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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1725154
NPK 肥料市場預測(至 2032 年):按等級、性質、營養成分、形態、生產技術、分銷管道、應用、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析NPK Fertilizers Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Grade, Nature, Nutrient Composition, Form, Production Technology, Distribution Channel, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球 NPK 肥料(飼料和食品)市場預計在 2025 年達到 32 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 45 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 5.2%。
NPK 肥料是富含氮 (N)、磷 (P) 和鉀 (K) 的營養配方,對植物生長至關重要。飼料NPK肥料用於改良飼料作物,進而提高動物飼料的營養價值。食品級 NPK 肥料經過精製用於生產作物,並符合高安全性和純度標準以防止污染。雖然兩種等級的肥料都能促進植物的最佳生長,但食品級肥料需要進一步加工才能滿足人類食用的標準。
根據印度政府化學和化肥部化肥局的數據,2023-24 會計年度印度化肥(包括 NPK)總消費量量約為 6,126 萬噸。
世界人口和糧食需求不斷成長
全球人口的快速成長和糧食需求的增加是 NPK 肥料(飼料和食品)市場的主要驅動力。隨著人口的成長,特別是新興經濟體的人口成長,對農業生產的需求也會增加。 NPK肥料透過氮、磷和鉀提供均衡的營養,使農民能夠最佳化作物產量並提高食品品質。此外,受可支配收入增加和飲食偏好變化的推動,肉類、乳製品、水果和蔬菜消費量不斷增加,也加劇了對有效肥料的需求,以確保糧食安全和永續農業生產。
價格和市場波動
天然氣、磷礦和鉀肥等原料的相關成本受到全球供應鏈中斷、地緣政治衝突和能源價格波動的影響。這些因素會導致化肥價格波動,影響農民的購買選擇和利潤率。此外,倉儲和處理成本,加上嚴格的政府法規和不定期的補貼政策,加劇了市場波動。這種不穩定性可能會阻礙對施肥的投資,阻礙先進施肥技術的採用,最終影響市場成長。
精密農業和智慧農業
土壤測試、遙感探測和變數施肥等數據主導技術的實施有助於客製化肥料劑量,增強養分分佈並減少浪費。此外,緩釋性效性NPK 肥料的開發使植物更容易吸收養分,並減少對環境的危害,從而滿足了精密農業的目標。隨著農民逐步實施這些新方法,對先進 NPK 肥料的需求預計將會增加,推動市場成長並提高永續農業生產。
氣候變遷對農業的影響
氣候變遷透過改變天氣模式、增加極端事件的發生率並影響土壤健康,對 NPK 肥料業務構成重大威脅。不穩定的降水、乾旱和溫度波動會擾亂作物週期和養分吸收,降低肥料功效和農業產量。此外,氣候引起的土壤劣化和養分流失可能需要增加施肥量,從而增加農民的成本。
新冠疫情對氮磷鉀肥料產業產生了複雜的影響。儘管日益成長的糧食安全問題導致化肥需求增加,但該行業仍受到嚴重的供應鏈中斷、勞動力問題和運輸限制的打擊。生產延遲和原料短缺導致價格暫時上漲和產品供應有限。此外,旅行和商業限制阻礙了化肥快速分發給消費者。儘管存在這些障礙,但疫情凸顯了化肥對於維持食品供應鏈的迫切需求,從而加強了市場的長期成長軌跡。
預計預測期內顆粒部分將實現最大程度的成長
顆粒肥料由於其易於施用、保存期限長、適用於多種作物和土壤類型,預計將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。顆粒狀 NPK 肥料可調節營養物質的釋放,並最大限度地減少因浸出和揮發而造成營養流失的可能性。此外,它與當前農業技術的兼容性和經濟可行性贏得了世界各地農民的支持。大規模大田作物生產(尤其是集約農業地區)的強勁需求進一步增強了該行業的優勢,確保了其持續的市場領先地位。
預計預測期內控制釋放部分將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
受人們對永續農業的認知不斷提高以及對有效營養管理的需求的推動,預計控制控制釋放部分將在預測期內見證最高的成長率。控制釋放NPK 肥料可長期穩定供應養分,提高作物產量並最大限度地減少對環境的影響。此外,聚合物塗層技術的進步和環境永續農業投入的法律核准正在促進其應用。這種快速擴張是由於其在高價值和作物作物中的有效性以及與精密農業趨勢的一致性,使其成為市場中成長最快的部分。
在預測期內,亞太地區預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率,這得益於其龐大的農業基礎、高人口密度以及不斷成長的食品需求。中國和印度等國家擁有廣闊的耕地面積,政府提倡平衡施肥,為該地區的優勢做出了巨大貢獻。此外,快速的都市化、不斷增加的可支配收入和不斷變化的飲食習慣正在推動使用氮磷鉀肥料來加強農業生產。大量投資於農業基礎設施以及知名肥料製造商的存在增強了該地區的領導地位,確保了市場的持續擴張。
在預測期內,由於先進農業技術和精密農業技術的快速採用,預計亞太地區將呈現最高的複合年成長率。該地區市場蓬勃發展,其特點是人們對土壤健康的認知不斷加深、政府對永續農業的支持以及向特種肥料和控制釋放肥料的轉變。此外,種植面積的擴大和高價值作物需求的不斷成長也推動了化肥的使用。亞太地區強勁的經濟成長和對當地生產和分銷系統的大量投資使該地區成為全球成長最快的 NPK 肥料市場。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global NPK Fertilizers (feed-grade and food-grade) Market is accounted for $3.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $4.5 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 5.2% during the forecast period. NPK fertilizers are nutrient-rich formulations that comprise nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), and potassium (K), which are required for plant growth. Feed-grade NPK fertilizers are used to improve forage crops and thereby increase the nutritional value of animal food. Food-grade NPK fertilizers are purified for use in edible crop production, adhering to high safety and purity criteria to prevent contamination. Both grades promote optimal plant growth, but food-grade fertilizers are further processed to fulfill human consumption standards.
