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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1603849
2030 年鋁鍛造市場預測:按鍛造類型、材料、零件類型、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Aluminum Forging Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type of Forging (Open Die Forging, Closed Die Forging, Ring Rolling, Precision Forging, Extrusion, and Other Types), Material, Component Type, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2024 年全球鋁鍛件市場規模為 39.8 億美元,預計到 2030 年將達到 54.2 億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為 5.3%。
鋁鍛造是一種製造程序,其中鋁在高壓下加熱並成型,從而製造出堅固、輕質且具有增強機械性能的零件。由於鋁具有高強度重量比、長壽命和耐腐蝕性,因此該技術經常用於汽車、航太和工業應用。航太領域的擴張、對節能車輛的需求不斷增加,以及減少排放氣體和提高各種機械和結構應用性能的輕量材料的發展趨勢,是推動鋁鍛造的主要因素。
據印度投資局稱,到 2025 年,建築業的估值預計將達到 1.4 兆美元。預計到2030年將有超過30%的人口居住者在城市,因此住宅。
輕質材料需求
對輕量材料的需求,特別是在汽車和航太工業中,是推動鋁鍛造市場的主要因素。這些行業非常重視性能和燃油效率,而鋁具有出色的強度重量比和較低的重量,可以在不犧牲結構完整性的情況下顯著減輕重量,因此需求量很大。透過提高車輛燃油經濟性和飛機負載容量,鋁鍛造零件可以幫助滿足國際排放法規。此外,由於電動車 (EV) 的成長和永續設計的努力,對輕質鋁零件的需求不斷增加,以最大限度地提高能源效率。
製造成本高
鋁鍛件市場生產成本上升可能產生各種負面影響。由於產品價格可能上漲,與其他材料和製造技術相比,鋁鍛造件的競爭力可能會下降。這可能會減少消費者需求,尤其是在價格很重要的行業。由於製造成本上升導致利潤率下降,製造商可能會發現很難投資於研發、最尖端科技和產能增加。結果,創新可能會受到阻礙,並且可能難以應對消費者需求的變化。此外,成本上升可能會給中小型製造商帶來壓力,導致市場整合和競爭加劇。
汽車產量的成長
汽車產量的成長是推動鋁鍛造市場的關鍵因素。隨著全球汽車需求的增加,特別是在新興國家,製造商正在增加產量以滿足廣泛客戶的需求。此外,向混合動力汽車和電動車的過渡增加了對更強、更輕材料的需求,以提高性能和燃油效率。鋁鍛造零件的強度和重量輕使其成為懸吊、變速箱和底盤零件等汽車應用的理想選擇。汽車鋁鍛造應用的趨勢是由這一趨勢推動的,這對傳統汽車和電動車(EV)領域都有好處。
原物料價格波動
原料價格波動是鋁鍛造業的主要障礙,因為它影響生產成本和盈利。由於鋁開採和加工屬於能源集中,全球供需動態、地緣政治緊張局勢和能源成本波動是影響鋁價的一些因素。價格快速上漲會提高營運成本,進而影響鋁鍛造企業的定價策略和市場競爭。除了使長期規劃和預算變得困難之外,這種波動也為該行業帶來了不確定性,特別是對於那些沒有足夠資源來承受價格波動的中小企業而言。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 的爆發對鋁鍛件市場產生了重大影響,導致幾家主要公司停產,減少了需求並擾亂了供應鏈。由於消費者支出減少、旅行限制和工廠關閉,作為金屬主要消費者的汽車和航太產業對鋁鍛造零件的需求急劇下降。物流延誤和人手不足也影響了生產計劃並推高了營運成本。然而,隨著經濟復甦和企業實施新的業務策略,市場呈現韌性,工業活動的恢復正在促進逐步復甦。
預計開放模鍛產業在預測期內將是最大的
由於需要大型和堅固零件的行業,特別是工業、汽車和航太設備的需求,開式模鍛預計是最大的。鋁質輕且高度耐腐蝕,非常適合製造這些行業中使用的複雜、耐用的零件。在關鍵應用中,開式模鍛件具有卓越的抗疲勞性、最小的孔隙率和更高的機械強度。由於對永續材料和燃料效率的重視,進一步增強了對鋁開模鍛件滿足性能和監管要求的需求。
預計航太產業在預測期內複合年成長率最高
由於需要堅固且輕質的材料來提高性能和能源效率,預計航太領域在預測期內將出現最高的複合年成長率。為了確保航太應用的安全性和使用壽命,起落架、引擎零件和機翼結構等鍛造鋁零件可提供更高的強度重量比和耐腐蝕。此外,國際航空旅行的擴展、更多飛機的建造以及對環保航空解決方案的關注也推動了對鋁鍛件的需求,所有這些都是由提高效率和減少排放來支持行業目標。
由於快速工業化,特別是在建築、汽車和航太產業,亞太地區預計將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。由於對節能、輕型車輛的需求不斷成長以及電動車產量的增加,對鋁鍛造零件的需求正在增加。該地區大規模的基礎設施發展和蓬勃發展的航太業也支持了市場的擴張。由於鋁的強度、耐腐蝕性和永續性優勢,鋁的使用量不斷增加,也推動了亞太地區對鋁鍛造的需求。
由於航太和汽車產業對高性能輕量材料的需求不斷成長,預計北美在預測期內的複合年成長率最高。向電動車 (EV) 和節能設計的轉變增加了對具有卓越強度重量比的鍛造鋁零件的需求。此外,北美蓬勃發展的航太部門和廣泛的工業運作也支持了對堅固、優質鋁零件的需求。嚴格的環境法規和對永續性的重視進一步推動了鋁鍛件在環保和節能解決方案中的採用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Aluminum Forging Market is accounted for $3.98 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $5.42 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.3% during the forecast period. Aluminum forging is a manufacturing process where aluminum is heated and shaped under high pressure to create strong, lightweight components with enhanced mechanical properties. Because of aluminium's high strength-to-weight ratio, longevity, and resistance to corrosion, this technology is frequently utilized in the automotive, aerospace, and industrial sectors. The expanding aerospace sector, the growing need for fuel-efficient automobiles, and the growing trend toward lightweight materials to lower emissions and enhance performance in a range of mechanical and structural applications are the main factors driving aluminum forging.
According to Invest India, the construction sector is projected to attain a valuation of USD 1.4 trillion by 2025. With forecasts suggesting that over 30% of the population will be urban dwellers by 2030, there's a pressing need for 25 million more mid-end and affordable housing units.
Demand for lightweight materials
The need for lightweight materials, particularly in the automotive and aerospace industries, is a major factor propelling the aluminum forging market. These industries place a high value on performance and fuel efficiency, and aluminum is in great demand due to its exceptional strength-to-weight ratio and light weight, which enable substantial weight reduction without sacrificing structural integrity. By improving vehicle fuel economy and aircraft payload capacity, aluminum-forged components help meet international emissions reduction regulations. Furthermore, the demand for lightweight aluminum components to maximize energy efficiency is being driven by the growth of electric vehicles (EVs) and sustainable design initiatives.
High production costs
High production costs in the market for aluminum forging can have a number of detrimental consequences. Aluminum forgings may become less competitive when compared to other materials or manufacturing techniques due to the potential for higher product prices. This may reduce consumer demand, particularly in industries where prices are crucial. Manufacturers may find it difficult to invest in R&D, cutting-edge technology, and capacity growth as a result of high manufacturing costs that can reduce profit margins. This may hinder innovation and make it more difficult for the sector to adjust to changing consumer demands. Furthermore, growing expenses may put pressure on smaller producers, which could result in market consolidation and less competition.
Growth in automotive production
The growth in automotive production is a key factor fueling the aluminum forging market. As the demand for automobiles rises globally, particularly in emerging economies, manufacturers are increasing output to satisfy a wide range of customer demands. Furthermore, the move to hybrid and electric vehicles has raised demand for strong, lightweight materials to improve performance and fuel economy. The strength and low weight of aluminum forged components make them perfect for use in automotive applications, such as suspension, gearbox, and chassis components. Advances in automotive aluminum forging applications are being driven by this trend, which benefits both the conventional and electric vehicle (EV) sectors.
