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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1766029
2032 年生物異丁烯市場預測:按原料、應用、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Bio-Isobutene Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Raw Material, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球生物異丁烯市場預計在 2025 年達到 325.7 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 519.6 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 6.9%。
生物異丁烯是一種可再生的生物基替代品,可取代傳統的化石來源異丁烯,主要透過利用工程微生物發酵植物來源的醣類而生產。它是生產塑膠、合成橡膠、高性能燃料和其他特殊化學品的關鍵成分。生物異丁烯具有顯著的環境效益,包括減少溫室氣體排放和碳足跡,使其成為轉型為永續循環經濟的首選。
根據ACS永續化學與工程的Meta分析,將12種主要化學品的原料從化石轉換為生質能,每年可減少約1.2億噸二氧化碳當量,並減少每年1,500 PJ的化石能源使用量。
添加劑和可再生燃料需求
高性能可再生燃料,例如生物異辛烷和乙基叔丁基醚 (ETBE),主要由生物異丁烯製成,這些燃料被混合到汽油中以提高其可燃性並減少有害顆粒物。歐盟可再生能源指令 II (RED II) 和加州低碳燃料標準 (LCFS) 等嚴格的燃料品質和碳強度法規正在推動對低排放氣體燃料添加劑的需求。此外,隨著運輸業向更綠色燃料轉型,生物異丁烯在維持引擎性能和環保合規性方面發揮越來越重要的作用。
與化石燃料替代品相比,生產成本較高
生物異丁烯的生產成本相對較高,是其廣泛應用的最大障礙之一。用於生產生物異丁烯的發酵法通常需要複雜的生物技術基礎設施和昂貴的原料,例如來自小麥或甜菜的葡萄糖。精製和分離是成本高且能源密集的下游製程的例子。另一方面,化石衍生的異丁烯受益於成熟且規模高效的石化製程。此外,在碳定價、補貼和立法創造一個競爭環境之前,橡膠生產和燃料混合等價格敏感的行業可能不願意轉向異丁烯。
塑膠和合成橡膠領域潛力巨大
生物異丁烯是合成丁基橡膠、聚異丁烯以及其他用於黏合劑、醫藥包裝、汽車和建築的彈性體的關鍵單體。消費者和法規正在迫使這些產業使用永續材料。生物基橡膠和塑膠的日益成長的趨勢為生物異丁烯取代化石基材料創造了良好的機會。此外,生物異丁烯適用於現有的製造基礎設施,使操作員更容易切換而無需進行重大設備改造,從而加速了其在合成材料中的應用。
知名石化產品競爭激烈
生物異丁烯市場與現有的異丁烯及相關石油基碳氫化合物競爭激烈。數十年的基礎設施投資和技術進步,降低了這些傳統替代品的單位成本,提高了產能,並建立了完善的供應鏈。然而,作為相對較新的進入者,生物異丁烯難以達到這些傳統替代品的規模經濟效益。此外,原油價格波動可能會進一步推高化石基異丁烯的價格,進一步降低生物基異丁烯的競爭力,尤其是在燃料和橡膠等價格敏感的市場。
新冠疫情對生物異丁烯市場產生了多方面的影響。供應鏈中斷、勞動力短缺以及工業活動減少(尤其是在化學和可再生燃料產業),導致研究、先導計畫和規模化生產暫時停滯。由於企業重新聚焦關鍵功能,對生物基基礎設施的投資被推遲。然而,這場危機凸顯了穩健永續供應鏈的重要性,並加速了全球邁向綠色復甦計畫的腳步。隨著經濟復甦,在重新關注氣候目標、清潔能源和永續材料的推動下,生物異丁烯已成為後疫情時代轉型為低碳產業的戰略資產。
預測期內,甜菜市場預計將成為最大的市場
預計甜菜將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率,這得益於其在北美、歐洲等地的廣泛供應、高可發酵糖含量和高轉化率。甜菜是微生物發酵的首選原料,因為它產量穩定,並且與現有的精製精煉廠基礎設施相容。甜菜生長週期短,且適應溫帶氣候,是可靠且可擴展的資源。此外,甜菜的永續性特徵(比其他作物耗水量和土地需求量更少)進一步鞏固了其在生物異丁烯生產中的地位。
預計預測期內燃料部門的複合年成長率最高。
預計燃料領域將在預測期內實現最快的成長。由於加州低碳燃料標準和歐盟可再生能源指令II等監管要求,低碳混合燃料的採用正在加速。發酵和催化加工技術的進步降低了生產成本,使生物基燃料更具競爭力。此外,隨著汽車製造商和精製尋求永續的方式來滿足嚴格的排放目標,預計所有應用領域對生物異丁烯衍生燃料添加劑的需求將以最快的速度成長。
在預測期內,歐洲預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率,這得益於其對永續性目標的堅定承諾、先進的生物精製基礎設施以及強力的監管支持。歐盟的綠色交易政策和可再生能源指令(RED II)正在推動生物基燃料和化學品的採用。法國和德國等國家正率先投入巨資,大力投資生物異丁烯的研究和商業化生產。此外,歐洲完善的農業基礎,尤其是甜菜生產,確保了穩定的原料供應。
在預測期內,由於汽車和化妝品行業的成長、快速的工業化以及對永續材料的需求不斷成長,預計亞太地區將呈現最高的複合年成長率。為了履行國際氣候變遷承諾並減少對石化燃料的依賴,中國、印度、日本和韓國等國家正在大力投資綠色化學品生產和可再生技術。此外,消費者對環保產品的偏好日益成長、政府扶持生物基產業的積極舉措以及日益增強的環保意識也在推動市場擴張。此外,該地區廣泛的農業基礎提供了豐富的生質能原料,使其成為未來幾年擴大生物異丁烯生產的理想地點。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Bio-Isobutene Market is accounted for $32.57 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $51.96 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 6.9% during the forecast period. Bio-isobutene is a renewable, bio-based alternative to traditional fossil-derived isobutene, primarily produced through the fermentation of plant-based sugars using engineered microorganisms. It is an essential component in the manufacturing of plastics, synthetic rubber, high-performance fuels, and other specialty chemicals. Bio-isobutene is a desirable alternative in the transition to sustainable and circular economies because it provides substantial environmental advantages, such as lower greenhouse gas emissions and a smaller carbon footprint.
