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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1911710

鉀肥：市佔率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2026-2031）

Potash Fertilizer - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 120 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計到 2026 年，鉀肥市場規模將達到 227.1 億美元，高於 2025 年的 215.1 億美元，預計到 2031 年將達到 298.3 億美元，2026 年至 2031 年的複合年成長率為 5.6%。

鉀肥市場-IMG1

強勁的長期需求主要受以下因素驅動：集約化耕作地區土壤養分加速流失、精準施肥技術的快速普及，以及中國政策主導的飼料配方調整促進了國內糧食增產。在生產方面，海灣地區特種作物種植面積的成長、鹽穴倉儲設施對綠氫能的新興工業需求，以及企業為實現淨零排放目標所做的努力，也推高了成本，其中低氯化鉀硫酸鹽被推薦用於敏感土壤。巴西的物流瓶頸和能源價格波動也造成了成本壓力，而主要供應商正透過擴大產能、整合分銷網路和提供數位化農業服務來應對，從而將農業化學品更深入地融入決策流程。這些因素共同表明，鉀肥市場將在2030年之前持續成長。

全球鉀肥市場趨勢與洞察

集約化農業區土壤養分消耗日益加劇

數十年來高產量的玉米-大豆輪作和雙季種植制度消耗了土壤中的鉀蘊藏量，其速度超過了自然風化作用的補充速度，導致許多表層土壤功能性缺鉀。在美國中西部，目前大部分（60%）耕地的鉀含量低於農藝基準值，儘管化肥投入創紀錄，但自2021年以來，這一比例仍在逐季上升。類似的土壤劣化也發生在中國的長江糧倉地區，那裡集約化的稻麥輪作縮短了休耕期，阻礙了有機質的恢復。巴西塞拉多地區新開墾的土地最初看起來肥沃，但五個作物季節後，土壤中的天然礦物質就會氧化流失，需要大量施用鉀肥。這些相互交織的模式形成了一種結構性的消費基礎，使鉀肥市場免受面積週期性波動的影響。農學家警告說，如果不解決這種營養缺乏問題，全球糧食產量可能會在 10 年內下降 6-8%，這進一步凸顯了持續施用鉀肥的迫切性。

加速精準施肥技術的推廣

可變施肥量撒播機、頻譜無人機和田間鉀肥探針使農民能夠識別出傳統均勻施肥方式難以發現的微量缺鉀區域。約翰迪爾公司的數據顯示，面積超過2000英畝的農場在改用分區施肥後，鉀肥總用量增加了15%，有效糾正了潛在的低鉀區域。數位化平台還能記錄施肥時間，確保在作物吸收高峰期前數小時而非數天施用鉀肥，進而提高穀物重量和農場利潤。設備製造商正在將感測器和軟體整合到融資方案中，降低了初期採用門檻，並加速了玉米帶和加拿大草原地區的推廣應用。歐洲通用農業政策（CAP）透過報銷數位測繪費用，進一步推動了精準農業的發展，預計到2025年，德國和法國40%的大型農場將採用精密農業。隨著這些工具在中型農場的普及，鉀肥市場將持續成長，抵銷效率提升帶來的部分效益。

地緣政治制裁限制了白俄羅斯鉀肥出口

歐盟的限制措施於2024年3月生效，導致白俄羅斯約1,200萬噸鉀肥產能停產（相當於全球貿易量的五分之一）。由於貿易商爭相尋找替代貨源，現貨價格在短短幾週內飆升了30%。由於供應鏈重組，運往東南亞的海運時間延長了兩個月。印度和中國的進口商轉向俄羅斯和加拿大的礦商，但鐵路和港口的擁塞限制了替代供應。銀行對與白俄羅斯相關的信用證交易持謹慎態度，增加了融資溢價，這些溢價最終轉嫁到農業投入成本上。雖然部分受制裁的鉀肥供應可能透過第三國流通，但不確定性導致使用者對遠期合約仍保持謹慎。這些限制措施預計至少會持續到2026年，這將限制鉀肥市場的潛在上漲空間。

