日本風能市場 - 增長、趨勢、COVID-19 影響和預測 (2023-2028)

在預測期內，日本的風能市場預計將以超過 8.1% 的複合年增長率增長。

在 2020 年第一季度的 COVID-19 大流行期間，日本的風能市場幾乎沒有受到影響，超過 1GW 的風能項目成功投產。 但是，在工人健康問題方面存在一些小挑戰。 政府在該國控制 COVID-19 病毒方面相對成功。 推動增長的突出因素是風能的採用增加，這主要是由於政府政策、對即將進行的風能項目的投資增加以及風能成本的降低。 越來越多地採用天然氣發電和太陽能等替代能源預計將阻礙市場增長。

主要亮點

• 2020 年陸上風能裝機容量很大，約為 437 萬千瓦，預測期內，陸上風能子行業預計將主導日本風能市場。
• 該國不斷增長的電力需求預計很快將為風能開發提供市場機會。 巨大的風能潛力和不斷下降的風能成本預計將在未來幾年為市場帶來廣泛的商機。
• 有利的政府政策和風能領域投資的增加預計將在預測期內推動市場。

日本風能市場趨勢

預計土地板塊將主導市場

• 陸上風能預計將在預測期內主導市場。 風能一直是日本實現淨零排放目標以及鋼鐵和航運等重化工行業脫碳的主要支持來源。
• 2020 年新增裝機容量為 551 兆瓦，該國陸上風電裝機容量將從 2020 年的 3,857 兆瓦增至 4,373 兆瓦，推動該國陸上風能市場。
• 根據 BP 對世界能源 2021 的統計回顧，日本的風能裝機容量將從 2015 年的 2.8GW 增加到 2020 年的 4.2GW。 隨著日本計劃的多個風能項目，預計在預測期內將進一步增長。
• 2021 年 9 月，日本電力公司 J-Power 宣布已開始在愛媛縣建設一座 34 兆瓦的風力發電廠。 計劃於2024年開始商業運營。
• Dohoku Wind Energy Plant Complex 是一個 339.7 兆瓦的風能發電廠綜合體，計劃於 2023 年第二季度開始運營，由位於北海道的四個項目組成。 該綜合體由 79 颱風能機器組成。
• 因此，由於現有的陸上風能產能和即將開展的項目，預計該行業將在預測期內佔據主導地位。

政府政策和加大投資推動市場

• 日本的風能市場預計將受到有利的政府政策的推動。 政府推出了各種政策和舉措來支持可再生能源和風能在日本的普及。 例如，2020年，日本政府公佈了“海上風電產業願景”。 該願景概述了到 2030 年每年分配 1 吉瓦海上風能容量的計劃。
• 此外，為了到 2035 年實現 8 到 9 日元/kWh 的 LCOE，到 2040 年實現 30 到 45 GW 的累計容量，我們還計劃開發供應鏈並展示降低成本的路徑。
• 根據BP統計的2021年全球能源發電量，2020年風能在可再生能源發電中的份額將增長15.1%，其次是太陽能，為14.4%，其他可再生能源為8.1%。 2020 年，風能佔可再生能源發電總量的 7.8 太瓦時。
• 已提供 2 萬億日元（188 億美元）的“綠色創新基金”，從 2020 年起為期 10 年，以支持淨零目標。 此外，政府計劃提供稅收優惠以鼓勵 1.7 萬億日元（159 億美元）的私人投資。 預計這些努力將對所研究的市場產生積極影響。
• 2021 年 12 月，日本將在秋田縣沿海的 Happoone 地區發起拍賣，以選擇開發商開發高達 356 兆瓦的海上風能，進一步推動預測期內的市場增長。
• 因此，在預測期內，政府的支持和對可再生能源投資的增加預計將推動風能市場的增長。

日本風能市場的競爭對手分析

日本的風能市場適度整合。 該市場的主要參與者包括 MHI Vestas、Orsted AS、Sumitomo Corporation、Ocean Winds 和 Japan Renewable Energy。

其他好處

• Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
• 三個月的分析師支持

內容

第一章介紹

• 調查範圍
• 市場定義
• 調查假設

第 2 章執行摘要

第三章研究方法論

第 4 章市場概述

• 簡介
• 到 2027 年的風能裝機容量和預測（單位：GW
• 近期趨勢和發展狀況
• 政府法規和政策
• 市場動態
  • 司機
  • 約束因素
• 供應鏈分析
• PESTLE 分析

第 5 章市場細分

• 部署地點
  • 陸上
  • 離岸

第六章競爭格局

• 併購、合資、合作、協議
• 主要參與者採用的策略
• 公司簡介
  • MHI Vestas
  • Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy
  • Japan Renewable Energy Co. Ltd
  • NextEra Energy Inc.
  • Sumitomo Corporation
  • Ocean Winds
  • Swancor Renewable Energy

第7章 市場機會未來動向

The Japanese wind energy market is expected to record a CAGR of more than 8.1% during the forecast period. The Japanese wind energy market fairly remained unaffected during the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in Q1 2020 as the country' was successful in commissioning more than 1 GW of wind energy projects. However, there were minor challenges related to the workforce health issue. The government was comparatively successful in controlling the COVID-19 virus around the country. The prominent factors driving the growth are mainly government policies, the increasing investment in upcoming wind power projects, and the reduced cost of wind energy, which has led to increased adoption of wind energy. The growing adoption of alternative energy sources such as gas-based power and solar power will likely hinder the market growth.

