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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1617151
玉米市場至2030年的預測:按類型、形狀、分銷管道、應用、最終用戶和地區的全球分析Maize Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Yellow Maize, White Maize, Sweet Maize, Flint Maize, Popcorn Maize and Other Types), Form, Distribution Channel, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC的資料,2024年全球玉米市場規模為1,436億美元,預計到2030年將達到1,924億美元,預測期內年複合成長率為5.0%。玉米,是一種原產於中美洲的穀物植物(Zea mays)。玉米是世界上種植最廣泛的作物之一,以其可食用的大顆粒狀結構而聞名。玉米是一種用途廣泛的作物,有多種用途,包括粉、玉米餅和爆米花,以及牲畜飼料和生質燃料等工業產品。玉米富含碳水化合物、纖維和必需營養素,在數百萬人的飲食中發揮重要作用,特別是在開發中國家。
據糧農組織表示,2020年全球玉米產量將從11.4億噸增加到11.6億噸。據此,其生產面積將從2019年的1.96億公頃增加到2020年的2.01億公頃。
飼料需求增加
由於玉米是動物營養的主要原料,動物飼料需求的成長對市場產生了重大影響。隨著全球畜牧業的擴張,特別是在新興經濟體,對負擔得起的優質飼料的需求迅速增加。這一趨勢推動玉米生產,農民越來越注重種植玉米作為飼料而不是食品。此外,人們對動物健康和生產力重要性的認知不斷提高,進一步加速了飼料產業的玉米消費。
天氣變化
天氣波動對市場構成重大風險,因為乾旱、洪水和反季節氣溫等極端天氣事件可能嚴重影響作物產量。降雨模式不一致和氣溫上升降低了玉米產量並導致供不應求。這些干擾推高了玉米價格,對生產者和消費者都產生了影響。此外,天氣造成的歉收可能導致市場不穩定,使農民更難規劃和獲得穩定收入。
增加生質燃料的使用
玉米在生質燃料中的使用不斷增加,特別是乙醇生產,重塑市場。隨著各國優先考慮再生能源來源以減少碳排放,玉米已成為生質燃料生產的關鍵成分。這項變更將增加對玉米的需求,影響價格和供應。這種趨勢在美國等地區尤其明顯,這些地區的政策支持生質燃料生產,導致農民分配更多土地種植專門用於生質燃料生產的玉米。
與其他作物的競爭
來自大豆和小麥等其他作物的競爭會佔用玉米種植的土地和資源,對市場產生負面影響。農民可能會轉向盈利較高或風險較低的作物,特別是為了應對玉米價格波動或天氣變化。這減少了玉米的供應,導致價格波動和市場不穩定。此外,生質燃料和食品產業對替代作物的需求不斷增加,將進一步加劇這種競爭。
COVID-19 大流行對市場造成了毀滅性影響,造成供應鏈瓶頸、勞動力短缺和運輸延誤。停產和限制擾亂了生產和分銷,影響了國內和國際玉米貿易。此外,全球對牲畜飼料和生質燃料等玉米產品需求的中斷導致市場不穩定。農民面臨財務困難,許多人難以維持其生產,導致產量減少和價格波動。
黃玉米區隔預計將在預測期內成為最大的
由於黃玉米在飼料、食品、生質燃料等方面的用途廣泛,預計在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。富含澱粉和必需營養素,是畜牧飼料和工業用途的首選品種。由於需求量大,因此進行了大規模生產,特別是在美國和巴西等國家。此外,黃玉米是加工食品的重要原料,也是市場的關鍵驅動力。
預計水產養殖業在預測期內年複合成長率最高
預計水產養殖業在預測期內的年複合成長率最高。隨著對水產品的需求增加,水產養殖業依賴玉米作為飼料的高能量含量和營養價值。這種轉變將促進玉米消費,特別是在水產養殖業不斷發展的國家。對永續和具有成本效益的飼料的需求不斷成長,進一步鞏固了玉米在支持全球水產養殖業擴張中的作用。
由於高生產水準和多樣化的應用,預計北美地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。玉米對於牲畜飼料、生質燃料生產和食品非常重要。受益於先進的農業技術和政府政策,美國仍然是世界上最大的玉米生產國和出口國。加拿大也對該地區的玉米市場做出了較小規模的貢獻,主要用於飼料和加工。
由於人類消費和牲畜飼料行業的需求不斷增加,預計亞太地區在預測期內將出現最高的成長率。家禽畜牧業的快速成長是玉米需求的主要動力。在印度和中國等國家,玉米是動物飼料的重要成分。此外,各國政府也實施了補貼和最低支持價格(MSP)等支持措施,以提高國內玉米產量。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Maize Market is accounted for $143.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $192.4 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.0% during the forecast period. Maize, commonly known as corn, is a cereal plant (Zea mays) originating from Central America. It is one of the most widely cultivated crops globally, known for its large, edible kernels that grow on cob-like structures. Maize is a versatile crop used for human consumption in various forms, including flour, tortillas, and popcorn, as well as for animal feed and industrial products like biofuels. Rich in carbohydrates, fiber, and essential nutrients, maize plays a vital role in the diets of millions of people, especially in developing countries.
According to FAO, global maize production increased from 1.14 billion ton to 1.16 billion ton in 2020. Along with this, the area under its production also increased from 196 million hectares in 2019 to 201 million hectares in 2020.
Rising demand for animal feed
The rising demand for animal feed is significantly influencing the market, as maize is a primary ingredient in animal nutrition. As the global livestock industry expands, particularly in emerging economies, the need for affordable, high-quality feed has surged. This trend drives maize production, with farmers increasingly focusing on cultivating maize for feed rather than food products. Additionally, the growing awareness of the importance of animal health and productivity further accelerates maize consumption in the animal feed sector.
Weather variability
Weather variability poses a significant risk to the market, as extreme weather events like droughts, floods, and unseasonal temperatures can severely impact crop yields. Inconsistent rainfall patterns and rising temperatures reduce maize productivity, leading to supply shortages. These disruptions drive up maize prices, affecting both producers and consumers. Additionally, weather-induced crop failures can cause instability in the market, making it more challenging for farmers to plan and secure consistent income.
Increasing use in biofuels
The increasing use of maize in biofuels, particularly ethanol production, is reshaping the market. As countries prioritize renewable energy sources to reduce carbon emissions, maize has become a key feedstock for biofuel production. This shift boosts maize demand, influencing its price and availability. The trend is particularly strong in regions like the U.S., where policies support biofuel production, driving farmers to allocate more land for maize cultivation dedicated to biofuel production.
Competition from other crops
Competition from other crops, such as soybeans and wheat, negatively impacts the market by diverting land and resources away from maize cultivation. Farmers may shift to more profitable or less risky crops, particularly in response to fluctuating maize prices or changing weather conditions. This reduces maize supply, causing price volatility and market instability. Additionally, growing demand for alternative crops in biofuels or food industries further intensifies this competition.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a disruptive impact on the market, causing supply chain bottlenecks, labor shortages, and transportation delays. Lockdowns and restrictions hindered production and distribution, affecting both domestic and international maize trade. Additionally, disruptions in global demand for maize-based products, including animal feed and biofuels, led to market instability. Farmers faced financial challenges, with many struggling to maintain operations, leading to reduced production and price fluctuations.
The yellow maize segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The yellow maize segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the projection period due to its versatile use in animal feed, food products, and biofuels. Rich in starch and essential nutrients, it is the preferred variety for livestock feeding and industrial applications. Its high demand drives large-scale production, especially in countries like the U.S. and Brazil. Additionally, yellow maize is a vital ingredient in processed foods, making it a key driver in markets.
The aquaculture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The aquaculture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the extrapolated period. As the demand for seafood rises, aquaculture operations rely on maize for its high-energy content and nutritional value in feed. This shift boosts maize consumption, particularly in countries with growing aquaculture industries. The rising need for sustainable and cost-effective feed further solidifies maize's role in supporting the expansion of the global aquaculture sector.
North America region is estimated to account for the largest market share during the forecast period driven by high production levels and diverse uses. Maize is crucial for animal feed, biofuel production, and food products. The U.S. remains the world's largest producer and exporter of maize, benefiting from advanced farming technology and government policies. Canada also contributes to the regional maize market, though on a smaller scale, primarily for animal feed and processing.
Asia Pacific is expected to register the highest growth rate over the forecast period driven by rising demand from both human consumption and animal feed sectors. The rapid growth of the poultry and livestock industries is a primary driver of maize demand. In countries like India and China, maize is a crucial ingredient in animal feed. Additionally, various governments are implementing supportive measures such as subsidies and minimum support prices (MSPs) to boost domestic maize production.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Maize market include Cargill, Incorporated, Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM), Bunge Limited, Syngenta International AG, DuPont de Nemours, Inc., Bayer CropScience, Olam International, GrainCorp Limited, The Mosaic Company, Ingredion Incorporated, Tate & Lyle PLC, Royal DSM, Global Food Group, Conagra Brands, Inc and Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd.
In November 2024, Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) announced the opening of an expanded corn wet mill production facility in Razgrad, Bulgaria.
In September 2024, Cargill India is set to operate a new corn mill in Karnataka, which represents the company's largest investment in India, amounting to approximately $96.38 million. The facility will process about 800 tonnes of corn daily, primarily sourced locally.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.