According to a meta analysis by ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering, shifting production from fossil to biomass feedstocks for twelve major chemicals could save an estimated 120 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent annually, while cutting fossil energy use by 1,500 PJ per year-a level broadly applicable to bio isobutene as part of the biochemicals sector.
Demand for additives and renewable fuels
High-performance, renewable fuels such as bio-isooctane and ETBE (ethyl tert-butyl ether) are blended with gasoline to improve how well it burns and to reduce harmful particles, and they are mainly produced from bio-isobutene. Due to strict fuel quality and carbon intensity regulations, like the EU's Renewable Energy Directive II (RED II) and California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS), there is a growing need for low-emission fuel additives. Additionally, bio-isobutene plays an increasingly important role in maintaining engine performance and environmental compliance as the transportation industry moves toward greener fuels.
Expensive manufacturing compared to fossil-based substitutes
The comparatively high cost of producing bio-isobutene is one of the biggest obstacles to its widespread use. The fermentation-based methods used to produce bio-isobutene frequently call for complex biotechnological infrastructure and costly feedstocks, such as glucose from wheat or sugar beets. Purification and separation are examples of downstream processing that can be expensive and energy-intensive. Fossil-based isobutene, on the other hand, benefits from well-established, scale-efficient petrochemical processes. Additionally, price-sensitive sectors like rubber production and fuel blending might be reluctant to make the switch until carbon pricing, subsidies, or legislative requirements level the playing field.
High potential in the plastics and synthetic rubber sectors
A crucial monomer in the synthesis of butyl rubber, polyisobutylene, and other elastomers used in adhesives, pharmaceutical packaging, automotive, and construction is bio-isobutene. Consumers and regulations are now pressuring these industries to use sustainable materials. A promising opportunity for bio-isobutene to replace its fossil-derived counterpart is being created by the growing trend of bio-based rubbers and plastics. Furthermore, bio-isobutene's compatibility with current manufacturing infrastructure speeds up its adoption in synthetic materials by facilitating the switch for businesses without requiring extensive equipment overhauls.
