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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1308710
到2030年汽車傳動系統市場預測–按車型(乘用車、商用車、電動車)、驅動類型(前輪驅動、後輪驅動、全輪驅動)、技術和地區進行全球分析Automotive Drivetrain Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type (Passenger Car, Commercial Vehicles and Electric Vehicle), Drive Type (Front Wheel Drive, Rear Wheel Drive and All-Wheel Drive), Technology and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球汽車傳動系統市場預計到 2023 年將達到 2,181.8 億美元,到 2030 年將達到 4,118.4 億美元,預測期內增長 9.5%。複合年增長率 (CAGR) 增長。 汽車傳動系統包括將動力傳輸到車輛方向盤的部件。 傳動系統通常稱為動力傳動系統或動力傳動系統。
傳動系統負責從車輪到發動機再到汽車運動的一切。 此類技術的特點是提高燃油經濟性和提高車輛性能。 傳動系統由車輪、傳動軸、U 型萬向節和等速萬向節等多個部件組成。
據世界經濟論壇報導,2017年7月,英國政府宣布從2040年起停止生產新的汽油和柴油汽車。
電動汽車推進系統在不斷變化。 不斷上漲的燃油價格迫使製造商專注於開發電動汽車。 隨著電池技術的進步,動力傳動系統將變得更加重要。 到2020年,路上行駛的電動汽車將超過1000萬輛。 由於消費者態度和經濟狀況的變化,現代汽車銷量不斷上升。 由於使用電動出租車作為運輸車輛,汽車零部件市場,特別是傳動系統領域正在擴大。 由於它們與這些車輛的高度兼容性,製造商正在重點採用電力驅動系統和其他電動汽車組件。
車輛中安裝的動力傳動系統的價格根據規格和設計而波動。 這本身就推高了整車的價格。 由於更先進的車輛功能和更強大的發動機,成本上升。 昂貴或先進原材料的使用和波動也是推高成本的主要因素。 此外,選擇升級到依賴額外零部件的先進驅動系統的客戶將需要額外支付2,000-3,500美元。 這將限制滿足這一需求的鋼材和粉末加工成本,以及對強大和豪華汽車日益增長的需求。 因此,這些因素阻礙了汽車傳動系統市場的擴張。
全球汽車製造商正在引入以消費者為中心的要求,並根據客戶偏好改變區域模式。 消費者傾向於選擇汽車中的豪華舒適功能,近年來,汽車舒適性和安全功能的擴展步伐在世界範圍內急劇上升。 此外,由於二氧化碳排放的影響以及對環境的考慮,電動汽車開始普及,汽油車在大的地區和國家出現了減少的趨勢。 因此,在工業化國家,電力驅動零部件生產商的利潤率最高。
傳動系統行業依賴於復雜的全球供應鏈,該供應鏈從各個供應商處採購原材料、零部件。 自然災害、政治不穩定和貿易爭端等供應鏈中斷可能導致生產延誤、成本上升和關鍵零部件短缺。 這可能會影響傳動系統製造商滿足客戶需求和及時履行訂單的能力。 此外,供應鏈中斷導致原材料價格波動,使得成本預測和盈利能力變得困難。 為了減輕這一威脅,動力傳動系統製造商必須實現供應商基礎多元化,制定應急計劃,並投資建設更具彈性和靈活性的供應鏈。
COVID-19疫情對包括汽車行業在內的整個經濟產生了重大負面影響。 COVID-19疫情對汽車行業的銷量下降、復甦率波動等諸多方面產生了重大影響。 結果,全球經濟生態系統導致了傳動系統零部件製造的下降。 此外,製造零部件所需的原材料帶來了許多挑戰,例如,整個汽車行業,包括價值鏈參與者,在各自的行業中都經歷了不確定性。 過去一年,眾多供應商在全球供應鍊和物流鏈中遇到了嚴重的資源限制,這對其業務產生了明顯的負面影響。
由於消費者需求的增加、工業化程度的提高、城市居民的湧入和通勤的需求,乘用車領域佔據了最大的市場份額。 由於汽車日益普及、可支配收入增加以及消費者對技術先進車輛的偏好不斷變化,汽車傳動系統市場份額也在不斷增長。 此外,經濟條件的改善、可支配收入的增加、城市化的快速發展以及社會經濟較高階層的人口不斷增加,都在增加奢侈品消費支出,進而推動乘用車市場的增長。這
預計前輪驅動細分市場在預測期內的複合年增長率最高。 這是由於多種因素造成的,因為預測期內許多近期新車開始採用這種配置。 與其他驅動系統相比,前輪驅動非常具有成本效益,並具有許多優勢,例如質量、空間、燃油消耗、缺乏驅動軸摩擦以及牽引力的重量分佈。 前輪驅動是當今乘用車的一個共同特徵,製造商也因其低生產成本、節省空間的設計和整體運動性能而青睞它,這是推動該細分市場增長的一個因素。
預計北美地區在預測期內將佔據最高份額。 北美比其他地區技術更加發達,對尖端技術持開放態度。 混合動力和電動汽車的最新進展,例如輪轂電機和電橋兼容性,顯著增加了北美的需求。 許多汽車製造商正在將電動動力總成系統整合到車輛中,以降低成本、平衡有效載荷並減輕成品重量。 該地區相對較高的客戶購買力和快速發展的技術預計將增加對電動汽車等產品的需求,從而刺激汽車傳動系統行業的需求增加。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將呈現最高增長率。 汽車製造商的存在、強大的供應鍊和政府支持性政策是推動該地區增長的關鍵因素。 此外,世界上超過45%的人口居住在中國、印度和韓國等人口大國和經濟發達國家。 因此,這些國家的市場擴張預計將得到一系列旨在重振受到 COVID-19 嚴重打擊的汽車行業的支持性政府舉措的幫助。
2022年9月,愛信精機宣布計劃為其研發子公司愛信(南通)中國技術中心有限公司在中國建立新辦事處。 這將使愛信精機能夠充分整合產品開發的各個階段,包括設計、開發和評估,以提高為客戶提供的產品和服務的質量。
2022 年 3 月,American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings 在美國密歇根州舉行的 2016 年冬季測試活動中推出了新的傳動系統技術。 該公司計劃推出 e-AAM 混合動力和電動傳動系統以及 QUANTUM 輕量化車軸和驅動裝置。
