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非洲潤滑油市場：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2026-2031）

Africa Lubricants - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計非洲潤滑油市場將從 2025 年的 26.8 億公升成長到 2026 年的 27.7 億公升，到 2031 年將達到 32.7 億公升，2026 年至 2031 年的複合年成長率為 3.36%。

非洲潤滑油市場-IMG1

穩健的基礎設施發展規劃、加速成長的礦業生產以及區域內快速擴張的車輛保有量正在支撐銷售成長。公共和私人對公路、鐵路和能源資產的投資持續推動施工機械潤滑油的需求成長，而從開羅到拉各斯等都市區車輛普及率的提高則支撐了汽車機油的持續消費。本地煉油廠的升級改造，特別是奈及利亞新增產能的基礎油，正在增強區域供應的韌性並降低對進口的依賴。整車製造商對延長保養週期的需求正推動買家轉向合成油，尤其是在實施歐4和歐5排放氣體標準的市場；這一趨勢在埃及、南非和摩洛哥最為顯著。市場競爭依然適中，大型國際企業憑藉其品牌資產和技術優勢佔據主導地位，而本地供應商則透過提供靈活的包裝規格、價格具有競爭力的礦物油基配方以及本地化的設施服務來提升市場佔有率。

非洲潤滑油市場趨勢與洞察

汽車消費量的快速成長正在推動對汽車潤滑油的需求。

在主要大都市地區，車輛保有量的成長速度超過了人口成長速度，從而穩定擴大了對引擎油、變速箱油和煞車油的需求。拉各斯和約翰尼斯堡的商用卡車車隊面臨高強度的使用週期，導致換油週期縮短，油耗增加。北非各地的本土組裝廠需要充足的出廠油量和穩定的售後市場供應，而在地採購法規也鼓勵本土混合使用。隨著現代引擎的普及，駕駛正逐漸從單一黏度等級的機油轉向多層黏度等級的機油，而對小包裝規格的偏好也符合私人汽車車主的購買力。原廠服務網推薦符合歐盟5排放氣體標準的認證產品，加速了中型SAP合成混合油的普及。

基礎設施主導的採礦和建築熱潮

南非、尚比亞和摩洛哥的銅礦、磷酸鹽礦和關鍵礦產計劃正在擴張，這些計畫都高度依賴重型裝載機和輸送機。這些設備需要能夠承受粉塵和重載的高級液壓油和極壓齒輪油。埃及和奈及利亞正在進行公路、港口和鐵路的同步升級改造，這支撐了對大型土木機械和發電機組所用潤滑脂和渦輪機油的需求。能夠向偏遠地區大批量供貨的供應商正在運轉率契約，而提供油液分析和狀態監測服務的公司則在建立長期合作關係並確保產品銷售量。建築聯合體可預測的運作計畫帶來了訂單，即使在乘用車消費季節性低迷時期，也為調油機的穩定運作奠定了基礎。

燃油補貼的持續波動扭曲了價格。

補貼的突然取消或恢復會間接影響潤滑油需求，導致油價波動，迫使運輸公司重新評估里程和維護預算。成本的突然上漲會促使業者延長換油週期或考慮改用價格更低的單一黏度潤滑油，從而降低高階潤滑油的銷售量。外匯和補貼水準同步變動時，進口商難以預測到岸成本，這使得庫存管理決策更加複雜。政策的不確定性會抑制對調配廠和倉儲設施的大規模資本投資，從而延長對合約調配和第三方物流的依賴。

細分市場分析

截至2025年，汽車機油佔非洲潤滑油市場的36.05%，這主要得益於非洲大陸車輛老化以及惡劣的運作環境。商用卡車消耗的潤滑油最多，頻繁的換油需求推高了年度總消耗量。在埃及和奈及利亞工業多元化計畫的推動下，橡膠、紡織和石化工廠的加工油預計將以4.25%的複合年成長率成長，在所有產品線中成長最高。齒輪油用於運作巨大衝擊負荷的地下採礦設備，而變速箱油由於商用車自動變速箱的廣泛應用而日益重要。液壓油在西非和北非大型建築工地的後鏟和起重機中需求穩定。金屬加工液與國內零件製造業的發展密切相關，特別是摩洛哥近期新建的煞車皮和濾清器工廠。