Key Highlights

• With a significant installed onshore wind generation capacity of around 4.37 GW in 2020, the onshore sub-sector is expected to dominate the wind energy market in Japan during the forecast period.
• Increased demand for electricity in the country is expected to provide market opportunities for wind power development shortly. The massive wind power potential and a decline in the cost of wind energy are expected to provide widespread business opportunities to the market in the coming years.
• Favorable government policies and increasing investments in the wind energy sector are expected to drive the market during the forecast period.

Japan Wind Energy Market Trends

Onshore Segment is Expected to Dominate the Market

• Onshore wind energy is expected to dominate the market during the forecast period. Wind energy has become a major source of support for Japan to reach its net-zero target and decarbonize its heavy industry, such as steel manufacturing and shipping.
• With a new annual installation of 551 MW in 2020, onshore wind energy installed capacity in the country reached 4,373 MW in 2020, up from 3,857 MW in 2020, driving the onshore wind energy market in the country.
• According to BP statistical review of world energy 2021, installed wind turbine capacity in Japan reached 4.2GW in 2020, up from 2.8 GW in 2015. It is further expected to grow during the forecast period, as several wind power projects are planned in Japan.
• In September 2021, Japanese electric utility Electric Power Development Co. Ltd, known as J-Power, announced it had started construction of a 34-MW wind farm in Ehime prefecture. Commercial operation is scheduled to commence in 2024.
• Expected to be commissioned in Q2 2023, the Dohoku wind farm cluster, an 339.7 MW wind farm cluster, consists of four projects located on the island of Hokkaido. The complex consists of 79 units of wind turbines.
• Hence, with existing onshore wind energy capacity and the upcoming projects, the segment is expected to dominate during the forecast period.

Government Policies and Increasing Investments to Drive the Market

• Favorable government policies will drive the wind energy market in Japan. The government has launched various government policies and initiatives to support the growth of renewable energy and wind energy deployment in the country. For instance, in 2020, The Japanese government unveiled its Offshore Wind Industry Vision. This vision outlines a plan to allocate 1 GW of offshore wind capacity annually through 2030.
• Additionally, the government has plans for supply chain development and cost reduction pathways to reach JPY 8-9/kWh of LCOE by 2035 and 30-45 GW of cumulative capacity by 2040.
• According to BP statistical review of world energy 2021, wind energy's contribution to the total renewable energy generation in 2020 represented a growth of 15.1%, followed by solar of 14.4% and other renewables of 8.1%. Wind energy generated 7.8 Terawatt-hours of total renewable energy generation in 2020.
• In a bid to support the net-zero target, the Green Innovation Fund of JPY 2 trillion (USD 18.8 billion) was provided for the next 10 years in 2020. Further, the government is expected to provide tax incentives to stimulate JPY 1.7 trillion (USD 15.9 billion) in private investment. Such initiatives are expected to have a positive impact on the market studied.
• In December 2021, Japan launched an auction to select the developer of up to 356 MW of offshore wind capacity in the Happo-Noshiro zone off Akita prefecture, which will further help the market to grow in the forecast period.
• Hence, government support and rising investments in renewable energy are expected to drive the wind energy market growth during the forecast period.

Japan Wind Energy Market Competitor Analysis

The Japanese wind energy market is moderately consolidated. Some of the key players in this market include MHI Vestas, Orsted AS, Sumitomo Corporation, Ocean Winds, and Japan Renewable Energy Co. Ltd.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Scope of the Study
• 1.2 Market Definition
• 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

• 4.1 Introduction
• 4.2 Wind Energy Installed Capacity and Forecast in GW, till 2027
• 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
• 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
• 4.5 Market Dynamics
  • 4.5.1 Drivers
  • 4.5.2 Restraints
• 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
• 4.7 PESTLE Analysis

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

• 5.1 Location of Deployment
  • 5.1.1 Onshore
  • 5.1.2 Offshore

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
• 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
• 6.3 Company Profiles
  • 6.3.1 MHI Vestas
  • 6.3.2 Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy
  • 6.3.3 Japan Renewable Energy Co. Ltd
  • 6.3.4 NextEra Energy Inc.
  • 6.3.5 Sumitomo Corporation
  • 6.3.6 Ocean Winds
  • 6.3.7 Swancor Renewable Energy

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS