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市場調查報告書
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1851771

丙烷：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢、統計數據和成長預測（2025-2030 年）

Propane - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 120 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計到 2025 年，丙烷市場規模將達到 2.0539 億噸，到 2030 年將達到 2.5436 億噸，在預測期（2025-2030 年）內複合年成長率為 4.33%。

丙烷市場-IMG1

丙烷需求受益於其相對較低的碳排放強度、在許多農村和郊區比電力更具成本優勢，以及其作為石化原料日益成長的作用。鋼瓶發行、不斷擴展的末端配送網路以及安全性的提高正在推動新興市場丙烷使用量的成長，同時，隨著生產商尋求大幅降低生命週期排放，生物丙烷投資也在加速成長。汽車燃氣計劃、低排放氣體稅額扣抵以及校車車隊的改造正在提振交通運輸需求，而強勁的農業消費則持續支撐著季節性需求。在供應方面，北美強勁的液態天然氣產量和亞洲新增的丙烷脫氫（PDH）產能支撐了市場流動性。

全球丙烷市場趨勢與洞察

儘管大力推廣電氣化，住房需求依然強勁。

低碳暖氣政策並未削弱核心居民消費，預計2024年，居民消費將佔全球消費量的40%。與全電住宅相比，美國使用天然氣或丙烷供暖的家庭平均每年可節省1,132美元，增強了丙烷的成本提案。超過2400萬美國家庭依賴丙烷，尤其是在中西部地區。麻薩諸塞州在2024年取消了大部分電器補貼，但對低收入家庭的高效節能設備仍提供獎勵，體現了政策的務實性。全國零售價格回落，2024年5月平均價格為每加侖2.475美元，有助於維持需求。預計這些動態將支撐成熟市場的溫和成長，即使熱泵的普及率不斷提高。

工業應用推動高成長率

工業領域的成長速度超過整體成長速度，年複合成長率達到5.25%，主要得益於石化生產者增建專用丙烷脫氫（PDH）裝置，將丙烷轉化為丙烯。亞洲的新計畫正在加速2024年丙烯的生產，儘管價差收窄，但丙烷的加工量仍在增加。永續性目標促使營運商嘗試碳捕獲解決方案和可再生丙烷混合物，以在不影響製程效率的前提下減少範圍1的排放。原料供應的可靠性和脫碳路徑風險的降低，將使產業需求成為預測期內持續成長的支柱。

現貨天然氣凝液價格波動

丙烷價格容易受到原油價格波動和庫存週期的影響，擠壓獨立經銷商的銷售利潤。根據康威指數，中西部地區的丙烷價格往往在頁岩氣產量充沛時期下跌，然後在冬季需求旺盛時飆升，這使得避險策略變得複雜。價格波動可能會阻礙中小企業投資儲能基礎設施，並減緩汽車燃氣加油站的推廣速度，在短期內略微限制市場擴張。

細分市場分析

2024年，非伴生氣將佔全球供應量的52%，這主要得益於頁岩氣開發和中游產業的發展。光是在美國，包括丙烷在內的液化天然氣產量預計在2025年將年增10%，達到每日300萬桶。二疊紀盆地和阿巴拉契亞地區低溫加工能力的提升確保了原料供應的持續性，並為丙烷市場奠定了穩定的基礎。煉廠和伴生氣提供了補充供應，但由於煉廠運轉率限制和減少燃燒排放的舉措，其成長速度較為緩慢。

生物丙烷以9.20%的複合年成長率在能源轉型中發揮至關重要的作用。專用加氫裂解植物油（HVO）裝置和共加工生產線的產能擴張將使全球可再生丙烷日產量從2023年的1.9萬桶增加到2025年的5.1萬桶。東南亞和拉丁美洲的開發中國家也正在試行利用廢油，增加了地域供應的多樣性。隨著可再生能源認證體系的日趨成熟，貿易商預計價格溢價將會下降，丙烷將成為住宅混合燃料和工業爐灶的主流燃料。

丙烷市場報告按供應來源（煉油廠、聯產氣、異源氣、生物丙烷）、終端用戶行業（住宅、商業、工業、交通運輸及其他）、配銷通路（散裝配送、鋼瓶配送及其他）和地區（亞太地區、北美、歐洲、南美、中東和非洲）進行細分。市場預測以噸為單位。

