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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2116021
印尼電池市場:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計及成長預測(2026-2031)Indonesia Battery - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031) |
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根據 Mordor Intelligence 預測,印尼電池市場在 2025 年的價值預計為 16.6 億美元,從 2026 年的 18.4 億美元成長到 2031 年的 32.5 億美元,在預測期(2026-2031 年)內複合年成長率為 12.06%。

本報告按電池類型(一次電池)、技術(鉛酸電池、鋰離子電池、鎳氫電池、鎳鎘電池、鈉硫電池、全固體電池、液流電池和新興化學技術)以及應用(汽車、工業、攜帶式設備、電動工具、SLI 和其他應用)進行細分。市場規模和預測以美元計價。
預計印尼到2024年將生產220萬噸鎳,佔全球總產量的59%。同時,2020年禁止礦石出口的政策強制要求在國內進行加工,導致冶煉廠數量在八年內從2家激增至44家。這項政策已促使電池產業鏈獲得320億美元的投資,但也導致了對海外技術的依賴,61%的提煉產能集中在中國企業。高壓酸浸(HPAL)製程20-25公斤二氧化碳當量排放量帶來的環境、社會和治理(ESG)壓力,正推動可再生能源的普及,從而增加了相關項目的資本投資。寧德時代(CATL)投資60億美元的卡拉旺鎳礦計畫正是這項轉變的象徵,該計畫透過封閉回路型回收利用鎳原料,滿足了出口市場嚴格的可追溯性要求。
雅加達政府已投入7兆印尼幣用於補貼,將增值稅(VAT)從11%降至1%,並免除符合條件車型的進口關稅,使得電動車銷量在2024年達到44,557輛,年增73%。然而,初期補貼仍然至關重要,因為電動車的平均日行駛里程需要達到84公里,才能使其總擁有成本(TCO)與汽油車持平,而目前的平均每日行駛里程僅為34公里。國產零件使用率(TKDN)標準將於2027年提高至60%,2030年提高至80%,這將迫使汽車製造商(OEM)在本地生產電池組和馬達。現代-LG的10GWh生產線和比亞迪的年產15萬輛的工廠是這一趨勢的先驅。共乘車隊正在證明電池更換的可行性,Grab 和 Gojek 在八個城市運營超過 10,000 輛電動摩托車,並配備了 1,200 個換電站。
由於缺乏經濟可行的鋰礦蘊藏量,製造商主要從中國進口碳酸鋰和氫氧化鋰,並從2025年8月起從澳洲進口。由於2020年至2024年間鋰價波動劇烈,每噸價格在6,000美元至8,3,000美元之間,其成本基礎變得不穩定。寧德時代(CATL)位於卡拉旺的工廠每年可加工3萬噸正極材料,但仍需進口原料,這給利潤率帶來了壓力。中國對石墨出口的限制進一步加劇了供應鏈的脆弱性,促使聯合國項目事務廳(UNOPS)呼籲強制儲備和回收石墨,但這兩項措施目前都沒有立法實施。
到2025年,可充電電池將佔印尼電池市場佔有率的91.3%,預計到2031年將以13.1%的複合年成長率成長,這主要得益於電動車的強制推廣以及為平衡可再生能源而對儲能的需求。同時,隨著消費者轉向USB充電設備,一次電池正面臨結構性衰退。儘管由於寧德時代(CATL)、現代/LG和比亞迪等企業的裝機量,印尼二次電池市場正逐步接近政府設定的2030年140吉瓦時的目標,但對鋰進口的依賴依然存在。政府第69/2024號法令提高了一次電池的安全標準,加速了低成本進口商之間的產業整合。
傳統乾電池領域的領導企業PT Intercallin正透過增加鋰電池生產來規避風險,但一次電池在遙控器和醫療設備等領域仍有一些小眾應用。然而,即使是這些小眾市場也正受到可充電產品在離網太陽能燈和農村設備等領域普及的衝擊。此外,豪華車領域向鋰離子SLI電池的轉變也為鉛酸起動電池產品線帶來了越來越大的壓力。
According to Mordor Intelligence, the Indonesia battery market size was valued at USD 1.66 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow from USD 1.84 billion in 2026 to reach USD 3.25 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 12.06% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by Battery Type (Primary Batteries and Secondary Batteries), Technology (Lead-Acid, Li-Ion, Nickel-Metal Hydride, Nickel-Cadmium, Sodium-Sulfur, Solid-State, Flow Battery, and Emerging Chemistries), and Application (Automotive, Industrial, Portable, Power Tools, SLI, and Other Applications). The Market Sizes and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Indonesia produced 2.2 million t of nickel in 2024, equal to 59% of global output, while its 2020 ore-export ban forced in-country processing, expanding smelter count from 2 to 44 within eight years. The policy attracted USD 32 billion in pledged battery-chain capital but concentrated 61% of refining capacity with Chinese firms, creating dependency on foreign know-how. ESG pressure around HPAL's 20-25 kg CO2-equivalent profile now compels renewable power integration, increasing project capex. CATL's USD 6 billion Karawang complex illustrates the shift, linking nickel feed through closed-loop recycling to meet strict export-market traceability rules.
Jakarta allocated IDR 7 trillion subsidies, cut VAT from 11% to 1%, and waived import duties for qualifying models, lifting 2024 EV sales 73% year-over-year to 44,557 units. Yet total cost-of-ownership parity still needs 84 km daily mileage versus the current 34 km average, so up-front subsidies stay critical. TKDN thresholds jump to 60% in 2027 and 80% in 2030, pushing OEMs to localize packs and motors; Hyundai-LG's 10 GWh line and BYD's 150,000-unit plant are early movers. Ride-hailing fleets showcase battery-swap viability, with Grab and Gojek fielding 10,000+ two-wheel EVs across eight cities, supported by 1,200 swap stations.
With no economic lithium reserves, manufacturers import carbonate and hydroxide mainly from China and, since August 2025, Australia, exposing cost bases to price swings that ranged USD 6,000-83,000 t between 2020 and 2024. CATL's Karawang hub can process 30,000 t cathode annually but still needs imported feed, limiting margins. China's graphite export controls add another layer of supply-chain fragility, prompting UNOPS to urge stockpiling and recycling mandates, none legislated yet.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Rechargeable cells secured 91.3% of the Indonesian battery market share in 2025 and will expand at a 13.1% CAGR to 2031, lifted by EV mandates and renewable-balancing storage. Primary formats face structural decline as consumers migrate to USB-rechargeable devices. CATL, Hyundai-LG, and BYD installations bring Indonesia's battery market size for secondary cells toward the government's 140 GWh 2030 target, though lithium-import exposure endures. Regulation No. 69/2024 raises safety hurdles for primary cells, accelerating consolidation among low-cost importers.
Legacy dry-cell leader PT Intercallin hedged by adding lithium output, while niche primary use persists in remote controls and medical devices. Yet rechargeable uptake in off-grid solar lanterns and rural devices erodes even these pockets. Pressure on lead-acid starter-battery lines also rises as premium car segments adopt lithium-ion SLI replacements.