細分市場分析

到2025年，氯化鉀將佔鉀肥市場86.05%的佔有率，這反映了其在大規模糧食生產系統中作為低成本營養基礎的重要作用。氯化鉀之所以廣受歡迎，是因為它與常見的噴霧器和鐵路運輸網路兼容，從而能夠快速地在農業區之間進行大規模運輸。對於利潤微薄的玉米、大豆和小麥種植者而言，鉀肥的單價仍是一個決定性因素。因此，即使價格呈現上漲趨勢，氯化鉀仍是採購計畫的基石。

由於可控制環境農業和對氯化物敏感作物的普及，硫酸鉀的年複合成長率高達5.85%。溫室番茄、鮮食葡萄和馬鈴薯種植者重視硫酸鉀的低氯化物特性，有助於提升產品品質並獲得出口溢價。歐洲在硫酸鉀的應用方面處於領先地位，德國和荷蘭已在溫室中廣泛使用。北美果蔬種植者也正在效仿。

本鉀肥市場報告按產品類型（氯化鉀、硫酸鉀及其他）、施用方法（灌溉施肥、葉面噴布、土壤施用）、作物類型（田間作物、園藝作物、草坪及觀賞植物）和地區（北美、南美、歐洲、亞太、中東和非洲）進行細分。市場預測以價值和銷售兩種形式呈現。

區域分析

亞太地區將佔據全球鉀肥市場最大的區域佔有率，到2025年將佔全球市場佔有率的41.90%。預計到2031年，該地區將以5.5%的複合年成長率成長，這主要得益於其多樣化的農業系統，涵蓋了從高密度糧食種植區到不斷擴大的多年生作物種植區。儘管價格上漲，但支持精密農業投入和均衡養分添加的政策獎勵正在推動鉀肥施用量的增加。對可控環境農業的投資創造了對低氯化物等級肥料的全年穩定需求，這與大面積生產的氯化鉀形成互補。資源豐富經濟體的礦業服務公司也開始涉足肥料分銷業務，有助於提高偏遠產區的供應穩定性。

預計北美和中東及非洲地區將經歷最快的成長，2026年至2031年的複合年成長率將達到6.82%。在北美，變數施肥技術的廣泛應用正在揭示隱藏的鉀肥缺乏問題，提高單位面積的施肥效率，同時增加養分總利用率。同時，灌溉設施的擴建和糧食安全計畫正在使中東和非洲乾旱及半乾旱地區以前的邊緣土地得到利用。用於沙漠溫室的特殊硫酸鹽肥料的供應與用於新種植的大量氯化鉀肥料相輔相成，有助於平衡該地區的產品結構。

歐洲和南美洲的經驗表明，當養分管理和出口競爭力相匹配時，成熟的耕地仍然可以推動需求成長。東歐生產商正致力於土壤修復並實施區域取樣，而西歐市場則青睞符合有機認證要求的高品質硫酸鹽混合肥料。儘管面臨物流瓶頸和匯率波動，南美洲鉀肥市場預計仍將以顯著的複合年成長率成長。鐵路和港口基礎設施的持續改善，以及數位化農藝工具的日益普及，有望緩解供應緊張局面，並維持該地區的成長勢頭。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍
  • 調查方法

第2章 報告

第3章執行摘要和主要發現

第4章：主要產業趨勢

  • 主要農作物種植面積
    • 田間作物
    • 園藝作物
  • 平均施肥量
    • 宏量營養素
      • 田間作物
      • 園藝作物
  • 具有灌溉設施的農田
  • 法規結構
  • 價值鍊和通路分析
  • 市場促進因素
    • 集約化耕作區土壤養分消耗加劇
    • 加速大型生產商採用精準施肥技術
    • 中國飼料法規轉換：轉向以穀物為主的畜禽飼料配方
    • 海灣地區高價值園藝特色作物的擴張（被低估了）
    • 用於鹽穴季節性儲存以儲存綠色氫氣的鉀肥需求被低估
    • 企業淨零排放目標推動低氯化物土壤中硫酸鉀的需求（被低估了）
  • 市場限制
    • 地緣政治制裁限制了白俄羅斯鉀肥出口
    • 天然氣價格波動推高了下游化肥成本。
    • 擴大再生農業的採用，減少合成投入物的使用
    • 巴西內陸港口基礎設施瓶頸被低估了