露天礦山和船舶推進器對潤滑脂的需求不斷成長，其中鋰基複合潤滑脂因其防水性能而備受青睞。煞車油的需求與新車組裝同步線性成長，但向電動車的轉型可能會限制其長期擴張。渦輪機油的需求主要來自國家電氣化計劃下運作的聯合循環燃氣發電廠，而變壓器油則受益於電網強化計劃旨在為快速都市化的地區供電。豐富的產品組合支撐著非洲潤滑油市場的韌性。即使某些終端用戶領域出現疲軟，其他領域的成長也足以彌補這一不足。

非洲潤滑油市場報告按產品類型（汽車引擎油、工業引擎油等）、終端用戶產業（汽車、船舶、航太、重型機械、工業）、基礎油類型（礦物油基、合成油、半合成油、生物基）和地區（奈及利亞、南非、埃及、阿爾及利亞、摩洛哥和非洲其他地區）進行細分。市場預測以公升為單位。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場情勢

  • 市場概覽
  • 市場促進因素
    • 汽車消費量的快速成長帶動了對汽車潤滑油的需求。
    • 基礎設施主導的採礦和建築熱潮
    • 由於國內煉油廠設備升級，基油供應增加
    • 原廠延長換油週期的做法傾向使用合成機油。
    • 快速成長的電商車隊需要高性能潤滑油
  • 市場限制
    • 燃油補貼的持續波動扭曲了價格。
    • 低品質I類進口產品的主導地位
    • 非正式的假石油網路損害品牌價值
  • 價值鏈分析
  • 法律規範
  • 終端用戶趨勢
    • 汽車產業
    • 製造業
    • 發電業
  • 波特五力模型
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 買方的議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭程度

第5章 市場規模與成長預測

  • 依產品類型
    • 汽車引擎油
    • 工業機油
    • 變速箱油
    • 齒輪油
    • 煞車油
    • 油壓
    • 潤滑脂
    • 加工油（包括橡膠加工油和白油）
    • 金屬加工油
    • 渦輪機油
    • 變壓器油
    • 其他產品類型
  • 按最終用戶行業分類
    • 車
      • 搭乘用車
      • 商用車輛
      • 摩托車
    • 船舶
    • 航太
    • 重型機械
      • 建造
      • 礦業
      • 農業
    • 工業的
      • 發電
      • 冶金/金屬加工
      • 紡織業
      • 石油和天然氣
      • 其他終端用戶產業
  • 依基礎油類型
    • 礦物油性潤滑劑
    • 合成潤滑油
    • 半合成潤滑油
    • 生物性潤滑劑
  • 按地區
    • 奈及利亞
    • 南非
    • 埃及
    • 阿爾及利亞
    • 摩洛哥
    • 其他非洲地區

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 市場集中度
  • 策略趨勢
  • 市佔率（%）/排名分析
  • 公司簡介
    • Ardova Plc
    • BP plc
    • Chevron Corporation
    • CONOIL GROUP PTY LTD.
    • Engen Petroleum（PTY）LTD
    • Exxon Mobil Corporation
    • FUCHS
    • Misr Petroleum
    • MRS OIL NIGERIA PLC
    • Oando PLC
    • Sasol
    • Shell plc
    • TotalEnergies
    • Vivo Energy Holding BV

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

第8章：執行長面臨的關鍵策略挑戰

簡介目錄
Product Code: 90327

The Africa Lubricants Market is expected to grow from 2.68 billion liters in 2025 to 2.77 billion liters in 2026 and is forecast to reach 3.27 billion liters by 2031 at 3.36% CAGR over 2026-2031.

Africa Lubricants - Market - IMG1

Robust infrastructure programs, accelerating mining output, and the rapid expansion of regional vehicle fleets underpin this volume growth. Public and private investments in road, rail, and energy assets continue to drive higher demand for construction machinery lubricants, while rising motorization rates in cities, from Cairo to Lagos, support sustained consumption of automotive engine oils. Local refinery upgrades, notably the base-oil streams emerging from new Nigerian capacity, strengthen regional supply resilience and temper import dependence. OEM mandates for extended drain intervals are nudging buyers toward synthetic grades, especially in markets now enforcing Euro 4 and Euro 5 emission norms, and this transition is most evident in Egypt, South Africa, and Morocco. Competitive intensity remains moderate; international majors leverage brand equity and technical know-how, yet regionally rooted suppliers gain ground by offering flexible pack sizes, price-competitive mineral formulations, and on-site equipment services.

