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封面
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2051438

個人識別技術的未來發展趨勢（至2031年）

The Future of Personal ID to 2031
出版日期: | 出版商: Smithers | 英文 | 商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內

價格

全球個人識別市場正進入高速成長階段，預計將從2026年的118億美元成長到2031年的166億美元。這一成長反映了政府對身分識別基礎設施的持續投資，而不是由經濟週期驅動的復甦。

該產業正在經歷結構性轉型，從生產實體證件轉向建構整合式身分生態系統。雖然護照、國民身分證和駕照等實體身分證明文件仍然是信任的基礎，但數位身分錢包和檢驗憑證正日益滲透到日常身分驗證場景中，從而形成一種混合模式。

長期競爭優勢將集中在數位身分基礎設施、生物識別以及安全、可互通的平台。生物識別、機器可讀特徵和安全晶片技術正在成為最具附加價值的領域。

「2031年個人識別的未來」報告對個人識別市場的未來發展方向及其對市場參與者的意義進行了權威分析。報告涵蓋了推動下一波成長的技術、終端用戶群和區域市場。此外，報告還檢驗了可能阻礙發展的風險、支撐市場需求的監管因素，以及區分市場領導和麵臨同質化風險者的競爭動態。無論您是技術供應商、安全印表機供應商或身分策略制定者，本報告都能為您提供洞見，助您做出明智的決策。

本報告提出的關鍵問題

  • 哪些技術的價值正在提升，哪些技術正在走向商品化？此外，為什麼生物識別和機器可讀功能正成為身分基礎設施的核心？
  • 實體身分證將如何與數位錢包共同發展？日益成長的防詐騙壓力將如何影響對實體證件安全性的投資？
  • 不同地區的成長要素各不相同：從新興市場的大規模註冊計畫到成熟經濟體的續約週期和數位整合。
  • 網路安全漏洞、地緣政治碎片化和供應鏈依賴性會如何擾亂市場成長和全球互通性？

我們謹向大家介紹為本報告做出貢獻的專家。

詹姆斯‧沃伊蒂克博士在加拿大學術界、政府和產業界擁有超過25年的豐富經驗，涵蓋科學研究、技術創新和戰略領導等領域。沃伊蒂克博士曾擔任加拿大銀行貨幣研發部門統籌三年，主要負責將新技術應用於紙幣、提供反假幣建議、促進國際合作。

關於史密瑟斯市場情報

史密瑟斯的高品質數據和分析是基於一手調查，並由對該領域有深入了解的真正行業專家撰寫。

我們已對市場報告的格式進行了全面升級，旨在為客戶提供更便捷的內容和分析存取方式。報告現以 PowerPoint 格式交付，方便您輕鬆獲取和理解所需信息，同時仍包含完整的資料集和深入的分析。這將幫助您減少搜尋時間，並將更多精力投入分析工作。

我們也推出了「最新數據保證」。這使我們的報告比以往任何時候都更具動態性，確保您始終掌握關鍵行業變化的最新資訊。作為您購買報告的權益之一，如果在報告發布後的12個月內行業發生重大變化，我們將更新資料集、市場預測和/或分析。

目錄

摘要整理

引言和調查方法

  • 方法論市場定義

宏觀經濟情勢

競爭格局

市場促進因素和趨勢

  • 傳質
  • 邊界
  • 加強監管
  • 生物識別
  • 不當行為帶來的壓力
  • 區域趨勢

技術發展

  • 後量子密碼學（PQC）
  • 數位身分錢包
  • 數位旅行認證
  • 基於人工智慧的深度造假應對措施
  • 智慧材料與奈米光學
  • 手機內建安全元件

市場規模及預測

按技術分類的市場

  • 基板
  • 墨水
  • DOVID
  • 機器可讀安全功能
  • 生物識別
  • 個人化

按應用分類的市場

  • 傳統MRP
  • 電子護照
  • 常規NID
  • eNID
  • 駕照
  • 傳統簽證、簽證、醫療保險卡、選民身分證、出生證明

區域市場

  • 西歐
  • 東歐
  • 北美洲
  • 拉丁美洲
  • 亞洲
  • 中東
  • 非洲
  • 澳大拉西亞

The global personal ID market is entering a higher-growth phase, expanding from $11.8 billion in 2026 to $16.6 billion by 2031. This growth reflects sustained government investment in identity infrastructure rather than a cyclical rebound.

The industry is undergoing a structural shift from physical document manufacturing towards integrated identity ecosystems. Physical credentials – passports, national IDs, licenses – remain the root of trust, but digital ID wallets and verifiable credentials are increasingly absorbing everyday authentication use cases, creating a hybrid model.

