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1198205

住宅儲能係統 (ESS) 市場 - 增長、趨勢、COVID-19 影響和預測 (2023-2028)

Residential Energy Storage Systems (Ess) Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 180 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

到今年年底，住宅儲能係統市場預計將達到 43.8 億美元，在預測期內以超過 24.4% 的複合年增長率增長。

市場在 2020 年受到了 COVID-19 的影響。 市場現在處於大流行前的水平。

主要亮點

  • 從中期來看，對不間斷和可靠電力供應的需求不斷增加，以及住宅部門越來越多地採用太陽能屋頂系統，預計也將推動所研究市場的增長。
  • 另一方面，許多國家無法直接獲取用於電池製造的金屬資源和儲備，這會對市場增長產生負面影響，使其成為市場的主要製約因素之一。
  • 然而，住宅儲能係統市場主要由德國、美國和澳大利亞等發達國家主導。 然而，其他幾個國家，如巴西、沙特阿拉伯、泰國和孟加拉國，已經推出淨計量計劃並進行了某些修訂以鼓勵住宅太陽能發電，在預測期內提供增長機會。
  • 歐洲在市場上佔據主導地位，並且在預測期內很可能實現最高的複合年增長率。 大部分需求來自德國和英國等國家。

住宅儲能係統市場趨勢

主導市場的鋰離子電池技術

  • 鋰離子電池的充電和放電效率接近 100%，並且可以消耗和消耗相同數量的安培小時。 與鉛酸電池等其他技術相比，這種電池具有多種技術優勢。 可充電鋰離子電池平均可循環 5,000 次以上，而鉛酸電池的壽命約為 400-500 次循環。
  • 鋰離子電池可以多次充電並且具有出色的穩定性。 此外，與其他二次電池相比，它們往往具有更高的能量密度和電壓容量以及更低的自放電率。 與不同類型的電池相比，這導致單個電池的電荷保持時間更長，從而提高了電源效率。
  • 此外，鋰離子電池需要的維護和更換頻率低於鉛酸電池。 鋰離子電池在整個放電週期內保持其電壓，使電子元件保持更高效和更長時間。 鋰離子電池的初始成本很高，但考慮到壽命和性能，它們比鉛酸電池便宜得多。
  • 電池在儲能係統中發揮著重要作用，佔系統總成本的很大一部分，尤其是用於住宅儲能係統的電池。 世界範圍內可再生能源的引入越來越多，家庭太陽能屋頂的安裝也越來越多。
  • 隨著光伏發電裝機容量的增加，對蓄電池的需求也有望增加。 因此，預計在預測期內，住宅用新型儲能係統 (ESS) 的出現將提振鋰離子電池的需求。 鋰離子電池由於重量輕、充電時間短、充電頻率高和成本低而成為該應用的首選。
  • 最近，由於價格下降，鋰離子電池作為住宅太陽能發電和家用逆變器的首選儲能係統而受到歡迎。 2021年，鋰離子電池價格為123美元/千瓦時，較2013年的668美元/千瓦時下降81.58%。
  • 迄今為止，住宅儲能政策還處於非常早期的階段。 然而，美國和德國等國家正在通過國家政策行動和監管行動在區域儲能市場創造機會。
  • 例如，2021 年 6 月，美國能源部 (D.O.E) 立即宣布了一項擴大先進電池材料和技術國內製造供應鏈的政策。
  • 因此，基於上述因素，鋰離子電池技術有望在預測期內主導全球住宅儲能係統市場。

歐洲主導市場

  • 歐洲在 2021 年主導了 RESS 市場，並且預計將繼續如此。 由於屋頂太陽能的快速部署，該地區的 RESS 需求正在高速增長。
  • 在德國，住宅儲能係統市場自 2015 年以來發展迅速，這得益於為電池系統提供 30% 投資補貼的激勵制度。
  • 德國的能源結構轉型發生在過去幾年。 屋頂太陽能佔德國太陽能光伏總量的很大比例，主要得益於過去引入的先進支持機制，例如屋頂項目的補貼和貸款。 2021 年，德國對《可再生能源法》(EEG2021) 進行了改革，包括對不超過 30kW 的自用光伏系統所有者免徵 EEG 稅。 在以前的規定中，這個上限是 10 千瓦。 這項 EEG 稅可能會提振德國住宅電池市場，因為大多數住宅系統都在上述範圍內。
  • 此外，2022 年 3 月，電力電子與電氣驅動研究所 (ISEA) 和亞琛工業大學宣布，在 2021 年安裝的 1,357MWh 新能源容量中，家庭儲能係統 (HSS) 將佔 93%剩下的7%將在工業和大規模儲能領域。
  • 截至 2022 年 1 月，英國註冊的太陽能裝機容量為 1379 萬千瓦，其中 26%（325 萬千瓦）來自 10 千瓦以下的太陽能裝置，主要用於屋頂安裝太陽能消費者的住宅。
  • 在英國，普通居民每天消耗 3 千瓦時到 6 千瓦時的電力，系統規模也相應不同。 最常見的系統容量為4kW，適合滿足3-4人的能源需求。 但是，通常建議4至5人的家庭使用5kW的太陽能發電系統，5人以上的家庭使用6kW的太陽能發電系統。 因此，該國大多數住宅光伏系統的容量都在 10 千瓦或以下。
  • 此外，意大利還推出了一項新的超級獎金計劃，從 2020 年 7 月到 2023 年期間可對支出進行 110% 的稅收減免，以鼓勵能源效率干預。 然而，要從超級紅利中受益，光伏和儲能係統必須與主要干預措施之一一起安裝。 總體投資還必須提高能源效率。 如果沒有，您可以利用已經為小型太陽能和 BESS 提供的 10 年 50% 稅收抵免。
  • 該地區的 RESS 市場也受到從中國進口低成本太陽能電池板的推動，這使得太陽能技術更具競爭力。
  • 因此，由於上述因素，歐洲有望在預測期內主導全球住宅儲能係統市場。

