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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1803074
2032 年生物丁二烯市場預測:按產品類型、等級、來源、應用、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Bio-Butadiene Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product Type, Grade, Source, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球生物丁二烯市場預計在 2025 年價值 26.5 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 52.4 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 10.2%。
生物丁二烯是傳統丁二烯的永續替代品,由玉米、甘蔗和植物油等可再生生質能透過發酵和催化轉化等製程生產而成。它在輪胎、黏合劑和鞋類等應用中使用的合成橡膠、塑膠和彈性體的生產中發揮關鍵作用。雖然生物丁二烯有助於減少石化燃料的使用和二氧化碳排放,但實現規模化和經濟高效的生產仍然是一項挑戰。
根據美國能源部(DOE)的數據,美國每年生產超過10萬噸生物基丁二烯。
對永續橡膠的需求不斷成長
生物丁二烯源自乙醇和生質能等可再生原料,其碳排放低於石化衍生丁二烯。隨著各行各業尋求減少環境足跡,永續橡膠解決方案在汽車、鞋類和工業應用領域日益受到青睞。監管壓力和企業永續性目標正在加速綠色供應鏈的轉變。發酵和催化轉化技術的創新也提高了生物丁二烯生產的產量和可擴展性。這種日益成長的需求正在推動旨在實現永續橡膠解決方案商業化的投資和夥伴關係。
商業規模有限
目前大多數技術仍處於試點或早期部署階段,缺乏滿足大規模工業需求的能力。高昂的資本成本、複雜的加工要求以及原料的多樣性,對擴大生產規模構成了挑戰。此外,缺乏標準化的生產通訊協定和供應鏈整合,也減緩了市場應用。由於回報不確定且開發週期較長,投資者仍保持謹慎。如果在製程效率和成本降低方面沒有取得重大突破,生物丁二烯將難以在產量和價格上與石化產品競爭。
汽車需求不斷成長
隨著電動車和低排放氣體交通運輸的蓬勃發展,製造商們正在尋找輪胎、密封件和內裝零件的環保替代品。生物丁二烯與現有的橡膠配方相容,可在不影響性能的情況下進行替代。汽車原始設備製造商 (OEM) 和一級供應商擴大採用生物基原料,以滿足 ESG 目標和消費者期望。政府激勵措施和綠色採購政策進一步推動了生物基材料在汽車供應鏈中的應用。預計這一趨勢將推動乘用車和商用車領域對生物丁二烯的需求。
來自石化丁二烯的競爭
大規模生產設施受惠於規模經濟,使得合成丁二烯的價格遠低於生物基替代品。此外,原油價格波動可能會暫時提升石化衍生物的競爭力。鑑於合成橡膠在工業應用中的根深蒂固的地位,製造商之間存在著變革的阻力。由於缺乏明顯的性能或成本優勢,生物丁二烯可能難以取代傳統材料。除非得到政策和技術突破的支持,否則這些競爭壓力可能會減緩到永續橡膠的過渡。
新冠疫情擾亂了全球供應鏈,對石化和生物基橡膠的生產均產生了影響。停工和勞動力短缺導致先導計畫延期,並減緩了生物丁二烯技術的研發進度。然而,這場危機也凸顯了對韌性和在地化供應鏈的需求,並重新激發了人們對可再生原料的興趣。隨著產業復甦,永續性已成為重中之重,加速了對生物基材料的投資。整體而言,儘管短期內存在一些挫折,但疫情強化了生物丁二烯的長期價值提案。
預測期內,苯乙烯-丁二烯橡膠(SBR) 市場預計將實現最大幅度成長
受環保材料需求推動,丁苯橡膠 (SBR) 預計將在預測期內佔據最大市場佔有率。發酵和催化加工技術的創新正在提高生物丁二烯大規模生產的可行性。一個顯著的趨勢是生物基 SBR 化合物的開發,這些化合物性能更佳,環境影響更小。橡膠製造商和化學公司之間的行業合作正在推動其商業化。支持性法規和永續性目標正在推動這一轉變,使生物基 SBR 成為傳統石化橡膠的有力替代品。
預計預測期內汽車和運輸業將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
受永續旅行解決方案需求不斷成長的推動,汽車和交通運輸領域預計將在預測期內實現最高成長率。生物丁二烯在電動和混合動力汽車的輪胎膠料、密封件和減震部件中的應用日益廣泛。強制性排放氣體和材料採購法規正推動原始設備製造商採用生物基材料。輕質耐用橡膠配方的創新正在提高車輛的效率和性能。汽車製造商與化學公司之間的策略聯盟正在加速產品開發和商業化。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大市場佔有率,這得益於不斷成長的工業需求、強大的製造能力以及日益嚴格的環境法規。中國、印度和日本等國家正在投資可再生化學技術,例如生質能發酵和乙醇基催化轉化。新興趨勢包括將生物基橡膠融入汽車和鞋類產業。主要的市場趨勢包括政府支持的綠色計劃、中試規模生產設施以及本地企業與全球創新者之間的戰略夥伴關係關係。這些因素共同使亞太地區成為永續丁二烯創新和商業化的關鍵樞紐。
由於永續性需求的不斷提高和研發投資的刺激,預計北美地區在預測期內的複合年成長率將最高。氣體發酵、生質乙醇轉化和工程微生物途徑等先進技術正日益普及。新興趨勢包括電動車和綠色建築材料中生物基橡膠的應用。關鍵進展包括生技新興企業與化學巨頭之間的策略合作、中試工廠的擴建以及政府激勵措施。這些進展使北美成為可再生丁二烯解決方案規模化和商業化的領導者。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Bio-Butadiene Market is accounted for $2.65 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $5.24 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 10.2% during the forecast period. Bio-Butadiene is a sustainable substitute for conventional butadiene, derived from renewable biomass such as corn, sugarcane, or plant oils through processes like fermentation or catalytic transformation. It plays a vital role in producing synthetic rubber, plastics, and elastomers for applications including tires, adhesives, and footwear. While it helps cut down fossil fuel use and carbon footprint, scaling up production and achieving cost efficiency remain ongoing hurdles.
According to the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the U.S. produces over 100,000 metric tons of bio-based butadiene annually.
Rising demand for sustainable rubber
Bio-butadiene, derived from renewable feedstocks like ethanol or biomass, offers a lower carbon footprint compared to petrochemical-derived butadiene. As industries seek to reduce environmental impact, sustainable rubber solutions are gaining traction across automotive, footwear, and industrial applications. Regulatory pressures and corporate sustainability goals are accelerating the shift toward greener supply chains. Additionally, innovations in fermentation and catalytic conversion technologies are improving the yield and scalability of bio-butadiene production. This rising demand is fostering investment and partnerships aimed at commercializing sustainable rubber solutions.
Limited commercial scale
Most current technologies are still in pilot or early-stage deployment, lacking the capacity to meet large-scale industrial demand. High capital costs, complex processing requirements, and feedstock variability pose challenges to scaling operations. Moreover, the absence of standardized production protocols and supply chain integration slows down market adoption. Investors remain cautious due to uncertain returns and long development timelines. Without significant breakthroughs in process efficiency and cost reduction, bio-butadiene may struggle to compete with its petrochemical counterpart on volume and price.
Growing automotive demand
As electric vehicles and low-emission transport gain momentum, manufacturers are seeking greener alternatives for tires, seals, and interior components. Bio-butadiene's compatibility with existing rubber formulations makes it a viable substitute without compromising performance. OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers are increasingly incorporating bio-based inputs to meet ESG targets and consumer expectations. Government incentives and green procurement policies further support adoption in automotive supply chains. This trend is expected to drive demand for bio-butadiene across both passenger and commercial vehicle segments.
Competition from petrochemical butadiene
Large-scale production facilities benefit from economies of scale, making synthetic butadiene significantly cheaper than bio-based alternatives. Additionally, fluctuations in crude oil prices can temporarily enhance the competitiveness of petrochemical derivatives. The entrenched position of synthetic rubber in industrial applications creates resistance to change among manufacturers. Without clear performance or cost benefits, bio-butadiene may face difficulty displacing conventional materials. This competitive pressure could slow down the transition to sustainable rubber unless supported by policy or technological breakthroughs.
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted global supply chains, affecting both petrochemical and bio-based rubber production. Lockdowns and labor shortages led to delays in pilot projects and slowed down R&D efforts in bio-butadiene technologies. However, the crisis also highlighted the need for resilient and localized supply chains, prompting renewed interest in renewable feedstocks. As industries recover, sustainability has emerged as a key priority, accelerating investment in bio-based materials. Overall, while short-term setbacks occurred, the pandemic reinforced the long-term value proposition of bio-butadiene.
The styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to the push for eco-friendly materials. Innovations in fermentation and catalytic processing are improving the feasibility of bio-butadiene at scale. Notable trends include the development of bio-SBR compounds with improved performance and reduced environmental impact. Industry collaborations between rubber producers and chemical companies are advancing commercialization. Supportive regulations and sustainability goals are reinforcing this shift, making bio-based SBR a competitive substitute for traditional petrochemical rubber.
The automotive & transportation segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the automotive & transportation segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, fuelled by rising demand for sustainable mobility solutions. Bio-butadiene is increasingly used in tire compounds, seals, and vibration-dampening components for electric and hybrid vehicles. Regulatory mandates on emissions and material sourcing are encouraging OEMs to adopt bio-based inputs. Innovations in lightweight and durable rubber formulations are enhancing vehicle efficiency and performance. Strategic collaborations between automakers and chemical companies are accelerating product development and commercialization.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by rising industrial demand, strong manufacturing capabilities, and growing environmental regulations. Countries like China, India, and Japan are investing in renewable chemical technologies such as biomass fermentation and ethanol-based catalytic conversion. Emerging trends include bio-based rubber integration in automotive and footwear sectors. Key developments feature government-backed green initiatives, pilot-scale production facilities, and strategic partnerships between local firms and global innovators. These factors collectively position Asia Pacific as a leading hub for sustainable butadiene innovation and commercialization.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to rising sustainability mandates, and robust R&D investment. Advanced technologies such as gas fermentation, bioethanol conversion, and engineered microbial pathways are gaining traction. Emerging trends include bio-based rubber adoption in electric vehicles and green construction materials. Key developments involve strategic collaborations between biotech start-ups and chemical giants, expansion of pilot plants, and favourable government incentives. These dynamics are positioning North America as a frontrunner in scaling and commercializing renewable butadiene solutions.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Bio-Butadiene Market include SABIC, Asahi Kasei Corporation, Michelin, Axens, Zeon Corporation, Evonik Industries, Biokemik, Global Bioenergies, ETB Catalytic Technologies, IFPEN, Trinseo, LanzaTech, Genomatica, INVISTA, Braskem, Lummus Technology, Synthos, and Versalis.
In April 2025, Lummus Technology and Neste announced the companies have signed an agreement in which Lummus Technology will acquire the intellectual property and certain assets of NAPCON, Neste's proprietary digital technology solutions provider. The agreement also includes the transfer of key NAPCON personnel to ensure continuity and leverage critical expertise. In addition, Lummus and Neste have entered into a Strategic Collaboration Agreement to provide continuous NAPCON services to Neste and its subsidiaries.
In February 2025, SABIC announced the company's collaboration with Branch Technology to develop lightweight panels to restore the exterior of the Pathfinder, an early test article for the National Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA) space shuttle orbiter. Branch Technology used its extraordinary cellular fabrication process and SABIC's advanced LNP(TM) THERMOCOMP(TM) compound to robotically 3D-print a matrix structure that forms the core of its BranchClad(R) composite panels.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.