1-Octene的需求分析（按類型、應用和預測分析）（2034年）

全球1-Octene市場規模預計將從2023年的12億美元成長到2032年的14億美元，複合年成長率穩定在2.6%左右。這一成長軌跡主要受聚乙烯生產、塑性體、線性醇和潤滑劑等各種終端產業對1-Octene需求的不斷成長所驅動。 1-Octene，也稱為Octene-1，是一種高級α-烯烴，其特徵是α（伯）碳原子上有一個雙鍵，使其成為許多工業過程中一種有價值的化學中間體。

需求動態

1-Octene最主要且最大的用途是作為聚乙烯生產中的共聚單體，佔全球市場的近80%。 1-Octene與乙烯共聚，賦予聚乙烯產品抗撕裂、回彈性及長保存期限等特性。這些增強型聚乙烯廣泛應用於軟包裝薄膜、血袋和導管等醫療設備、汽車內裝、隔熱材料、運動用品等。Octene-乙烯共聚物的多功能性和高性能使其成為許多高價值應用領域不可或缺的材料。

除了聚合物之外，1-Octene也是直鏈醇和潤滑劑的前驅物。透過氫甲醯化，1-Octene可以轉化為直鏈醛，例如壬醛，壬醛可以進一步氧化為壬酸。此外，壬醇加氫可生成1-壬醇，這是一種廣泛用於塑化劑的脂醇類。儘管這些應用目前僅佔市場的一小部分，但特種化學品生產需求的不斷成長有助於穩定整體市場。

區域需求概覽

就消費量而言，北美引領全球1-Octene需求，這主要得益於其先進的聚乙烯工業和強勁的包裝產業。美國仍是該地區最大的市場，其人均塑膠消費量高達每年150公斤以上，遠高於全球平均。包裝、汽車和醫療產業對聚乙烯的需求支撐了其強勁的市場影響。

西歐緊隨其後，成為第二大消費國，其嚴格的監管標準和高性能塑膠的創新推動了對1-Octene的需求。由於快速的工業化以及汽車、電氣和電子、建築和消費品行業日益成長的應用，包括印度、中國和東南亞國協在內的亞太新興經濟體預計將成為成長最快的市場。這些產業對1-Octene基共聚物的採用率不斷提高，預計將在預測期內進一步加速該地區的需求成長。

競爭格局

全球1-Octene市場主導殼牌石油公司、埃克森美孚、薩索爾有限公司、英力士、沙烏地基礎工業公司、雪佛龍菲利普斯化學公司、陶氏化學公司、銀蕨化學公司、贏創、鼎暉精細化工和LG化學等主要化學企業主導。這些公司正利用其綜合生產能力、技術專長和策略性區域佈局，保持主導地位，並滿足日益成長的全球需求。

市場驅動力與挑戰

全球對塑膠（尤其是聚乙烯）日益成長的需求是 1-Octene市場擴張的主要驅動力。聚乙烯在包裝、消費品和工業應用中的廣泛使用確保了 1-Octene作為性能增強共聚單體的穩定消費。當前塑膠輕量、耐用和可回收的趨勢與OcteneOctene的特性高度契合，使其成為開發下一代聚合物材料的關鍵基石。這種波動可能會影響生產成本和市場定價，從而減緩投資和擴張。此外，來自Butene和Hexene等其他線性 α-烯烴的競爭帶來了替代風險，尤其是在性能差異較小的應用中。環境法規和永續性壓力也可能透過鼓勵替代材料和回收來影響市場動態。

本報告對全球 1-Octene市場進行了深入分析，包括市場動態、行業趨勢、細分市場需求和製造商概況。

目錄

第1章 引言

第2章 市場摘要

• 市場演變
• 需求概覽
• 產業結構
• 戰略問題
• 最終用途趨勢
• 成長預測

第3章 經濟與能源展望

• GDP與人口統計
• 貨幣和財政政策
• 原油產量和價格
• 天然氣
• 電費

第4章 終端使用部門績效

• 包裝
• 車
• 建造
• 電氣和電子
• 家電
• 其他

5.1-Octene介紹與市場概況

• 產品描述
• 等級和特點
• 原料
• 製造過程
• 環境問題
• 價值鏈
• 目的

第6章市場動態與產業趨勢

• 市場動態
  • 驅動程式
  • 限制因素
  • 機會
  • 任務

第7章全球1-Octene需求分析（按應用分類）（數量和價值）（2018-2034）

• 戰略問題與新冠疫情的影響
• 需求分析與預測（2018-2034）
  • 要求
  • 需求成長率
  • 促進因素分析
• 全球1-Octene市場應用狀況
• 聚乙烯（HDPE、LLDPE）
• 塑性體
• 直鏈醇（PVC、塑化劑、界面活性劑）
• 潤滑劑
• 其他

第 8 章。需求分析與市場回顧-按地區/國家 (數量和價值) (2018-2034)

• 戰略問題與新冠疫情的影響
• 需求分析與預測（2018-2034）
• 要求
• 需求成長率
• 1-Octene市場應用
• 北美洲
• 美國
• 加拿大
• 墨西哥
• 西歐
• 德國
• 法國
• 義大利
• 英國
• 西班牙
• 其他西歐國家
• 中歐/東歐
• 俄羅斯
• 波蘭
• 其他中歐和東歐國家
• 亞太地區
• 中國
• 日本
• 印度
• 韓國
• 其他亞太地區
• 拉丁美洲
• 中東和非洲

第9章定價分析

第10章 評估關鍵策略問題和機會

• 市場吸引力評估
• 前景與目標市場研究

第11章 策略建議與提案

第12章公司分析

• 1-Octene製造商概況/公司分析
  • 基本訊息
  • 總部、主要市場
  • 擁有
  • 公司財務
  • 製造地
  • 全球銷售
  • 員工總數
  • 產品系列/服務/解決方案
  • 採用的關鍵業務策略和 Prismane Consulting 概述
  • 近期動態
  • 目標公司
• Shell Chemicals
• Exxon Mobil Corporation
• Evonik Industries
• LG Chemicals
• Sasol Limited
• The Dow Chemical Company
• Silver Fern Chemical Inc.
• CDH Fine Chemicals
• 其他製造商

第13章 附錄

The global Octene-1 market is expected to grow steadily, with its value projected to rise from USD 1.2 billion in 2023 to USD 1.4 billion by 2032, reflecting a CAGR of around 2.6%. This growth trajectory is primarily driven by rising demand for Octene-1 across various end-use industries, notably polyethylene production, plastomers, linear alcohols, and lubricants. Octene-1, also known as 1-octene, is a higher alpha-olefin characterized by a double bond positioned at the alpha (first) carbon atom, making it a valuable chemical intermediate in numerous industrial processes.

Production Processes and Technologies

Octene-1 production predominantly relies on two commercial routes: oligomerization of ethylene and the Fisher-Tropsch (FT) process. The oligomerization of ethylene is the more widely used approach and involves multiple proprietary technologies such as the Ethyl Corporation Process by INEOS, the Shell Higher Olefin Process (SHOP) by Shell Oil Company, the Gulf process by Chevron Phillips Chemical Company, the Sablin process by Sabic-Linde, and the Idemitsu Petrochemical process. Among these, the SHOP process is particularly common. It operates by passing purified ethylene through an oligomerization reactor, where titanium chloride acts as a catalyst in the presence of an organoaluminum co-catalyst. The reaction is carefully controlled in temperature and pressure to favor the formation of octene-1. The use of inert solvents like heptane or hexane aids in managing the reaction rate by dissipating heat. The resulting mixture of oligomers is separated via fractional distillation, yielding purified octene-1 that meets stringent quality standards.

The Fisher-Tropsch process offers an alternative production pathway by converting synthesis gas derived from coal or methane into fuels and chemicals, from which linear alpha-olefins including octene-1 can be extracted through narrow distillation cuts. Both these production routes contribute to the overall supply of octene-1 but vary in scale, feedstock dependency, and geographic availability.

