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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1339936
2030 年區域供熱市場預測 - 按熱源、組件、電廠類型、用途和地區進行的全球分析District Heating Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Heat Source, Component, Plant Type, Application and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2023 年全球區域供熱市場規模為 1815.8 億美元,預計預測期內年複合成長率為 8.2%,到 2030 年將達到 3152.5 億美元。
在區域供暖中,熱量集中產生並分配給附近的家庭、企業和工業設施。區域供暖是一種具有成本效益且對生態無害的方法。它經常用於單戶住宅、多用戶住宅、高層建築、特大城市和區域供熱。與單獨的建築設備相比,它們具有許多優勢,包括提高安全性和可靠性、減少排放以及提高燃料彈性(特別是在使用生質能和廢棄物等替代燃料時)。區域供暖通過用可再生能源替代依賴化石燃料的供暖來減少碳排放和對不可再生資源的依賴。這一策略消除了浪費並充分利用了可用能源。
根據IEA的數據,2020年全球近90%的熱量生產來自化石燃料,主要是煤炭(45%)、天然氣(40%)和石油(5%),與2000年的95%相比有所下降。 。
都市化的加快創造了組織良好的基礎設施,是區域供熱系統的理想選擇。區域供熱和發電是不斷發展的大都市地區需求旺盛的公用事業服務的兩個例子。區域供熱系統從多種來源獲取熱量,包括鍋爐、工業廢熱、可再生能源、熱電聯產和鍋爐。隨著工業化的發展,企業和資料中心產生的大量熱量可用於區域供熱,從而提高經濟效益。這一因素正在推動區域供熱市場的成長。
區域供暖非常適合領先開發商的大規模舉措。造成這種現象的主要原因是,儘管小型開發商認知到集中供熱的好處,但由於建設進度和投資金額不同,他們並沒有與鄰近開發商合作實施集中供熱。因此,小型開發商正在轉向傳統供暖以適應他們的日程安排。所有在建築施工過程中留有管網空間的新計畫均採用區域供熱。然而,在較舊的建築中,可能沒有足夠的空間安裝管網,這限制了區域供暖的廣泛使用。
近年來,世界人口快速成長,許多地區正在經歷快速都市化。這直接增加了各種最終用途行業的能源需求。前所未有的二氧化碳排放和全球變暖對地球構成了威脅,同時人們對可再生能源的興趣也與日俱增。區域能源系統有助於經濟向綠色轉型,並減少製冷和供暖產生的溫室氣體排放。結果,二氧化碳排放減少了 70%。這些要素正在加速市場擴張。
由於建立安全的輸配電連接網路的成本較高,建立區域供熱系統需要大量的初始投資。隔熱管並將其埋在地下的成本是投資者的主要障礙。此外,缺乏必要的基礎設施以及其他更便宜的空間供暖和熱水加熱解決方案的可用性可能會限制未來幾年的市場擴張。
COVID-19 的爆發對區域供熱市場的擴張產生了重大影響。由於致命的冠狀病毒的出現,區域供暖系統的需求普遍下降,導致重大基礎設施項目推遲,許多工業和製造業企業暫時關閉。此外,全球市場受到嚴重阻礙,疫情期間幾乎所有建設項目都被擱置,世界各國政府制定了嚴格的法規和貿易限制。
由於其高度的永續性和成本效益,熱電聯產行業預計將出現良好的成長。由於能源供應效率的提高、餘熱利用和低碳可再生能源的發展,產品需求預計將增加。要求降低碳足跡和降低成本的嚴格法規標準也可以推動成長。向永續電力、熱力和供應的範式轉變,以及提高能源效率的立法目標,都將有助於將熱電聯產系統引入該行業。所有這些預測都推動了熱電聯產系統行業的成長。
在預測期內,住宅行業預計將以最快的年複合成長率成長。緊湊型供暖系統的普及和紮實的房地產投資正在增加對住宅區域供暖系統的需求。城市人口的增加和分佈式發電機的使用增加可能會對商業環境產生積極影響。快速的都市化和工業化預計將影響商業領域對區域供熱系統的需求。增加對新生產設施和單位建設的投資預計也將推動該業務部門的擴張。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。中國是區域能源消費大國。該國正在尋求強力的公共政策選擇,以支持更清潔、更節能的當地能源。主要相關人員正在使用人工智慧來控制區域供熱系統的運作。製造商還致力於實現與人工智慧相結合的尖端自動化,以提高生產率並節省能源。市場的技術進步也有望加速擴張。
預計歐洲在預測期內的年複合成長率最高。此外,都市化的加快、對節能系統的需求增加以及旨在減少溫室氣體排放的政府法規的加強也要素了成長。此外,歐洲區域供熱行業的擴張得到了多個環保組織製定的嚴格排放限制的支持。此外,美國環境保護署(EPA)日益重視排放和追求零淨碳排放預計將刺激區域供熱市場的擴張。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global District Heating Market is accounted for $181.58 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $315.25 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.2% during the forecast period. In district heating, heat is produced centrally and then distributed to nearby households, companies, and industrial facilities. District heating is a cost-effective and ecologically responsible approach. It is frequently used in single-family homes, multi-family buildings, high-rise structures, and mega townships, district heating. Comparing it to individual building equipment provides a number of benefits, such as increased safety and reliability, reduced emissions, and higher fuel flexibility, especially when using alternative fuels like biomass or waste. District heating lessens carbon emissions and dependency on non-renewable resources by substituting renewable energy for heating that is dependent on fossil fuels. This strategy reduces waste and makes the best use of available energy.
