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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1476365
到 2030 年天然氣分散式發電市場預測:按技術、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Technology (Microturbine, Stationary Fuel Cells, Natural Gas Gensets and Other Technologies), End User (Commercial, Industrial and Other End Users) and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC的數據,2023年全球天然氣分散式發電市場規模為287億美元,預計預測期內複合年成長率為12.5%,到2030年將達到655億美元。
天然氣分散式發電市場是指透過以天然氣為燃料的小型發電廠發電的能源產業部分。這些分散式發電系統通常利用往復式引擎、微型渦輪機或燃料電池將天然氣轉化為電力。這種分散式發電具有減少輸電損耗、提高電網可靠性的優點,因為小型設施安裝在靠近最終用戶的地方。
人們對氣候變遷的擔憂日益加劇
隨著世界尋求減少溫室氣體排放,天然氣越來越被視為一種過渡燃料,因為它的碳集中低於煤炭和石油。分散式發電在靠近用電量的地方發電,具有許多好處,包括提高效率、減少傳輸損耗和增強電網彈性。這一趨勢是由促進可再生能源整合和脫碳的政策所推動的。此外,天然氣的靈活性和可靠性使其成為間歇性再生能源來源的寶貴補充,並確保穩定的能源供應,同時過渡到更永續的能源未來。
競爭壓力
競爭壓力嚴重限制了天然氣分散式發電市場。隨著替代能源在能源領域的激增,天然氣發電面臨激烈的競爭。太陽能和風能等可再生能源正變得越來越經濟高效且環保,從而提高了普及和市場滲透率。因此,天然氣分散式發電市場的參與者面臨創新、降低成本和提高效率以保持競爭力的壓力。
電力需求增加
分散式發電比集中式發電廠更有彈性可靠,特別是在電網容易中斷的地區或擴展傳統電力基礎設施成本高昂的偏遠地區。天然氣儲量豐富且相對便宜,使其成為有吸引力的發電燃料選擇。此外,技術的進步使天然氣分散式發電機變得更加高效和環保,並且越來越注重永續性。
價格波動
天然氣價格根據多種因素波動,包括供需趨勢、地緣政治緊張局勢、天氣模式和監管變化。這種波動為 DNGFG計劃的投資者和開發商帶來了不確定性,使其難以預測長期盈利和投資收益。價格的高波動可能會阻止潛在投資者參與 DNGFG計劃。這是因為投資者擔心成本突然增加的風險,這可能導致淨利率下降和財務損失。
最初,該行業因供應鏈挑戰、勞動力短缺以及由於封鎖和經濟不確定性而減少業務而導致需求減少而受到干擾。許多建設計劃被推遲或擱置,導致新的天然氣發電系統無法安裝。然而,隨著疫情的發展,可靠的能源基礎設施的重要性日益凸顯,推動天然氣分散式發電解決方案的需求逐漸復甦。
微型渦輪機產業預計將在預測期內成為最大的產業
由於微型渦輪機尺寸緊湊、效率高和多功能性,預計在預測期內將成長最大。這些渦輪機是利用天然氣發電的小型發電機,非常適合分散式能源生產。緊湊的設計允許安裝在各種環境中,包括住宅、商業和工業。與傳統發電系統相比,微型渦輪機具有多種優勢,包括降低排放氣體、降低維護成本和提高可靠性。
工業領域預計在預測期內複合年成長率最高
預計工業領域在預測期內將經歷最高的複合年成長率。工業營業單位擴大採用天然氣燃料分散式發電系統作為可靠的現場電力解決方案,以滿足其能源需求。與傳統電網電力相比,這些系統具有成本效益、效率和環境永續性等優勢。此外,各行業通常具有較高的能源需求,並且在不同地點營運,這使得分散式發電成為確保不間斷供電的有吸引力的選擇。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大佔有率。隨著人們對環境永續性和能源來源多樣化的需求日益關注,該地區各國政府正在實施支持採用天然氣等清潔能源解決方案的法規。這些法規通常包括補貼、稅收減免和簡化天然氣分散式發電工程許可流程等獎勵。此外,更嚴格的排放標準和溫室排放減排目標正在促使工業和公共產業從污染更嚴重的燃料轉向天然氣等更清潔的替代品。
預計歐洲地區在調控期間將維持盈利成長。隨著法規結構鼓勵向再生能源來源過渡並努力實現能源安全,分散式發電系統成為人們關注的焦點。這種權力下放允許社區、企業甚至個人家庭投資和管理自己使用天然氣的能源生產。此外,微電網解決方案和智慧電錶等技術進步將使天然氣發電在當地有效利用和分配。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation Market is accounted for $28.7 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $65.5 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 12.5% during the forecast period. The Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation Market refers to the segment of the energy industry that involves the production of electricity through small-scale power plants fueled by natural gas, which are dispersed across various locations rather than centralized in a single facility. These distributed generation systems typically utilize reciprocating engines, microturbines, or fuel cells to convert natural gas into electricity. This decentralized approach to power generation involves smaller-scale facilities located closer to the end-users, offering benefits such as reduced transmission losses and enhanced grid reliability.