Africa Lubricants Market Trends and Insights

Rapid Motorization Driving Automotive Lubricant Demand

Vehicle ownership is rising faster than population growth in major urban centers, creating a steady pull for engine oils, transmission fluids, and brake fluids. Commercial truck fleets in Lagos and Johannesburg experience arduous duty cycles, which shorten oil change intervals and increase consumption. National assembly plants across North Africa now require factory-fill volumes and consistent aftermarket supply, with local content regulations encouraging in-country blending. Motorists are gradually shifting from monograde to multigrade formulations as modern engines become more prevalent, and the preference for smaller pack sizes aligns with the purchasing power of individual car owners. OEM service networks champion licensed products that meet Euro 5 emission requirements, thereby accelerating the uptake of mid-SAPs synthetic blends.

Infrastructure-Led Mining and Construction Boom

Copper, phosphate, and critical mineral projects are expanding in South Africa, Zambia, and Morocco, each utilizing heavy mechanical loaders and conveyors that require premium hydraulic fluids and EP gear oils capable of withstanding dust and high loads. Concurrent road, port, and rail upgrades across Egypt and Nigeria sustain demand for greases and turbine oils used in large earth-moving equipment and power generation sets. Suppliers able to deliver bulk volumes to remote sites win contracts, while those offering oil analysis and condition monitoring services secure long-term relationships that lock in product offtake. The predictable operating schedules of construction consortia create baseline orders that stabilize blender capacity utilization even during seasonal dips in passenger car consumption.

Persistent Fuel-Subsidy Volatility Distorting Prices

Abrupt subsidy removals or reinstatements shift pump prices and indirectly influence lubricant demand, as transporters recalibrate mileage and maintenance budgets. Sudden cost spikes prompt operators to stretch drain intervals or down-trade to cheaper monograde oils, eroding premium segment volumes. Importers struggle to forecast landed costs when exchange rates and subsidy levels change in tandem, complicating inventory decisions. Policy uncertainty discourages heavy capital investment in blending plants and storage, prolonging reliance on toll blending and third-party logistics.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Local Refinery Upgrades Boosting Base-Oil Availability
  2. OEM Drain-Interval Extensions Favoring Synthetics
  3. Dominance of Low-Grade Group I Imports

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Automotive engine oil held 36.05% of Africa's lubricants market share in 2025, supported by a continent-wide vehicle fleet that continues to age under challenging operating conditions. Commercial trucks account for a sizable portion of sump volumes, and frequent oil changes increase the total liters consumed each year. Process oils, serving rubber, textile, and petrochemical plants, are forecast to grow at a 4.25% CAGR, the fastest among all product lines, thanks to industrial diversification programs in Egypt and Nigeria. Gear oils cater to underground mining machines that operate under extreme shock loads, while transmission fluids gain prominence as automatic gearboxes become more prevalent in commercial fleets. Hydraulic fluids experience steady demand from backhoes and cranes operating on large construction sites throughout West and North Africa. Metalworking fluids track the evolution of domestic component manufacturing, particularly the brake pad and filter plants that have recently been established in Morocco.

Demand for greases is rising in surface mining and marine thrusters, with lithium-complex products preferred for their water resistance. Brake fluids show linear growth in line with new vehicle assemblies, though the shift toward electric cars may curb long-term expansion. Turbine oils secure slots in combined-cycle gas plants commissioned under national electrification agendas, and transformer oils benefit from grid reinforcement projects feeding rapidly urbanizing regions. Collectively, the diversified product slate anchors the resilience of the Africa lubricants market, balancing cyclical softness in any single end-use with momentum in others.

The Africa Lubricants Market Report is Segmented by Product Type (Automotive Engine Oil, Industrial Engine Oil, and More), End-User Industry (Automotive, Marine, Aerospace, Heavy Equipment, and Industrial), Base Stock Type (Mineral Oil-Based, Synthetic, Semi-Synthetic, and Bio-Based), and Geography (Nigeria, South Africa, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco, and Rest of Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Volume (Liters).

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

  1. Ardova Plc
  2. BP plc
  3. Chevron Corporation
  4. CONOIL GROUP PTY LTD.
  5. Engen Petroleum (PTY) LTD
  6. Exxon Mobil Corporation
  7. FUCHS
  8. Misr Petroleum
  9. MRS OIL NIGERIA PLC
  10. Oando PLC
  11. Sasol
  12. Shell plc
  13. TotalEnergies
  14. Vivo Energy Holding B.V.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Rapid motorisation driving automotive lubricant demand
    • 4.2.2 Infrastructure-led mining and construction boom
    • 4.2.3 Local refinery upgrades boosting base-oil availability
    • 4.2.4 OEM drain-interval extensions favouring synthetics
    • 4.2.5 Fast-growing e-commerce fleet requiring high-performance fluids
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Persistent fuel-subsidy volatility distorting prices
    • 4.3.2 Dominance of low-grade Group I imports
    • 4.3.3 Informal counterfeit-oil networks eroding brand value
  • 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Framework
  • 4.6 End-User Trends
    • 4.6.1 Automotive Industry
    • 4.6.2 Manufacturing Industry
    • 4.6.3 Power Generation Industry
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.7.5 Degree of Competition

5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Volume)

  • 5.1 By Product Type
    • 5.1.1 Automotive Engine Oil
    • 5.1.2 Industrial Engine Oil
    • 5.1.3 Transmission Fluids
    • 5.1.4 Gear Oil
    • 5.1.5 Brake Fluids
    • 5.1.6 Hydraulic Fluids
    • 5.1.7 Greases
    • 5.1.8 Process Oil (Including Rubber Process Oil and White Oil)
    • 5.1.9 Metalworking Fluids
    • 5.1.10 Turbine Oil
    • 5.1.11 Transformer Oil
    • 5.1.12 Other Product Types
  • 5.2 By End-user Industry
    • 5.2.1 Automotive
      • 5.2.1.1 Passenger Vehicles
      • 5.2.1.2 Commercial Vehicles
      • 5.2.1.3 Two-Wheelers
    • 5.2.2 Marine
    • 5.2.3 Aerospace
    • 5.2.4 Heavy Equipment
      • 5.2.4.1 Construction
      • 5.2.4.2 Mining
      • 5.2.4.3 Agriculture
    • 5.2.5 Industrial
      • 5.2.5.1 Power Generation
      • 5.2.5.2 Metallurgy and Metalworking
      • 5.2.5.3 Textiles
      • 5.2.5.4 Oil and Gas
      • 5.2.5.5 Other End-Use Industries
  • 5.3 By Base Stock Type
    • 5.3.1 Mineral Oil-Based Lubricants
    • 5.3.2 Synthetic Lubricants
    • 5.3.3 Semi-Synthetic Lubricants
    • 5.3.4 Bio-Based Lubricants
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 Nigeria
    • 5.4.2 South Africa
    • 5.4.3 Egypt
    • 5.4.4 Algeria
    • 5.4.5 Morocco
    • 5.4.6 Rest of Africa

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share (%)/Ranking Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global-level Overview, Market-level Overview, Core Segments, Financials, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 Ardova Plc
    • 6.4.2 BP plc
    • 6.4.3 Chevron Corporation
    • 6.4.4 CONOIL GROUP PTY LTD.
    • 6.4.5 Engen Petroleum (PTY) LTD
    • 6.4.6 Exxon Mobil Corporation
    • 6.4.7 FUCHS
    • 6.4.8 Misr Petroleum
    • 6.4.9 MRS OIL NIGERIA PLC
    • 6.4.10 Oando PLC
    • 6.4.11 Sasol
    • 6.4.12 Shell plc
    • 6.4.13 TotalEnergies
    • 6.4.14 Vivo Energy Holding B.V.

7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-need Assessment

8 Key Strategic Questions for CEOs