住宅用HVAC:全球住宅用HVAC市場分析·預測 (2025-2034年)

受節能、永續和氣候智慧解決方案需求的推動，全球住宅暖通空調市場預計將在2034年穩步成長。該市場涵蓋了用於單戶住宅和多戶住宅的暖氣爐、鍋爐、熱泵和空調機組等設備，並受區域趨勢的影響。目前，由於房間空調的廣泛採用和對熱泵日益增長的興趣，亞太地區在收入方面處於領先地位，但預計到2034年，歐洲將在強有力的脫碳政策以及從鍋爐到電氣化系統的快速轉變的推動下超越亞太地區。預計北美的中央空調和熱泵市場將保持強勁成長，而拉丁美洲、中東和非洲地區的成長預計將因基礎設施和價格限製而放緩。在所有地區，政府激勵措施、對室內空氣品質的擔憂以及對氣候適應的需求都在推動市場擴張。

一項重要建議是優先考慮熱泵和節能解決方案的創新，以順應全球脫碳趨勢。政策制定者應透過激勵措施和更新法規來支持這些技術的採用，而房主可以透過選擇高效系統來獲得長期成本節約。全球住宅暖通空調市場預計將從2025年的1,389億美元成長到2034年的1,805億美元，複合年增長率為3.0%。

本報告研究了全球住宅暖通空調市場，並提供了市場概況、市場推動因素和課題、競爭格局、市場規模趨勢和預測、按建築類型、建築類型、設備和地區細分，以及對市場參與者的建議。

目錄

第1章 摘要整理

• 市場概要
• 推動市場要素與阻礙
• 世界市場概況

第2章 市場趨勢

• 促進因素
  • 對能源效率和永續性日益增長的需求
  • 對室內空氣品質 (IAQ) 惡化狀況及其健康影響的認識
  • 政府政策、法規與激勵計劃
  • 科技創新、智慧控制與互聯家居
  • 都市化、住宅開發與氣候適應
• 障礙
  • 高昂的初始成本和投資回收期
  • 基礎設施限制和熟練勞動力短缺
  • 監理複雜性與合規成本
  • 供應鏈波動性與材料限制
  • 消費者認知與認知差距

第3章 產業價值鏈

• 競爭情形
  • M&A活動
  • 價格

第4章 市場預測

• 調查手法
• 全球市場的預測
  • 各地區
  • 各建設類型
  • 各類型建築
  • 按設備
• 地區預測
  • 北美
  • 歐洲
  • 亞太地區
  • 南美
  • 中東·非洲

第5章 結論·建議

• 3個大的要點
• 推薦事項
  • 廠商
  • 政策制定者和監管機構
  • 住宅終端用戶和業主

第6章 附錄

第7章 與縮寫簡稱一覽

第8章 目錄

第9章 圖表

第10章 研究範圍、資料來源、方法論及註記

The global residential HVAC market is set for steady growth through 2034, propelled by demand for energy efficient, sustainable, and climate-adaptive solutions. Including equipment such as furnaces, boilers, heat pumps, and air conditioning units for single-family and multifamily homes, the market's trajectory is shaped by regional trends. Asia-Pacific currently leads in revenue, driven by room A/C adoption and rising interest in heat pumps, while Europe is expected to overtake it by 2034 due to strong decarbonization policies and a rapid shift from boilers to electrified systems. North America remains robust for central A/C and heat pumps, and Latin America and the Middle East & Africa are forecast to grow more gradually, limited by infrastructure and affordability. Across all regions, government incentives, awareness of indoor air quality, and climate adaptation needs are accelerating expansion.

In this report, Guidehouse Research analyzes the market using a bottom-up modeling approach, segmenting by region, building type, construction type, and equipment. The report draws on interviews with industry leaders and secondary research, focusing on equipment revenue from 2025 to 2034. It highlights the impact of regulations, innovation, and consumer trends, while addressing barriers such as high upfront costs, supply chain volatility, and skilled labor shortages. The competitive landscape is mapped through profiles of major manufacturers, mergers and acquisitions, and pricing strategies.

Key recommendations include prioritizing innovation in heat pumps and energy efficient solutions to align with global decarbonization trends. Policymakers should support adoption through incentives and modernized codes, while homeowners can benefit from long-term savings by choosing high-efficiency systems. Notably, the global residential HVAC market is projected to grow from US$138.9 billion in 2025 to US$180.5 billion by 2034, a compound annual growth rate of 3.0%.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

• 1.1 Market Overview
• 1.2 Market Drivers and Barriers
• 1.3 Global Market Highlights

2. Market Issues

• 2.1 Introduction
• 2.2 Drivers
  • 2.2.1 Increasing Demand for Energy Efficiency and Sustainability
  • 2.2.2 Awareness of Poor IAQ and Health Impacts
  • 2.2.3 Government Policies, Regulations, and Incentive Programs
  • 2.2.4 Technological Innovation, Smart Controls, and Connected Homes
  • 2.2.5 Urbanization, Housing Development, and Climate Adaptation
• 2.3 Barriers
  • 2.3.1 High Upfront Costs and Payback Periods
  • 2.3.2 Infrastructure Limitations and Skilled Labor Shortages
  • 2.3.3 Regulatory Complexity and Compliance Costs
  • 2.3.4 Supply Chain Volatility and Material Constraints
  • 2.3.5 Consumer Awareness and Perception Gaps

3. Industry Value Chain

• 3.1 Competitive Landscape
  • 3.1.1 M&A Activities
  • 3.1.2 Pricing

4. Market Forecasts

• 4.1 Methodology
• 4.2 Global Market Forecasts
  • 4.2.1 Global Market Forecast by Region
  • 4.2.2 Global Market Forecast by Construction Type
  • 4.2.3 Global Market Forecast by Building Type
  • 4.2.4 Global Market Forecast by Equipment
• 4.3 Regional Forecasts
  • 4.3.1 North America
  • 4.3.2 Europe
  • 4.3.3 Asia-Pacific
  • 4.3.4 Latin America
  • 4.3.5 Middle East & Africa

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Three Big Takeaways
• 5.3 Recommendations
  • 5.3.1 Manufacturers
  • 5.3.2 Policymakers and Regulators
  • 5.3.3 Residential End Users and Property Owners

6. Appendix

7. Acronym and Abbreviation List

8. Table of Contents

9. Table of Charts and Figures

10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Tables

• Table 3-1. Total Market: Competitive Structure
• Table 6-1. Overview of Residential HVAC Equipment

List of Figures

• Chart 1-1. Residential HVAC Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-1. Residential HVAC Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-2. Residential HVAC Revenue by Construction Type, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-3. Residential HVAC Revenue by Building Type, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-4. Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-5. Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, North America: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-6 . Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, Europe: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-7 . Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, Asia-Pacific: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-8. Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, Latin America: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-9 . Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, Middle East & Africa: 2025-2034
• Figure 3-1 Graphic Depiction of the Residential HVAC Market Value Chain