區域分析

亞太地區將在2024年佔據全球丙烷市場41%的佔有率，預計到2030年將以6.18%的複合年成長率成長，這主要得益於工業化、人口成長以及液化石油氣（LPG）推廣政策的支持。中國消費量將在2022年增加至7,390萬噸，並隨著丙烷脫氫（PDH）產能的擴大以滿足汽車內裝和消費品包裝對聚丙烯的需求而持續成長。印度的「總理烏賈瓦拉計畫」（Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana）正在維持農村地區的丙烷氣瓶普及率，並鼓勵家庭燃料轉換。加拿大出口商AltaGas計劃在2026年將其位於里德利島的丙烷出口量加倍，這凸顯了北美和亞洲買家之間的供應鏈連結。

北美地區持續保持顯著的產量和出口盈餘。預計到2024年，美國石油出口量將達到每日180萬桶，連續第17年成長。墨西哥灣沿岸豐富的頁岩氣凝析液資源和不斷擴大的碼頭吞吐能力將確保全球需求者獲得可靠的原料供應。國內需求強勁，居民供暖需求保持平穩，但汽車燃氣和可再生丙烷混合氣的需求正在上升。

在歐洲，傳統供暖應用的需求日趨成熟，但可再生丙烷混合燃料的發展勢頭強勁。 《可再生能源指令III》和「適航55」計畫正激勵供應商對其散裝燃料和航空燃料副產品進行脫碳。改造基礎設施以處理混合燃料分子，將使該地區為2030年前逐步實現燃料供應結構轉型做好準備。

中東和非洲正在利用豐富的聯產氣來推動國內石化產業的發展，而南美市場則在巴西擴大氣瓶生產計劃和阿根廷農業乾燥需求的推動下穩步發展。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場情勢

  • 市場概覽
  • 市場促進因素
    • 住房領域需求增加
    • 石油化工產業的需求
    • 歐洲交通運輸部門生物丙烷混合目標（歐洲）
    • 農業需求不斷成長
    • 運輸業需求增加
  • 市場限制
    • 高濃度丙烷的有害影響
    • 現貨天然氣凝液價格的波動對獨立市場交易商的利潤率帶來壓力（全球）
    • 儲存和安全風險
  • 價值鏈分析
  • 波特五力模型
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 買方的議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭程度

第5章 市場規模與成長預測

  • 供應減少
    • 煉油廠
    • 相關氣體
    • 非伴生氣
    • 生物丙烷
  • 按最終用戶行業分類
    • 住房
    • 商業
    • 工業
    • 運輸
    • 其他終端用戶產業
  • 透過分銷管道
    • 大量運輸
    • 汽缸發行
    • 汽車燃氣加註網路
    • 零售包裝（1磅裝和露營裝）
  • 按地區
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韓國
      • 亞太其他地區
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 墨西哥
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 英國
      • 義大利
      • 法國
      • 其他歐洲地區
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 其他南美洲國家
    • 中東和非洲
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 南非
      • 其他中東和非洲地區

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 市場集中度
  • 策略趨勢
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司簡介
    • AltaGas Ltd.
    • BP plc
    • Chevron Corporation
    • China Petrochemical Corporation
    • DCC Plc
    • Energy Transfer LP
    • Eni SpA
    • Enterprise Products Partners LP
    • Equinor ASA
    • Exxon Mobil Corporation
    • GAIL（India）Limited
    • Gazprom
    • Linde PLC
    • PDVSA
    • PetroChina Company Limited（China National Petroleum Corp.）
    • Phillips 66 Company
    • Repsol
    • Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
    • Shell PLC
    • SHV Energy
    • Suburban Propane
    • TotalEnergies
    • UGI Corporation

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 66289

The Propane Market size is estimated at 205.39 Million tons in 2025, and is expected to reach 254.36 Million tons by 2030, at a CAGR of 4.33% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

Propane - Market - IMG1

Demand is benefiting from propane's comparatively low carbon intensity, its cost advantage over electricity in many rural and suburban locations, and its growing role as a petrochemical feedstock. Cylinder distribution, expanding last-mile networks, and safety upgrades are broadening access across emerging economies, while bio-propane investment is accelerating as producers target sharp life-cycle emission cuts. Autogas programs, tax credits for low-emission fuels, and school-bus fleet conversions are enlarging transportation demand, whereas resilient agricultural consumption continues to underpin seasonal offtake. On the supply side, robust natural-gas liquids production in North America and new propane dehydrogenation (PDH) capacity in Asia are anchoring liquidity, even as spot NGL price swings challenge independent marketers.