Vigorous rivalry from well-known petrochemical products
The market for bio-isobutene is fiercely competitive with established isobutene and related hydrocarbons derived from petroleum. Decades of infrastructure investment and technological advancement have resulted in lower unit costs, large production capacities, and established supply chains for these traditional alternatives. Bio-isobutene, on the other hand, is a relatively recent entrant and finds it difficult to match these economies of scale. Moreover, changes in the price of crude oil can occasionally make fossil-based isobutene even more affordable, which further reduces the competitiveness of its bio-based counterpart, particularly in markets where prices are sensitive, like those for fuels and rubber.
The COVID-19 pandemic affected the bio-isobutene market in a variety of ways. Supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, and decreased industrial activity, especially in the chemical and renewable fuels industries, temporarily halted research, pilot projects, and scale-up efforts. As businesses refocused on critical functions, investments in bio-based infrastructure were postponed. The crisis did, however, also highlight the significance of robust, sustainable supply chains and hasten the global movement toward environmentally friendly recovery plans. As economies started to recover, bio-isobutene was positioned as a strategic asset in the post-pandemic shift to low-carbon industries due to the renewed focus on climate goals, clean energy, and sustainable materials.
The sugar beet segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The sugar beet segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because it is widely available in places like North America and Europe, has a high fermentable sugar content, and has effective conversion rates. Because it allows for consistent yields and works well with the current bio-refining infrastructure, sugar beet is a preferred feedstock for microbial fermentation. It is a dependable and scalable resource due to its shorter growing cycle and tolerance for temperate climates. Furthermore, sugar beet's sustainability profile-which includes less water use and land requirement than some other crops-further supports its place in the production of bio-isobutene.
The fuel segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fuel segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. Low-carbon blendstock adoption is being accelerated by regulatory requirements like California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard and the EU's Renewable Energy Directive II. Bio-based fuels are becoming more competitive as a result of technological advancements in fermentation and catalytic processing that are reducing production costs. Moreover, the demand for fuel additives derived from bio-isobutene is expected to increase at the fastest rate across all applications as automakers and refiners look for sustainable ways to meet strict emissions targets.
During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by a strong commitment to sustainability goals, sophisticated bio-refining infrastructure, and robust regulatory support. The Green Deal policies and the Renewable Energy Directive (RED II) of the European Union have made it easier for bio-based fuels and chemicals to be adopted. With significant investments in bio-isobutene research and commercial production, nations like France and Germany are leading the way. Furthermore, a consistent supply of feedstock is guaranteed by Europe's well-established agricultural base, especially in the production of sugar beets.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR as a result of the growing automotive and cosmetics industries, fast industrialization, and rising demand for sustainable materials. To meet international climate commitments and lessen their reliance on fossil fuels, nations like China, India, Japan, and South Korea are making significant investments in green chemical production and renewable technologies. Market expansion is also being accelerated by growing consumer preference for eco-friendly products, favorable government initiatives supporting bio-based industries, and rising environmental awareness. Additionally, the region's extensive agricultural base offers a wealth of biomass feedstocks, which makes it the perfect place to scale up the production of bio-isobutene in the years to come.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Bio-Isobutene Market include Clariant AG, Honeywell International Inc., Eastman Chemical Company, Butamax Advanced Biofuels LLC, Gevo, Inc., The Dow Chemical Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, BASF SE, Songwon Industrial Co. Ltd., LanzaTech Inc., Butagaz SAS, Evonik Industries AG, DuPont de Nemours, Lanxess AG, Ineos Group Holdings S.A. and Global Bioenergies Inc.
In April 2025, Gevo, Inc. and Future Energy Global are pleased to announce that they have signed a pioneering offtake agreement for carbon abatement attributes, to enable airlines and other companies to reduce their CO2 emissions through Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF).
In March 2025, Eastman Chemical Company entered into a severance agreement with Brad A. Lich, outlining severance benefits in the event of certain employment terminations. The agreement includes a $2 million cash severance payment and up to four months of healthcare coverage, contingent on compliance with restrictive covenants and a release of claims.
In December 2024, Honeywell announced the signing of a strategic agreement with Bombardier, a global leader in aviation and manufacturer of world-class business jets, to provide advanced technology for current and future Bombardier aircraft in avionics, propulsion and satellite communications technologies. The collaboration will advance new technology to enable a host of high-value upgrades for the installed Bombardier operator base, as well as lay innovative foundations for future aircraft. Honeywell estimates the value of this partnership to the company at $17 billion over its life.