市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1218903
全球汽車熱系統市場:預測至2028年-按車輛類型、組件(流體傳輸,動力總成冷卻,壓縮機,加熱/通風/空調)、推進類型、應用和區域分析Automotive Thermal System Market Forecasts to 2028 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type, Component (Fluid Transport, Powertrain Cooling, Compressor and Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning ), Propulsion Type, Application and Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC,全球汽車熱系統市場規模將在 2022 年達到 389.6 億美元,到 2028 年將達到 513.3 億美元,複合年增長率預計成長4.7%。
汽車熱系統用於通過交替的發動機缸體監測溫度和降低溫度組件的可變性來管理關鍵汽車組件的溫度。 它用於提高燃油經濟性並提供許多有用的車載功能,例如前後空調、加熱方向盤和加熱座椅。 還可以通過再利用廢熱來減少汽車的二氧化碳排放量。 因此,它被廣泛用於生產建築和運輸行業使用的重型車輛。
據總部位於法國的國際能源署稱,2021 年電動汽車(包括純電動汽車和插電式混合動力汽車)的銷量將達到 660 萬輛,創歷史新高。
市場動態
促進因素
電動汽車需求激增
隨著對低污染交通的需求不斷增長,以及政府通過補貼和稅收減免鼓勵長途、零排放車輛,主要的市場進入者現在向世界提供電動汽車。因此,市場對電動汽車的需求不斷增長。 隨著電動汽車需求的增加,電池價格有望下降。 因此,純電動汽車的銷量正在增長。 這樣的汽車熱管理技術符合業界的關注。 它有助於減少內燃機車輛的污染物排放量。 它還保護乘客的福利和安全。 因此,隨著電動汽車需求的增加,汽車熱系統市場正在擴大。
促進因素
熱力系統技術成本增加
為了應對嚴格的污染和燃油經濟性標準,原始設備製造商正在引入新技術以達到預期的效果。 對機艙舒適度的需求不斷增加,迫使製造商將重點放在動力系統、動力傳動系統和熱系統上,以提高機艙舒適度。 可以通過將安裝成本與通過這些方法獲得的總體二氧化碳減排量進行比較來判斷熱力系統的效率。 迄今為止,原始設備製造商採用的技術可帶來顯著的投資回報率和二氧化碳減排,並將其納入其高端車型。 儘管存在 60 多種熱系統技術,但由於成本效益,目前只有少數在使用。 昂貴技術的使用增加了系統成本並增加了車輛的總成本,對市場需求產生不利影響,尤其是在客戶對價格敏感的新興市場。
機會
追求安全舒適的豪華車需求擴大
豪華汽車配備先進的安全功能。 此外,部分車型為了追求舒適的乘坐體驗,還配備了座椅加熱器、空調、安全氣囊、轉向加熱器等。 可支配收入的增加和生活水平的提高增加了對豪華汽車的需求。 製造商正在為豪華車配備現代熱系統以提高性能和燃油經濟性,這將增加對汽車熱系統的需求。 因此,對具有高級功能和舒適系統的豪華車的需求激增預計將推動全球汽車熱系統市場的發展。
威脅
缺乏標準化
本地或區域製造商必須遵守監管機構制定的有關排放要求的法規。 然而,當地或區域製造商應遵守監管機構的排放法規,因為由於區域排放差異,熱力系統的出口可能會因缺乏標準化而受到阻礙。 然而,由於排放法規的地區差異,缺乏標準化可能會阻礙熱力系統的出口。 生產商採用小批量生產,推高了生產成本。 歐盟委員會和美國環境保護署表示,需要改進發動機技術以滿足歐 III/IV/V 和 Tier 3/4 的要求。 因此,對升級技術兼容的後處理設備和增強型熱技術的需求不斷增長。 因此,缺乏標準化的技術要求和高昂的製造成本會阻礙市場擴張。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 大流行導致供應鏈出現問題,導致全球汽車生產停滯,乘用車銷量低迷。 同樣在 COVID-19 流行期間,政府封鎖導致生產停滯並減少了對汽車的需求。 全球零部件短缺嚴重延遲了製造並限制了車輛供應。 然而,電動汽車的銷量正在增加,這有望推動市場擴張。 汽車熱系統行業的出現是由於世界各國政府推出了各種計劃來促進電動汽車的採用。
在預測期內,供暖、通風和空調 (HVAC) 部分將是最大的部分
由於對先進環保和輕型 HVAC 的需求不斷增加,供暖、通風和空調 (HVAC) 領域預計將實現有利增長。 車輛的 HVAC 系統調節溫度、通風和空調。 對輕型、環保和最先進的暖通空調的需求不斷增長,預計將推動汽車熱系統市場的發展。 在不久的將來,HVAC 設備的可承受性和生產力有望進一步推動市場。
在預測期內,預計內燃機汽車細分市場的複合年增長率最高
在預測期內,內燃機汽車細分市場預計將呈現最快的複合年增長率。 除了可再生燃料和替代燃料,內燃機車輛中最常用的燃料是汽油和柴油。 燃料在車輛的內燃機中被點燃和消耗。 因此,發動機通過在膨脹的燃燒氣體的幫助下移動活塞和轉動曲軸,將部分燃燒能轉化為機械能。 因此,全球汽車熱系統市場預計將在整個預測期內擴大。
市場份額最高的地區
由於人口增長、城市化進程加快、經濟狀況穩定和低利率導致乘用車需求不斷增加,預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場份額。 近年來,亞太地區已成為汽車製造中心。 由於消費者口味的變化、中產階級人均收入的增加和成本的降低,原始設備製造商已經加強了該地區的汽車生產。 對具有更高內部舒適度的豪華汽車的需求不斷增長,推動了該地區對汽車熱系統的需求。
複合年增長率最高的地區
歐洲預計將在預測期內實現最高的複合年增長率。 這是因為市場上主要參與者的存在以及豪華乘用車的日益普及等因素被認為會推動市場增長。 在歐洲,由於德國、意大利、法國和英國等國家對汽車的需求增加,以及客戶偏好轉向氣候控制和小型、最先進的-藝術 HVAC 系統。 此外,嚴格的政府法規要求不斷升級汽車熱系統中使用的組件,這有望推動該領域的需求。
主要發展
2022 年 3 月,MAHLE Aftermarket 正在擴展構成間接空調冷凝器的熱管理數據庫,該冷凝器已成為現代汽車空調系統中的典型組合。 馬勒售後市場拓展熱管理產品系列,助力車庫開拓新業務。
2021 年 2 月,MAHLE GmbH 同意收購 Keihin Corporation(現為 Hitachi Astomo Corporation)在日本、泰國和美國的熱管理業務活動。
2019 年 12 月,Denso 展示了其最新的全電動車頂空調系統,該系統結合了兩個電動壓縮機,適用於截面超過 9m 的電動巴士。 雖然此項目是針對亞洲市場的,但另一款配備熱泵系統的變體具有巨大的影響力,它針對歐美市場展出。
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According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Automotive Thermal System Market is accounted for $38.96 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $51.33 billion by 2028 growing at a CAGR of 4.7% during the forecast period. The automotive thermal system in a vehicle is used to manage the temperature of important vehicle components through alternative engine block monitoring temperatures and reduced temperature component variations. They give improved fuel economy and are also employed to provide many conveniences inside the cabin such as front and rear A/C, steering heating, seat heating, and so on. These systems reuse waste heat, lowering overall CO2 emissions from automobiles. Consequently, it is extensively utilized in the manufacturing of heavy vehicles used in the construction and transportation sectors.
According to an article published by International Energy Agency, a France-based international intergovernmental organization ensuring reliable, affordable, and clean energy, in 2021, sales of electric vehicles (including completely electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles) reached 6.6 million, a new high.
Market Dynamics:
Driver:
Surge in demand for electric vehicles
Due to rising demand for low-emission transportation and governments' encouragement of long-range, zero-emission vehicles through subsidies and tax breaks, leading market participants are now obligated to offer electric vehicles globally. As a result, demand for electric vehicles is increasing in the market. It was predicted that as demand for electric vehicles increased, battery prices would fall. As a result, sales of battery electric vehicles are expanding. Such automobile thermal management technologies meet the industry's concerns. They contribute to reducing the quantity of pollutants emitted by cars with internal combustion engines. They also protect the passengers' wellbeing and security. As a result, the market for automotive thermal systems is expanding due to the rising demand for electric vehicles.
Restraint:
The high cost of thermal system technology
In reaction to the introduction of rigorous pollution and fuel efficiency criteria, OEMs have deployed new technology to achieve desired results. Rising demand for in-vehicle comfort features has compelled manufacturers to focus on thermal systems for the powertrain, drivetrain, and in-cabin comfort. The efficiency of a thermal system can be determined by comparing the cost of installation to the overall CO2 reduction obtained using these approaches. OEMs have previously adopted and incorporated technologies with significant ROI and CO2 reductions into their premium models. Despite the fact that over 60 thermal system technologies exist, only a few are now in use due to their cost-benefit ratio. Using expensive technologies boosts the cost of the system, which raises the overall cost of the vehicle and has a detrimental influence on market demand, especially in emerging economies where customers are often price-sensitive.