Global Propane Market Trends and Insights

Residential demand resilience despite electrification push

Lower-carbon heating mandates did not erode core residential consumption, which accounted for 40% of global offtake in 2024. Natural-gas or propane-heated homes in the United States saved an average of USD 1,132 a year relative to all-electric dwellings, reinforcing propane's cost proposition. Rural dependence is pronounced, with more than 24 million US households relying on propane, especially across the Midwest. Although Massachusetts ended most equipment rebates in 2024, incentives for high-efficiency units remained for low-income residents, signalling policy pragmatism. Retail prices softened nationwide-averaging USD 2.475 per gallon in May 2024-helping maintain demand. These dynamics are expected to uphold moderate growth in mature markets even as heat-pump adoption rises.

Industrial applications driving higher growth rates

Industrial uptake is outpacing overall growth, advancing at a 5.25% CAGR as petrochemical producers add dedicated PDH plants to convert propane into propylene. New Asian projects accelerated propylene output in 2024, narrowing spreads yet widening propane throughput. Sustainability targets are prompting operators to trial carbon-capture solutions and renewable-propane blending to curb Scope 1 emissions without compromising process efficiency. The combination of feedstock reliability and de-risked decarbonization paths positions industry demand as a durable growth pillar across the forecast horizon.

Spot NGL price volatility

Propane prices remain sensitive to crude-oil swings and inventory cycles, compressing marketing margins for independent distributors. The Conway Index illustrates Midwest price dips during bumper shale output, followed by sharp spikes in high-demand winters, complicating hedging strategies. Volatility discourages capital investment in storage infrastructure among smaller firms and can slow autogas station roll-outs, marginally tempering near-term market expansion.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Bio-propane: transformative growth amid decarbonization
  2. Transportation sector: autogas expansion despite EV competition
  3. Storage and safety risks

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Non-associated gas yielded 52% of global supply in 2024, anchored by prolific shale development and midstream build-outs. The United States alone produced 3.0 million barrels per day of NGLs-including propane-in 2025, up 10% on the previous year. Incremental cryogenic processing in the Permian Basin and Appalachian region secured feedstock continuity, ensuring a stable base for the propane market. Refinery and associated-gas streams provided complementary volumes but grew more slowly, constrained by refinery utilization ceilings and flaring-reduction initiatives.

Bio-propane's 9.20% CAGR underscores its pivotal role in the energy-transition narrative. Capacity expansions at dedicated hydrotreated-vegetable-oil (HVO) units and co-processing lines are set to lift global renewable-propane output from 19,000 barrels per day in 2023 to 51,000 barrels per day by 2025. Developing economies in Southeast Asia and Latin America are also piloting waste-oil pathways, broadening geographic supply diversity. As renewable certification schemes mature, traders expect price premiums to compress, fostering mainstream uptake across residential blends and industrial furnaces.

The Propane Market Report is Segmented by Source (Refinery, Associated Gas, Non-Associated Gas, and Bio-Propane), End-User Industry (Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Transportation, and More), Distribution Channel (Bulk Delivery, Cylinder Distribution, and More), and Geography (Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, South America, and Middle East and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Volume (tons).

Geography Analysis

Asia Pacific anchored 41% of propane market volumes in 2024 and is forecast to expand at a 6.18% CAGR to 2030, buoyed by industrialization, population growth, and supportive LPG adoption schemes. Chinese consumption climbed to 73.9 million tons in 2022 and continues to climb as PDH capacity ramps to satisfy polypropylene demand in automotive interiors and consumer packaging. India's Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana keeps rural cylinder penetration rising, aiding household fuel switching. Canadian exporter AltaGas plans to double Ridley Island propane export throughput by 2026, underscoring the supply-chain link between North America and Asian buyers.

North America retains a substantial production and export surplus. US shipments reached 1.8 million barrels per day in 2024, marking the 17th consecutive annual increase. Ample shale gas liquids and expanding Gulf Coast dock capacity ensure reliable feedstock for global customers. Domestic demand growth is steadier, with residential heating plateauing but autogas and renewable-propane blending providing incremental lift.