住宅儲能係統市場競爭對手分析

住宅儲能係統市場是分散的。 該市場的主要參與者（排名不分先後）包括 LG Energy Solution Ltd、Samsung SDI、Panasonic Corporation、Sonnen GmbH 和 Saft Groupe SA。

其他好處

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 三個月的分析師支持

內容

第1章介紹

  • 調查範圍
  • 市場定義
  • 調查假設

第 2 章執行摘要

第3章研究方法論

第 4 章市場概述

  • 簡介
  • 到 2027 年的市場規模和需求預測（單位：十億美元）
  • 近期趨勢和發展
  • 政府法規和政策
  • 市場動態
    • 司機
    • 約束因素
  • 供應鏈分析
  • 波特的五力分析
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 消費者的議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭公司之間的敵對關係

第 5 章市場細分

  • 技術類型
    • 鋰離子電池
    • 鉛蓄電池
    • 其他技術類型
  • 按地區
    • 北美
    • 亞太地區
    • 歐洲
    • 中東
    • 南美洲

第6章競爭格局

  • 併購、合資、合作、協議
  • 主要參與者採用的策略
  • 公司簡介
    • LG Energy Solution Ltd
    • Hitachi energy Ltd
    • Panasonic Corporation
    • Saft Groupe SA
    • Sonnen GmbH
    • Sunverge Energy LLC
    • Tesla Inc.
    • Deutsche Energieversorgung GmbH（SENEC）
    • Samsung SDI Co. Ltd

第7章 市場機會與將來動向

簡介目錄
Product Code: 51008

The Residential Energy Storage Systems market is expected to reach USD 4.38 billion by the end of the year and is projected to register a CAGR of over 24.4% during the forecast period.

The market was negatively impacted by COVID-19 in 2020. Presently the market has now reached pre-pandemic levels.

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, increasing demand for uninterrupted and reliable power supply and the rise in adoption of solar rooftop systems by the residential sector is also expected to drive the growth of the market studied.
  • On the other hand, the lack of direct access to metal resources and reserves for battery manufacturing in many countries may negatively impact the market's growth and is one of the major restraints for the market.
  • Nevertheless, The residential energy storage systems market is majorly dominated by developed nations such as Germany, the United States, and Australia. However, several other countries, such as Brazil, Saudi Arabia, Thailand, and Bangladesh, have introduced the net metering program and made certain amendments to encourage solar PV in the residential sector, are expected to provide growth opportunities in the forecast period.
  • Europe dominates the market and is also likely to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period. Most of the demand comes from the countries like Germany, the United Kingdom, etc.

Residential Energy Storage Systems Market Trends

Lithium-Ion Battery Technology to Dominate the Market

  • Lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries are nearly 100% efficient in charge and discharge, allowing the same ampere-hours in and out. These batteries offer various technical advantages over other technologies, such as lead-acid batteries. Rechargeable Li-ion batteries, on an average, offer cycles more than 5,000 times, in comparison to lead-acid batteries that last for around 400-500 times.
  • Li-ion batteries can be recharged numerous times and are more stable. Further, they tend to have a higher energy density, voltage capacity, and lower self-discharge rate than other rechargeable batteries. This improves power efficiency as a single cell has longer charge retention than different battery types.
  • Additionally, Li-ion batteries do not need as frequent maintenance and replacement as the lead acid batteries. Li-ion batteries maintain their voltage throughout the discharge cycle, allowing greater and longer-lasting efficiency of electrical components, whereas the voltage of lead-acid batteries drops consistently throughout the discharge cycle. Despite the higher upfront cost of Li-ion batteries, the true cost is much lesser than that of lead-acid batteries, when considering lifespan and performance.
  • Batteries play a crucial part in the energy storage systems and are responsible for major portion of the total cost of system, especially used in residential energy storage systems. The total installed capacity of the renewable energy sources is increasing at a significant rate, worldwide, and so is the installation of solar rooftops on the residential buildings.
  • The increase in solar rooftop capacity is likely to foster the increase in the demand for battery energy storage as well. Therefore, the emergence of new energy storage systems (ESS), for residential applications, is expected to boost the demand for lithium-ion battery during the forecast period. Properties of lithium-ion batteries, such as less weight, low charging time, higher number charging cycles, and declining cost, make it preferable for this application.
  • In recent times, owing to their declining prices, the lithium-ion batteries gained popularity as battery storage systems of choice for residential solar and home inverters. In 2021, the price of the lithium-ion battery was USD 123/kWh, which declined by 81.58% from USD 668/KWh in 2013.
  • The residential energy storage policies till date are quite nascent. However, countries, such as the United States and Germany, through state policy action and regulatory action, are creating opportunities in the local energy storage markets.
  • For instance, in June 2021, the United States Department of Energy (D.O.E) announced immediate policy to scale up domestic manufacturing supply chain for advanced battery materials and technologies.
  • Therefore, based on the factors mentioned above, lithium-ion battery technology is expected to dominate the global residential energy storage systems market during the forecast period.

Europe to Dominate the Market

  • Europe dominated the RESS market in 2021, and it is expected to continue its dominance in the coming years. The demand for RESS in the region is witnessing high growth due to the rapid adoption of rooftop solar power.
  • The residential energy storage systems market has grown rapidly in Germany since 2015, supported by an incentive scheme granting a 30% investment subsidy for the battery system.
  • Transformation in Germany's energy mix has been taking place for the past few years. Rooftop solar accounted for a significant share of Germany's total solar energy generation, mainly due to advanced supporting mechanisms introduced in the past, such as grants and loans for roof programs. In 2021, Germany introduced a reform of Renewable Energy Law or EEG 2021, which incorporates the exemption of EEG levy for the owners of PV systems for self-consumption not exceeding 30kW in size. Under the previous rules, this limit was set at 10 kW. This EEG levy is likely to boost the German residential battery market as most residential systems are in the aforementioned range.
  • Further, in March 2022, the Institute for Power Electronics and Electrical Drives (ISEA) and RWTH Aachen University found that the home storage systems (HSS) accounted for 93% of the 1,357 MWh of new energy capacity installed in 2021, while the rest 7% includes industrial and large-scale storage segments.
  • As of January 2022, the United Kingdom registered 13.79 GW installed solar capacity, and 26% (3.25 GW) of the total capacity has come from solar PV installations below 10 kW, mainly consisting of residential rooftop solar photovoltaic consumers.
  • In the United Kingdom, an average resident consumes between 3kWh and 6kWh of energy daily; accordingly, system sizes may vary. One of the most common system capacities installed is a 4-kW system, which is suited to satisfy the energy needs of three-four people. However, a 5kW solar PV system is typical for a home with four-five people, while a 6kW solar panel system is suggested for a home with over five residents. Hence, most residential PV systems have a capacity below 10 kW in the country.
  • Moreover, Italy introduced a new super bonus incentive scheme, which gives the possibility of obtaining a tax credit of 110% for the expense from July 2020 until 2023, encouraging energy efficiency interventions. However, to benefit from the super bonus, the PV and the storage system must be installed in conjunction with one of the main interventions. The overall investments made must lead to an improvement of an energy efficiency rating. In case of ineligibility, obtaining the 10-year 50% tax credit already in place for small-scale PV generation assets and BESS is possible.
  • The RESS market in the region is also driven by the import of low-cost solar panels from China, helping make photovoltaic technology more competitive.
  • Therefore, based on the aforementioned factors, Europe is expected to dominate the global residential energy storage systems market during the forecast period.

Residential Energy Storage Systems Market Competitor Analysis

The residential energy storage systems market is fragmented. Some of the major players in this market (in no particular order) include LG Energy Solution Ltd, Samsung SDI Co. Ltd, Panasonic Corporation, Sonnen GmbH, and Saft Groupe SA.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Market Size and Demand Forecast in USD billion, till 2027
  • 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.5 Market Dynamics
    • 4.5.1 Drivers
    • 4.5.2 Restraints
  • 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes Products and Services
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Technology Type
    • 5.1.1 Lithium-ion Batteries
    • 5.1.2 Lead-acid Batteries
    • 5.1.3 Other Technology Types
  • 5.2 Geography
    • 5.2.1 North America
    • 5.2.2 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.2.3 Europe
    • 5.2.4 Middle-East
    • 5.2.5 South America

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 LG Energy Solution Ltd
    • 6.3.2 Hitachi energy Ltd
    • 6.3.3 Panasonic Corporation
    • 6.3.4 Saft Groupe SA
    • 6.3.5 Sonnen GmbH
    • 6.3.6 Sunverge Energy LLC
    • 6.3.7 Tesla Inc.
    • 6.3.8 Deutsche Energieversorgung GmbH (SENEC)
    • 6.3.9 Samsung SDI Co. Ltd

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS