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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1851367
汽車自動緊急煞車系統:市場佔有率分析、行業趨勢、統計數據和成長預測(2025-2030 年)Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030) |
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預計到 2025 年,自動緊急煞車市場規模將達到 367.4 億美元,到 2030 年將擴大到 882.2 億美元,複合年成長率為 19.15%。

這一成長趨勢得益於美國、歐盟和中國法規中規定的強制性設備規則。這些規則取消了選配配置週期,並促進了所有價格區間的全系列系統整合。更嚴格的強制性能標準,例如高速碰撞避免、夜間行人偵測和路口安全,迫使汽車製造商採用多感測器融合架構。低於50美元的雷達模組、不斷下降的LiDAR成本以及片上人工智慧處理進一步壓縮了系統材料清單,使大眾市場車輛能夠縮小與高階車型的技術差距。同時,保險公司為配備自動緊急煞車系統(AEB)的車輛提供基於使用量的折扣,刺激了商用運輸領域的改裝需求,並推動了自動緊急煞車市場的發展。不同地區的合規期限錯開收入來源,並獎勵那些能夠快速適應地區通訊協定的可擴展平台供應商。
政府強制實施的自動緊急煞車(AEB)要求,推動了市場不可逆轉的擴張,超越了傳統的汽車普及週期。美國國家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)的最終規則規定,AEB系統必須能夠在時速高達90英里(約145公里)的情況下自動煞車。行人偵測必須在黑暗中有效運行,並要求所有車輛在2029年9月前全面達標。這種基於性能而非特定技術的監管方式,允許製造商在滿足嚴格的有效性閾值的同時,選擇最佳的感測器組合。初步測試表明,只有2023款豐田Corolla符合這項綜合標準,這表明整個產業都需要進行重大的技術改進。該法律規範透過設定最低性能標準,從根本上改變了競爭動態,有利於那些能夠提供整合感測器融合解決方案的技術先進的供應商。預計每輛車82美元的實施成本與預計52.4億美元至65.2億美元的生命週期淨收益相比,只是很小的門檻,這為加速推廣應用提供了強力的經濟理由。
消費者安全意識的提升正推動著他們做出超出監管標準的購買決策,從而為安全評級最高的車輛創造了市場溢價。歐洲新車安全評鑑協會(Euro NCAP)2026年的通訊協定更新包括增強型自動緊急煞車(AEB)測試場景,例如路口碰撞規避和單車偵測,製造商也要求整合先進的感測器才能獲得最高評級。美國公路安全保險美國(IIHS)呼籲制定更嚴格的AEB法規,反映出消費者意識到現有系統在黑暗環境下的性能顯著不足,這為採用熱成像和先進感測器融合技術的製造商創造了差異化優勢。這種由消費者主導的需求在高階汽車領域尤其顯著,因為安全技術是該領域的關鍵差異化因素,例如Volvo等製造商正利用其城市安全系統(City Safety)來展示其在降低碰撞風險方面可衡量的優勢。 NCAP藍圖將持續到2033年,確保技術的持續發展,防止市場停滯,並獎勵持續的創新投資。 Liberty Mutual 的 TechSafety 計劃為配備先進安全功能的沃爾沃車主提供折扣,這表明保險業對 AEB 有效性的看法與消費者需求是如何交織在一起的。
儘管雷射雷達(LiDAR)擁有卓越的探測能力,但其高昂的整合成本阻礙了其廣泛應用,導致高階和大眾市場車輛市場分化。雖然像和賽這樣的公司計劃在2025年將LiDAR的價格降低50%,但目前的成本仍然遠高於雷達和攝影機的組合,限制了其在豪華車領域的應用。根據奧緯諮詢(Oliver Wyman)的分析,雷射雷達在緊急煞車等安全關鍵應用中具有更高的精度,但面臨來自雷達解析度和成本效益提升的競爭壓力。由於系統複雜性、整合成本和檢驗要求的增加,將LiDAR、雷達和攝影機結合以實現冗餘和性能提升的多感測器融合架構正變得越來越具有挑戰性。 Aeva Technologies被選為量產車的一級LiDAR供應商,顯示市場對調頻連續波(FMCW)技術的信心。然而,過渡期將持續到2010年代中期,這反映出該技術在工程和成本最佳化方面需要投入大量資源。這種成本限制尤其影響商用車的普及,並且可能會減緩基於雷射雷達的自動緊急煞車系統在大眾市場領域的應用,因為車隊營運商優先考慮的是總擁有成本,而不是高級安全功能。