第5章 市場規模和成長預測（價值和數量）

  • 類型
    • MoP
    • SoP
    • 其他
  • 應用模式
    • 施肥和灌溉
    • 葉面噴布
    • 土壤
  • 作物類型
    • 田間作物
    • 園藝作物
    • 草坪和觀賞植物
  • 地區
    • 亞太地區
      • 澳洲
      • 孟加拉
      • 中國
      • 印度
      • 印尼
      • 日本
      • 巴基斯坦
      • 菲律賓
      • 泰國
      • 越南
      • 亞太其他地區
    • 歐洲
      • 法國
      • 德國
      • 義大利
      • 荷蘭
      • 俄羅斯
      • 西班牙
      • 烏克蘭
      • 英國
      • 其他歐洲地區
    • 中東和非洲
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 土耳其
      • 南非
      • 奈及利亞
      • 其他中東和非洲地區
    • 北美洲
      • 加拿大
      • 墨西哥
      • 美國
      • 北美其他地區
    • 南美洲
      • 阿根廷
      • 巴西
      • 南美洲其他地區

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 關鍵策略舉措
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司概況
  • 公司簡介
    • Nutrien Ltd.
    • The Mosaic Company
    • Uralkali PJSC
    • K+S Aktiengesellschaft
    • Israel Chemicals Ltd.
    • EuroChem Group AG
    • JSC Belaruskali
    • Arab Potash Company PLC
    • Compass Minerals International Inc.
    • Intrepid Potash Inc.
    • Sinofert Holdings Ltd.
    • Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
    • Yara International ASA
    • BHP Group Limited
    • Canpotex Limited

第7章：CEO們需要思考的關鍵策略問題

簡介目錄
Product Code: 92583

potash fertilizer market size in 2026 is estimated at USD 22.71 billion, growing from 2025 value of USD 21.51 billion with 2031 projections showing USD 29.83 billion, growing at 5.6% CAGR over 2026-2031.

Potash Fertilizer - Market - IMG1

Strong long-term demand arises from accelerating soil-nutrient depletion across intensively farmed regions, rapid adoption of precision-application tools, and policy-driven shifts in Chinese livestock feed formulations that boost domestic grain output. Producers are also benefiting from rising specialty crop acreage in Gulf states, an emerging industrial pull from green-hydrogen salt caverns, and corporate net-zero commitments that favor low-chloride sulfate of potash for sensitive soils. While logistics bottlenecks in Brazil and energy-price swings add cost pressure, leading suppliers are countering through capacity expansions, integrated distribution, and digital agronomy services that embed the product more deeply into farm decision cycles. Together, these forces point to continued momentum for the potash fertilizer market through 2030.

Global Potash Fertilizer Market Trends and Insights

Rising Soil-Nutrient Depletion in Intensively Farmed Regions

Decades of high-yield corn-soybean rotations and double-cropping systems have stripped potassium reserves faster than natural weathering can replace them, leaving many topsoils functionally deficient . In the U.S. Midwest, 60% of fields now test below agronomic sufficiency thresholds, a share that has risen every season since 2021 despite record fertilizer outlays. Similar erosion is unfolding in China's Yangtze grain belt, where intensive rice-wheat schedules compress fallow windows and prevent organic matter recovery. Newly cultivated Brazilian cerrado land appears fertile at first, yet within five growing cycles, it requires heavy potash doses as native minerals are oxidized and leached. These overlapping patterns create a structural consumption floor that insulates the potash fertilizer market from cyclical acreage swings. Agronomists warn that failing to close the nutrient gap could slice global cereal yields by 6-8% within a decade, reinforcing the urgency of sustained potassium application.

Accelerating Adoption of Precision-Application Technologies

Variable-rate spreaders, multispectral drones, and in-field potassium probes now let growers pinpoint micro-zones of deficiency that blanket applications once missed. John Deere data show farms above 2,000 acres raise total potash use by 15% after switching to zone-specific prescriptions because hidden low-K strips are finally corrected. Digital platforms also timestamp each pass, ensuring potassium is placed hours rather than days before peak plant uptake, which boosts grain weight and farmer revenue. Equipment makers bundle sensors and software into financing packages, lowering upfront barriers and speeding adoption in the Corn Belt and Canadian Prairies. Europe's Common Agricultural Policy adds fuel by reimbursing digital mapping costs, pushing precision adoption toward 40% of large holdings in Germany and France in 2025. As these tools migrate to medium-sized farms, the potash fertilizer market gains a durable volume lift that offsets incremental efficiency gains.

