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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1940837

非洲化肥市場：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2026-2031年）

Africa Fertilizers - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

2025年非洲化肥市場價值547.7億美元，預計2031年將達到830.5億美元，高於2026年的587.1億美元。

預計在預測期（2026-2031 年）內，複合年成長率將達到 7.19%。

非洲化肥市場-IMG1

非洲大陸各國政府優先考慮投入品自給自足和糧食安全，政策協調的改善和國內生產能力的提升正在推動這一成長。複合肥料因其均衡的營養成分而展現出規模優勢，非常適合精密農業計畫；而單質尿素則受益於奈及利亞新建工廠帶來的成本優勢。對數位農業技術、綠色氨和定向補貼計畫的投資，擴大了小規模農戶的取得管道，並鼓勵私人資本流入以改善分銷網路。儘管持續的物流挑戰和反覆出現的全球價格上漲仍然是不利因素，但對營養主糧生產的持續需求支撐著非洲化肥市場的強勁成長前景。

非洲化肥市場趨勢與洞察

非洲糧食安全面臨日益成長的壓力

預計到2030年，非洲人口將達到14億，而人均耕地面積卻在減少，這導致對化肥的需求持續增加。奈及利亞於2024年4月啟動的鋅強化米計畫就是一個典型的例子，該計畫將糧食安全與微量營養素密度而非單純的熱量攝取聯繫起來，從而推動了對除傳統NPK複合肥料之外的專用肥料配方的需求。這種向營養豐富的作物生產模式的轉變需要更高的施肥量和更精細的養分管理。具體而言，在奈及利亞中部地區的玉米種植系統中進行的試驗表明，與NPK複合肥相比，分次施用單一肥料可使產量提高22%至46%。由於糧食進口支出加劇了外匯存底的壓力，經濟發展日益嚴峻，提高國內生產效率已成為國家安全的首要任務。透過強化施肥來提高農業生產力是實現糧食自給自足的關鍵途徑，能夠在價格週期波動中保持需求的持續成長。

補貼改革是阿布加-內羅畢政策背後的驅動力

2024年《內羅畢宣言》為非洲聯盟成員國設定了每公頃50公斤的化肥施用目標，創造了超越傳統市場動態的政策主導需求。肯亞2025年財政法案看似矛盾地取消了化肥的增值稅，同時撥款100億肯亞先令（約合774億美元）用於化肥補貼，顯示政府致力於在財政壓力下確保民眾獲得化肥。奈及利亞的《國家農業技術與創新政策（2022-2027）》展現了非洲大陸範圍內的協調一致，不斷將補貼計畫針對特定作物和地區，以最大限度地提高糧食安全效益。這項政策勢頭創造了可預測的需求模式，並使私營部門能夠投資於分銷網路和本地化肥混合設施。政策實施效果差異顯著，加納和奈及利亞的補貼覆蓋率高於面臨物流限制的內陸薩赫勒國家。

化肥價格承受能力衝擊

2025年7月，全球化肥價格在2025年上半年上漲了15%。其中，磷酸二銨（DAP）價格上漲了23%，過磷酸鈣（TSP）價格上漲了43%。這些上漲主要受亞洲強勁需求、中國出口限制以及硫磺原料成本上升的影響。價格飆升影響了小規模農戶維持投入品的能力，世界銀行的磷酸二銨供應指數在2025年6月達到1.72，超過了2022年初危機期間的高峰。肯亞2025年財政法案進一步加重了農民的購買負擔，對先前免稅的化肥徵收16%的增值稅（VAT）。預計這將使每50公斤化肥的價格增加480肯亞先令（約3.71美元），小規模農戶的總生產成本可能因此增加15%。各國的價格傳導機制差異顯著。奈及利亞2024年免除米進口關稅的政策壓低了農場收購價，削弱了農民為下一季作物購買化肥的能力。貨幣貶值加劇了進口成本壓力，而信貸市場准入受限則使農民無法在價格週期波動中平滑投入品的購買。補貼計畫雖然能提供部分緩解，但時間上的延遲和目標定位不准等問題往往限制了其在價格突然飆升時的有效性。

