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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1802974
2032 年深度造假取證市場預測:按組件、媒體類型、部署模式、技術、應用、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Deepfake Forensic Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Component, Media Type, Deployment Mode, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球深度造假取證市場預計在 2025 年達到 1.659 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 22.582 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 45.2%。
深度造假偽造取證是指用於偵測、分析和驗證被竄改的數位內容(包括影像、影片、音訊和文字)的專用工具、演算法和服務。取證解決方案利用人工智慧主導的偵測模型,識別元資料、像素化和音訊模式的不一致之處。透過支援檢驗、風險管理和法規遵循性,深度造假偽造取證增強了人們對數位生態系統的信任,尤其是在媒體、金融、政府和安全領域。
根據《連線》雜誌關於深度造假檢測挑戰的報道,頂級模型檢測到了 82% 的已知深度造假,但僅檢測到 65% 的未知深度造假,這凸顯了現有取證工具的局限性。
數位身分檢驗和認證的需求日益成長
複雜的深度造假氾濫,對生物辨識安全系統、金融機構和個人身分驗證流程構成了重大威脅。這推動了對高級取證工具的需求,這些工具能夠檢測人工智慧生成的合成媒體,以防止冒充、詐騙和安全漏洞。此外,監管壓力和合規性要求迫使企業投資這些解決方案,以保護數位互動並維護安全的身份驗證通訊協定,從而顯著促進市場成長。
計算成本和數據要求高
先進的深度造假取證解決方案的高運算成本和大量資料需求阻礙了其市場應用。開發和訓練先進的偵測演算法,尤其是基於深度學習的演算法,需要強大的運算能力和大量精確標記的媒體資料集,包括真實媒體和合成媒體。這為小型公司和研究機構設置了巨大的進入門檻,因為相關的基礎設施投資巨大。此外,為了與不斷發展的生成式人工智慧技術競爭,需要不斷地重新訓練模型,這進一步加劇了營運成本,並限制了市場滲透。
與網路安全和數位取證解決方案的整合
隨著深度造假成為網路攻擊、假訊息宣傳活動和企業間諜活動的載體,對其的分析正成為整體安全態勢的重要組成部分。將取證工具整合到現有的安全資訊和事件管理 (SIEM) 系統、詐欺偵測平台和事件回應工作流程中,可以帶來協同增效的價值提案。這種整合能夠建構更全面的威脅情報框架,創造新的收益來源,並擴大取證供應商的潛在市場。
大眾對數位媒體的信任度下降
隨著合成媒體變得難以被人眼辨別,並在自然界中無所不在,一種被稱為「謊言紅利」的現象可能會出現。這種認知安全性的下降可能會降低取證工具的緊迫性和有效性,並扼殺投資和創新。此外,這種真實性危機威脅著民主進程和社會凝聚力,帶來了超越單純市場動態的社會挑戰。
新冠疫情對深度造假偽造取證市場產生了淨正向影響。遠距辦公和數位互動的快速發展加速了線上身分驗證和驗證系統的普及,同時也擴大了詐騙利用合成深度造假進行攻擊的面。網路犯罪分子利用這場危機,利用深度偽造技術進行網路釣魚和社會工程攻擊,暴露了關鍵漏洞。這種迫在眉睫的威脅情勢,加上數位內容消費的增加,迫使政府和企業優先考慮並投資於檢測技術以降低風險,從而刺激了這段時期的市場成長。
預測期內,影片細分市場預計將佔最大佔有率
由於消費級深度造假生成工具的廣泛普及以及高級影片偽造造成的高風險損害,預計影片領域將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。影片深度造假是最複雜、最令人信服的合成媒體形式之一,其偵測對於防止金融詐騙、政治虛假資訊和誹謗等重大事件至關重要。該領域的主導地位得益於對研發的大量投入,這些投入專注於分析影片內容中固有的時間不一致性、臉部運動和壓縮偽影,以滿足最緊迫的市場需求。
預計在預測期內,詐欺偵測和金融犯罪預防將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
預計詐騙偵測和金融犯罪預防領域將在預測期內實現最高成長率,這得益於金融服務業(BFSI)擴大使用深度造假來規避「了解你的客戶」(KYC)和生物識別系統。合成身分和人工智慧產生的視訊資料正被用於帳戶接管詐騙和非法貿易,造成巨額財務損失。這種直接的金融威脅迫使金融機構主動採用先進的取證解決方案,推動了該領域的顯著成長。此外,旨在打擊詐騙的嚴格監管也為該領域的擴張提供了額外的強勁動力。
預計北美將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。這項優勢歸功於其早期快速採用先進技術、主要深度造假取證解決方案意識層級以及公共和私營部門為應對人工智慧帶來的威脅而投入的大量研發資金,鞏固了北美的主導地位。該地區強大的金融生態系統也使其成為深度造假詐騙的主要目標,進一步推動了對取證工具的需求。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內實現最高的複合年成長率。這種加速成長的驅動力源自於大規模數位化措施、網路普及率的提高以及蓬勃發展的金融服務業(BFSI)——該產業正日益受到合成身分詐騙的威脅。亞太地區各國政府正在實施更嚴格的網路安全政策,為市場擴張創造法規環境。此外,龐大的人口規模以及大量的數位內容生成也帶來了獨特的挑戰,促使人們迫切需要投資深度造假檢測技術,以保護公民和關鍵基礎設施免受惡意應用程式的侵害。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Deepfake Forensic Market is accounted for $165.9 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $2258.2 million by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 45.2% during the forecast period. Deepfake forensics refers to specialized tools, algorithms, and services used to detect, analyze, and authenticate manipulated digital content, including images, videos, audio, and text. Leveraging AI-driven detection models, forensic solutions identify inconsistencies in metadata, pixelation, and voice patterns. By enabling validation, risk management, and regulatory compliance, deepfake forensics strengthens trust in digital ecosystems, particularly in media, finance, government, and security sectors.
According to Wired coverage of the Deepfake Detection Challenge, the top model detected 82 % of known deepfakes but only 65 % of unseen ones highlighting the limitations of existing forensic tools.
Rising need for digital identity verification and authentication
The proliferation of sophisticated deepfakes poses a significant threat to biometric security systems, financial institutions, and personal identity verification processes. This has catalyzed demand for advanced forensic tools capable of detecting AI-generated synthetic media to prevent identity theft, fraud, and security breaches. Moreover, regulatory pressures and compliance mandates are compelling organizations to invest in these solutions to safeguard digital interactions and maintain secure authentication protocols, thereby substantially contributing to market growth.
High computational costs and data requirements
Market adoption is hindered by the high computational cost and extensive data requirements associated with advanced deepfake forensic solutions. Developing and training sophisticated detection algorithms, particularly those based on deep learning, necessitates immense computational power and vast, accurately labeled datasets of both authentic and synthetic media. This creates a substantial barrier to entry for smaller enterprises and research institutions due to the associated infrastructure investment. Additionally, the continuous need for model retraining to counter evolving generative AI techniques further exacerbates these operational expenses, limiting market penetration.
Integration with cybersecurity and digital forensics solutions
As deepfakes become a vector for cyberattacks, misinformation campaigns, and corporate espionage, their analysis is becoming an essential component of a holistic security posture. Embedding forensic tools into existing security information and event management (SIEM) systems, fraud detection platforms, and incident response workflows offers a synergistic value proposition. This convergence allows for a more comprehensive threat intelligence framework, creating new revenue streams and expanding the addressable market for forensic vendors.
Erosion of public trust in digital media
As synthetic media becomes indistinguishable to the human eye and pervasive in nature, a phenomenon known as the "liar's dividend" may emerge, where any genuine content can be dismissed as a deepfake. This erosion of epistemic security diminishes the perceived urgency and effectiveness of forensic tools, potentially stifling investment and innovation. Furthermore, this crisis of authenticity threatens democratic processes and social cohesion, presenting a societal challenge beyond mere market dynamics.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a net positive impact on the deepfake forensic market. The rapid shift to remote work and digital interactions accelerated the adoption of online verification and authentication systems, simultaneously expanding the attack surface for fraudsters using synthetic media. Cybercriminals exploited the crisis with deepfake-aided phishing and social engineering attacks, highlighting critical vulnerabilities. This immediate threat landscape, coupled with increased digital content consumption, forced governments and enterprises to prioritize and invest in detection technologies to mitigate risks, thereby stimulating market growth during the period.
The video segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The video segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to the widespread availability of consumer-grade deepfake generation tools and the high potential for damage posed by sophisticated video forgeries. Video deepfakes represent the most complex and convincing form of synthetic media, making their detection paramount for preventing high-impact events like financial fraud, political misinformation, and defamation. The segment's dominance is further fueled by significant investments in R&D focused on analyzing temporal inconsistencies, facial movements, and compression artifacts unique to video content, addressing the most urgent market need.
The fraud detection & financial crime prevention segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fraud detection & financial crime prevention segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, driven by the escalating use of deepfakes to bypass know your customer (KYC) and biometric authentication systems in the BFSI sector. Synthetic identities and AI-generated video profiles are being weaponized for account takeover fraud and unauthorized transactions, resulting in substantial financial losses. This direct monetary threat is compelling financial institutions to aggressively deploy advanced forensic solutions, fostering remarkable growth. Moreover, stringent regulatory mandates aimed at combating digital fraud are providing an additional, powerful impetus for this segment's expansion.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share. This dominance is attributable to the early and rapid adoption of advanced technologies, the presence of major deepfake forensic solution vendors, and stringent government regulations concerning data security and digital misinformation. Additionally, high awareness levels among enterprises and substantial R&D investments from both public and private sectors in countering AI-generated threats consolidate North America's leading position. The region's robust financial ecosystem also makes it a prime target for deepfake-enabled fraud, further propelling demand for forensic tools.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. This accelerated growth is fueled by massive digitalization initiatives, expanding internet penetration, and a burgeoning BFSI sector that is increasingly vulnerable to synthetic identity fraud. Governments across APAC are implementing stricter cybersecurity policies, creating a conducive regulatory environment for market expansion. Moreover, the presence of a vast population generating immense volumes of digital content presents a unique challenge, driving urgent investments in deepfake detection technologies to protect citizens and critical infrastructure from malicious applications.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Deepfake Forensic Market include Adobe, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Sensity AI, Cognitec Systems, Intel, AMD, NVIDIA, Truepic, Reality Defender, Jumio, iProov, Voxist, Onfido, and Fourandsix Technologies.
In January 2025, McAfee is taking a bold step forward with major enhancements to its AI-powered deepfake detection technology. By partnering with AMD and harnessing the Neural Processing Unit (NPU) within the latest AMD Ryzen(TM) AI 300 Series processors announced at CES, McAfee Deepfake Detector is designed to empower users to discern truth from fiction like never before.
In February 2024, Truepic launched the 2024 U.S. Election Deepfake Monitor, tracking AI-generated content in presidential elections. The company, advised by Dr. Hany Farid, focuses on promoting transparency in synthetic media and developing authentication solutions for preventing misleading media spread.
In February 2024, Meta collaborated with the Misinformation Combat Alliance (MCA) to launch a dedicated fact-checking helpline on WhatsApp in India. The company announced enhanced AI labeling policies for detecting industry-standard indicators of AI-generated content across Facebook, Instagram, and Threads platforms.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.