According to the Department of Fertilizers, Ministry of Chemicals and Fertilizers, Government of India, the total consumption of fertilizers (including NPK) in India during the financial year 2023-24 was approximately 61.26 million tonnes.
Growing global population and food demand
The rapid expansion of the global population, along with increasing food demand, is the main driver for the NPK fertilizers (feed-grade and food-grade) market. As populations grow, particularly in developing economies, the demand for increased agricultural output escalates. NPK fertilizers provide balanced nutrition via nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium, allowing farmers to optimize crop yields and enhance food quality. Moreover, heightened consumption of meat, dairy, fruits, and vegetables, propelled by growing disposable incomes and evolving dietary tastes, intensifies the demand for effective fertilizers to guarantee food security and sustainable agricultural production.
Price volatility and market fluctuations
The expenses associated with raw materials, like natural gas, phosphate rock, and potash, are influenced by global supply chain interruptions, geopolitical conflicts, and variable energy prices. These factors may result in volatile fertilizer prices, affecting farmers' purchasing choices and profit margins. Moreover, storage and handling expenses, coupled with stringent governmental rules and erratic subsidy policies, exacerbate market instability. This volatility may dissuade investment in fertilizer application and impede the implementation of sophisticated fertilization techniques, ultimately impacting market growth.
Precision agriculture and smart farming
The incorporation of data-driven technology, including soil testing, remote sensing, and variable rate applications, facilitates the customized administration of fertilizers, enhancing nutrient distribution and reducing waste. Additionally, the development of slow-release and controlled-release NPK fertilizers aligns with the goals of precision agriculture by helping plants absorb nutrients better and reducing harm to the environment. As farmers progressively implement these new approaches, the need for sophisticated NPK fertilizers is anticipated to escalate, propelling market growth and enhancing sustainable agricultural output.
Climate change impacts on agriculture
Climate change is a substantial threat to the NPK fertilizers business by modifying weather patterns, elevating the incidence of extreme events, and impacting soil health. Erratic precipitation, drought conditions, and temperature variations can interfere with crop cycles and nutrient absorption, diminishing fertilizer efficacy and agricultural output. Moreover, climate-induced soil deterioration and nutrient leaching may require elevated fertilizer application rates, hence escalating expenses for farmers.