Long-term competitive advantage will concentrate in digital identity infrastructure, biometric authentication, and secure interoperable platforms. Biometrics, machine-readable features, and secure chip technologies emerge as the highest-value layers.

The Future of Personal ID to 2031 delivers the definitive analysis of where this market is heading, and what it means for the organisations shaping it. The report maps the technologies, end-use segments, and regional markets driving the next wave of growth. It examines the risks that could disrupt progress, the regulatory forces sustaining demand, and the competitive dynamics separating market leaders from those at risk of commoditisation. Whether you are a technology provider, security printer, supplier, or identity policymaker, this report gives you the intelligence to act with confidence.

Key questions answered within this report

  • Which technologies are gaining value, which are commoditising, and why biometrics and machine-readable features are becoming core identity infrastructure
  • How physical IDs will evolve alongside digital wallets; and what fraud pressures mean for physical document security investment
  • How growth drivers differ by region: from large-scale enrolment programmes in emerging markets to replacement cycles and digital integration in mature economies
  • How cybersecurity vulnerabilities, geopolitical fragmentation, and supply chain dependencies could disrupt market growth and global interoperability.

Meet the expert behind the report

Dr James Wojtyk has over 25 years of extensive experience in scientific research, technology innovation, and strategic leadership across Canadian academic, government, and industrial sectors. For three years Dr Wojtyk headed up Research and Development in Currency at the Bank of Canada, integrating new technologies into banknotes, advising on counterfeit threats and fostering international collaborations.

About Smithers Market Intelligence

Smithers high quality data and analysis is built on primary research and written by genuine industry experts with deep subject matter knowledge.

We have redesigned our market report format to help you to navigate to the content and analysis you need. Our reports are now delivered in a PowerPoint format so you can easily access and digest the information you require, but still include a full data set and in-depth analysis. This means you can spend more time analysing, and less time searching.

We have also introduced our Latest Data Guarantee, meaning our reports are now more dynamic than ever and ensure that you are kept up-to-date with any major industry changes. As part of your report purchase, we'll update the data set, market forecasts and/or analysis if there are any major industry updates within a 12-month period after the report is published.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Introduction and Methodology

  • MethodologyMarket definitions

Macroeconomic Landscape

Competitive Landscape

Market Drivers and Trends

  • Material shift
  • Border -
  • Regulatory upgrades
  • Biometrics
  • Fraud pressures
  • Regional -

Technology Developments

  • Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC)
  • Digital ID wallets
  • Digital travel credentials
  • AI anti-deepfake detection
  • Smart materials and NanoOptics
  • Embedded Secure Elements in Phones

Market Size and Forecasts

Market by Technology

  • Substrates
  • Inks
  • DOVIDs
  • Machine-readable security features
  • Biometrics
  • Personalisation

Market by End-use

  • Conventional MRP
  • ePassports
  • Traditional NID
  • eNID
  • Driving licenses
  • Traditional visaseVisasHealthcardsVoter IDBirth certificates

Market by Geography

  • Western Europe
  • Eastern Europe
  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Asia
  • Middle East
  • Africa
  • Australasia

Figures

  • Global Personal Id Market, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Personal Id By Region 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Personal Id By End-Use Market 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Personal Id By Technology Market, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Substrate, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Substrate, By End Use, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Substrate, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Inks, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Inks, By End Use, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Inks, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Dovids, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Dovids, By End Use, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Dovids, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Machine-Readable Features, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Machine-Readable Features, By End Use, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Machine-Readable Features, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Biometrics, By End Use, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Biometrics, By End Use, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Biometrics, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Personalisation, By End Use, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Personalisation, By End Use, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Personalisation, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By End Use, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Conventional Mrp, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Conventional Mrp, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, E-Passports, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, E-Passports, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Traditional Nid, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Traditional Nid, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, E-Id, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, E-Id, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Driving Licences, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Driving Licences, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Traditional Visas, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Traditional Visas, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, E-Visas, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, E-Visas, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Healthcards, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Healthcards, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Voter Id, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Voter Id, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Birth Certificate, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, Birth Certificate, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Region, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By End Use, Western Europe, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Western Europe, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By End Use, Eastern Europe, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Eastern Europe, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By End Use, North America, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, North America, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By End Use, Latin America, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Latin America, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By End Use, Asia, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Asia, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By End Use, Middle East, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Middle East, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By End Use, Africa, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Africa, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By End Use, Australasia, 2021-2031, $ Million
  • Global Personal Id Market, By Technology, Australasia, 2021-2031, $ Million