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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1813425
2032年化肥市場預測:按肥料類型、作物類型、形態、分銷管道、應用和地區分類的全球分析Chemical Fertilizers Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Fertilizer Type (Nitrogenous Fertilizers, Phosphate Fertilizers, Potash Fertilizers and Compound Fertilizers), Crop Type, Form, Distribution Channel, Application and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2025 年全球化肥市場價值為 2,200.8 億美元,預計到 2032 年將達到 3,651.3 億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為 7.5%。
化學肥料是人造產品,旨在為植物提供氮、磷、鉀等重要營養物質,促進植物快速旺盛生長。現代農業重視化肥,因為它們能夠迅速肥沃土壤,並顯著提高作物產量。與有機肥相比,化學肥料效率更高、勞動強度更低、見效更快。然而,過量使用化學肥料會損害土壤健康,降低長期肥力,並污染水源。化學肥料也會破壞土壤微生物,破壞環境穩定性。因此,雖然化肥對於確保充足的糧食供應至關重要,但其施用應受到控制,並結合環保措施。
據國際肥料協會(IFA)稱,受人口成長、飲食習慣變化和提高農業生產力的需求推動,到 2026 年全球肥料需求預計將達到 2 億噸營養物質。
全球糧食需求不斷成長
推動化肥市場發展的強大因素之一是人口成長導致的全球糧食需求快速成長。為了養活更多人口,農民需要提高產量並確保糧食供應。化學肥料在此發揮關鍵作用,它提供重要的營養物質,加速植物生長並提高產量。由於都市化導致可耕地減少,使用化學肥料有助於最大限度地提高有限農業用地的產量。化肥具有速效和高效的特點,是現代農業不可或缺的必需品。因此,全球糧食需求的不斷成長直接導致了化肥需求的成長。
成本上升和依賴性
對化學肥料的日益依賴限制了市場的長期前景。長期使用化學肥料會降低土壤的自然肥力,迫使農民必須大量施用化學肥料以維持作物產量。這種依賴增加了生產成本,為資源有限的小農戶帶來了挑戰。此外,原料價格(尤其是天然氣價格)的波動導致化肥價格上漲,且難以取得。這些成本的上漲導致許多開發中國家難以負擔化肥,並降低了整體需求。為了減輕經濟負擔,農民擴大轉向經濟高效且永續的替代品。因此,成本上漲加上日益成長的依賴性,對市場擴張構成了巨大的限制。
肥料創新
肥料技術的創新正在為化肥市場創造巨大的機會。緩釋、水溶性和生物強化肥料的推出,提高了養分吸收率,減少了損失。這些先進的產品吸引了那些追求效率和永續性的農民。與精準農業技術相結合,它們可以最大限度地提高作物產量,同時最大限度地減少環境影響。那些重視研發和環保創新的跨國公司在搶佔市場佔有率方面佔據有利地位。這些進步不僅提高了農業生產力,也解決了日益成長的永續性問題。因此,肥料配方技術的改進為全球農業市場的長期成長和盈利帶來了巨大的機會。
來自有機替代品的競爭
人們對有機農業日益成長的興趣對化肥產業構成了威脅。隨著消費者對更清潔、更安全食品的需求,有機農產品在全球發展勢頭強勁。由於有機農業主要使用堆肥、化學肥料和生物肥料,這一趨勢減少了對化學投入的依賴。此外,許多政府正在透過激勵措施、認證和宣傳計劃積極推廣有機農業,使其成為對農民頗具吸引力的選擇。人們對永續性和健康飲食的日益重視進一步加速了這一轉變。因此,化肥面臨著天然替代品的激烈競爭,迫使該行業透過技術創新來適應,否則將面臨在不斷變化的農業格局中失去競爭力的風險。
新冠疫情對化肥市場產生了強烈衝擊,擾亂了市場秩序,也讓人們重新認知到農業的重要性。全球封鎖擾亂了供應鏈,延誤了化肥的生產和供應。許多農民難以獲得充足的供應,影響了作物生產週期。燃料成本上漲和原料短缺進一步推高了化肥價格,導致低收入地區難以負擔化肥。儘管有這些障礙,但這場危機凸顯了化肥在維護糧食安全方面的作用。因此,各國政府在疫情期間優先考慮農業投入。儘管市場成長在短期內有所放緩,但對化肥的基本需求支撐了後疫情時代的經濟復甦。
預測期內,氮肥市場預計將成為最大的市場
氮肥是農業生產力的基礎,預計在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。氮對植物生長至關重要,因為它能促進葉綠素的生成、增強光合作用並促進蛋白質的形成。小麥、玉米和水稻等高需求作物嚴重依賴氮肥投入,導致尿素、硝酸銨和其他氮肥產品被廣泛使用。農民青睞這些肥料,因為它們具有速效性和立竿見影的產量效果。糧食需求的增加和可耕地面積的減少進一步提升了氮肥的重要性。因此,氮肥仍是最主要的細分市場,在全球化肥市場中保持領先。
預計水果和蔬菜板塊在預測期內將出現最高複合年成長率
預計水果和蔬菜產業將在預測期內實現最高成長率。人們的健康意識不斷增強,以及富含植物的飲食的普及,推動了全球新鮮農產品消費的成長。這些作物需要精心的養分管理,而肥料對於提高產量、風味和貨架穩定性至關重要。收入的增加、快速的都市化以及園藝產品國際貿易的成長也推動了需求的成長。為了滿足這些需求,農民開始轉向針對水果和蔬菜種植的先進肥料。隨著消費者偏好的不斷多樣化,預計該行業將快速擴張,並在成長率方面超過其他行業。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。這一領先地位歸功於其廣闊的農業用地以及中國和印度等主要國家對農業的嚴重依賴。隨著人口成長導致糧食需求上升,化肥在提高作物產量和確保糧食供應方面發揮關鍵作用。有限的耕地使得化肥對於該地區的集約農業至關重要。政府的大力支持,包括補貼和農民教育,進一步促進了化學肥料的使用。此外,米、穀物和蔬菜等作物的出口也推動了需求。因此,亞太地區仍保持其作為主要化肥市場的地位。
預計南美洲在預測期內的複合年成長率最高。這一成長主要由巴西和阿根廷推動,這兩個國家大豆、玉米和甘蔗等作物佔全球出口的大部分。這些作物需要大量肥料,導致肥料使用量增加。農業用地的擴張、農業方法的現代化以及全球糧食需求的不斷成長正在強化這一趨勢。此外,政府支持、私人投資和物流的加強正在加速全部區域肥料的使用。由於其在全球食品供應鏈中的作用不斷擴大,預計拉丁美洲仍將是肥料市場成長最快的地區。