Growing concerns about climate change
As the world seeks to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, natural gas is increasingly viewed as a transitional fuel due to its lower carbon intensity compared to coal and oil. Distributed generation, which involves generating electricity close to where it is consumed, offers numerous benefits including improved efficiency, reduced transmission losses, and increased grid resilience. This trend is bolstered by policies promoting renewable energy integration and decarbonization efforts. Moreover, the flexibility and reliability of natural gas make it a valuable complement to intermittent renewable energy sources, ensuring a stable energy supply while transitioning to a more sustainable energy future.
Competitive pressures
Competitive pressures are significantly constraining the Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation Market. With the energy sector witnessing a surge in alternative energy sources, natural gas-fueled generation faces stiff competition. Renewable energy options like solar and wind power are becoming increasingly cost-effective and environmentally friendly, leading to greater adoption and market penetration. As a result, players in the distributed natural gas-fueled generation market are under pressure to innovate, reduce costs and enhance efficiency to stay competitive.
Increasing demand for electricity
Distributed generation offers greater flexibility and reliability compared to centralized power plants, particularly in areas prone to grid disruptions or remote regions where extending traditional power infrastructure is cost-prohibitive. Natural gas is abundant and relatively inexpensive, making it an attractive fuel option for generating electricity. Furthermore, advancements in technology have made distributed natural gas-fueled generators more efficient and environmentally friendly, aligning with the increasing emphasis on sustainability.
Price volatility
Natural gas prices are subject to fluctuations influenced by various factors such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, weather patterns, and regulatory changes. This volatility introduces uncertainty for investors and developers in DNGFG projects, making it challenging to predict long-term profitability and return on investment. High price volatility can deter potential investors from committing to DNGFG projects, as they may fear the risk of sudden cost increases that could erode margins or lead to financial losses.
Initially, the industry experienced disruptions due to supply chain challenges, workforce shortages, and reduced demand as businesses scaled back operations amid lockdowns and economic uncertainty. Many construction projects were delayed or put on hold, hindering the installation of new natural gas-powered generation systems. However, as the pandemic progressed, the importance of reliable energy infrastructure became evident, driving a gradual recovery in demand for distributed natural gas-fueled generation solutions.
The Microturbine segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
Microturbine segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period due to its compact size, high efficiency, and versatility. These turbines are small-scale power generators that utilize natural gas to produce electricity, making them ideal for decentralized energy production. Their compact design allows for installation in various settings, including residential, commercial, and industrial applications. Microturbines offer several advantages over traditional power generation systems, such as lower emissions, reduced maintenance costs, and increased reliability.
The Industrial segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Industrial segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period. Industrial entities are increasingly adopting distributed natural gas-fueled generation systems as reliable on-site power solutions to meet their energy demands. These systems offer advantages such as cost-effectiveness, efficiency, and environmental sustainability compared to traditional grid electricity. Moreover, industries often have high energy requirements and operate in diverse locations, making distributed generation an attractive option for ensuring uninterrupted power supply.
Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest share over the extrapolated period. With growing concerns about environmental sustainability and the need to diversify energy sources, governments across the region are implementing regulations favoring the adoption of cleaner energy solutions like natural gas. These regulations often include incentives such as subsidies, tax breaks, and streamlined permitting processes for distributed natural gas fueled generation projects. Additionally, stringent emissions standards and targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions are pushing industries and utilities to transition away from more polluting fuels towards cleaner alternatives like natural gas.
Europe region is projected to hold profitable growth during the domination period. As regulatory frameworks encourage the shift towards renewable energy sources and strive for energy security, decentralized power generation systems are gaining prominence. This decentralization empowers local communities, businesses, and even individual households to invest in and manage their own energy production using natural gas. Furthermore, advancements in technology, such as microgrid solutions and smart meters, enable efficient utilization and distribution of natural gas-generated power at a local level.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation market include ABB Group, Bloom Energy Corporation, Caterpillar Inc, Cummins, Inc, Doosan Corporation, FuelCell Energy, Inc, General Electric, JFE Holdings, Inc, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd, MAN Energy Solutions SE, Mitsubishi Power, Ltd, Plug Power Inc, Redox Power Systems, LLC, Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC and Siemens AG.
In June 2020, With an aim to design and develop fuel cell-powered ships, Bloom Energy BE announced that it has signed a joint development agreement (JDA) with Samsung Heavy Industries (SHI), which is part of Samsung Group. The vision of both companies is to generate clean power for ships and make the marine industry more sustainable.