根據聯合國糧食及農業組織(FAO)的數據,到2023年,全球基改作物的種植作物將超過1.9億公頃。
全球糧食需求不斷成長
這一市場的主要驅動力是全球人口不斷成長,預計到2050年將達到近100億,糧食需求的緊迫性使其難以滿足日益成長的人口需求。由於可耕地有限,傳統農業難以有效擴大生產規模。基因改造作物直接解決了這個問題,它透過基因改造顯著提高產量,增強抗病蟲害能力,從而減少收穫前的損失。這種生產力的提升對於確保糧食安全至關重要。此外,這些作物還可以透過改良營養成分來對抗營養不良,使其成為在日益緊張的壓力下維持全球糧食供應鏈的重要工具。
監管挑戰和核准流程
市場成長的主要障礙是基因改造作物(GMO) 監管核准流程複雜、成本高昂且冗長。這些框架在不同國家和地區存在巨大差異,為開發者創造了一個碎片化且難以預測的環境。高昂的合規成本以及多年投資後產品被拒絕的風險,限制了中小企業的發展,並延緩了有益創新的商業化進程。這種監管不確定性是減緩全球市場擴張、限制新技術流向監管嚴格地區農民的主要因素。
開發適應氣候變遷的作物
一個重大的新機會在於對作物進行基因改造,使其能夠抵禦日益嚴峻的氣候變遷挑戰。這包括培育能夠耐受日益頻繁和嚴重的生物脅迫(例如乾旱、鹽鹼化和極端高溫)的品種。此類創新可以穩定脆弱地區的生產,保護農民的生計,並確保穩定的糧食供應。這也能為依賴雨養農業且極易受氣候變遷影響的新興國家開拓新的市場,使基因工程成為確保全球糧食系統未來免受環境變遷影響的關鍵解決方案。
生物恐怖主義和生物武器風險
理論上,惡意行為者可以設計出針對主要作物的病原體,或培育出抗除草劑的“超級雜草”,從而擾亂農業生產,造成大範圍的經濟和社會混亂。此類情況,即使是假設性的,也可能引發公眾恐慌,並導致政府過度監管,從而扼殺合法研究。這些感知風險加劇了人們對基改作物的“恐懼因素”,並挑戰了業界贏得公眾信任和維護營運自由的努力。
新冠疫情最初擾亂了基改作物市場,造成供應鏈瓶頸,減緩了研究工作和種子分發。然而,它也加速了圍繞農業生物技術作為全球危機期間確保糧食安全手段的對話,並凸顯了韌性和高效的糧食系統的重要性。疫情期間對科學解決方案的關注產生了雙重影響,一方面阻礙了短期活動,另一方面也有可能創造一個更有利於農業生物技術創新的長期環境。
預測期內,耐除草劑 (HT) 類作物預計將成為最大的細分市場
耐除草劑 (HT) 領域預計將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率,這得益於其在大豆、玉米和棉花等主要連作作物中的廣泛應用。該技術簡化並精簡了雜草控制流程,使農民能夠使用廣譜除草劑而不會損害作物。這可以顯著節省勞動力和燃料成本,使其成為大規模農業經濟上具有吸引力的方案。耐除草劑 (HT) 的穩固地位及其對農民已證實的經濟效益鞏固了其在市場格局中的主導地位。
預計水果和蔬菜板塊在預測期內將達到最高複合年成長率
預計水果和蔬菜細分市場將在預測期內實現最高成長率。這得益於消費者對具有改良特性(例如風味更佳、保存期限更長、外觀更佳,從而減少食物浪費)的農產品的強勁需求。此外,基因工程技術正被用於培育對常見於高價值水果和蔬菜的特定真菌和病毒性疾病具有抗性的品種。這種以消費者為中心的優勢與針對種植者的特定解決方案相結合,正在為該行業創造強勁的成長動力。
預計北美地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。這一主導地位得益於完善的法規結構、美國和加拿大基因改造作物的高採用率以及主要市場參與者的強大影響力。此外,該地區的大型農場對提高效率和產量的技術有著極強的接受度。憑藉成熟的農業生物技術基礎設施和農民的持續認可,北美地區鞏固了其在該市場收益領導者的地位。
預計亞太地區在預測期內的複合年成長率最高。這項加速成長得益於中國和印度等主要國家政府加強對農業生物技術的支持力度,這些國家正努力應對耕地面積不斷減少、人口不斷增加的困境。農民對基改作物益處的認知不斷提高,例如提高產量和減少農藥使用,這也推動了基改作物的採用。該地區龐大的農業基礎和迫切的糧食安全需求為市場快速擴張創造了肥沃的土壤。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Genetic Engineering in Crops Market is accounted for $1.24 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $2.32 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 9.3% during the forecast period. Genetic engineering in crops focuses on developing genetically modified and engineered crops with enhanced traits such as higher yield, pest and disease resistance, drought tolerance, and improved nutritional quality. Driven by the need to ensure food security and sustainable agriculture, advancements in biotechnology and CRISPR-based techniques are enabling precision crop improvement. Increasing global population, evolving dietary preferences, and government initiatives supporting biotech adoption are propelling growth in this market, with stakeholders investing in research and development to meet future agricultural demands.