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Chemical Fertilizers Market is accounted for $220.08 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $365.13 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.5% during the forecast period. Chemical fertilizers are man-made products designed to provide vital nutrients such as nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium to plants, promoting rapid and vigorous growth. In modern farming, they are highly valued for their ability to enrich soil instantly and enhance crop production significantly. Compared to organic fertilizers, they are more efficient, require less effort, and show quicker results. Yet, their overuse can damage soil health, lower long-term fertility, and pollute water sources. They may also disrupt soil microorganisms and upset environmental stability. Thus, chemical fertilizers are crucial for ensuring sufficient food supply, but their application should be controlled and combined with eco-friendly methods.
According to the International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global fertilizer demand is projected to reach 200 million tonnes of nutrients by 2026, driven by population growth, dietary shifts, and the need to improve agricultural productivity.
Rising global food demand
One of the strongest factors fueling the chemical fertilizers market is the surge in worldwide food requirements caused by population expansion. With more people to feed, farmers are under pressure to achieve higher production levels and guarantee food supply. Chemical fertilizers play a vital role here, offering critical nutrients that speed up plant growth and increase harvest volumes. Because cultivable land is shrinking due to urbanization, the use of fertilizers helps maximize yield from limited farmland. Their quick action and efficiency make them indispensable in modern farming. Therefore, growing global food needs directly contribute to the rising demand for chemical fertilizers.
Rising costs and dependency
Increased reliance on chemical fertilizers is limiting the market's long-term prospects. Prolonged use depletes natural soil fertility, compelling farmers to apply higher amounts to sustain crop output. This dependency drives up production costs, posing challenges for small-scale farmers with limited resources. Additionally, volatility in raw material prices, especially natural gas, makes fertilizers more expensive and less accessible. Such rising costs create affordability issues in many developing nations, reducing overall demand. Farmers are gradually turning toward cost-effective and sustainable alternatives to ease the financial load. Consequently, the combination of rising expenses and dependency acts as a strong restraint for market expansion.
Technological innovations in fertilizers
Innovation in fertilizer technology is creating strong opportunities for the chemical fertilizers market. The introduction of slow-release, water-soluble, and bio-fortified fertilizers enables better nutrient absorption and reduces losses. These advanced products appeal to farmers seeking efficiency and sustainability. When paired with precision farming practices, they maximize crop yields while minimizing environmental impacts. Global companies that prioritize research and eco-friendly innovations are well-positioned to capture greater market share. Such advancements not only enhance farm productivity but also address growing sustainability concerns. Therefore, technological improvements in fertilizer design open significant opportunities for long-term growth and profitability across global agricultural markets.
