![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1744535
2032 年己二腈市場預測:按生產流程、應用、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Adiponitrile Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Production Process, Application (Nylon Synthesis, Hexamethylene Diisocyanate, Electrolyte Solution and Other Applications), End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球己二腈市場預計在 2025 年達到 125.5 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 255.6 億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為 10.7%。
己二腈是一種有機化合物,分子式為(CH2)4(CN)2,其四碳脂肪族鏈兩側各有兩個腈基(-CN)。它是一種無色液體,略帶氣味,是生產廣泛使用的合成聚合物尼龍-6,6的關鍵步驟。己二腈的主要生產方法是丙烯腈的電氫化二聚化或丁二烯的氫氰化。己二腈生成六亞甲基二胺,六亞甲基二胺隨後與己二酸聚合生成尼龍-6,6。此外,己二腈含有活性腈基,因此需要小心處理,尤其是在高溫或強酸強鹼環境下。
根據國際汽車工業組織 (OICA) 的數據,2022 年全球汽車產量將達到 8,501 萬輛,比 2021 年的 8,020 萬輛成長 5.99%。該增幅已四捨五入為 6%,這對於一般報告目的來說是準確的。
對尼龍6的興趣日益濃厚
己二腈是己二胺的前驅物,己二胺與己二酸聚合而成。尼龍6以其卓越的機械強度、耐化學性和熱穩定性而聞名,是各種工業應用的理想選擇。消費品、汽車和航太等高要求應用需要高性能工程塑膠,而這些應用擴大選擇尼龍6而非傳統材料。此外,全球對尼龍6的強勁需求,尤其是在需要高承載能力和尺寸穩定性的應用領域,正直接推動己二腈市場的擴張。
供應鏈中斷和原料的不可預測性
己二腈的生產依賴於丁二烯和丙烯腈等上游石化產品。作為天然氣加工和石油精製的產物,這些原料容易受到地區產量、地緣政治緊張局勢和原油價格波動的影響。新冠疫情、俄烏衝突和歐洲能源危機等事件導致了石化產業的生產延誤、價格上漲和停產。運輸物流或重要原料供應的任何長期中斷都可能直接影響己二腈的供應,增加生產成本,並限制終端產業的供應。
實現經濟高效、更環保的生產方法的技術創新
己二腈產業的新技術為提高生產力、減少排放和降低生產成本提供了機會。電化學合成、生物基原料和先進催化系統等創新技術作為氫氰化等傳統技術的綠色替代方案,日益受到關注。此外,如果企業投資研發以最佳化這些新一代工藝,則可以減輕其環境合規負擔,從而在永續性標準嚴格的市場中佔據競爭優勢。
能源投入與原物料價格波動
己二腈的生產嚴重依賴丁二烯和丙烯腈等石化衍生原料。這些原料的價格容易受到供應鏈中斷、地緣政治因素以及全球原油市場行情的影響而大幅波動。此外,己二腈的合成需要耗能,尤其是在高溫高壓條件下,這使得生產商極易受到燃料和電力價格波動的影響。此外,長期供不應求和投入成本上升可能會降低製造商的利潤率,並阻礙其他擁有更可靠供應鏈的聚合物生產商使用己二腈。
新冠疫情對己二腈市場造成了重大衝擊,因為製造業放緩、汽車和紡織等終端行業需求下降以及全球供應鏈中斷。己二腈的主要用途是尼龍6(6),在疫情初期,由於停工和運輸限制,其生產頻率降低,從而減少了對該化學品的需求。此外,由於安全隱患和勞動力短缺,一些大型化工廠暫時關閉或減產,進一步加劇了供應鏈的壓力。
丁二烯氫氰化部分預計將在預測期內成為最大的部分
丁二烯氫氰化製程預計將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。該工藝因其高效、成熟的擴充性和經濟實惠的特點,成為生產己二腈最受歡迎的工業方法。大量的己二腈是透過氫氰酸與丁二烯催化作用加成生成的,通常使用鎳基催化劑。該工藝的主導地位歸功於英威達 (Invista) 和奧升德 (Ascend) 等行業領先企業對該工藝進行了廣泛的商業性最佳化。此外,氫氰化製程因其產量穩定、產量高且易於與上下游化工生產系統整合而備受青睞。
預計預測期內電解質溶液部分將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
預計電解質溶液領域將在預測期內實現最高成長率。全球對鋰離子電池的需求不斷成長是推動這一成長的主要因素,而鋰離子電池在電解配方中使用己二腈作為高性能溶劑。己二腈的熱穩定性和電化學穩定性使其成為能源儲存系統、攜帶式電子設備和電動車(EV)等新一代電池技術的理想選擇。此外,隨著各國加快向清潔能源和電動出行轉型,預計己二腈在電池級電解質中的應用將激增。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。這得歸功於蓬勃發展的化學製造業和不斷成長的下游應用,尤其是在尼龍生產領域。該地區的主導地位源於快速的工業化進程、紡織和汽車行業日益成長的需求以及大規模的基礎設施投資。中國、印度和韓國等國家憑藉其強大的生產能力和不斷擴張的出口產業,成為關鍵的市場參與者。此外,由於原料供應充足且政府推出了扶持政策,亞太地區已成為全球己二腈市場的重要區域。
預計中東和非洲地區在預測期內的複合年成長率最高。化工和石化產業的投資不斷增加,尤其是在沙烏地阿拉伯和阿拉伯聯合大公國等國家,推動了該地區的成長。為了滿足國內外市場的需求,該地區正致力於擴大製造業基礎並加強基礎建設。此外,汽車和紡織業需求的不斷成長,以及與國際公司的策略聯盟和合作,預計將在預測期內加速中東和非洲地區對己二腈的採用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Adiponitrile Market is accounted for $12.55 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $25.56 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 10.7% during the forecast period. Adiponitrile is an organic compound with the formula (CH2)4(CN)2. It is made up of two nitrile (-CN) groups on either side of a four-carbon aliphatic chain. It is a colorless liquid with a slight smell that is an essential