According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), genetically modified (GM) crops were grown on over 190 million hectares globally in 2023.
Increasing Global Food Demand
The primary driver for this market is the pressing need to feed a growing global population, projected to near 10 billion by 2050. Conventional agriculture alone is struggling to expand output sufficiently due to limited arable land. Genetically engineered crops directly address this by being engineered for significantly higher yields and greater resistance to pests and diseases, which reduces pre-harvest losses. This enhanced productivity is crucial for ensuring food security. Furthermore, these crops can be developed with improved nutritional profiles, combating malnutrition and making them a vital tool for sustaining the global food supply chain under increasing pressure.
Regulatory Challenges and Approval Processes
A significant barrier to market growth is the complex, costly, and time-consuming regulatory approval processes for genetically modified organisms (GMOs). These frameworks vary drastically across different countries and regions, creating a fragmented and unpredictable landscape for developers. The high cost of compliance and the risk of a product being rejected after years of investment deter smaller companies and can delay the commercialization of beneficial innovations. This regulatory uncertainty acts as a major restraint, slowing down global market expansion and limiting the flow of new technologies to farmers in restrictive regions.
Development of Climate-Resilient Crops
A major emerging opportunity lies in engineering crops to withstand the escalating challenges of climate change. This involves developing varieties tolerant to abiotic stresses such as drought, salinity, and extreme temperatures, which are becoming more frequent and severe. Such innovations can stabilize production in vulnerable regions, safeguarding farmers' livelihoods and ensuring consistent food supplies. Moreover, this opens up new markets in developing countries where agriculture is heavily rain-fed and susceptible to climate shocks, positioning genetic engineering as a key solution for future-proofing global food systems against environmental volatility.
Bioterrorism and Bioweapons Risks
Malicious actors could theoretically engineer pathogens targeting staple crops or develop herbicide-resistant "superweeds" to disrupt agriculture and cause widespread economic and social havoc. Such scenarios, even if hypothetical, fuel public apprehension and could lead to overly restrictive government regulations that stifle legitimate research. This perceived risk contributes to the "fear factor" surrounding GMOs, challenging the industry's efforts to gain public trust and maintain operational freedom.
The Covid-19 pandemic initially disrupted the genetic engineering crops market through supply chain bottlenecks, delaying research activities and the distribution of seeds. However, it also underscored the critical importance of resilient and efficient food systems, accelerating the dialogue around agricultural biotechnology as a means to ensure food security amidst global crises. The focus on scientific solutions during the pandemic period had a dual effect, simultaneously hindering short-term operations while potentially fostering a more receptive long-term environment for biotech innovations in agriculture
The herbicide tolerance (HT) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The herbicide tolerance (HT) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to its widespread adoption in major row crops like soybean, corn, and cotton. This technology offers simplified and more efficient weed control, allowing farmers to apply broad-spectrum herbicides without damaging their crops. This leads to significant cost savings on labor and fuel, making it an economically attractive solution for large-scale farming. Its established presence and proven economic benefits for growers cement its dominant position in the market landscape.
The fruits and vegetables segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fruits and vegetables segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. This is driven by strong consumer demand for produce with enhanced traits, such as improved flavor, extended shelf life, and visual appeal, which reduce food waste. Additionally, genetic engineering is being leveraged to develop varieties resistant to specific fungal and viral diseases that commonly affect high-value fruits and vegetables. This combination of consumer-centric benefits and tangible solutions for growers creates a powerful growth vector within the sector.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share. This dominance is anchored by well-established regulatory frameworks, high adoption rates of GM crops in the U.S. and Canada, and strong presence of leading market players. Furthermore, large-scale farm operations in the region are highly receptive to technologies that boost efficiency and yield. The mature agricultural biotechnology infrastructure and consistent farmer acceptance solidify North America's position as the revenue leader in this market.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. This accelerated growth is fueled by increasing government support for agricultural biotechnology in key countries like China and India, which are grappling with the need to feed vast populations amidst shrinking arable land. Growing awareness among farmers about the benefits of GM crops, such as higher yields and reduced pesticide use, is also driving adoption. The region's vast agricultural base and pressing food security needs create a fertile ground for rapid market expansion.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Genetic Engineering in Crops Market include Bayer AG, Corteva Agriscience, Inc., Syngenta AG, BASF SE, KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA, Limagrain, Calyxt, Inc., Pairwise Plants Technologies, Inc., Benson Hill, Inc., Arcadia Biosciences, Inc., Inari Agriculture, Inc., Yield10 Bioscience, Inc., Evogene Ltd., Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp., KeyGene N.V., and TraitGenetics GmbH.
In September 2025, Syngenta acquired Novartis' natural products and genetic strains collection, accelerating the development of biological and biotechnological crop solutions.
In August 2025, Together with Corteva and M.S. Technologies, BASF is bringing an industry-first biotech soybean with nematode resistance trait stacked with herbicide and insect resistance to Brazil by decade's end, aimed at yield protection and pest management.
In November 2024, Corteva announced a breakthrough hybrid wheat technology poised to increase wheat yields and genetic gains using proprietary methods that enable hybridization across 100% of wheat germplasm.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.