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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1324304
2030 年α-烯烴市場預測:按類型、用途和地區分類的全球分析Alpha Olefins Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (1-Hexene, 1-Octene, 1-Butene, 1-Octadecene, 1-Hexadecene, 1-Tetradecene, 1-Dodecene, 1-Decene and Other Types), Application and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC的數據,2023年全球α-烯烴市場規模為71億美元,預計在預測期內將以8%的年複合成長率成長,並在2030年達到121億美元。
烯烴是一類在兩個相鄰碳原子之間具有一個或多個雙鍵的烴,被稱為烯烴。烯烴或烯烴的化學式是CnH2n,這就是它們被稱為α烯烴的原因。它可以與其他單烯烴區分開來。主要用於生產聚乙烯、潤滑油、清潔劑、塑化劑、油田化學品、精細化學品等。
據印度包裝工業協會(PIAI)統計,包裝業目前是印度第五大經濟部門。印度以年成長率 22-25% 的速度成長,是包裝行業的首選中心。
幾個重要的變量導致從各種原料生產 α-烯烴的研發 (R&D) 支出增加。對環保和永續化學品生產不斷成長的需求就是其中之一。隨著人們對氣候變化和資源枯竭的日益關注,考慮替代原料和生產技術以減少對化石燃料的依賴並儘量減少對環境的負面影響非常重要。
由於原料價格波動,α-烯烴市場面臨重大挑戰。主要原料石油和天然氣的價格波動給生產商帶來了不確定性和上行壓力。這些價格變化會對盈利能力、競爭和生產成本產生直接影響。如果製造商無法準確預測成本和價格,則可能難以管理供應鏈並與客戶保持良好的關係。
由於天然氣原料豐富,北美是石化投資和生產的一個競爭激烈的市場。新石化設施的建設、現有工廠的擴建以及下游行業的成長都受益於具有先進製造能力和基礎設施的低成本原料的大量投資。天然氣是生產各種石化產品(包括α-烯烴)的重要原料。天然氣的主要成分乙烷可分解產生乙烯,乙烯是合成α-烯烴的主要原料。
為了保護環境並避免健康風險,世界各國政府對傳統塑膠的使用制定了嚴格的規定。例如,塑膠對人體和環境有有害影響,因此在用途中禁止或限制其使用。此外,許多國家希望鼓勵使用永續和可生物分解的塑膠,以增加消費者對環保產品的需求。
COVID-19 大流行對衛生意識的影響導致該國肥皂和清潔劑的使用量急劇增加。大多數國家的長期封鎖措施阻礙了α-烯烴市場的擴張。汽車、化學品、消費電子產品和包裝等最終用途行業的需求與α-烯烴銷售直接相關。然而,由於 COVID-19 大流行,進出口法規、邊境限制和供應鏈中斷嚴重影響了化工行業對 α 烯烴的需求。
由於聚乙烯和聚丙烯是石化行業的主要結構要素,預計 1-丁烯細分市場在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。此外,1-丁烯還用作合成許多不同化學中間體的前體。 1-丁烯可以轉化為丁二烯,丁二烯是用於生產合成橡膠、彈性體和塑膠的重要單體。它還用於製造 1,3-丁二烯,後者可轉化為己二腈(尼龍的前體)。
預計聚烯烴共聚單體領域在預測期內將出現良好的成長。通過使用聚烯烴共聚單體,可以客製化聚乙烯和聚丙烯的性能,以滿足特定的用途要求。不同共聚單體(例如 1-丁烯、1-己烯和 1-辛烯)對聚合物性能的不同影響使生產商能夠生產各種品質不同的聚烯烴牌號。其適應性使得該材料可以進行客製化和最佳化,以用於包裝、汽車、建築和消費品等多種行業。
由於其廣泛而多樣化的工業基礎,預計北美在預測期內將佔據最大佔有率。眾多製造業的存在以及石化和石油、天然氣基礎設施的不斷擴建預計將推動該地區的市場成長。此外,北美自然資源蘊藏量豐富,被國內外企業公認為α-烯烴生產的潛在投資基地。
由於該地區的快速工業化、經濟擴張、新興市場的開拓、聚乙烯需求的增加以及汽車行業的蓬勃發展,亞太地區α-烯烴市場預計將擴大。此外,α-烯烴用於多種用途,包括包裝材料、建築材料、汽車零件和合成潤滑油,並且由於該地區強大的製造業、不斷成長的消費者人口和基礎設施發展,其需求量很大。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Alpha Olefins Market is accounted for $7.1 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $12.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8% during the forecast period. Olefins are hydrocarbons with one or more double bonds between two adjacent carbon atoms, which are known as alkenes. Chemical formula for olefins or alkenes is CnH2n, that's why it is known as alpha olefins. It can be identified from other mono-olefins. It is primarily used in the production of polyethylene, lubricants, detergents, plasticizers, oil field chemicals, and fine chemicals.
According to the Packaging Industry Association of India (PIAI), the packaging industry is currently the fifth-largest economic sector in India. It is growing at a rate of 22-25% per year, making India a preferred hub for the packaging industry.
Several important variables contribute to the rising research and development (R&D) spending for the creation of alpha olefins derived from various sources. The rising demand for environmentally friendly and sustainable chemical production is one such driver. It is important to look into alternative feedstocks and production techniques that reduce dependency on fossil fuels and have a minimal negative impact on the environment as concerns about climate change and resource depletion grow.
The market for alpha olefins faces enormous challenges as a result of the high price volatility of raw materials. Changes in the price of crude oil or natural gas, the main feedstocks, bring uncertainty and pressure on prices for producers. These price swings may have an immediate effect on the profitability, competitiveness, and cost of production. A manufacturer's inability to predict costs and prices accurately may make it difficult to manage the supply chain and maintain favorable relationships with clients.
North America has become a competitive market for petrochemical investment and production due to the quantity of natural gas feedstock. The construction of new petrochemical facilities, the expansion of existing plants, and the growth of downstream sectors have all benefited from considerable investments attracted by the availability of low-cost feedstock paired with advanced manufacturing capabilities and infrastructure. For the manufacturing of a variety of petrochemicals, including alpha olefins, natural gas is a vital feedstock. Ethane, a significant component of natural gas, can be cracked to produce ethylene, which serves as the main feedstock for the synthesis of alpha olefins.
To save the environment and avoid health risks, governments around the world have enacted strict rules regarding the use of conventional plastics. For instance, due to their detrimental impact on human health and the environment, plastics have been prohibited or restricted in some applications. Additionally, a number of countries want to encourage the use of sustainable and biodegradable plastics and raise consumer demand for environmentally friendly products.
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on hygiene awareness, the country saw a sharp rise in the use of soap and detergent. The majority of the countries' protracted lockdowns have hampered the expansion of the alpha-olefins market. The demand from end-use sectors, such as automotive, chemical, appliance, packaging, and others, directly relates to the sales of alpha olefins. The COVID-19 pandemic's import-export restrictions, restricted borders, and supply chain interruptions, however, had a significant impact on the demand for alpha olefins in the chemicals industry.
The 1-butene segment is anticipated to hold the largest market share during the course of the projection period, as polyethylene and polypropylene are two of the main building blocks in the petrochemical sector. Additionally, 1-butene is used as a precursor in the synthesis of a number of different chemical intermediates. It is capable of being transformed into butadiene, a crucial monomer utilized in the creation of synthetic rubbers, elastomers, and plastics. It is also used to create 1,3-butadiene, which is then converted into adiponitrile, a precursor to the manufacture of nylon.
Polyolefins Comonomer segment is expected to have lucrative growth over the projected period. The characteristics of polyethylene and polypropylene can be customized to fulfill the requirements of certain applications by using polyolefin comonomers. As a result of the varied impact that various comonomers, such as 1-butene, 1-hexene, and 1-octene, have on polymer properties, producers are able to produce a large variety of polyolefin grades with various qualities. Due to their adaptability, materials can be customized and optimized for use in a variety of industries, including packaging, automotive, construction, and consumer goods.
Due to the broad and diversified industrial base, North America is anticipated to hold the largest share during the forecast period. The presence of numerous manufacturing businesses, along with an increase in petrochemical and infrastructural expansions for gas and oil, are expected to fuel regional market growth. Additionally, due to its extensive natural resource reserves, North America has been recognized as a potential investment hub for the production of alpha olefins by both domestic and foreign businesses.
The market for alpha olefins in the Asia-Pacific region is expected to rise due to the region's rapid industrialization, economic expansion, expanding infrastructure development, rising demand for polyethylene, and booming auto sector. Additionally, alpha olefins are utilized in many different applications, such as packaging, construction materials, automotive components, and synthetic lubricants, and there is a substantial demand for them due to the region's strong manufacturing sectors, expanding consumer population, and infrastructure developments.
Some of the key players in Alpha Olefins market include: Sasol, SABIC, Shell plc, Qatar Chemical Company Ltd, LANXESS, Kemipex, INEOS, Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd., Evonik Industries AG, Exxon Mobil Corporation and Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC.
In February 2023, Chevron Phillips Chemical (CPChem) and Charter Next Generation (CNG) announced that overwrap film made with CPChem's Marlex® Anew™ Circular Polyethylene is bound for store shelves in the US. Versatile and efficient overwrap films help preserve food, keep medical instruments secure and sterile, and provide lightweight and durable product packaging. Alpha olefins are mostly consumed to manufacture polyethylene.
In April 2022, Shell Chemical won approval from the state Board of Commerce and Industry for an Industrial Tax Exemption Program break for their USD 1.4 billion project, which the company says will create a "world scale" linear alpha olefin plant at the Geismar facility. Linear alpha olefins are used to make detergents, waxes, plastics, and premium lubricants.