Competition from organic alternatives
Rising interest in organic farming presents a growing threat to the chemical fertilizers industry. With consumers demanding cleaner and safer food, organic produce has gained global momentum. This trend decreases reliance on chemical inputs, since organic cultivation primarily uses compost, manures, and biofertilizers. Additionally, many governments actively promote organic farming with incentives, certifications, and awareness programs, making it an appealing option for farmers. The emphasis on sustainability and health-conscious diets further accelerates this shift. As a result, chemical fertilizers face stiff competition from natural alternatives, forcing the industry to adapt through innovation or risk losing relevance in an evolving agricultural landscape.
Covid-19 strongly influenced the chemical fertilizers market, leading to disruptions as well as new realizations about agriculture's importance. Global lockdowns interrupted supply chains, delaying fertilizer manufacturing and delivery. Many farmers struggled to secure adequate supplies, which impacted crop production cycles. Increased fuel costs and shortages of raw materials further drove up fertilizer prices, creating affordability issues in low-income regions. Despite these obstacles, the crisis emphasized the role of fertilizers in maintaining food security. As a result, governments prioritized agricultural inputs during the pandemic. Although market growth slowed in the short term, the essential demand for fertilizers supported recovery in the post-Covid era.
The nitrogenous fertilizers segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The nitrogenous fertilizers segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, as they are fundamental to agricultural productivity. Nitrogen is vital for plant development because it enhances chlorophyll production, facilitates photosynthesis, and aids in protein building. High-demand crops like wheat, maize, and rice depend heavily on nitrogen inputs, driving widespread use of urea, ammonium nitrate, and other nitrogen-based products. Farmers prefer these fertilizers for their immediate effectiveness and ability to boost yields quickly. Increasing food requirements and decreasing arable land further amplify their importance. Consequently, nitrogenous fertilizers remain the most dominant segment, maintaining leadership in the global chemical fertilizers market.
The fruits and vegetables segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fruits and vegetables segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. Increasing health awareness and the popularity of plant-rich diets are driving higher global consumption of fresh produce. These crops demand careful nutrient management, making fertilizers essential for improving productivity, flavor, and shelf stability. Rising incomes and rapid urbanization are also boosting demand, alongside growth in international trade of horticultural products. To meet these needs, farmers rely on advanced fertilizers tailored for fruit and vegetable cultivation. As consumer preferences continue to diversify, this segment is set to expand rapidly, surpassing others in growth rate.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share. This leadership stems from its extensive farmlands and the agricultural dependence of major countries like China and India. With food demand climbing alongside population growth, fertilizers play a crucial role in boosting crop yields and ensuring food supply. Limited cultivable land has made fertilizers vital for intensive farming in the region. Strong government support, including subsidies and farmer education, further drives their use. Moreover, exports of crops such as rice, cereals, and vegetables add to demand. Thus, Asia-Pacific maintains its position as the leading fertilizer market.
Over the forecast period, the South America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. This growth is largely driven by Brazil and Argentina, where crops like soybeans, corn, and sugarcane dominate global exports. These crops demand intensive fertilizer use, encouraging widespread adoption. Expanding agricultural land, modernization of farming practices and rising global food demand strengthen the trend. Additionally, government support, private investments, and enhanced logistics are accelerating fertilizer penetration across the region. With its expanding role in global food supply chains, Latin America is set to remain the fastest-growing region in the fertilizer market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Chemical Fertilizers Market include Coromandel International, Chambal Fertilisers, Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (GSFC), Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers (RCF), Deepak Fertilisers, Zuari Agro Chemicals, National Fertilizers Ltd (NFL), Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore (FACT), Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilisers & Chemicals (GNFC), Nagarjuna Fertilisers, ICL Group Ltd., OCI N.V., CVR Partners, Tata Chemicals and Yara International.
In July 2025, Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation's (DFPCL) group company, Performance Chemiserve, has signed a 5.5-year Liquefied Natural Gas regasification agreement with Petronet LNG (PLL). DFPCL Group will be importing the LNG. DFPCL has already signed an LNG sale and purchase agreement with Equinor, a global energy company based in Norway.
In March 2025, Coromandel International Limited announced the signing of definitive agreements to acquire majority stake in NACL Industries Limited (NACL). NACL is an India based Crop Protection player having strong branded formulation business in domestic markets, exports Technicals in key global geographies and has presence in contract manufacturing operations with global multinational agrochemical companies.
In January 2025, ICL announced it has signed a joint venture (JV) agreement with Shenzhen Dynanonic Co., Ltd. to establish lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode active material (CAM) production in Europe, with an initial investment of approximately €285 million. A new facility at ICL's Sallent, Spain, site is currently in planning stages and will substantially expand the company's battery materials business.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.