Opportunity:
Increase in demand for luxury vehicles with advanced safety features, comfort systems
Luxury vehicles are outfitted with high-tech safety features. These vehicles are intended to provide comfort features such as heated and cooled seats, airbags, and heated steering. Increased disposable money and higher living standards have increased demand for luxury vehicles. Manufacturers are incorporating modern thermal systems in luxury automobiles to boost performance and fuel efficiency, which will raise demand for automotive thermal systems. As a result, a surge in demand for luxury automobiles with advanced features and comfort systems is expected to push the global automotive thermal systems market.
Threat:
Lack of standardization
Local or regional manufacturers are required to abide by the regulations set forth by the regulating body regarding emission requirements. The export of thermal systems, however, may be hampered by a lack of standardisation due to regional variations in emission Local or regional manufacturers are expected to follow the governing body's emission regulations. However, the export of thermal systems may be impeded by a lack of standardisation due to regional variances in emission limitations. Producers employ low-volume manufacturing, which drives up the cost of production. Engine technology must be improved to Euro III/IV/V and Tier 3/4 requirements, according to the European Commission and the US EPA. Therefore, the demand for after-treatment devices and enhanced thermal technologies that adhere to the upgraded technology has increased. As a result, the lack of standardised technical requirements and high manufacturing costs may hinder market expansion.
COVID-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused supply chain problems, resulting in a stop in vehicle production and poor passenger car sales around the world. Furthermore, during the COVID-19 pandemic period, the government-enforced lockdown resulted in a stop in manufacturing and a fall in demand for automobiles. A global component scarcity resulted in significant manufacturing delays and restricted vehicle supplies. However, an increase in electric car sales has been noticed, which is expected to fuel market expansion. Various programmes have been launched by governments throughout the world to encourage the adoption of electric vehicles, resulting in the rise of the automotive thermal system industry.
The Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to the increasing demand for advanced HVACs that are environment-friendly and lightweight. The HVAC system in a vehicle regulates the temperature, ventilation, and air conditioning. Rising demand for cutting-edge HVACs that are lightweight and ecologically friendly is expected to drive the market for automotive thermal systems. In the near future, it is anticipated that the affordability and productivity of HVAC equipment will provide the market another boost.
The IC Engine Vehicles segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The IC Engine Vehicles segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period. Along with renewable or alternative fuels, the most prevalent fuels utilised by IC engine cars are gasoline or diesel. Fuel is ignited and consumed inside internal combustion engines in automobiles. As a result, the engine partially converts combustion energy into mechanical effort by moving the piston with the help of expanding combustion gases, which turns the crankshaft. As a result, the global automotive thermal systems market is expected to expand throughout the forecast period.
Region with highest share:
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to a constant rise in demand for passenger automobiles brought on by the region's growing population, growing urbanisation, stable economic conditions, and low interest rates. APAC has become a centre for vehicle manufacturing in recent years. As a result of altering consumer tastes, rising middle-class per capita income, and cost savings, OEMs have boosted vehicle production in the region. The region's demand for automotive thermal systems has been driven up by rising demand for luxury vehicles with greater interior comfort.
Region with highest CAGR:
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to grow rapidly over the forecast period the factors such as the presence of major market players in the market and increased adoption of luxury passenger vehicles are expected to drive the market growth. Furthermore, Europe is expected to be a rising market, with increasing demand for automobiles from nations such as Germany, Italy, France, and the United Kingdom, as well as a shift in customer preferences toward climate control and small, modern HVAC systems. Moreover, strict government regulations necessitate the continuous upgrade of components used in the automotive thermal system, which is expected to drive demand in this sector.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Automotive Thermal System Market include Denso Corporation, Visteon Corporation, MAHLE GmbH, Lennox International Inc., Grayson Thermal Systems, Hanon Systems, Continental AG, Gentherm Inc., Modine Manufacturing Company Inc., Robert Bosch GmbH, Valeo SA., BorgWarner Inc., Hyundai Motor Company, Ford Motor Company, ZF Friedrichshafen AG and Magma International Inc.
Key Developments:
In March 2022, MAHLE Aftermarket is increasing its thermal management database that comprises indirect air conditioning condenser, which is being a typical compound in the air conditioning systems of modern automotive. By consistently increasing its thermal management product range, MAHLE Aftermarket is making it simpler for workshops to create new business.
In February 2021, MAHLE GmbH reached an agreement with Keihin Corporation (now known as Hitachi Astemo, Ltd.) to acquire its thermal management business activities in Japan, Thailand and the U.S.
In December 2019, Denso exhibited its latest full electrical rooftop HVAC system with two combined electrical compressors meant for electric buses in the 9 meters plus classification. When this item is made for the Asian markets, other variant with a huge effective heat pump system was exhibited for the European and North American markets.
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