Market Capacity and Regional Production

The global capacity for octene-1 was estimated at around 1,000 kilotons in 2023, with forecasts projecting a rise beyond 1,300 kilotons by 2032. North America dominates production capacity, led by major chemical companies such as Chevron Phillips Chemical (CPChem), INEOS, and Shell. The United States, with its established petrochemical infrastructure and developed downstream industries, is the largest producer within this region. INEOS Oligomers operates a significant facility in Canada, further consolidating North America's leading position in the global octene-1 market.

Following North America, the Middle East and Africa region ranks as the second-largest producer of octene-1. Key countries such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and South Africa maintain sizeable production capacities. South Africa's Sasol operates two dedicated octene-1 plants with a combined capacity of approximately 196 kilotons. These facilities capitalize on regional feedstock availability and strategic access to export markets.

Western Europe also holds a significant share of octene-1 production capacity, with facilities located primarily in Belgium and Spain, operated by INEOS Oligomers and Dow Chemical Company respectively. Other regions including Asia Pacific, Central and Eastern Europe, and others hold comparatively smaller capacities but are witnessing incremental growth due to expanding downstream industries.

Demand Dynamics

Octene-1's largest and most dominant application is as a co-monomer in the production of polyethylene, accounting for nearly 80% of the global market. When copolymerized with ethylene, octene-1 imparts enhanced properties such as improved tear resistance, elasticity, and long shelf life to polyethylene products. These enhanced polyethylene variants find widespread use in flexible packaging films, medical devices such as blood bags and catheters, automotive trim, thermal insulation, and sporting goods. The versatility and performance of octene-ethylene copolymers make them indispensable in numerous high-value applications.

Beyond polymers, octene-1 is also a precursor for linear alcohols and lubricants. Through hydroformylation, octene-1 converts to linear aldehydes such as nonanal, which further oxidize to nonanoic acid-a key raw material for lubricant esters. Additionally, hydrogenation of nonanal produces 1-nonanol, a fatty alcohol widely used in plasticizers. Although these applications currently represent a smaller segment of the market, their growing demand in specialty chemical production contributes to overall market stability.

Regional Demand Overview

In terms of consumption, North America leads the global octene-1 demand, driven largely by its advanced polyethylene industry and robust packaging sector. The United States remains the largest market within this region, supported by high per capita plastic consumption exceeding 150 kilograms annually, significantly above the global average. The demand for polyethylene in packaging, automotive, and healthcare sectors underpins this strong market presence.

Western Europe follows as the second-largest consumer, where stringent regulatory standards and innovation in high-performance plastics drive octene-1 demand. Emerging economies in the Asia Pacific region, including India, China, and ASEAN countries, are anticipated to be the fastest-growing markets due to rapid industrialization and expanding applications in automotive, electrical and electronics, construction, and consumer goods industries. The increased adoption of octene-1-based copolymers in these sectors is expected to further accelerate regional demand growth over the forecast period.

Competitive Landscape

The global octene-1 market is led by several major chemical producers, including Shell Oil Company, ExxonMobil, Sasol Limited, INEOS, Sabic, Chevron Phillips Chemical, Dow Chemical Company, Silver Fern Chemical Inc, Evonik, CDH Fine Chemicals, and LG Chemicals. These companies leverage their integrated production capabilities, technological expertise, and strategic regional presence to maintain leadership positions and meet growing global demand.

Market Drivers and Challenges

The growing worldwide demand for plastics, especially polyethylene, serves as the primary driver for the expansion of the octene-1 market. Polyethylene's extensive use in packaging, consumer products, and industrial applications ensures steady consumption of octene-1 as a performance-enhancing co-monomer. The ongoing trend toward lightweight, durable, and recyclable plastics aligns well with octene-1's properties, making it a crucial component in the development of next-generation polymer materials. Such fluctuations impact production costs and market pricing, potentially slowing investment and expansion. Furthermore, competition from other linear alpha-olefins such as butene and hexene poses a substitution risk, particularly in applications where performance differentials are marginal. Environmental regulations and sustainability pressures may also influence market dynamics by encouraging alternative materials or recycling initiatives.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

• Scope
• Market Coverage
  • Application
  • Regions
  • Countries
• Years Considered
  • Historical - 2018 - 2023
  • Base - 2024
  • Forecast Period - 2025 - 2034
• Research Methodology
  • Approach
  • Research Methodology
  • Prismane Consulting Market Models
  • Assumptions & Limitations
  • Abbreviations & Definitions
  • Conversion Factors
  • Data Sources

2. Market Synopsis

• Market Evolution
• Demand Overview
• Industry Structure
• Strategic Issues
• End-use Trends
• Growth Forecast

3. Economic & Energy Outlook

• GDP and Demographics
• Monetary & Fiscal Policies
• Crude Oil Production and prices
• Natural Gas
• Electricity Prices

4. End-use Sector Performance

• Packaging
• Automotive
• Construction
• Electrical & Electronics
• Consumer Appliances
• Others

5. Introduction to 1-Octene and Market Overview

• Product Description
• Grades & Properties
• Raw Material
• Manufacturing Process
• Environmental Issues
• Value Chain
• Applications

6. Market Dynamics and Industry Trends

• Market Dynamics
  • Drivers
  • Restraints
  • Opportunities
  • Challenges

7. Global 1-Octene Demand Analysis, By Application (Volume, Value) (2018-2034)

• Strategic Issues and COVID-19 Impact
• Demand Analysis and Forecast (2018- 2034)
  • Demand
  • Demand Growth Rate (%)
  • Driving Force Analysis
  • Global 1-Octene Market, By Application
• Polyethylene (HDPE & LLDPE)
• Plastomers
• Linear Alcohols (PVC, Plasticizers & Surfactants)
• Lubricants
• Others

8. Demand Analysis and Market Review, By Region, By Country (Volume, Value), (2018- 2034)

• Strategic Issues and COVID-19 Impact
• Demand Analysis and Forecast (2018 - 2034)
• Demand
• Demand Growth Rate (%)
• 1-Octene Market, By Application

Note: Demand Analysis has been provided for all major Regions / Countries as mentioned below. The demand (consumption) split by application has been provided for each of the countries / regions in Volume (Kilo tons) and Value (USD Million).

• North America
• USA
• Canada
• Mexico
• Western Europe
• Germany
• France
• Italy
• United Kingdom
• Spain
• Rest of Western Europe
• Central & Eastern Europe
• Russia
• Poland
• Rest of Central & Eastern Europe
• Asia-Pacific
• China
• Japan
• India
• South Korea
• Rest of Asia-Pacific
• Central & South America
• Middle East & Africa

Note: CAGR will be calculated for all the applications to arrive at the regional / global demand growth for the forecast period (2025 - 2034)

9. Pricing Analysis

10. Key Strategic Issues and Business Opportunity Assessment

• Market Attractiveness Assessment
• Prospective & Target Market Study

11. Strategic Recommendation & Suggestions

12. Company Analysis

• 1-Octene Manufacturers Profiles/ Company Analysis
  • Basic Details
  • Headquarter, Key Markets
  • Ownership
  • Company Financial
  • Manufacturing Bases
  • Global Turnover
  • Total Employee
  • Product Portfolio / Services / Solutions
  • Key Business Strategies adopted and Prismane Consulting Overview
  • Recent Developments
  • Companies Covered -
• Shell Chemicals
• Exxon Mobil Corporation
• Evonik Industries
• LG Chemicals
• Sasol Limited
• The Dow Chemical Company
• Silver Fern Chemical Inc.
• CDH Fine Chemicals
• Other Manufacturers

Note: This section includes company information, company financials, manufacturing bases and operating regions. Company financials have been mentioned only for those companies where financials were available in SEC Filings, annual reports, or company websites. All the reported financials in this report are in U.S. Dollars. Financials reported in other currencies have been converted using average currency conversion rates. Company profiles may include manufacturers, suppliers, and distributors.

13. Appendices

• Demand - Regions
• Demand - Countries