乘用車佔自動緊急煞車系統(AEB)市場最大的佔有率,高達73.68%,這得益於消費者日益成長的安全期望以及相關法規的推動。重型商用車在2024年僅佔6%的市場佔有率,但其複合年成長率(CAGR)將達到14.20%,是成長最快的市場,這主要得益於美國聯邦汽車運輸安全管理局(FMCSA)針對總重超過10,001磅(約4.5噸)的卡車訂定的法規。這一高成長基數使車隊成為戰略要地,改裝套件起價僅為1,500美元,可減少碰撞造成的停機時間,並可透過保險退款獲得補貼。輕型商用車維持20%的市場佔有率,主要得益於電子商務物流了配送哩程的增加。預計到2025年至2030年,重型商用車自動緊急煞車系統市場規模將成長兩倍以上,因為車隊採購週期將因合規期限的臨近而縮短。
車隊也在影響技術的發展方向。採埃孚的線控刹車或拖車車頭,從而最大限度地減少停機時間並實現維修零件的標準化。這種跨領域的技術流動正推動著自動緊急煞車產業保持規模化和創新化的良性循環。
到2024年,雷達將佔據自動緊急煞車市場46.32%的佔有率,這主要得益於其全天候的可靠性和持續下降的成本。純攝影機系統將佔22%,而雷達與攝影機融合系統因在低照度條件下性能欠佳,將僅佔20%。雷射雷達(LiDAR)雖然仍處於發展初期,但正以31.70%的複合年成長率快速成長,這主要得益於垂直共振腔面射型雷射)和調頻連續波(FMCW)架構降低了物料成本,並實現了小於10厘米的距離精度。超音波單元仍佔4%,主要用於低速機動應用。預計到2030年,以雷射雷達為中心的自動緊急煞車系統市場佔有率將接近15%,這主要得益於全球OEM廠商超過60億美元的固態感測器訂單。
融合的潛力正在不斷成長。混合模組整合了窄視場雷射雷達(用於高解析度、中距離測繪)和廣視場雷達(用於在惡劣天氣條件下保持可靠性),從而實現了成本平衡的覆蓋範圍。將雷達數位訊號處理(DSP)、人工智慧加速器和雷射雷達控制整合到單一晶粒上的半導體藍圖預示著進一步的整合,這將加劇自動緊急煞車行業的競爭。
2024年,北美將佔全球自動緊急煞車系統(AEB)銷售的34.23%,這主要得益於嚴格的聯邦安全標準和持續不斷的訴訟推動了該技術的快速普及。該地區較高的車輛平均車齡也促進了強勁的改裝需求,因為車隊為了獲得保險優惠而加快合規進程。預計到2030年,隨著FMVSS 127標準的逐步實施,北美自動緊急煞車系統市場規模將達到280億美元。
歐洲佔了30%的市場佔有率,這主要得益於《通用安全法規II》(General Safety Regulation II)。該法規統一了27個成員國的安全要求,並將自動緊急煞車(AEB)納入了高階駕駛輔助系統(ADAS)的範疇。以歐洲為中心的汽車製造商傾向於採用集中式電子電氣架構,將AEB、車道維持和自我調整巡航等功能整合在共用的感測器陣列上,從而提高供應商的規模經濟效益,並使自動緊急煞車市場更具盈利。
亞太地區將在2024年佔據28%的市場佔有率,並有望實現12.50%的最高複合年成長率,這主要得益於比亞迪等中國汽車製造商為其售價低於1.5萬美元的低成本電動車配備自動緊急煞車系統(AEB)。國產晶片組和垂直整合的感測器供應鏈將降低成本,從而推動AEB的大規模普及,其產量將超過歐洲。澳洲將從2025年2月起強制所有新乘用車配備AEB,進一步擴大該地區的監管覆蓋範圍,以維持該地區的發展動能。如果目前的成長動能持續下去,到2030年,亞太地區自動緊急煞車系統的市場規模可望超過北美。
The autonomous emergency braking market reached USD 36.74 billion in 2025 and is forecast to expand to USD 88.22 billion by 2030, reflecting a 19.15% CAGR.