2021 年 12 月,採埃孚 (ZF Friedrichshafen) 將在伊朗開設一家新工廠 ZF Perth SSK,以提高競爭力並滿足中東地區對商用車變速箱系統不斷增長的需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Automotive Drivetrain Market is accounted for $218.18 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $411.84 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 9.5% during the forecast period. The automotive drivetrain includes the components that transmit power to an automobile's steering wheel. It is frequently referred to as a driveline or a powertrain. It is in charge of how the wheels, engine, and movement of the vehicle all work. Features of this kind of technology include increased fuel efficiency and greater vehicle performance. The drive train system is made up of diverse parts such wheels, driving shafts, U joints, and CV joints.
According to the World Economic Forum, in July 2017, the Government of UK announced that they will be discontinuing the production of new petrol and diesel cars from the year 2040.
The propulsion system for electric vehicles is continually changing. Due to the increase in fuel prices, manufacturers are concentrating on the creation of electric vehicles. The importance of the drivetrain system will increase significantly as battery technology advances. In 2020, there were more than 10 million electric vehicles on the road. Modern vehicle sales are rising as a result of shifting consumer attitudes and economic conditions. The market for automotive parts, particularly in the drivetrain system segment, is expanding as a result of the increasing use of electric taxis as transportation vehicles. Due to their high compatibility with these vehicles, manufacturers are concentrating on the adoption of electric drive systems and other electric automobile components.
Depending on the specifications and design, the price of any drivetrain installed in a vehicle varies. It directly raises the price of the vehicle as a whole. Costs increase as a result of more advanced automobile features and powerful engines. The usage of expensive or advanced raw materials and their fluctuation rates is also a major contributor to this cost increase. Additionally, dependent on additional parts and components, clients who choose to upgrade to an advanced drive system require an additional USD 2,000-$3,500. Due to this, the cost of steel and powder processing to satisfy this demand as well as the increase in demand for powerful and luxurious automobiles would be constrained. As a result, these elements are impeding the expansion of the automobile drivetrain market.
Global automakers have been implementing consumer-centric requirements and altering regional patterns in response to client preferences. Consumers are more likely to employ luxury comfort features in cars, and in recent years, the pace of expansion of comfort and safety features in cars has sharply increased all over the world. In addition, customers were seen adopting electric vehicles due to the impact of carbon dioxide emissions and for environmental concerns, and the trend toward gasoline-powered vehicles began to decline in significant regions and nations. As a result, in industrialized nations, producers of e-drive components have the best profit margins.
The drivetrain industry relies on a complex global supply chain to source raw materials, components, and parts from various suppliers. Disruptions in the supply chain, such as natural disasters, political instability, or trade disputes, can lead to delays in production, increased costs, and shortages of critical components. This can impact the ability of drivetrain manufacturers to meet customer demand and fulfill orders in a timely manner. Additionally, supply chain disruptions can result in price volatility for raw materials, making cost forecasting and profitability challenging. To mitigate this threat, drivetrain companies need to diversify their supplier base, establish contingency plans, and invest in building more resilient and flexible supply chains.
The COVID-19 epidemic had significant adverse effects on the economy as a whole, including the car industry. The COVID-19 outbreak substantially impacted the volume drop, recovery rate variability, and many other aspects of the automobile sector. As a result, the global economic ecosystem caused a drop in the manufacturing of drivetrain components. Additionally, there were many difficulties with the raw materials needed to make components, for example, the entire auto industry, including participants in the value chain, experienced uncertainty in their individual industries. In the past year, numerous suppliers have encountered major resource constraints in the global supply and logistics chains, which have had a noticeably detrimental impact on their businesses.
The passenger car segment held the largest share in the market owing to the increasing demand among consumers, growing industrialization, an influx of urban residents, and commute requirements. The growing market share of automotive drive trains is also due to other elements like the prevalence of vehicles, rising disposable incomes, and shifting consumer preferences toward adopting technologically advanced vehicles. Additionally, improving economic conditions, rising disposable income, fast urbanization, and an increase in the number of people in higher socioeconomic classes have all increased consumer spending on luxury, which is what is driving the growth of the passenger automobile market.
During the projection period, the front wheel drive segment is expected to have the greatest CAGR. This due to various factors, as many of the recent new cars over the forecast period, started using this configuration. When compared to alternative drive systems, front wheel drive is incredibly cost-effective and offers numerous advantages in terms of mass, space, fuel consumption, lack of driveshaft friction, and weight distribution for traction. Front wheel drive is a common feature of passenger automobiles today, and manufacturers also like it since it has lower production costs, more space-efficient design, and sportier performance across the board, which are the factors propelling the growth of the front wheel drive segment.
The North America region is estimated to witness the highest share market during the forecast period. North America has experienced more technological developments and acceptance of cutting-edge technologies than other regions. The most recent advancements in hybrid and electronic vehicles, like wheel hub motors and e-axle compatibility, are significantly increasing demand for them in North America. Electric powertrain systems are being included by a number of automakers in their cars in an effort to cut costs, balance loading capacity, and lighten finished products. Customers' comparatively high purchasing power and the rapid advancement of technology in this region are anticipated to boost demand for e-cars and other vehicles, which is anticipated to fuel demand for the expansion of the automotive drivetrain industry.
The Asia Pacific region is expected to have the highest growth rate over the forecast period. The existence of automotive manufacturers, a robust supply chain, and supporting government policies are important factors fostering the growth of this area. In addition, more than 45% of the world's population lives in high-population, economically developed nations like China, India, and South Korea. As a result, market expansion in these nations is anticipated to be aided by a number of supportive governmental initiatives aimed at reviving the auto industry, which was severely damaged by COVID-19.
Some of the key players in Automotive Drivetrain market include Aisin Seiki Co. Ltd, AVL List GmbH, AxleTech Corporation, Borgwarner Inc., Continental AG, Daimler Chrysler, Dana Incorporated, Ford, Hyundai Motor Company, Magna International Inc., Marelli Holdings Co., Ltd., Mitsubishi Electric Corp, Nidec Corporation, Robert Bosch GmbH, Schaeffler AG, Toyota Motor Corporation, Valeo, Volkswagen AG and ZF Friedrichshafen AG.
In Sep 2022, Aisin Seiki announced plans to build a new office for its R&D affiliate Aisin (Nantong) Technical Center of China Co., Ltd in China. This would help Aisin Seiki to fully integrate different stages of product development such as design, development, and assessment, thereby improving the quality of the products and services offered to customers.
In March 2022, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. announced the launch of new driveline technologies at the 2016 Winter Test Activities event in Michigan (U.S.). The company is set to launch e-AAM hybrid and electric driveline systems and QUANTUM lightweight axles and drive units.
In Dec 2021, ZF Friedrichshafen has opened a new plant, ZF Pars SSK, in Iran to improve its competitive position and to meet the increased demand for commercial vehicle transmission systems in the Middle Eastern region