According to IEA, nearly 90% of global heat production in 2020 was from fossil fuels, primarily coal (45%), natural gas (40%), and oil (5%), down from 95% in 2000.
Increasing urbanization results in the creation of well-organized infrastructure that are ideal for district heating systems. District heating and power generation are two examples of utility services that are in high demand in expanding metropolitan areas. District heating systems obtain heat from a variety of sources, such as boilers, industrial surplus heat, renewable energy, CHP, and boilers. The enormous heat produced by businesses and data centers as a result of expanding industrialization may be used for district heating, which in turn contributes to economic efficiency. This element helps to propel the growth of district heating market.
Large-scale initiatives by powerful developers are appropriate for district heating. The main reason for this is because small-scale developers, although being aware of the advantages of district heating, do not implement it in tandem with nearby developers due to their divergent building timelines and investments. Small-scale developers consequently use traditional heating according to their timetable. Every new project that may plan room for a pipe network during building construction uses district heating solutions. However, an inadequate amount of room for a pipe network may be present in older structures, which restricts its penetration.
Since the population of the world has been increasing at an exponential rate in recent years, many regions have been seeing a surge in urbanization. Because of this, demand for energy across a range of end-use industries has directly grown. Unprecedented carbon emissions and global warming are posing hazards to the planet, which has spurred interest in renewable energy sources. District energy systems help the economy move to a greener one and lower the greenhouse gas emissions from cooling and heating. As a consequence, CO2 emissions are reduced by up to 70%. These factors hasten market expansion.
A significant initial financial outlay is needed to set up a district heating system since it is expensive to build a secure network of transmission and distribution connections. The cost of the insulated pipes and the underground placement of such pipes is a significant barrier for investors. Additionally, the absence of necessary infrastructure and the availability of other, more affordable solutions for space heating and water heating may restrain market expansion in the years to come.
The COVID-19 epidemic has had a big influence on the market expansion for district heating. District heating system demand has decreased overall as a result of the fatal corona virus's appearance, which has caused delays in major infrastructure projects and the temporary closure of a number of industrial and manufacturing businesses. Additionally, almost all building projects were put on hold during the epidemic, and governments all over the world established strict regulations and trade restrictions, which severely constrained the worldwide market.
The combined heat & power segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to its high sustainability and cost-effectiveness. It is anticipated that increased energy supply efficiency, the utilization of waste heat, and low-carbon renewable energy sources will increase product demand. Positive regulatory standards for reduced carbon footprints and cost savings may promote growth. A paradigm change toward sustainable power, heat, and supply, as well as legislative objectives to increase energy efficiency, all help the sector embrace cogeneration systems. The segment's growth is being fuelled by all of these prospects.
The residential segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period. The demand for district heating systems in residential buildings has increased due to the widespread usage of compact heating systems and robust real estate investment. Rising urban population and increased use of decentralized generators may have a favorable effect on the business environment. Fast-paced urbanization and industrialization are predicted to have an impact on the demand for district heating systems in the commercial sector. Increased investments in the construction of new production facilities and units are also anticipated to fuel the business segment's expansion.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. China is the leading consumer of district energy. The nation has been pursuing forceful public policy choices to boost cleaner, energy-efficient district energy. Artificial intelligence is being used by the major stakeholders to control how well the district heating systems are running. The manufacturers are also aiming to create cutting-edge automation that would function in tandem with artificial intelligence to boost productivity and conserve energy. The market's technical advancements are also anticipated to accelerate expansion.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. Additionally, the growth is linked to expanding urbanization, a rise in the demand for energy-efficient systems, and a rise in the number of restrictions by the government aimed at lowering greenhouse gas emissions. Furthermore, the expansion of the district heating sector in Europe is supported by rigorous emission limitations established by several environmental organisations. Additionally, the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) increased emphasis on emission reduction and its pursuit of net-zero carbon emissions are anticipated to fuel the market expansion for district heating.
Some of the key players profiled in the District Heating Market include: NRG Energy, Fortum, LOGSTOR A/S, Goteborg Energi, Kelag Warme Gmbh, Vattenfall AB, Hafslund, STEAG GmbH, Korea District Heating Corporation, Statkraft AS, Keppel DHCS Pte Ltd, Shinryo Corporation, Orsted, RWE AG, Vital Energi, Danfoss, Engie, Enwave Energy, Ramboll Group and FVB Energy.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.