Geopolitical Sanctions Limiting Belaruskali Exports

European Union restrictions that took effect in March 2024 sidelined nearly 12 million tons of Belarusian potash capacity, equal to one fifth of global traded volume. Spot prices spiked 30% within weeks as traders scrambled for replacement cargoes, and ocean freight times to Southeast Asia lengthened by two months while supply chains realigned. Importers in India and China turned to Russian and Canadian miners, yet rail and port congestion capped replacement flows. Banks grew wary of letters of credit tied to Belarus, adding financing premiums that filter down to farm input costs. Though some sanctioned volumes may leak through third-country channels, uncertainty keeps users cautious about forward bookings. This constraint will persist at least through 2026, dampening potential upside for the potash fertilizer market.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Shifting Chinese Feed Regulations Toward Grain-Based Livestock Rations
  2. Growing Specialty Crop Acreage for High-Value Gulf Horticulture
  3. Volatile Natural-Gas Prices Inflating Downstream Costs

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Muriate of Potash held 86.05% of the potash fertilizer market share in 2025, reflecting its role as the low-cost nutrient foundation for large grain systems. Its popularity stems from compatibility with common spreaders and rail networks that move bulk volumes quickly across farm belts. Cost per unit of potassium remains the deciding factor for corn, soybean, and wheat growers who manage thin operating margins. As a result, muriate continues to anchor procurement plans even when prices cycle upward.

Sulfate of Potash is expanding at a faster 5.85% CAGR as controlled-environment farms and chloride-sensitive crops gain ground. Growers of greenhouse tomatoes, table grapes, and potatoes value sulfate's low chloride profile, which supports product quality and export premiums. Europe leads adoption, with Germany and the Netherlands using it widely in heated glasshouses, while North America fruit and vegetable producers follow closely.

The Potash Fertilizer Market Report is Segmented by Product (Muriate of Potash, Sulfate of Potash, and Others), Application Mode (Fertigation, Foliar, and Soil), Crop Type (Field Crops, Horticultural Crops, and Turf and Ornamental), and Geography (North America, South America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value and Volume.

Geography Analysis

The Asia-Pacific region captured 41.90% of the global potash fertilizer market share in 2025, representing the largest regional share. The region is projected to advance through 2031 at 5.5% CAGR, as diversified farming systems range from high-intensity grain belts to expanding perennial plantations. Policy incentives that subsidize precision inputs and balanced nutrition are increasing application rates, even as prices rise. Investments in controlled-environment agriculture add steady, year-round demand for low-chloride grades that complement broad-acre muriate volumes. Mining service firms in resource-rich economies are also pivoting into fertilizer distribution, improving supply security across remote production zones.

North America, the Middle East, and Africa are expected to experience the fastest expansion pace at a 6.82% CAGR between 2026 and 2031. In North America, widespread variable-rate technology is revealing hidden potassium deficits that push total nutrient use upward even as per-acre efficiency climbs. Concurrently, irrigation build-outs and food security programs across arid and semi-arid regions in the Middle East and Africa are unlocking previously marginal cropland. Specialty sulfate shipments into desert greenhouses complement bulk muriate flows into new row-crop estates, balancing the regional product mix.

Europe and South America demonstrate how mature acreage can still drive demand when nutrient stewardship and export competitiveness are aligned. Eastern European growers are rebuilding depleted soils and adopting zone sampling, while Western markets favor premium sulfate blends that mesh with organic labeling requirements. South America's potash fertilizer market is projected to grow at a significant CAGR, despite logistics bottlenecks and currency fluctuations. Ongoing rail and port upgrades, combined with the wider adoption of digital agronomy tools, are expected to alleviate supply constraints and sustain the region's growth momentum.