The Covid-19 epidemic exerted a complex influence on the NPK fertilizers industry. Despite the rising demand for fertilizers driven by intensified food security concerns, the industry encountered substantial supply chain disruptions, labor difficulties, and transportation limitations. Manufacturing delays and shortages of raw materials resulted in transient price surges and restricted product supply. Moreover, limitations on travel and commerce hindered the prompt distribution of fertilizers to consumers. Notwithstanding these hurdles, the pandemic highlighted the crucial need for fertilizers to sustain food supply networks, thereby strengthening the market's long-term growth trajectory.
The granular segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The granular segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period owing to its simplicity of application, extended shelf life, and compatibility with various crops and soil types. Granular NPK fertilizers provide regulated nutrient release, minimizing the potential for nutrient loss by leaching or volatilization. Moreover, their compatibility with current agricultural technology and economic viability render them a favored option among farmers worldwide. The segment's supremacy is further reinforced by strong demand in extensive field crop production, especially in areas with intensive agricultural methods, guaranteeing its sustained market leadership.
The controlled-release segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the controlled-release segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, propelled by heightened awareness of sustainable agriculture and the necessity for effective nutrient management. Controlled-release NPK fertilizers deliver a consistent supply of nutrients over a longer duration, improving crop output and minimizing environmental effects. Furthermore, progress in polymer-coating technology and legislative endorsement for environmentally sustainable agricultural inputs are expediting implementation. The segment's swift expansion is credited to its efficacy in high-value and industrial crops, alongside its congruence with precision agriculture trends, establishing it as the market's fastest-growing section.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, supported by its extensive agricultural foundation, significant population density, and rising food demand. Countries such as China and India, characterized by their vast arable territory and governmental programs advocating for balanced fertilization, significantly contribute to regional supremacy. Moreover, swift urbanization, increasing disposable incomes, and changing dietary habits are propelling the utilization of NPK fertilizers to enhance agricultural production. The region's leadership is bolstered by substantial expenditures in agricultural infrastructure and the presence of prominent fertilizer manufacturers, assuring continuous market expansion.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by the rapid implementation of sophisticated agricultural technologies and precision farming methodologies. The region's vibrant market is marked by heightened knowledge of soil health, governmental backing for sustainable agriculture, and a transition toward specialty and controlled-release fertilizers. Moreover, the expansion of cultivated areas and the increasing demand for high-value crops are driving fertilizer usage. The region's vigorous economic expansion, along with significant investments in local production and distribution systems, establishes Asia Pacific as the fastest-growing market for NPK fertilizers worldwide.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in NPK Fertilizers (feed-grade and food-grade) Market include Yara International ASA, The Mosaic Company, Nutrien Ltd., EuroChem Group AG, CF Industries Holdings, Inc., PhosAgro Group, ICL Group Ltd., K+S Aktiengesellschaft (K+S AG), Haifa Chemicals Ltd., Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group Co., Ltd., Stanley Fertilizer Co., Ltd., Xinyangfeng Fertilizer Co., Ltd., Uralchem Group, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc., Borealis AG, OCI Nitrogen (OCI N.V.), Sinofert Holdings Ltd., and Coromandel International Ltd.
In April 2025, CF Industries has formed a joint venture with JERA and Mitsui to build the world's largest low-carbon ammonia plant in Louisiana. The facility will have an annual capacity of 1.4 million metric tons, with production expected to begin in 2029.
In May 2024, BioPrime AgriSolutions, a leading ag-biotech startup harnessing the power of agricultural biotechnology for sustainable and resilient farming practices, is delighted to announce a strategic partnership with Yara India, a subsidiary of Yara International, the world's leading crop Nutrition Company. Bringing together BioPrime's cutting-edge SNIPR technology-based "Chiron" with Yara India's expertise & leadership in crop nutrition, this collaboration marks a noteworthy milestone in serving farmers with sustainable solutions mitigating the risk of crop failures due to weather uncertainties & boosting the crop yields.
In March 2024, EuroChem announces new R&D program to improve fertilizers. The Company announced the launch of a new research program aimed at developing technology for processing comple--x ores and increasing the recovery of valuable components from phosphate rock. This initiative will increase recovery by 10% and help the Company broaden its resource base.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.