Europe confronts mature demand in traditional heating uses but posts vigorous momentum in renewable-propane blending. The Renewable Energy Directive III and fit-for-55 packages incentivize suppliers to decarbonize bulk portfolios and aviation-fuel coproduct streams. Infrastructure repurposing to handle blended molecules positions the region for a gradual supply-mix transition through 2030.

The Middle East and Africa leverage abundant associated-gas streams to feed growing domestic petrochemical ambitions, while South America's market progresses steadily on the back of Brazil's cylinder program expansions and Argentina's agricultural drying needs.

  1. AltaGas Ltd.
  2. BP p.l.c.
  3. Chevron Corporation
  4. China Petrochemical Corporation
  5. DCC Plc
  6. Energy Transfer LP
  7. Eni SpA
  8. Enterprise Products Partners L.P.
  9. Equinor ASA
  10. Exxon Mobil Corporation
  11. GAIL (India) Limited
  12. Gazprom
  13. Linde PLC
  14. PDVSA
  15. PetroChina Company Limited (China National Petroleum Corp.)
  16. Phillips 66 Company
  17. Repsol
  18. Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
  19. Shell PLC
  20. SHV Energy
  21. Suburban Propane
  22. TotalEnergies
  23. UGI Corporation

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Increase in Demand from the Residential Sectors
    • 4.2.2 Demand in the Petrochemical Industry
    • 4.2.3 Government-Mandated Bio-Propane Blending Targets in the Europe Transport Sector (Europe)
    • 4.2.4 Rising Demand in Agriculture
    • 4.2.5 Increase in Demand from the Transportation Sector
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Harmful Effects of Propane at Higher Concentrations
    • 4.3.2 Spot NGL Price Volatility Compressing Margins for Independent Marketers (Global)
    • 4.3.3 Storage and Safety Risks
  • 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.5.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.5.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.5.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.5.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.5.5 Degree of Competition

5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Volume)

  • 5.1 By Source
    • 5.1.1 Refinery
    • 5.1.2 Associated Gas
    • 5.1.3 Non-Associated Gas
    • 5.1.4 Bio-Propane
  • 5.2 By End-user Industry
    • 5.2.1 Residential
    • 5.2.2 Commercial
    • 5.2.3 Industrial
    • 5.2.4 Transportation
    • 5.2.5 Other End-user Industries
  • 5.3 By Distribution Channel
    • 5.3.1 Bulk Delivery
    • 5.3.2 Cylinder Distribution
    • 5.3.3 Autogas Refueling Network
    • 5.3.4 Retail Packaged (1-lb and Camping)
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.1.1 China
      • 5.4.1.2 India
      • 5.4.1.3 Japan
      • 5.4.1.4 South Korea
      • 5.4.1.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.2 North America
      • 5.4.2.1 United States
      • 5.4.2.2 Canada
      • 5.4.2.3 Mexico
    • 5.4.3 Europe
      • 5.4.3.1 Germany
      • 5.4.3.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.3.3 Italy
      • 5.4.3.4 France
      • 5.4.3.5 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.4 South America
      • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
      • 5.4.4.2 Argentina
      • 5.4.4.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.4.5 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.4.5.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.4.5.2 South Africa
      • 5.4.5.3 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles {(includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)}
    • 6.4.1 AltaGas Ltd.
    • 6.4.2 BP p.l.c.
    • 6.4.3 Chevron Corporation
    • 6.4.4 China Petrochemical Corporation
    • 6.4.5 DCC Plc
    • 6.4.6 Energy Transfer LP
    • 6.4.7 Eni SpA
    • 6.4.8 Enterprise Products Partners L.P.
    • 6.4.9 Equinor ASA
    • 6.4.10 Exxon Mobil Corporation
    • 6.4.11 GAIL (India) Limited
    • 6.4.12 Gazprom
    • 6.4.13 Linde PLC
    • 6.4.14 PDVSA
    • 6.4.15 PetroChina Company Limited (China National Petroleum Corp.)
    • 6.4.16 Phillips 66 Company
    • 6.4.17 Repsol
    • 6.4.18 Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
    • 6.4.19 Shell PLC
    • 6.4.20 SHV Energy
    • 6.4.21 Suburban Propane
    • 6.4.22 TotalEnergies
    • 6.4.23 UGI Corporation

7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment
  • 7.2 Usage of Propane in Power Generation