  1. Nutrien Ltd.
  2. The Mosaic Company
  3. Uralkali PJSC
  4. K+S Aktiengesellschaft
  5. Israel Chemicals Ltd.
  6. EuroChem Group AG
  7. JSC Belaruskali
  8. Arab Potash Company PLC
  9. Compass Minerals International Inc.
  10. Intrepid Potash Inc.
  11. Sinofert Holdings Ltd.
  12. Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A.
  13. Yara International ASA
  14. BHP Group Limited
  15. Canpotex Limited

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study
  • 1.3 Research Methodology

2 Report Offers

3 Executive Summary and Key Findings

4 Key Industry Trends

  • 4.1 Acreage Of Major Crop Types
    • 4.1.1 Field Crops
    • 4.1.2 Horticultural Crops
  • 4.2 Average Nutrient Application Rates
    • 4.2.1 Primary Nutrients
      • 4.2.1.1 Field Crops
      • 4.2.1.2 Horticultural Crops
  • 4.3 Agricultural Land Equipped For Irrigation
  • 4.4 Regulatory Framework
  • 4.5 Value Chain & Distribution Channel Analysis
  • 4.6 Market Drivers
    • 4.6.1 Rising soil-nutrient depletion in intensively farmed regions
    • 4.6.2 Accelerating adoption of precision-application technologies among large growers
    • 4.6.3 Shifting Chinese feed regulations toward grain-based livestock rations
    • 4.6.4 Growing specialty crop acreage for high-value horticulture in Gulf states (under-reported)
    • 4.6.5 Potash demand from green-hydrogen salt caverns for seasonal storage (under-reported)
    • 4.6.6 Corporate net-zero pledges driving sulfate-of-potash in low-chloride soils (under-reported)
  • 4.7 Market Restraints
    • 4.7.1 Geopolitical sanctions limiting Belaruskali exports
    • 4.7.2 Volatile natural-gas prices inflating downstream fertilizer costs
    • 4.7.3 Rising adoption of regenerative farming that lowers synthetic-input intensity
    • 4.7.4 Infrastructure bottlenecks at Brazilian inland ports (under-reported)

5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Value and Volume)

  • 5.1 Type
    • 5.1.1 MoP
    • 5.1.2 SoP
    • 5.1.3 Others
  • 5.2 Application Mode
    • 5.2.1 Fertigation
    • 5.2.2 Foliar
    • 5.2.3 Soil
  • 5.3 Crop Type
    • 5.3.1 Field Crops
    • 5.3.2 Horticultural Crops
    • 5.3.3 Turf & Ornamental
  • 5.4 Region
    • 5.4.1 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.1.1 Australia
      • 5.4.1.2 Bangladesh
      • 5.4.1.3 China
      • 5.4.1.4 India
      • 5.4.1.5 Indonesia
      • 5.4.1.6 Japan
      • 5.4.1.7 Pakistan
      • 5.4.1.8 Philippines
      • 5.4.1.9 Thailand
      • 5.4.1.10 Vietnam
      • 5.4.1.11 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.2 Europe
      • 5.4.2.1 France
      • 5.4.2.2 Germany
      • 5.4.2.3 Italy
      • 5.4.2.4 Netherlands
      • 5.4.2.5 Russia
      • 5.4.2.6 Spain
      • 5.4.2.7 Ukraine
      • 5.4.2.8 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.2.9 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.3 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.4.3.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.4.3.2 Turkey
      • 5.4.3.3 South Africa
      • 5.4.3.4 Nigeria
      • 5.4.3.5 Rest of Middle East and Africa
    • 5.4.4 North America
      • 5.4.4.1 Canada
      • 5.4.4.2 Mexico
      • 5.4.4.3 United States
      • 5.4.4.4 Rest of North America
    • 5.4.5 South America
      • 5.4.5.1 Argentina
      • 5.4.5.2 Brazil
      • 5.4.5.3 Rest of South America

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Key Strategic Moves
  • 6.2 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.3 Company Landscape
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (Includes Global level Overview, Market level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as Available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for Key Companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 Nutrien Ltd.
    • 6.4.2 The Mosaic Company
    • 6.4.3 Uralkali PJSC
    • 6.4.4 K+S Aktiengesellschaft
    • 6.4.5 Israel Chemicals Ltd.
    • 6.4.6 EuroChem Group AG
    • 6.4.7 JSC Belaruskali
    • 6.4.8 Arab Potash Company PLC
    • 6.4.9 Compass Minerals International Inc.
    • 6.4.10 Intrepid Potash Inc.
    • 6.4.11 Sinofert Holdings Ltd.
    • 6.4.12 Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A.
    • 6.4.13 Yara International ASA
    • 6.4.14 BHP Group Limited
    • 6.4.15 Canpotex Limited

7 Key Strategic Questions For Fertilizer CEOS