Volatility in raw material prices
Price volatility for raw materials is a significant barrier to the aluminum forging industry since it affects production costs and profitability. Due to the energy-intensive nature of aluminum extraction and processing, global demand-supply dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and variable energy costs are some of the factors that affect aluminum pricing. Abrupt price increases can impact pricing strategies and market competitiveness for aluminum forging enterprises by raising operating costs. In addition to making long-term planning and budgeting more difficult, this volatility breeds uncertainty in the sector, especially for smaller firms who have fewer resources to withstand price fluctuations.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic had a major effect on the market for aluminum forging, prompting production halts in several important businesses, lowering demand, and upsetting supply networks. Due to decreased consumer spending, travel restrictions, and factory closures, demand for forged aluminum components fell precipitously in the automotive and aerospace industries, which are key consumers of the metal. Delays in logistics and a lack of workers also impacted production schedules and raised operating expenses. However, as economies recover and companies implement new operating strategies, the market has demonstrated resilience, with a slow recovery fuelled by the resumption of industrial operations.
The open die forging segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The open die forging segment is estimated to be the largest, due to demand from industries requiring large, strong parts, especially in industrial, automotive, and aerospace equipment. Aluminum is perfect for creating complicated, long-lasting parts utilized in these industries because of its lightweight and corrosion-resistant qualities. For important applications, open die forging offers superior fatigue resistance, minimal porosity, and increased mechanical strength. The need for aluminum open die forging to satisfy performance and regulatory requirements is further increased by the emphasis on sustainable materials and fuel efficiency.
The aerospace segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The aerospace segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period, because of its need for strong, lightweight materials that improve performance and energy efficiency. For safety and longevity in aerospace applications, forged aluminum components such as landing gear, engine parts, and wing structures offer higher strength-to-weight ratios and corrosion resistance. Additionally driving demand for forged aluminum is the expansion of international air travel, the construction of more aircraft, and the focus on environmentally friendly aviation solutions, all of which support industry objectives for efficiency and emissions reduction.
Asia Pacific is expected to have the largest market share during the forecast period due to fast industrialization, especially in the building, automobile, and aerospace industries. The need for aluminum forged components is increased by the growing demand for fuel-efficient, lightweight automobiles as well as the growth of electric vehicle production. Large-scale infrastructure developments and the region's flourishing aerospace industry also support market expansion. The need for aluminum forging in Asia Pacific is also being driven by the growing use of aluminum because of its strength, resistance to corrosion, and sustainability advantages.
North America is projected to witness the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the expanding need for high-performance, lightweight materials in the aerospace and automotive industries. Forged aluminum components, which have excellent strength-to-weight ratios, are becoming more and more necessary as a result of the move towards electric vehicles (EVs) and fuel-efficient designs. Additionally, the need for strong and superior aluminum parts is supported by North America's thriving aerospace sector and extensive industrial operations. Adoption of aluminum forging for eco-friendly and energy-efficient solutions is further encouraged by stringent environmental restrictions and a focus on sustainability.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Aluminum Forging Market include Alcoa Corporation, Bharat Forge Ltd., Precision Castparts Corp., Kobe Steel, Ltd., Mahindra Forgings Ltd., Aichi Forge USA Inc., Arconic Inc., NTN Corporation, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., American Axle & Manufacturing, Inc., Anchor Harvey Components, LLC, SIFCO Industries, Inc., Doncasters Group Ltd., Consolidated Industries, Inc., Ashok Leyland Limited, Alumeco Group, Otto Fuchs KG, and Forgital Group.
In February 2024, Kobe Steel announced its decision to expand its automotive aluminum panel business in China through a joint venture with China Baowu Steel Group as a shift to electric vehicles is driving the demand for new cars.
In February 2024, Alcoa Corporation announced an agreement with Alumina Limited on terms and processes to acquire the latter. This agreement would further enhance Alcoa's position as one of the world's largest alumina producers.
In July 2022, Bharat Forge announced the acquisition of JS Autocast Foundry India Private Limited, located in Coimbatore, India. JS Autocast provides the essential machined ductile castings for various industries and applications, including automotive, hydraulic, off-highway, and wind.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.