The growth trajectory is anchored in compulsory fitment rules now embedded in the United States, European Union, and China regulations. These regulations eliminate optional-equipment cycles and drive full-range system integration across every price segment. Mandatory performance thresholds tighten around high-speed collision avoidance, night-time pedestrian detection, and junction safety, forcing automakers to standardize multi-sensor fusion architectures. Sub-USD 50 radar modules, falling LiDAR costs, and on-chip AI processing further compress system bills of material, allowing mass-market vehicles to close the technology gap with premium models. Insurance carriers, meanwhile, offer usage-based discounts on AEB-equipped fleets, catalyzing retrofit demand in commercial transport and reinforcing the autonomous emergency braking market's momentum. Divergent regional compliance deadlines create staggered revenue waves that reward suppliers with scalable platforms capable of rapidly calibrating local protocols.
Government-imposed AEB requirements create non-negotiable market expansion that transcends traditional automotive adoption cycles. NHTSA's final rule mandates that AEB systems be capable of automatic braking at speeds up to 90 mph. That pedestrian detection functionality should operate effectively in darkness, with full compliance required by September 2029.The regulation's performance-based approach, rather than technology-specific requirements, enables manufacturers to choose optimal sensor combinations while meeting stringent effectiveness thresholds. Preliminary testing reveals that only the 2023 Toyota Corolla meets these comprehensive standards, indicating substantial technology upgrades required across the industry. This regulatory framework fundamentally alters competitive dynamics by establishing minimum performance baselines that favor technologically sophisticated suppliers capable of delivering integrated sensor fusion solutions. The estimated USD 82 per vehicle implementation cost represents a minimal barrier relative to the projected USD 5.24 to USD 6.52 billion lifetime net benefits, creating compelling economic justification for accelerated adoption.
Consumer safety consciousness drives purchasing decisions beyond regulatory minimums, creating market premiums for vehicles achieving top-tier safety ratings. Euro NCAP's updated 2026 protocols introduce enhanced AEB testing scenarios, including junction collision avoidance and cyclist detection capabilities, with manufacturers requiring advanced sensor integration to achieve maximum ratings. The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety's advocacy for stringent AEB regulations reflects consumer awareness that current systems significantly underperform in darkness, creating differentiation opportunities for manufacturers deploying infrared cameras and advanced sensor fusion. This consumer-driven demand particularly influences premium vehicle segments where safety technology is a key differentiator, with manufacturers like Volvo leveraging City Safety technology to demonstrate measurable crash reduction benefits. The NCAP roadmap extending through 2033 ensures continuous technology evolution requirements, preventing market stagnation and rewarding ongoing innovation investments. Liberty Mutual's TechSafety program, offering discounts to Volvo owners with advanced safety features, demonstrates how consumer demand intersects with the insurance industry's recognition of AEB effectiveness.