細分市場分析

複合肥將繼續保持主導地位，預計2025年將佔據58.02%的市場。這主要得益於複合肥料能夠在一次施用中提供均衡的養分，幫助小規模農戶降低勞動成本並提高養分同步性。到2031年，複合肥料市場將以8.27%的複合年成長率成長，這反映了作物養分管理技術的日益成熟，尤其是在農業推廣服務機構大力推廣綜合養分管理方法的情況下。尿素的價格優勢和客製化施用方案的柔軟性使得複合肥依然佔據重要地位。同時，微量元素在奈及利亞、加納和肯亞的生物強化計畫中正迅速普及。

非洲複合肥市場的成長主要得益於其一次施用即可提供作物生長所需的多種營養元素，包括主要營養元素、次要營養元素和微量營養元素。農民對均衡作物營養益處以及複合肥環境優勢的認知不斷提高，推動了這一領域的擴張。複合肥不僅能減少施用量，還能最大限度地減少對環境和土壤的影響。此外，緩釋肥和控釋肥等先進肥料類型的出現，也進一步促進了複合肥料在該地區的應用，尤其是在高價值作物和現代農業實踐中。

預計到2025年，傳統肥料將佔據90.76%的市場佔有率，並在2031年之前以7.14%的複合年成長率成長。這種主導地位反映了小規模農戶對價格的敏感性，他們更注重價格實惠而非先進配方。人們對高效耕作方式的認知不斷提高，以及對高價值作物需求的成長，推動了該領域的強勁成長潛力。在集約化農業系統和園藝作物中，傳統肥料的使用率很高，因為精準養分管理在這些領域至關重要。商業農業中現代灌溉系統的應用以及全部區域耕作方式的推廣，也為此成長提供了支持。

傳統肥料之所以佔據市場主導地位，是因為其供應廣泛、分銷網路完善，且價格低於特種肥料。這些肥料在田間作物施用中佔據主導地位，佔肥料總消耗量的96%。大規模農業生產和農民使用傳統肥料的經驗進一步鞏固了這一地位。廣泛的零售網路和便利的供應，尤其是在農村地區，進一步強化了其市場主導地位。在非洲，成本是肥料選擇的主要考慮因素，因此傳統肥料的價值提案仍然強勁。

非洲肥料市場報告按類型（複合肥、單質肥）、形態（常規肥、特種肥）、施用方法（灌溉施肥、葉面噴布、土壤施用）、作物類型（田間作物、園藝作物、草坪及觀賞植物）和國家（奈及利亞、南非、非洲其他地區）進行細分。市場預測以價值（美元）和數量（公噸）為單位。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章執行摘要主要發現

第2章 報告

第3章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍
  • 調查方法

第4章 主要產業趨勢

  • 主要農作物種植面積
    • 田間作物
    • 園藝作物
  • 平均施肥量
    • 微量營養素
      • 田間作物
      • 園藝作物
    • 宏量營養素
      • 田間作物
      • 園藝作物
    • 次發性大量營養元素
      • 田間作物
      • 園藝作物
  • 具有灌溉設施的農田
  • 法律規範
  • 價值鍊和通路分析
  • 市場促進因素
    • 非洲糧食安全面臨越來越大的壓力
    • 補貼改革是阿布加-內羅畢政策背後的驅動力
    • 國內生產能力快速擴張
    • 透過數位農業平台促進最佳化利用
    • 投資低碳（綠色）氨
    • 微量營養素主導的生物強化需求
  • 市場限制
    • 化肥價格承受能力衝擊
    • 物流與零售分銷網路薄弱
    • 生態學政策面臨合成肥料的阻力
    • 非洲綠色計劃資金高成本

第5章 市場規模及成長預測（數量與價值）

  • 類型
    • 合成的
    • 單一成分
      • 微量營養素
        • 硼
        • 銅
        • 鐵
        • 錳
        • 鉬
        • 鋅
        • 其他
      • 氮基
        • 硝酸銨
        • 尿素
        • 其他
      • 磷酸鹽
        • DAP
        • MAP
        • SSP
        • TSP
      • 鉀
        • MoP
        • SoP
      • 次要大量營養素
        • 鈣
        • 鎂
        • 硫
  • 形式
    • 傳統的
    • 特別的
      • CRF
      • 液體肥料
      • SRF
      • 水溶性
  • 應用方法
    • 施肥和灌溉
    • 葉面噴布
    • 土壤
  • 作物類型
    • 田間作物
    • 園藝作物
    • 草坪和觀賞植物
  • 國家
    • 奈及利亞
    • 南非
    • 其他非洲地區

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 關鍵策略舉措
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司概況
  • 公司簡介。
    • Yara International ASA
    • SABIC Agri-Nutrients Co.
    • ICL Group Ltd
    • K+S Aktiengesellschaft
    • Golden Fertilizer Company Limited
    • OCP SA
    • Dangote Fertiliser Limited
    • Indorama Eleme Fertilizer & Chemicals Limited
    • Foskor（Pty）Ltd.
    • Haifa Chemicals Ltd.
    • Omnia Fertilizer（Pty）Ltd.
    • CF Industries Holdings, Inc
    • Nutrien Ltd.
    • UPL Limited
    • Olam Agri Holdings Pte Ltd.

第7章：CEO們需要思考的關鍵策略問題

簡介目錄
Product Code: 92609

The Africa fertilizer market was valued at USD 54.77 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 58.71 billion in 2026 to reach USD 83.05 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 7.19% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

Africa Fertilizers - Market - IMG1

Steady policy alignment across the continent and domestic capacity expansions support this advance as governments prioritize input self-sufficiency and food security. Complex fertilizers dominate volumes by offering balanced nutrient packages that fit precision programs, while straight urea gains cost tailwinds from new Nigerian plants. Digital agronomy, green ammonia investments, and targeted subsidies are broadening smallholder access and stimulating private capital flows toward distribution upgrades. Persistent logistics gaps and recurring global price spikes remain headwinds, but sustained demand for nutrient-dense staple production underpins a resilient growth outlook for the Africa fertilizer market.

Africa Fertilizers Market Trends and Insights

Rising Food-Security Pressure in Africa

Africa's growing population, projected to reach 1.4 billion by 2030, combined with declining arable land per capita, creates sustained demand for increased fertilizer use. Nigeria's zinc-biofortified rice program, launched in April 2024, exemplifies how governments are linking food security to micronutrient density rather than just caloric sufficiency, driving demand for specialized formulations beyond traditional NPK blends. This shift toward nutrient-dense crop production requires higher fertilizer application rates and more sophisticated nutrient management, particularly in maize systems where split applications of straight fertilizers increased yields 22-46% over NPK blends in Nigeria's Middle-Belt trials. The economic imperative intensifies as food import bills strain foreign exchange reserves, making domestic production efficiency a national security priority. Agricultural productivity gains through fertilizer intensification become the primary pathway to food self-sufficiency, creating sustained demand growth even during price volatility cycles.

Subsidy Reforms & Abuja Nairobi Policy Momentum

The Nairobi Declaration 2024 establishes binding fertilizer application targets of 50 kilograms per hectare across African Union member states, creating policy-driven demand that transcends traditional market dynamics. Kenya's Finance Bill 2025 paradoxically removes VAT exemptions on fertilizers while allocating KES 10 billion (USD 77.4 billion) for fertilizer subsidies, indicating the government's commitment to maintaining input access despite fiscal pressures. Nigeria's National Agricultural Technology and Innovation Policy (2022-2027) demonstrates coordinated continental approaches, with subsidy programs increasingly targeting specific crops and regions to maximize food security outcomes. The policy momentum creates predictable demand patterns that enable private sector investment in distribution networks and local blending facilities. Implementation effectiveness varies significantly, with Ghana and Nigeria achieving higher subsidy delivery rates than landlocked Sahel countries facing logistics constraints.

Fertilizer Price-Affordability Shocks

In July 2025, global fertilizer prices increased by 15% in the first half of 2025. Diammonium phosphate (DAP) prices rose by 23%, while triple superphosphate (TSP) prices increased by 43%. These increases resulted from strong Asian demand, China's export restrictions, and high sulfur input costs. The price surge affected smallholder farmers' ability to maintain input intensity levels, as the World Bank's DAP accessibility index reached 1.72 in June 2025, surpassing the early-2022 crisis peaks. Kenya's Finance Bill 2025 compounds affordability pressures by imposing 16% VAT on previously exempt fertilizers, potentially increasing costs by KES 480 (USD 3.71) per 50-kilogram bag and raising total production costs by 15% for smallholders. The price transmission mechanism varies significantly across countries, with Nigeria's rice import duty waivers in 2024 depressing farm-gate prices and reducing farmers' capacity to invest in fertilizers for subsequent seasons. Currency devaluations amplify import cost pressures, while limited access to credit markets prevents farmers from smoothing input purchases across price cycles. Subsidy programs provide partial relief but often suffer from timing delays and targeting inefficiencies that limit their effectiveness during acute price spikes.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Rapid Scale-Up of Domestic Production Capacity
  2. Digital Agronomy Platforms Driving Optimized Use
  3. Weak Logistics and Retail Distribution Networks

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Complex fertilizers dominate with 58.02% market share in 2025, driven by their ability to deliver balanced nutrition in single applications that reduce labor costs and improve nutrient synchronization for smallholder farmers. The 8.27% CAGR growth rate through 2031 reflects increasing sophistication in crop nutrition management, particularly as extension services promote integrated nutrient management practices. Complex fertilizers maintain a significant presence through urea's affordability advantage and flexibility in customized application programs, while micronutrients experience rapid adoption in biofortification programs across Nigeria, Ghana, and Kenya.

In Africa, complex fertilizer market growth is driven by their ability to provide multiple plant nutrients necessary for crop growth in a single application, including primary nutrients, secondary nutrients, and micronutrients. The segment's expansion is supported by increasing awareness among farmers about the benefits of balanced crop nutrition and the environmental advantages of complex fertilizers, which allow for reduced application rates while minimizing both environmental and soil impacts. The emergence of advanced fertilizer types, such as controlled-release and slow-release variants, is further bolstering the adoption of complex fertilizers in the region, particularly in high-value crops and modern farming operations.

Conventional fertilizers hold a 90.76% market share in 2025 and are expected to grow at a 7.14% CAGR through 2031. This dominance reflects the cost sensitivity of smallholder farmers who prioritize affordability over advanced formulations. The segment shows strong growth potential due to increasing awareness of efficient agricultural practices and rising demand for high-value crops. Conventional fertilizers see high adoption rates in intensive farming systems and horticultural crops, where precise nutrient management is essential. The growth is supported by modern irrigation system adoption in commercial farming operations and expanding agricultural practices across the region.

The market leadership of conventional fertilizers stems from their widespread availability, established distribution networks, and lower prices compared to specialty alternatives. These fertilizers dominate field crop applications, accounting for 96% of total fertilizer consumption. Large-scale farming operations and farmers' experience with traditional fertilizer applications strengthen this position. The extensive retail network and accessibility of conventional fertilizers, particularly in rural areas, reinforce their market dominance. In Africa, where cost is a primary factor in fertilizer selection, the conventional segment's value proposition remains strong.

The Africa Fertilizers Market Report is Segmented by Type (Complex, Straight), by Form (Conventional, Specialty), by Application Mode (Fertigation, Foliar, Soil), by Crop Type (Field Crops, Horticultural Crops, Turf & Ornamental), and by Country (Nigeria, South Africa, Rest of Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD) and Volume (Metric Tons)

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

  1. Yara International ASA
  2. SABIC Agri-Nutrients Co.
  3. ICL Group Ltd
  4. K+S Aktiengesellschaft
  5. Golden Fertilizer Company Limited
  6. OCP S.A.
  7. Dangote Fertiliser Limited
  8. Indorama Eleme Fertilizer & Chemicals Limited
  9. Foskor (Pty) Ltd.
  10. Haifa Chemicals Ltd.
  11. Omnia Fertilizer (Pty) Ltd.
  12. CF Industries Holdings, Inc
  13. Nutrien Ltd.
  14. UPL Limited
  15. Olam Agri Holdings Pte Ltd.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & KEY FINDINGS

2 REPORT OFFERS

3 INTRODUCTION

  • 3.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 3.2 Scope of the Study
  • 3.3 Research Methodology

4 KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS

  • 4.1 Acreage Of Major Crop Types
    • 4.1.1 Field Crops
    • 4.1.2 Horticultural Crops
  • 4.2 Average Nutrient Application Rates
    • 4.2.1 Micronutrients
      • 4.2.1.1 Field Crops
      • 4.2.1.2 Horticultural Crops
    • 4.2.2 Primary Nutrients
      • 4.2.2.1 Field Crops
      • 4.2.2.2 Horticultural Crops
    • 4.2.3 Secondary Macronutrients
      • 4.2.3.1 Field Crops
      • 4.2.3.2 Horticultural Crops
  • 4.3 Agricultural Land Equipped For Irrigation
  • 4.4 Regulatory Framework
  • 4.5 Value Chain & Distribution Channel Analysis
  • 4.6 Market Drivers
    • 4.6.1 Rising food-security pressure in Africa
    • 4.6.2 Subsidy reforms & Abuja+ Nairobi policy momentum
    • 4.6.3 Rapid scale-up of domestic production capacity
    • 4.6.4 Digital agronomy platforms driving optimized use
    • 4.6.5 Low-carbon (green) ammonia investments
    • 4.6.6 Micronutrient-led bio-fortification demand
  • 4.7 Market Restraints
    • 4.7.1 Fertilizer price affordability shocks
    • 4.7.2 Weak logistics & retail distribution networks
    • 4.7.3 Agro-ecology policy headwinds on synthetics
    • 4.7.4 High cost of capital for African green projects

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE AND VOLUME)

  • 5.1 Type
    • 5.1.1 Complex
    • 5.1.2 Straight
      • 5.1.2.1 Micronutrients
        • 5.1.2.1.1 Boron
        • 5.1.2.1.2 Copper
        • 5.1.2.1.3 Iron
        • 5.1.2.1.4 Manganese
        • 5.1.2.1.5 Molybdenum
        • 5.1.2.1.6 Zinc
        • 5.1.2.1.7 Others
      • 5.1.2.2 Nitrogenous
        • 5.1.2.2.1 Ammonium Nitrate
        • 5.1.2.2.2 Urea
        • 5.1.2.2.3 Others
      • 5.1.2.3 Phosphatic
        • 5.1.2.3.1 DAP
        • 5.1.2.3.2 MAP
        • 5.1.2.3.3 SSP
        • 5.1.2.3.4 TSP
      • 5.1.2.4 Potassic
        • 5.1.2.4.1 MoP
        • 5.1.2.4.2 SoP
      • 5.1.2.5 Secondary Macronutrients
        • 5.1.2.5.1 Calcium
        • 5.1.2.5.2 Magnesium
        • 5.1.2.5.3 Sulfur
  • 5.2 Form
    • 5.2.1 Conventional
    • 5.2.2 Speciality
      • 5.2.2.1 CRF
      • 5.2.2.2 Liquid Fertilizer
      • 5.2.2.3 SRF
      • 5.2.2.4 Water Soluble
  • 5.3 Application Mode
    • 5.3.1 Fertigation
    • 5.3.2 Foliar
    • 5.3.3 Soil
  • 5.4 Crop Type
    • 5.4.1 Field Crops
    • 5.4.2 Horticultural Crops
    • 5.4.3 Turf & Ornamental
  • 5.5 Country
    • 5.5.1 Nigeria
    • 5.5.2 South Africa
    • 5.5.3 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Key Strategic Moves
  • 6.2 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.3 Company Landscape
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Business Segments, Financials, Key Information, Market Rank, Market Share, Products and Services, and Analysis of Recent Developments).
    • 6.4.1 Yara International ASA
    • 6.4.2 SABIC Agri-Nutrients Co.
    • 6.4.3 ICL Group Ltd
    • 6.4.4 K+S Aktiengesellschaft
    • 6.4.5 Golden Fertilizer Company Limited
    • 6.4.6 OCP S.A.
    • 6.4.7 Dangote Fertiliser Limited
    • 6.4.8 Indorama Eleme Fertilizer & Chemicals Limited
    • 6.4.9 Foskor (Pty) Ltd.
    • 6.4.10 Haifa Chemicals Ltd.
    • 6.4.11 Omnia Fertilizer (Pty) Ltd.
    • 6.4.12 CF Industries Holdings, Inc
    • 6.4.13 Nutrien Ltd.
    • 6.4.14 UPL Limited
    • 6.4.15 Olam Agri Holdings Pte Ltd.

7 KEY STRATEGIC QUESTIONS FOR FEED ADDITIVE CEOS