step in the manufacturing of nylon-6, 6, a synthetic polymer that is used extensively. The main methods for creating adiponitrile are the electrohydrodimerization of acrylonitrile or the hydrocyanation of butadiene. Its production of hexamethylenediamine, which is subsequently polymerized with adipic acid to form nylon-6,6, accounts for its industrial significance. Moreover, adiponitrile needs to be handled carefully because of its reactive nitrile groups, especially when exposed to high temperatures or strong acids or bases.
According to the International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA), global automotive production reached 85.01 million units in 2022, reflecting a 5.99% increase compared to 80.20 million units in 2021. The percentage increase is rounded to 6%, which is accurate for general reporting.
Growing interest in nylon 6, 6
An essential component of nylon 6, 6, adiponitrile is a precursor to hexamethylenediamine, which is then polymerized with adipic acid. Renowned for its exceptional mechanical strength, chemical resistance, and thermal stability, nylon 6 is perfect for a variety of industrial uses. Increasingly, nylon 6 is being chosen over traditional materials due to the need for high-performance engineering plastics in demanding settings, such as consumer goods, automotive, and aerospace. Additionally, the strong worldwide demand for nylon 6, 6, particularly in applications requiring load-bearing capacity and dimensional stability, is directly propelling the adiponitrile market's expansion.
Supply chain interruptions and unpredictability of raw materials
Upstream petrochemicals like butadiene and acrylonitrile are essential for the production of adiponitrile. Due to their status as byproducts of natural gas processing and oil refining, these raw materials are subject to changes in regional production, geopolitical tensions, and the price of crude oil. Petrochemical industry delays, price spikes, and shutdowns have resulted from events like the COVID-19 pandemic, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the energy crises in Europe. Any prolonged interruption in the transportation logistics or supply of essential raw materials can have a direct impact on the availability of adiponitrile, raise production costs, and restrict supply to end-use industries.
Innovation in technology for cost-effective and greener production methods
Opportunities to increase productivity, cut emissions, and save production costs are presented by emerging technologies in the adiponitrile industry. As environmentally friendly substitutes for conventional techniques like hydrocyanation, innovations like electrochemical synthesis, bio-based feedstocks, and sophisticated catalytic systems are attracting more attention. Furthermore, businesses may experience reduced environmental compliance burdens and obtain a competitive advantage in markets with strict sustainability standards if they invest in research and development to optimize these next-generation processes.
Price fluctuations for energy inputs and raw materials
The production of adiponitrile is heavily reliant on petrochemical-derived feedstock's like butadiene and acrylonitrile. Due to supply chain interruptions, geopolitical factors, and global crude oil markets, these raw materials are susceptible to large price swings. Furthermore, because adiponitrile synthesis requires a lot of energy, particularly when it is done at high temperatures and pressures, producers are extremely vulnerable to fluctuations in the price of fuel and electricity. Moreover, long-term shortages or spikes in input costs can lower manufacturers' profit margins and deter other polymers with more reliable supply chains from using adiponitrile.
Due to manufacturing slowdowns, decreased demand from end-use industries like automotive and textiles, and disruptions in global supply chains, the COVID-19 pandemic had a significant effect on the adiponitrile market. Adiponitrile's primary use, nylon 6, 6, was produced less frequently during the early stages of the pandemic due to lockdowns and transportation restrictions, which reduced demand for the chemical. Furthermore, taxing the supply chain were a number of large chemical plants that either temporarily closed or operated at reduced capacity as a result of safety concerns and a lack of workers.
The Hydro-cyanation of butadiene segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The Hydro-cyanation of butadiene segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. The main reasons this process is the most popular industrial way to produce adiponitrile are its high efficiency, proven scalability, and affordability. Large amounts of adiponitrile are created by the catalytic addition of hydrogen cyanide to butadiene, usually with the aid of catalysts based on nickel. Its dominance can be attributed to the extensive commercial optimization of this method by industry leaders such as Invista and Ascend Performance Materials. Moreover, the hydro-cyanation process is preferred because it produces consistent production output, offers high yields, and integrates easily with upstream and downstream chemical manufacturing systems.
The electrolyte solution segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the electrolyte solution segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. The growing demand for lithium-ion batteries worldwide, which use adiponitrile as a high-performance solvent in electrolyte formulations, is the main factor driving this growth. It is a perfect part of next-generation battery technologies for energy storage systems, portable electronics, and electric vehicles (EVs) because of its thermal and electrochemical stability. Additionally, the use of adiponitrile in battery-grade electrolytes is anticipated to rise sharply as nations quicken their shift to clean energy and e-mobility.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by its thriving chemical manufacturing sector and growing downstream uses, especially in the production of nylon. The region's dominance is a result of rapid industrialization, rising demand from the textile and automotive industries, and large infrastructure investments. Because of their large production capacities and expanding export industries, nations like China, India, and South Korea are important players. Furthermore, Asia-Pacific is the leading region in the global adiponitrile market due to the availability of raw materials and supportive government policies.
Over the forecast period, the Middle East & Africa region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. Investments in the chemical and petrochemical sectors are rising, especially in nations like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, which is driving this growth. To meet demand from both domestic and international markets, the area is concentrating on growing its manufacturing base and enhancing its infrastructure. Additionally, it is anticipated that during the forecast period, the Middle East and Africa will adopt adiponitrile more quickly due to growing demand from the automotive and textile sectors as well as strategic alliances and collaborations with international players.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Adiponitrile Market include BASF SE, Tokyo Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., Solvay SA, Evonik Industries, Ascend Performance Materials Inc, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc, Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd., Merck KGaA, Asahi Kasei Corporation, Mitsui Chemicals, Inc., Invista, Vizag Chemical International Inc, Alfa Aesar Inc, Spectrum Chemical Mfg. Corporation and Toray Industries, Inc.
In April 2025, Chemicals group Solvay launched an expansion on to regain its previous strength in processing rare earths, hoping to attract customers after China imposed new barriers. China implemented export restrictions on certain rare earth elements, a group of 17 minerals, as part of its sweeping response to U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs.
In March 2025, Evonik has entered into an exclusive agreement with the Cleveland-based Sea-Land Chemical Company for the distribution of its cleaning solutions in the U.S. The agreement builds on a long-standing relationship with the distributor and expands the reach of Evonik's cleaning solutions to the entire U.S. region.
In December 2024, BASF and Inocas S.A. signed a long-term supplier finance agreement, including offtake of Macauba Kernel Oil and Macauba Pulp Oil, an R&D project and options to acquire equity shares in INOCAS in future. The partnership includes financing of INOCAS' plans to significantly expand the Macauba oil production in Brazil on an industrial scale, strengthening the country's position in the bioeconomy.