LiDAR integration costs constrain widespread adoption despite superior detection capabilities, creating market segmentation between premium and volume vehicle categories. While companies like Hesai plan to reduce LiDAR prices by 50% in 2025, current costs still exceed radar-camera combinations by substantial margins, limiting deployment to higher-end vehicle segments. Oliver Wyman's analysis indicates that LiDAR provides superior accuracy for safety-critical applications like emergency braking but faces competitive pressure due to improved radar resolution and cost-effectiveness. The challenge intensifies multi-sensor fusion architectures that combine LiDAR, radar, and cameras to achieve redundancy and enhanced performance, as system complexity increases, integration costs, and validation requirements. Aeva Technologies' selection as a Tier 1 LiDAR supplier for series production vehicles demonstrates market confidence in FMCW technology. However, the transition timeline extending to mid-decade reflects the substantial engineering and cost optimization required. This cost constraint particularly affects commercial vehicle adoption, where fleet operators prioritize total cost of ownership over premium safety features, potentially delaying LiDAR-based AEB penetration in high-volume segments.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Passenger cars hold the largest autonomous emergency braking market share at 73.68%, benefiting from rising consumer safety expectations that align with regulation. Heavy commercial vehicles represented only 6% of the market share in 2024, yet are climbing at the highest CAGR of 14.20% on the back of FMCSA rules covering trucks above 10,001 lb GVW. This high-growth base positions fleets as a strategic beachhead, with retrofit kits priced from USD 1,500 achieving payback through collision-related downtime reduction and insurance rebates. Light commercial vans retain a 20% share as e-commerce logistics multiply delivery miles. The heavy commercial vehicles' autonomous emergency braking market size is projected to more than triple between 2025 and 2030 as fleet purchasing cycles compress around compliance deadlines.
Fleets are also influencing technology paths. ZF's brake-by-wire program covering 5 million units demonstrates commercial platforms' power to set scale economies that later cascade into passenger segments. Tier 1 suppliers now design modular sensor suites that clip onto tractor cabs or trailer noses, minimizing downtime and standardizing service parts. This cross-segment technology flow ensures the autonomous emergency braking industry retains a virtuous cycle of volume and innovation.
Radar dominated the autonomous emergency braking market with a 46.32% share in 2024, prized for all-weather robustness and steadily falling cost curves. Camera-only systems cover 22% but struggle in lowlight, driving uptake of radar-camera fusion that occupies a 20% share. LiDAR, though nascent, is surging at 31.70% CAGR as vertical cavity surface-emitting lasers and FMCW architectures slash BOM and deliver sub-10 cm range accuracy. Ultrasonic units remain parked at 4% for low-speed maneuvers. The autonomous emergency braking market share of LiDAR-centric systems is expected to approach 15% by 2030, supported by global OEM order books exceeding USD 6 billion for solid-state sensors.
Convergence is increasingly likely. Hybrid modules integrate a narrow-field LiDAR for high-resolution mid-range mapping with wide-field radar to secure adverse-weather reliability, yielding cost-balanced coverage. Semiconductor roadmaps embedding radar DSP, AI accelerators, and LiDAR control on a single die promise further consolidation, amplifying competitive tension inside the autonomous emergency braking industry.
The Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market Report is Segmented by Vehicle Type (Passenger Cars, Light Commercial Vehicles, and More), Component Technology (Radar-Based, Camera-Based, LiDAR-Based AEB, and More), Operating Speed Class (Low-Speed, High-Speed, Pedestrian AEB, and More), and Sales Channel (OEM-Installed, Aftermarket Retrofit, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
North America commanded 34.23% of 2024 revenue, a position underpinned by rigorous federal safety standards and a familiar litigation landscape that encourages proactive adoption. The region's high-average-vehicle age also underwrites robust retrofit demand as fleets accelerate compliance to capture insurance benefits. The autonomous emergency braking market size in North America is set to reach USD 28 billion by 2030, paralleling the staged FMVSS 127 compliance window.
Europe followed with 30% market share, supported by the General Safety Regulation II that synchronizes safety requirements across 27 member states and embeds AEB within a wider umbrella of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems. Euro-centric OEMs favour centralized E/E architectures that host AEB, lane-keep and adaptive cruise on a shared sensor array, improving scale effects for suppliers and boosting profitability within the autonomous emergency braking market.
Asia-Pacific posted 28% share in 2024 yet registers the highest 12.50% CAGR as Chinese OEMs like BYD inject AEB into budget EVs retailing below USD 15,000. Domestic chipsets and vertically integrated sensor supply chains compress cost structures, unlocking mass-volume deployments that dwarf European build counts. Australia's mandate for AEB on all new passenger cars from February 2025 widens regulatory coverage in the region, sustaining regional momentum. The autonomous emergency braking market size in Asia-Pacific could surpass North America before 2030 if current trajectories hold.